Newells Old Boys vs Boca Juniors Prediction

Estadio Marcelo Bielsa, Rosario·Andres Merlos, Argentina 02/08/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
Value Analysis
71%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 1.5 Goals
1.50
SignalGOODModel48%SurpriseMediumGap+8.6%
Newells Old Boys Rest
2 days
Boca Juniors Rest
2 days

Newells Old Boys vs Boca Juniors: result, form and history

Newells Old Boys and Boca Juniors drew 2-2 in the Liga Profesional Argentina on 2 Aug 2026. Boca Juniors had gone in with the better form, having won 4 of their previous five against 2 for Newells Old Boys.

Boca Juniors have had the better of this fixture, winning 5 of the 8 previous meetings, which averaged 2.0 goals a game. Referee Andres Merlos averages 4.38 cards a game, 0.92 fewer than other referees in the same competitions.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
27%4.30
X
25%3.15
2
48%1.94
Double Chance
1X
52%1.81
X2
73%1.20
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%2.16
No
47%1.62
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.19 + 1.16 = 2.35
Over 1.5
70%1.50
Over 2.5
47%2.55
Over 3.5
25%5.00
Under 1.5
30%2.52
Under 2.5
53%1.48
Under 3.5
75%1.15
Corners
Projected Corners: 3.3 + 5.1 = 8.4
Over 8.5
53%1.70
Over 9.5
38%2.13
Over 10.5
29%2.77
Under 8.5
47%2.03
Under 9.5
62%1.66
Under 10.5
71%1.35
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.3 + 2 = 4.2
Over 3.5
59%1.41
Over 4.5
35%1.80
Under 3.5
41%2.55
Under 4.5
65%1.91

Match Events

30'S. AscacibarAssist: S. Villa
43'L. GiannettiFoul
45+1'A. CostaFoul
50'M. CoccaroAssist: F. Guch
53'L. RegiardoFoul
59'L. RegiardoAssist: T. Rios
63'Miguel Merentiel INM. Gimenez out
66'M. Coccaro INI. Ramirez out
68'L. ParedesUnsportsmanlike conduct
75'S. Villa INA. Velasco out
75'D. Gorosito INL. Lozano out
80'A. VelascoFoul
81'A. VelascoAssist: T. Aranda
84'D. Sotelo INL. Gomez out
90+3'F. Escobar INB. Cabrera out
90+3'F. Guch INV. Acuna out
90+3'T. Rios INB. Benedetto out

Lineups

Newells Old Boys
4-2-3-1Coach: Lucas Bernardi
Boca Juniors
4-2-3-1Coach: Rodolfo Arruabarrena
Avg rating6.68
Avg rating6.81
Josué Reinatti6.530J. Reinatti
Franco Escobar6.724F. Escobar
Nicolás Goitea6.723N. Goitea
Lautaro Giannetti6.517L. Giannetti
Jeronimo Russo6.528J. Russo
David Sotelo6.38D. Sotelo
Luca RegiardoC7.65L. Regiardo
Walter Mazzantti6.07W. Mazzantti
Facundo Guch7.320F. Guch
Lautaro Rios6.939L. Rios
Matías Cóccaro6.99M. Cóccaro
Álvaro Montero6.71Á. Montero
Dylan Gorosito6.224D. Gorosito
Lautaro Di Lollo7.32L. Di Lollo
Ayrton Costa6.232A. Costa
Lautaro Blanco7.23L. Blanco
Leandro ParedesC7.35L. Paredes
Santiago Ascacíbar7.225S. Ascacíbar
Leonel Flores7.519L. Flores
Tomás Aranda6.310T. Aranda
Sebastián Villa7.322S. Villa
Miguel Merentiel5.616M. Merentiel

Newells Old Boys Substitutes

99Juan Ignacio Ramírez66'for M. Coccaro6.3
21Gabriel Arias
25Bruno Cabrera90+3'for F. Escobar
2Ian Glavinovich
3Martín Luciano
10Valentino Acuña90+3'for F. Guch
18Mateo García
35Blas Benedetto90+3'for T. Rios
29Marcelo Esponda
15Alan Soñora
27Lucas Gómez84'for D. Sotelo6.7
36Francisco Scarpeccio

Boca Juniors Substitutes

9Milton Giménez63'for Miguel Merentiel6.2
12Leandro Brey
26Marco Pellegrino
27Malcom Braida
17Leandro Lozano75'for D. Gorosito6.7
4Nicolás Figal
15Williams Alarcón
21Kevin Zenón
23Camilo Rey Domenech
20Alan Velasco75'for S. Villa80'81'7.7
18Milton Delgado
11Ángel Romero

Match Stats

Newells Old BoysBoca Juniors
40%Ball Possession60%
5Corner Kicks7
2Yellow Cards3
9Total Shots16
2Shots on Goal4
2Shots off Goal9
3Shots Inside Box10
6Shots Outside Box6
5Blocked Shots3
12Fouls11
1Offsides0
2Goalkeeper Saves0
273Total Passes403
209Passes Accurate348
77%Pass Accuracy86%

Team Comparison

Newells Old BoysNewells Old Boys
Boca JuniorsBoca Juniors
1628Elo Rating 1837
0.66Attack 1.41
2.37Defense 2.50
19%Hit Rate 86%
11.3Shots per Game 12.7
3.4Shots on Target 4.2
5.2Corners per Game 6.5
2.7Cards per Game 3.5

AI Insights

📉Home Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

Newells Old BoysNewells Old Boys
  • Tied at half-time in 80% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.5 vs 0.2 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half and can tire late
Boca JuniorsBoca Juniors
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches

Head to Head

Last 8 meetings, all competitions

Newells Old BoysNewells Old Boys2Wins · 25%
Draws113%
Boca JuniorsBoca Juniors5Wins · 62%
2.0Avg Goals
13%Both teams scored1 of 8
25%3+ goals2 of 8

Previous meetings

Liga Profesional Argentina01/02/2026
Boca JuniorsNewells Old Boys
20
Liga Profesional Argentina06/10/2025
Boca JuniorsNewells Old Boys
50
Liga Profesional Argentina31/03/2025
Newells Old BoysBoca Juniors
20
Liga Profesional Argentina09/12/2024
Newells Old BoysBoca Juniors
01
Liga Profesional Argentina25/07/2023
Boca JuniorsNewells Old Boys
21
Liga Profesional Argentina16/10/2022
Newells Old BoysBoca Juniors
20
Liga Profesional Argentina30/11/2021
Boca JuniorsNewells Old Boys
00
Liga Profesional Argentina22/02/2021
Newells Old BoysBoca Juniors
01

Recent Form

Newells Old BoysNewells Old Boys
4W3D3L
31/07/2026
IndependienteNewells Old Boys
10
L
25/07/2026
Newells Old BoysTalleres Cordoba
10
W
05/05/2026
Velez SarsfieldNewells Old Boys
11
D
26/04/2026
Newells Old BoysInstituto Cordoba
11
D
18/04/2026
Union Santa FeNewells Old Boys
23
W
12/04/2026
Newells Old BoysSan Lorenzo
00
D
06/04/2026
Central Cordoba de SantiagoNewells Old Boys
13
W
30/03/2026
Newells Old BoysAcassuso
02
L
21/03/2026
Newells Old BoysGimnasia M.
10
W
17/03/2026
LanusNewells Old Boys
50
L
Boca JuniorsBoca Juniors
5W1D4L
31/07/2026
O'HigginsBoca Juniors
3140
W
27/07/2026
Deportivo RiestraBoca Juniors
30
L
24/07/2026
Boca JuniorsO'Higgins
10
W
17/07/2026
Sarmiento JuninBoca Juniors
02
W
09/07/2026
Boca JuniorsAtletico Paranaense
10
W
29/05/2026
Boca JuniorsU. Catolica
01
L
20/05/2026
Boca JuniorsCruzeiro
11
D
10/05/2026
Boca JuniorsHuracan
2131
L
06/05/2026
Barcelona SCBoca Juniors
10
L
02/05/2026
Central Cordoba de SantiagoBoca Juniors
12
W

Referee Profile

Andres Merlos195 matches

4.38Cards per match
4.10Yellow cards per match
0.28Red cards per match
22.6Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Andres Merlos4.38
Other referees5.30

4.38 cards a match, 0.92 fewer than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (5.30).

Cards come from 176 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Liga Profesional Argentina 2026

Apertura - Group A

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Estudiantes L.P.Estudiantes L.P.1694319:7+1231DDLLD
2Boca JuniorsBoca Juniors1686222:9+1330WWWWD
3Velez SarsfieldVelez Sarsfield1677218:12+628LDWWL
4Talleres CordobaTalleres Cordoba1675417:13+426DWLLD
5IndependienteIndependiente1666424:20+424WDLDD
6LanusLanus1666418:15+324DDDWW
7San LorenzoSan Lorenzo1657414:14022LDDWW
8Union Santa FeUnion Santa Fe1656524:20+421WDWDL
9Instituto CordobaInstituto Cordoba1663717:17021DDWWD
10Defensa Y JusticiaDefensa Y Justicia1647518:21-319LDWLW
11Gimnasia M.Gimnasia M.1654714:22-819DDLLW
12PlatensePlatense1637610:15-516WWWLD
13Central Cordoba de SantiagoCentral Cordoba de Santiago1644811:21-1016DLLLD
14Newells Old BoysNewells Old Boys1636715:27-1215DDDWL
15Deportivo RiestraDeportivo Riestra161875:12-711LLLDL
#TeamMPGPts
1Estudiantes L.P.Estudiantes L.P.1619:731
2Boca JuniorsBoca Juniors1622:930
3Velez SarsfieldVelez Sarsfield1618:1228
4Talleres CordobaTalleres Cordoba1617:1326
5IndependienteIndependiente1624:2024
6LanusLanus1618:1524
7San LorenzoSan Lorenzo1614:1422
8Union Santa FeUnion Santa Fe1624:2021
9Instituto CordobaInstituto Cordoba1617:1721
10Defensa Y JusticiaDefensa Y Justicia1618:2119
11Gimnasia M.Gimnasia M.1614:2219
12PlatensePlatense1610:1516
13Central Cordoba de SantiagoCentral Cordoba de Santiago1611:2116
14Newells Old BoysNewells Old Boys1615:2715
15Deportivo RiestraDeportivo Riestra165:1211

Clausura - Group A

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Instituto CordobaInstituto Cordoba16104226:15+1134DDWWD
2Boca JuniorsBoca Juniors1696124:14+1033WWWWD
3Velez SarsfieldVelez Sarsfield1677225:17+828LDWWL
4Defensa Y JusticiaDefensa Y Justicia1684421:15+628LDWLW
5LanusLanus1675419:12+726DDDWW
6Newells Old BoysNewells Old Boys1658316:13+323DDDWL
7IndependienteIndependiente1665515:16-123WDLDD
8Gimnasia M.Gimnasia M.1664618:17+122DDLLW
9Union Santa FeUnion Santa Fe1663724:24021WDWDL
10PlatensePlatense1655618:20-220WWWLD
11San LorenzoSan Lorenzo165479:16-719LDDWW
12Estudiantes L.P.Estudiantes L.P.1644821:22-116DDLLD
13Talleres CordobaTalleres Cordoba1634917:23-613DWLLD
14Deportivo RiestraDeportivo Riestra1626811:19-812LLLDL
15Central Cordoba de SantiagoCentral Cordoba de Santiago1625912:26-1411DLLLD
#TeamMPGPts
1Instituto CordobaInstituto Cordoba1626:1534
2Boca JuniorsBoca Juniors1624:1433
3Velez SarsfieldVelez Sarsfield1625:1728
4Defensa Y JusticiaDefensa Y Justicia1621:1528
5LanusLanus1619:1226
6Newells Old BoysNewells Old Boys1616:1323
7IndependienteIndependiente1615:1623
8Gimnasia M.Gimnasia M.1618:1722
9Union Santa FeUnion Santa Fe1624:2421
10PlatensePlatense1618:2020
11San LorenzoSan Lorenzo169:1619
12Estudiantes L.P.Estudiantes L.P.1621:2216
13Talleres CordobaTalleres Cordoba1617:2313
14Deportivo RiestraDeportivo Riestra1611:1912
15Central Cordoba de SantiagoCentral Cordoba de Santiago1612:2611

Liga Profesional Argentina

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Boca JuniorsBoca Juniors321712346:23+2363WWWWD
2Rosario CentralRosario Central32188646:28+1862WWWWW
3Argentinos JRSArgentinos JRS32179637:27+1060LWWWD
4Independ. RivadaviaIndepend. Rivadavia32169750:39+1157DWLDL
5Gimnasia L.P.Gimnasia L.P.32176944:39+557WWWWD
6Velez SarsfieldVelez Sarsfield321414443:29+1456LDWWL
7River PlateRiver Plate321741143:26+1755WLWWD
8Instituto CordobaInstituto Cordoba32167943:32+1155DDWWD
9LanusLanus321311837:27+1050DDDWW
10Belgrano CordobaBelgrano Cordoba321310934:28+649LDLLW
11Estudiantes L.P.Estudiantes L.P.321381140:29+1147DDLLD
12Barracas CentralBarracas Central321211932:28+447WDWDW
13IndependienteIndependiente321211939:36+347WDLDD
14Defensa Y JusticiaDefensa Y Justicia321211939:36+347LDWLW
15HuracanHuracan3211111031:29+244WLLLL
16Union Santa FeUnion Santa Fe321191248:44+442WDWDL
17Gimnasia M.Gimnasia M.321181332:39-741DDLLW
18San LorenzoSan Lorenzo3210111123:30-741LDDWW
19Sarmiento JuninSarmiento Junin321241636:44-840LLLDD
20TigreTigre329121134:31+339WWLDL
21Talleres CordobaTalleres Cordoba321091334:36-239DWLLD
22Newells Old BoysNewells Old Boys328141031:40-938DDDWL
23Racing ClubRacing Club32991433:39-636LWLDL
24PlatensePlatense328121228:35-736WWWLD
25BanfieldBanfield32891535:44-933DLDLW
26Atletico TucumanAtletico Tucuman327111431:37-632DLWLD
27Central Cordoba de SantiagoCentral Cordoba de Santiago32691723:47-2427DLLLD
28Deportivo RiestraDeportivo Riestra323141516:31-1523LLLDL
29AldosiviAldosivi323101922:45-2319LLWLL
30Estudiantes de Rio CuartoEstudiantes de Rio Cuarto32352415:47-3214LLLWL
#TeamMPGPts
1Boca JuniorsBoca Juniors3246:2363
2Rosario CentralRosario Central3246:2862
3Argentinos JRSArgentinos JRS3237:2760
4Independ. RivadaviaIndepend. Rivadavia3250:3957
5Gimnasia L.P.Gimnasia L.P.3244:3957
6Velez SarsfieldVelez Sarsfield3243:2956
7River PlateRiver Plate3243:2655
8Instituto CordobaInstituto Cordoba3243:3255
9LanusLanus3237:2750
10Belgrano CordobaBelgrano Cordoba3234:2849
11Estudiantes L.P.Estudiantes L.P.3240:2947
12Barracas CentralBarracas Central3232:2847
13IndependienteIndependiente3239:3647
14Defensa Y JusticiaDefensa Y Justicia3239:3647
15HuracanHuracan3231:2944
16Union Santa FeUnion Santa Fe3248:4442
17Gimnasia M.Gimnasia M.3232:3941
18San LorenzoSan Lorenzo3223:3041
19Sarmiento JuninSarmiento Junin3236:4440
20TigreTigre3234:3139
21Talleres CordobaTalleres Cordoba3234:3639
22Newells Old BoysNewells Old Boys3231:4038
23Racing ClubRacing Club3233:3936
24PlatensePlatense3228:3536
25BanfieldBanfield3235:4433
26Atletico TucumanAtletico Tucuman3231:3732
27Central Cordoba de SantiagoCentral Cordoba de Santiago3223:4727
28Deportivo RiestraDeportivo Riestra3216:3123
29AldosiviAldosivi3222:4519
30Estudiantes de Rio CuartoEstudiantes de Rio Cuarto3215:4714
Relegation

About the Newells Old Boys vs Boca Juniors forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage is the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% means strong statistical confidence; 45-65% points to a competitive, open match; below 45% means the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for information and entertainment only.

Newells Old Boys and Boca Juniors in the Liga Profesional Argentina table

The table shows a wide gap: Boca Juniors are 2nd in the Liga Profesional Argentina, while Newells Old Boys sit 14th, 15 points behind. League goal record so far: Newells Old Boys 15-27, Boca Juniors 22-9. The full standings are on the Liga Profesional Argentina Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.