Sturm Graz vs Lask Linz Prediction

Sturm Graz
2-1
Finished
HT 1-1
Lask Linz
Merkur-Arena, Graz 13/09/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.6 / 10
Value Analysis
58%Trust
Corners Total
Corners Under 10.5
1.90
SignalSOLIDModel58%SurpriseMediumGap+9.4%
Sturm Graz Rest
8 days
Lask Linz Rest
4 days

Sturm Graz vs Lask Linz: result, form and history

Sturm Graz beat Lask Linz 2-1 in the Bundesliga on 13 Sep 2026. That went against recent form: Lask Linz had won 4 of their previous five, compared with 2 for Sturm Graz.

Games between these two are rarely quiet: their 10 previous meetings averaged 3.0 goals, and both sides scored in 7 of them. Sturm Graz tend to win more corners, 7.2 a game to 4.5 for Lask Linz.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
29%3.34
X
23%3.88
2
48%1.95
Double Chance
1X
52%1.80
X2
71%1.30
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%1.44
No
40%2.58
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.36 + 1.46 = 2.82
Over 1.5
82%1.14
Over 2.5
59%1.50
Over 3.5
34%2.21
Under 1.5
18%5.17
Under 2.5
41%2.50
Under 3.5
66%1.63
Corners
Projected Corners: 4.4 + 5.6 = 9.9
Over 8.5
63%1.29
Over 9.5
52%1.50
Over 10.5
42%1.82
Under 8.5
37%3.28
Under 9.5
48%2.38
Under 10.5
58%1.90
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.7 + 1.9 = 3.6
Over 3.5
48%-
Over 4.5
29%-
Under 3.5
52%-
Under 4.5
71%-

Match Events

13'Penalty cancelledGeorge Bello
13'Jurgen HeilFoul
34'Gizo MamageishviliAssist: Simon Seidl
45+3'Krystof Danek
50'Seedy Jatta INOumar Diakité out
59'Oumar DiakitéAssist: Arjan Malić
60'Christoph Lang INSasa Kalajdzic out
60'Krystof Danek INRobert Ljubicic out
61'Gizo Mamageishvili INOtar Kiteishvili out
61'Simon Seidl INFilip Rozga Kucharczyk out
76'Melayro BogardeFoul
77'Melayro Bogarde INAlessandro Schöpf out
77'Jon Gorenc Stanković INLuca Weinhandl out
82'Kasper Jorgensen INFlorian Flecker out
85'Otar KiteishviliDissent
85'Filip Rozga KucharczykArgument
85'Sascha HorvathArgument

Lineups

Sturm Graz
4-4-2Coach: F. Ingolitsch
Lask Linz
3-4-1-2Coach: D. Kühbauer
Avg rating6.63
Avg rating6.54
D. Khudyakov6.653D. Khudyakov
J. Heil6.128J. Heil
J. Quarshie6.42J. Quarshie
A. Vallci6.15A. Vallci
A. Malic6.823A. Malic
S. Seidl7.119S. Seidl
V. Matoshi6.478V. Matoshi
J. Gorenc Stankovič6.54J. Gorenc Stankovič
Jacob Peter Hödl6.343J. Peter Hödl
G. Mamageishvili8.215G. Mamageishvili
S. Jatta6.520S. Jatta
L. Jungwirth6.91L. Jungwirth
X. Mbuyamba6.44X. Mbuyamba
Alemão6.843Alemão
A. Andrade6.416A. Andrade
K. Jørgensen6.720K. Jørgensen
M. Bogarde7.06M. Bogarde
S. Horvath6.630S. Horvath
G. Bello6.82G. Bello
K. Daněk7.39K. Daněk
M. Usor6.38M. Usor
C. Lang6.327C. Lang

Sturm Graz Substitutes

10O. Kiteishvili61'for Gizo Mamageishvili85'6.4
30P. Koller
21P. Petrović
8F. Rózga61'for Simon Seidl85'6.0
39Luca Weinhandl77'for Jon Gorenc Stanković6.3
22A. Helac
14O. Diakité50'for Seedy Jatta59'8.0
26B. Beganović
27L. Balbo

Lask Linz Substitutes

33T. Schützenauer
3M. Freckleton
23Daniel Elfadli
25Y. Dibango
29F. Flecker82'for Kasper Jorgensen6.2
18A. Schöpf77'for Melayro Bogarde6.0
10R. Ljubičić60'for Krystof Danek5.9
11S. Kalajdzic60'for Christoph Lang6.5
45N. Kane

Match Stats

Sturm GrazLask Linz
35%Ball Possession65%
3Corner Kicks6
3Yellow Cards3
14Total Shots26
7Shots on Goal4
5Shots off Goal16
12Shots Inside Box14
2Shots Outside Box12
2Blocked Shots6
14Fouls7
2Offsides0
2Goalkeeper Saves5
250Total Passes469
167Passes Accurate398
7Free Kicks14

Team Comparison

Sturm GrazSturm Graz
Lask LinzLask Linz
1690Elo Rating 1762
1.63Attack 2.71
1.05Defense 1.41
14%Hit Rate 64%
21.5Shots per Game 19.7
5.3Shots on Target 6.8
7.2Corners per Game 4.5
1.8Cards per Game 2.1

AI Insights

⚽High Goal Expectancy2.82 goals
📈BTTS Trend70% in H2H

Game State Tendencies

Sturm GrazSturm Graz
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 33% of the time
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
Lask LinzLask Linz
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

Sturm GrazSturm Graz5Wins · 50%
Draws330%
Lask LinzLask Linz2Wins · 20%
3.0Avg Goals
70%Both teams scored7 of 10
50%3+ goals5 of 10

Previous meetings

Bundesliga22/04/2026
Sturm GrazLask Linz
11
Bundesliga19/04/2026
Lask LinzSturm Graz
11
Bundesliga23/11/2025
Sturm GrazLask Linz
13
Bundesliga01/08/2025
Lask LinzSturm Graz
02
Bundesliga16/03/2025
Sturm GrazLask Linz
42
Bundesliga27/10/2024
Lask LinzSturm Graz
12
Bundesliga12/05/2024
Lask LinzSturm Graz
22
Bundesliga07/04/2024
Sturm GrazLask Linz
10
Bundesliga05/11/2023
Lask LinzSturm Graz
31
Bundesliga05/08/2023
Sturm GrazLask Linz
20

League Table

Bundesliga 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Rapid ViennaRapid Vienna12110139:9+3033WWWWW
2Red Bull SalzburgRed Bull Salzburg1293033:9+2430WWWWD
3Lask LinzLask Linz1281330:15+1525WWLWL
4TSV HartbergTSV Hartberg1262423:19+420WWWLW
5Sturm GrazSturm Graz1254322:17+519LDDWW
6RiedRied1244421:22-116LDDWW
7WSG WattensWSG Wattens1234515:18-313DLDWL
8Austria LustenauAustria Lustenau1232715:30-1511WLLLL
9SCR AltachSCR Altach1231811:20-910LDWLW
10Grazer AKGrazer AK122469:29-2010LLDLD
11Austria ViennaAustria Vienna1222811:23-128DLLLL
12Wolfsberger ACWolfsberger AC121388:26-186LDLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1Rapid ViennaRapid Vienna1239:933
2Red Bull SalzburgRed Bull Salzburg1233:930
3Lask LinzLask Linz1230:1525
4TSV HartbergTSV Hartberg1223:1920
5Sturm GrazSturm Graz1222:1719
6RiedRied1221:2216
7WSG WattensWSG Wattens1215:1813
8Austria LustenauAustria Lustenau1215:3011
9SCR AltachSCR Altach1211:2010
10Grazer AKGrazer AK129:2910
11Austria ViennaAustria Vienna1211:238
12Wolfsberger ACWolfsberger AC128:266
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About the Sturm Graz vs Lask Linz forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Sturm Graz and Lask Linz in the Bundesliga table

Lask Linz and Sturm Graz are close in the Bundesliga table, 3rd and 5th, with 6 points between them. League goal record so far: Sturm Graz 22-17, Lask Linz 30-15. The full standings are on the Bundesliga Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.