River Plate vs Rosario Central Prediction
Argentina · Clausura - 3
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
Value Analysis
70%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 1.5 Goals
1.54
SignalGOODModel43%SurpriseMediumGap+8.3%
River Plate Rest
4 days
Rosario Central Rest
4 days
River Plate vs Rosario Central: the result in context
Rosario Central beat River Plate 1-0 in the Liga Profesional Argentina on 2 Aug 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.
When these two meet, goals usually follow: 3.1 a game across 9 meetings, with both teams scoring in 5. Referee Nicolas Ramirez averages 6.18 cards a game, 1.06 more than other referees in the same competitions.
Match Forecasts
Match Result
144%1.88
X23%3.13
233%4.60
Double Chance
1X67%1.18
X256%1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes53%2.25
No47%1.60
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.31 + 0.9 = 2.21
Over 1.570%1.54
Over 2.541%2.60
Over 3.524%5.25
Under 1.530%2.45
Under 2.559%1.46
Under 3.576%1.14
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.5 + 3.8 = 9.3
Over 8.557%1.85
Over 9.545%2.35
Over 10.529%3.05
Under 8.543%1.86
Under 9.555%1.51
Under 10.571%1.30
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.4 + 2.8 = 5.2
Over 3.574%-
Over 4.557%-
Under 3.526%-
Under 4.543%-
Match Events
5'J. FreitasDiving
10'L. RiveroFoul
17'Fausto VeraFoul
27'N. OtamendiOG
34'E. CoronelFoul
41'L. Martinez QuartaFoul
46'L. Pereyra INT. Galvan out
63'Fausto Vera INL. Beltran out
65'A. Di MariaFoul
67'J. Freitas INJ. Meza out
70'V. Pizarro INF. Navarro out
80'F. IbarraFoul
82'J. Campaz INP. Fernandez out
83'E. Copetti INT. Badaloni out
83'E. CoronelFoul
83'E. CoronelFoul
84'L. Rivero INV. Lucero out
85'A. Di Maria INF. Mallo Blanco out
Lineups
River PlateRosario Central
4-2-3-1Coach: Jorge AlmironAvg ratingAvg rating
41S. Beltrán
29G. Montiel
28L. Martínez Quarta
C30N. Otamendi
13L. Rivero
15F. Vera
6A. Moreno
35J. Freitas
25L. Pereyra
11F. Colidio
19R. Borré
23J. Ledesma
32E. Coronel
46I. Ovando
13G. Ávila
3A. Sández
5F. Ibarra
20V. Pizarro
26G. Cantizano
C11Á. Di María
8J. Campaz
22E. CopettiRiver Plate Substitutes
26Tomás Galván46'for L. Pereyra
33Ezequiel Centurión
31Facundo González
20Giovanni González
43Valentín Lucero84'for L. Rivero
44Lucas Silva
24Juan Cruz Meza67'for J. Freitas
18Lucas Beltrán63'for Fausto Vera
Rosario Central Substitutes
1Axel Werner
42Elías Verón
33Alexis Soto
15Facundo Mallo85'for A. Di Maria
2Sebastian Zaracho
47Luca Raffin
7Marcelo Cabrera
19Santiago Segovia
31Federico Navarro70'for V. Pizarro
28Pol Fernández82'for J. Campaz
16Tomás Badaloni83'for E. Copetti
39Fabricio Oviedo
Match Stats
River PlateRosario Central 65%Ball Possession35%
10Corner Kicks4
4Yellow Cards4
0Red Cards1
25Total Shots12
6Shots on Goal3
17Shots off Goal7
16Shots Inside Box5
9Shots Outside Box7
2Blocked Shots2
15Fouls15
1Offsides3
3Goalkeeper Saves5
413Total Passes230
329Passes Accurate130
80%Pass Accuracy57%
Team Comparison
River PlateRosario Central1769Elo Rating 1806
1.37Attack 2.55
2.63Defense 2.20
63%Hit Rate 86%
14.9Shots per Game 16.8
5.7Shots on Target 6.5
6.0Corners per Game 7.7
2.0Cards per Game 1.6
AI Insights
📈BTTS Trend56% in H2H
📉Home Underperforming
Game State Tendencies
River Plate- Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
- Scores more in 2nd half (1 vs 0.4 in first half)
- Concedes more in 1st half, then tightens up after the break
Rosario Central- Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
- Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
- Scores more in 2nd half (1.5 vs 1.1 in first half)
- Concedes more in 1st half, then tightens up after the break
Head to Head
Last 9 meetings, all competitions
River Plate3Wins · 33%Draws445%
Rosario Central2Wins · 22%
2Wins · 22%3.1Avg Goals
56%Both teams scored5 of 9
78%3+ goals7 of 9
Previous meetings
17/05/2026River PlateRosario Central10
02/02/2026Rosario CentralRiver Plate00
06/10/2025Rosario CentralRiver Plate21
30/03/2025River PlateRosario Central22
08/12/2024River PlateRosario Central40
24/07/2023Rosario CentralRiver Plate33
17/10/2022River PlateRosario Central12
28/11/2021Rosario CentralRiver Plate22
21/02/2021River PlateRosario Central30
Recent Form
River Plate4W2D4L
30/07/2026
Gimnasia L.P.River PlateRiver Plate
Barracas CentralRiver Plate
Aldosivi
Gimnasia L.P.River Plate10
L26/07/2026River PlateBarracas Central01
L18/07/2026River PlateAldosivi13
L03/07/2026
FlamengoRiver Plate
FlamengoRiver Plate22
D28/05/2026River Plate
Blooming
River PlateBlooming30
W24/05/2026River Plate
Belgrano Cordoba
River PlateBelgrano Cordoba23
L21/05/2026River Plate
RB Bragantino
River PlateRB Bragantino11
D17/05/2026River PlateRosario Central
River PlateRosario Central10
W14/05/2026River PlateGimnasia L.P.
River PlateGimnasia L.P.20
W11/05/2026River Plate
San Lorenzo
River PlateSan Lorenzo4131
WRosario Central4W2D4L
29/07/2026Rosario Central
Racing ClubBelgrano CordobaRosario Central
Rosario CentralRacing Club00
D24/07/2026Belgrano CordobaRosario Central21
L31/05/2026
Estudiantes L.P.Rosario Central
Estudiantes L.P.Rosario Central30
L28/05/2026
Independiente del ValleRosario Central
Independiente del ValleRosario Central10
L20/05/2026Rosario Central
UCV
Rosario CentralUCV40
W17/05/2026River PlateRosario Central
River PlateRosario Central10
L13/05/2026Rosario CentralRacing Club
Rosario CentralRacing Club2111
W10/05/2026Rosario Central
Independiente
Rosario CentralIndependiente31
W06/05/2026Rosario Central
Libertad Asuncion
Rosario CentralLibertad Asuncion10
W03/05/2026Rosario Central
Tigre
Rosario CentralTigre11
DReferee Profile
6.18Cards per match
5.88Yellow cards per match
0.30Red cards per match
25.0Fouls per match
Compared with other referees
6.18 cards a match, 1.06 more than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (5.12).
Cards come from 103 matches with official statistics.
Full referee statsLeague Table
Apertura - Group B
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Independ. Rivadavia | 16 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 29:15 | +14 | 34 | DWLDL |
| 2 | River Plate | 16 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 22:12 | +10 | 29 | WLWWD |
| 3 |  Argentinos JRS | 16 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 17:13 | +4 | 29 | LWWWD |
| 4 | Rosario Central | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 20:16 | +4 | 28 | WWWWW |
| 5 | Belgrano Cordoba | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 17:13 | +4 | 26 | LDLLW |
| 6 | Gimnasia L.P. | 16 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 19:19 | 0 | 26 | WWWWD |
| 7 |  Huracan | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 17:13 | +4 | 22 | WLLLL |
| 8 | Racing Club | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 17:15 | +2 | 21 | LWLDL |
| 9 | Barracas Central | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 15:15 | 0 | 21 | WDWDW |
| 10 | Tigre | 16 | 4 | 8 | 4 | 18:15 | +3 | 20 | WWLDL |
| 11 |  Sarmiento Junin | 16 | 6 | 1 | 9 | 13:20 | -7 | 19 | LLLDD |
| 12 |  Banfield | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 17:19 | -2 | 18 | DLDLW |
| 13 |  Atletico Tucuman | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 15:20 | -5 | 14 | DLWLD |
| 14 | Aldosivi | 16 | 0 | 8 | 8 | 6:19 | -13 | 8 | LLWLL |
| 15 |  Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto | 16 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 5:24 | -19 | 5 | LLLWL |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Independ. Rivadavia | 16 | 29:15 | 34 |
| 2 | River Plate | 16 | 22:12 | 29 |
| 3 | Argentinos JRS | 16 | 17:13 | 29 |
| 4 | Rosario Central | 16 | 20:16 | 28 |
| 5 | Belgrano Cordoba | 16 | 17:13 | 26 |
| 6 | Gimnasia L.P. | 16 | 19:19 | 26 |
| 7 | Huracan | 16 | 17:13 | 22 |
| 8 | Racing Club | 16 | 17:15 | 21 |
| 9 | Barracas Central | 16 | 15:15 | 21 |
| 10 | Tigre | 16 | 18:15 | 20 |
| 11 | Sarmiento Junin | 16 | 13:20 | 19 |
| 12 | Banfield | 16 | 17:19 | 18 |
| 13 | Atletico Tucuman | 16 | 15:20 | 14 |
| 14 | Aldosivi | 16 | 6:19 | 8 |
| 15 | Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto | 16 | 5:24 | 5 |
Clausura - Group B
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rosario Central | 16 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 26:12 | +14 | 34 | WWWWW |
| 2 | Argentinos JRS | 16 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 20:14 | +6 | 31 | LWWWD |
| 3 | Gimnasia L.P. | 16 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 25:20 | +5 | 31 | WWWWD |
| 4 | River Plate | 16 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 21:14 | +7 | 26 | WLWWD |
| 5 | Barracas Central | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 17:13 | +4 | 26 | WDWDW |
| 6 | Belgrano Cordoba | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 17:15 | +2 | 23 | LDLLW |
| 7 | Independ. Rivadavia | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 21:24 | -3 | 23 | DWLDL |
| 8 | Huracan | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 14:16 | -2 | 22 | WLLLL |
| 9 | Sarmiento Junin | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 23:24 | -1 | 21 | LLLDD |
| 10 | Tigre | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 16:16 | 0 | 19 | WWLDL |
| 11 | Atletico Tucuman | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 16:17 | -1 | 18 | DLWLD |
| 12 | Banfield | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 18:25 | -7 | 15 | DLDLW |
| 13 | Racing Club | 16 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 16:24 | -8 | 15 | LWLDL |
| 14 | Aldosivi | 16 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 16:26 | -10 | 11 | LLWLL |
| 15 | Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto | 16 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 10:23 | -13 | 9 | LLLWL |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rosario Central | 16 | 26:12 | 34 |
| 2 | Argentinos JRS | 16 | 20:14 | 31 |
| 3 | Gimnasia L.P. | 16 | 25:20 | 31 |
| 4 | River Plate | 16 | 21:14 | 26 |
| 5 | Barracas Central | 16 | 17:13 | 26 |
| 6 | Belgrano Cordoba | 16 | 17:15 | 23 |
| 7 | Independ. Rivadavia | 16 | 21:24 | 23 |
| 8 | Huracan | 16 | 14:16 | 22 |
| 9 | Sarmiento Junin | 16 | 23:24 | 21 |
| 10 | Tigre | 16 | 16:16 | 19 |
| 11 | Atletico Tucuman | 16 | 16:17 | 18 |
| 12 | Banfield | 16 | 18:25 | 15 |
| 13 | Racing Club | 16 | 16:24 | 15 |
| 14 | Aldosivi | 16 | 16:26 | 11 |
| 15 | Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto | 16 | 10:23 | 9 |
Liga Profesional Argentina
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Boca Juniors | 32 | 17 | 12 | 3 | 46:23 | +23 | 63 | WWWWD |
| 2 | Rosario Central | 32 | 18 | 8 | 6 | 46:28 | +18 | 62 | WWWWW |
| 3 | Argentinos JRS | 32 | 17 | 9 | 6 | 37:27 | +10 | 60 | LWWWD |
| 4 | Independ. Rivadavia | 32 | 16 | 9 | 7 | 50:39 | +11 | 57 | DWLDL |
| 5 | Gimnasia L.P. | 32 | 17 | 6 | 9 | 44:39 | +5 | 57 | WWWWD |
| 6 |  Velez Sarsfield | 32 | 14 | 14 | 4 | 43:29 | +14 | 56 | LDWWL |
| 7 | River Plate | 32 | 17 | 4 | 11 | 43:26 | +17 | 55 | WLWWD |
| 8 |  Instituto Cordoba | 32 | 16 | 7 | 9 | 43:32 | +11 | 55 | DDWWD |
| 9 |  Lanus | 32 | 13 | 11 | 8 | 37:27 | +10 | 50 | DDDWW |
| 10 | Belgrano Cordoba | 32 | 13 | 10 | 9 | 34:28 | +6 | 49 | LDLLW |
| 11 | Estudiantes L.P. | 32 | 13 | 8 | 11 | 40:29 | +11 | 47 | DDLLD |
| 12 | Barracas Central | 32 | 12 | 11 | 9 | 32:28 | +4 | 47 | WDWDW |
| 13 | Independiente | 32 | 12 | 11 | 9 | 39:36 | +3 | 47 | WDLDD |
| 14 |  Defensa Y Justicia | 32 | 12 | 11 | 9 | 39:36 | +3 | 47 | LDWLW |
| 15 | Huracan | 32 | 11 | 11 | 10 | 31:29 | +2 | 44 | WLLLL |
| 16 |  Union Santa Fe | 32 | 11 | 9 | 12 | 48:44 | +4 | 42 | WDWDL |
| 17 |  Gimnasia M. | 32 | 11 | 8 | 13 | 32:39 | -7 | 41 | DDLLW |
| 18 | San Lorenzo | 32 | 10 | 11 | 11 | 23:30 | -7 | 41 | LDDWW |
| 19 | Sarmiento Junin | 32 | 12 | 4 | 16 | 36:44 | -8 | 40 | LLLDD |
| 20 | Tigre | 32 | 9 | 12 | 11 | 34:31 | +3 | 39 | WWLDL |
| 21 |  Talleres Cordoba | 32 | 10 | 9 | 13 | 34:36 | -2 | 39 | DWLLD |
| 22 |  Newells Old Boys | 32 | 8 | 14 | 10 | 31:40 | -9 | 38 | DDDWL |
| 23 | Racing Club | 32 | 9 | 9 | 14 | 33:39 | -6 | 36 | LWLDL |
| 24 |  Platense | 32 | 8 | 12 | 12 | 28:35 | -7 | 36 | WWWLD |
| 25 | Banfield | 32 | 8 | 9 | 15 | 35:44 | -9 | 33 | DLDLW |
| 26 | Atletico Tucuman | 32 | 7 | 11 | 14 | 31:37 | -6 | 32 | DLWLD |
| 27 |  Central Cordoba de Santiago | 32 | 6 | 9 | 17 | 23:47 | -24 | 27 | DLLLD |
| 28 |  Deportivo Riestra | 32 | 3 | 14 | 15 | 16:31 | -15 | 23 | LLLDL |
| 29 | Aldosivi | 32 | 3 | 10 | 19 | 22:45 | -23 | 19 | LLWLL |
| 30 | Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto | 32 | 3 | 5 | 24 | 15:47 | -32 | 14 | LLLWL |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Boca Juniors | 32 | 46:23 | 63 |
| 2 | Rosario Central | 32 | 46:28 | 62 |
| 3 | Argentinos JRS | 32 | 37:27 | 60 |
| 4 | Independ. Rivadavia | 32 | 50:39 | 57 |
| 5 | Gimnasia L.P. | 32 | 44:39 | 57 |
| 6 | Velez Sarsfield | 32 | 43:29 | 56 |
| 7 | River Plate | 32 | 43:26 | 55 |
| 8 | Instituto Cordoba | 32 | 43:32 | 55 |
| 9 | Lanus | 32 | 37:27 | 50 |
| 10 | Belgrano Cordoba | 32 | 34:28 | 49 |
| 11 | Estudiantes L.P. | 32 | 40:29 | 47 |
| 12 | Barracas Central | 32 | 32:28 | 47 |
| 13 | Independiente | 32 | 39:36 | 47 |
| 14 | Defensa Y Justicia | 32 | 39:36 | 47 |
| 15 | Huracan | 32 | 31:29 | 44 |
| 16 | Union Santa Fe | 32 | 48:44 | 42 |
| 17 | Gimnasia M. | 32 | 32:39 | 41 |
| 18 | San Lorenzo | 32 | 23:30 | 41 |
| 19 | Sarmiento Junin | 32 | 36:44 | 40 |
| 20 | Tigre | 32 | 34:31 | 39 |
| 21 | Talleres Cordoba | 32 | 34:36 | 39 |
| 22 | Newells Old Boys | 32 | 31:40 | 38 |
| 23 | Racing Club | 32 | 33:39 | 36 |
| 24 | Platense | 32 | 28:35 | 36 |
| 25 | Banfield | 32 | 35:44 | 33 |
| 26 | Atletico Tucuman | 32 | 31:37 | 32 |
| 27 | Central Cordoba de Santiago | 32 | 23:47 | 27 |
| 28 | Deportivo Riestra | 32 | 16:31 | 23 |
| 29 | Aldosivi | 32 | 22:45 | 19 |
| 30 | Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto | 32 | 15:47 | 14 |
Relegation
Explore more predictions
This match
More Liga Profesional Argentina matches
- Racing Club vs Tigre 02/08/26
- Aldosivi vs Gimnasia L.P. 02/08/26
- Deportivo Riestra vs Barracas Central 02/08/26
- Newells Old Boys vs Boca Juniors 02/08/26
- Lanus vs Instituto Cordoba 03/08/26
- Sarmiento Junin vs Independ. Rivadavia 03/08/26
- Platense vs Talleres Cordoba 04/08/26
- Velez Sarsfield vs Independiente 04/08/26
About the River Plate vs Rosario Central forecast
The forecasts for this Liga Profesional Argentina match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage is the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% means strong statistical confidence; 45-65% points to a competitive, open match; below 45% means the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for information and entertainment only.
River Plate and Rosario Central in the Liga Profesional Argentina table
This is a meeting of two top-four sides: River Plate are 2nd in the Liga Profesional Argentina, 1 point ahead of Rosario Central in 4th. League goal record so far: River Plate 22-12, Rosario Central 20-16. The full standings are on the Liga Profesional Argentina Table 2026 page.
Key Factors for This Match
This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.