Newells Old Boys vs Boca Juniors Prediction
Argentina · Clausura - 3
Estadio Marcelo Bielsa, Rosario· Andres Merlos, Argentina 02/08/2026
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
Value Analysis
71%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 1.5 Goals
1.50SignalGOODModel48%RiskMediumGap+8.6%
Newells Old Boys Rest
2 days
Boca Juniors Rest
2 days
Match Forecasts
Match Result
127%4.30
X25%3.15
248%1.94
Double Chance
1X52%1.81
X273%1.20
Both Teams to Score
Yes53%2.16
No47%1.62
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.19 + 1.16 = 2.35
Over 1.570%1.50
Over 2.547%2.55
Over 3.525%5.00
Under 1.530%2.52
Under 2.553%1.48
Under 3.575%1.15
Corners
Projected Corners: 3.3 + 5.1 = 8.4
Over 8.553%1.70
Over 9.538%2.13
Over 10.529%2.77
Under 8.547%2.03
Under 9.562%1.66
Under 10.571%1.35
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.3 + 2 = 4.2
Over 3.559%1.41
Over 4.535%1.80
Under 3.541%2.55
Under 4.565%1.91
Match Events
30'S. AscacibarAssist: S. Villa
43'L. GiannettiFoul
45+1'A. CostaFoul
50'M. CoccaroAssist: F. Guch
53'L. RegiardoFoul
59'L. RegiardoAssist: T. Rios
63'Miguel Merentiel INM. Gimenez out
66'M. Coccaro INI. Ramirez out
68'L. ParedesUnsportsmanlike conduct
75'S. Villa INA. Velasco out
75'D. Gorosito INL. Lozano out
80'A. VelascoFoul
81'A. VelascoAssist: T. Aranda
84'D. Sotelo INL. Gomez out
90+3'F. Escobar INB. Cabrera out
90+3'F. Guch INV. Acuna out
90+3'T. Rios INB. Benedetto out
Lineups
Newells Old BoysBoca Juniors
4-2-3-1Coach: Rodolfo Arruabarrena
30J. ReinattiJosué Reinatti
24F. EscobarFranco Escobar
23N. GoiteaNicolás Goitea
17L. GiannettiLautaro Giannetti
28J. RussoJeronimo Russo
8D. SoteloDavid Sotelo
5L. RegiardoLuca Regiardo
7W. MazzanttiWalter Mazzantti
20F. GuchFacundo Guch
39L. RiosLautaro Rios
9M. CóccaroMatías Cóccaro
1Á. MonteroÁlvaro Montero
24D. GorositoDylan Gorosito
2L. Di LolloLautaro Di Lollo
32A. CostaAyrton Costa
3L. BlancoLautaro Blanco
5L. ParedesLeandro Paredes
25S. AscacíbarSantiago Ascacíbar
19L. FloresLeonel Flores
10T. ArandaTomás Aranda
22S. VillaSebastián Villa
16M. MerentielMiguel MerentielNewells Old Boys Substitutes
99Juan Ignacio RamírezF
21Gabriel AriasG
25Bruno CabreraD
2Ian GlavinovichD
3Martín LucianoD
10Valentino AcuñaM
18Mateo GarcíaF
35Blas BenedettoM
29Marcelo EspondaM
15Alan SoñoraM
27Lucas GómezM
36Francisco ScarpeccioF
Boca Juniors Substitutes
9Milton GiménezF
12Leandro BreyG
26Marco PellegrinoD
27Malcom BraidaM
17Leandro LozanoD
4Nicolás FigalD
15Williams AlarcónM
21Kevin ZenónM
23Camilo Rey DomenechM
20Alan VelascoM
18Milton DelgadoM
11Ángel RomeroF
Match Stats
Newells Old BoysBoca Juniors 40%Ball Possession60%
5Corner Kicks7
2Yellow Cards3
9Total Shots16
2Shots on Goal4
2Shots off Goal9
3Shots Inside Box10
6Shots Outside Box6
5Blocked Shots3
12Fouls11
1Offsides0
2Goalkeeper Saves0
270Total Passes394
208Passes Accurate341
77%Pass Accuracy87%
Team Comparison
Newells Old BoysBoca Juniors1617Elo Rating 1771
1.11Attack 1.57
2.34Defense 2.34
31%Hit Rate 64%
8.3Shots per Game 10.1
3.5Shots on Target 3.9
3.6Corners per Game 4.0
1.8Cards per Game 2.3
Game State Tendencies
Newells Old Boys- Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
- Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
- Scores more in 2nd half (1.1 vs 0 in first half)
- Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
Boca Juniors- Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
- Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.9 vs 0.6 in second half)
- Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Head to Head
Based on 5 historical meetings
Newells Old Boys 19%Draw 0%81% Boca Juniors
2.66Avg Goals
14%BTTS Rate
37%Over 2.5
Recent Form
Newells Old Boys2W2D1L
31/07/2026
IndependienteNewells Old BoysNewells Old Boys
Talleres Cordoba
IndependienteNewells Old Boys10
L25/07/2026Newells Old BoysTalleres Cordoba10
W05/05/2026
Velez SarsfieldNewells Old Boys
Velez SarsfieldNewells Old Boys11
D26/04/2026Newells Old Boys
Instituto Cordoba
Newells Old BoysInstituto Cordoba11
D18/04/2026
Union Santa FeNewells Old Boys
Union Santa FeNewells Old Boys23
WBoca Juniors4W0D1L
31/07/2026
O'HigginsBoca Juniors
Deportivo RiestraBoca JuniorsBoca JuniorsO'Higgins
O'HigginsBoca Juniors3140
W27/07/2026Deportivo RiestraBoca Juniors30
L24/07/2026Boca JuniorsO'Higgins10
W17/07/2026
Sarmiento JuninBoca Juniors
Sarmiento JuninBoca Juniors02
W09/07/2026Boca Juniors
Atletico Paranaense
Boca JuniorsAtletico Paranaense10
WReferee Profile
Andres Merlos, Argentina · 39 matches analysed
4.9Avg Yellows
5.2Avg Cards
22.6Avg Fouls
Stricter than 82% of referees analysed
League Table
Apertura - Group A
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Estudiantes L.P. | 16 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 19:7 | +12 | 31 | LLWWD |
| 2 | Boca Juniors | 16 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 22:9 | +13 | 30 | DWDDD |
| 3 | Velez Sarsfield | 16 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 18:12 | +6 | 28 | DWDWD |
| 4 | Talleres Cordoba | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 17:13 | +4 | 26 | WDLWW |
| 5 | Independiente | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 24:20 | +4 | 24 | DWDLW |
| 6 |  Lanus | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 18:15 | +3 | 24 | WWLDL |
| 7 |  San Lorenzo | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 14:14 | 0 | 22 | DDDWD |
| 8 | Union Santa Fe | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 24:20 | +4 | 21 | DWWWD |
| 9 | Instituto Cordoba | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 17:17 | 0 | 21 | LLDWW |
| 10 |  Defensa Y Justicia | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 18:21 | -3 | 19 | WDDDD |
| 11 |  Gimnasia M. | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 14:22 | -8 | 19 | DDDLL |
| 12 |  Platense | 16 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 10:15 | -5 | 16 | DDDWD |
| 13 |  Central Cordoba de Santiago | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 11:21 | -10 | 16 | WDLWD |
| 14 | Newells Old Boys | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 15:27 | -12 | 15 | DLLLD |
| 15 | Deportivo Riestra | 16 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 5:12 | -7 | 11 | DDDDD |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Estudiantes L.P. | 16 | 19:7 | 31 |
| 2 | Boca Juniors | 16 | 22:9 | 30 |
| 3 | Velez Sarsfield | 16 | 18:12 | 28 |
| 4 | Talleres Cordoba | 16 | 17:13 | 26 |
| 5 | Independiente | 16 | 24:20 | 24 |
| 6 | Lanus | 16 | 18:15 | 24 |
| 7 | San Lorenzo | 16 | 14:14 | 22 |
| 8 | Union Santa Fe | 16 | 24:20 | 21 |
| 9 | Instituto Cordoba | 16 | 17:17 | 21 |
| 10 | Defensa Y Justicia | 16 | 18:21 | 19 |
| 11 | Gimnasia M. | 16 | 14:22 | 19 |
| 12 | Platense | 16 | 10:15 | 16 |
| 13 | Central Cordoba de Santiago | 16 | 11:21 | 16 |
| 14 | Newells Old Boys | 16 | 15:27 | 15 |
| 15 | Deportivo Riestra | 16 | 5:12 | 11 |
Clausura - Group A
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Instituto Cordoba | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 10:6 | +4 | 19 | LLDWW |
| 2 | Defensa Y Justicia | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 13:11 | +2 | 18 | WDDDD |
| 3 | Velez Sarsfield | 9 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 12:7 | +5 | 17 | DWDWD |
| 4 | Gimnasia M. | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 14:9 | +5 | 16 | DDDLL |
| 5 | Boca Juniors | 9 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 12:11 | +1 | 14 | DWDDD |
| 6 | Independiente | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 8:7 | +1 | 14 | DWDLW |
| 7 | Lanus | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 11:8 | +3 | 13 | WWLDL |
| 8 | Union Santa Fe | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 16:14 | +2 | 13 | DWWWD |
| 9 | Newells Old Boys | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 10:8 | +2 | 13 | DLLLD |
| 10 | San Lorenzo | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 4:6 | -2 | 11 | DDDWD |
| 11 | Estudiantes L.P. | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 9:9 | 0 | 10 | LLWWD |
| 12 | Deportivo Riestra | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 8:10 | -2 | 9 | DDDDD |
| 13 | Platense | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 9:14 | -5 | 9 | DDDWD |
| 14 | Talleres Cordoba | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 10:14 | -4 | 8 | WDLWW |
| 15 | Central Cordoba de Santiago | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 7:13 | -6 | 8 | WDLWD |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Instituto Cordoba | 9 | 10:6 | 19 |
| 2 | Defensa Y Justicia | 10 | 13:11 | 18 |
| 3 | Velez Sarsfield | 9 | 12:7 | 17 |
| 4 | Gimnasia M. | 9 | 14:9 | 16 |
| 5 | Boca Juniors | 9 | 12:11 | 14 |
| 6 | Independiente | 9 | 8:7 | 14 |
| 7 | Lanus | 9 | 11:8 | 13 |
| 8 | Union Santa Fe | 9 | 16:14 | 13 |
| 9 | Newells Old Boys | 9 | 10:8 | 13 |
| 10 | San Lorenzo | 9 | 4:6 | 11 |
| 11 | Estudiantes L.P. | 9 | 9:9 | 10 |
| 12 | Deportivo Riestra | 9 | 8:10 | 9 |
| 13 | Platense | 9 | 9:14 | 9 |
| 14 | Talleres Cordoba | 9 | 10:14 | 8 |
| 15 | Central Cordoba de Santiago | 10 | 7:13 | 8 |
Newells Old Boys vs Boca Juniors Prediction
Our AI model has analysed this Liga Profesional Argentina fixture using team Elo ratings, recent form, projected goals and head-to-head history. The forecasts cover six independent markets - each probability is a separate model calculation, not derived from the match winner result.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive or open market; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
About Liga Profesional Argentina
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Key Factors for This Match
Newells Old Boys and Boca Juniors have met 5 times recently, averaging 2.66 goals per game in those meetings. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.