Şamaxı FK vs Safa Baku Prediction

Şamaxı FK
3-2
Finished
HT 0-1
Safa Baku
Shamakhi City Stadium, Shamakhi 16/10/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
3.0 / 10
AI Best Pick
78%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.15
SignalHIGHModel56%SurpriseMediumGap-9.4%
Şamaxı FK Rest
5 days
Safa Baku Rest
4 days

Şamaxı FK vs Safa Baku: the result in context

Şamaxı FK beat Safa Baku 3-2 in the Premyer Liqa on 16 Oct 2026. It was in line with recent form: Şamaxı FK had won 2 of their previous five, compared with none for Safa Baku.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
51%1.75
X
26%3.35
2
23%4.20
Double Chance
1X
77%1.15
X2
49%1.94
Both Teams to Score

Both teams to score forecasts not available for this match

Goals

Goal forecasts not available for this match

Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

5'E. Cafarov
27'F. Yusifli
50'C. Mamengi
52'M. Musayev
56'R. Huseynli(Penalty)
65'Jota
65'E. Adilkhanov INH. Ismayilov out
65'O. Mammadov IND. Dego out
65'A. Shuaibu INT. Akhvlediani out
67'E. Cafarov INLuis Felipe out
67'R. Huseynli INN. Quliyev out
77'F. Yusifli INV. Pop out
77'M. Guel INV. Qanbarov out
81'H. Ismayilov
82'A. Bouali INU. Cahangirov out
90+5'R. Apolinario(Penalty)
90+8'

Team Comparison

Şamaxı FKŞamaxı FK
Safa BakuSafa Baku
1535Elo Rating 1491
2.16Attack 0.73
1.73Defense 0.99
61%Hit Rate 0%

Game State Tendencies

Şamaxı FKŞamaxı FK
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.5 vs 0.7 in first half)
Safa BakuSafa Baku
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.5 vs 0.2 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Recent Form

Şamaxı FKŞamaxı FK
3W4D3L
10/10/2026
ZiraŞamaxı FK
11
D
20/09/2026
Şamaxı FKAraz
21
W
12/09/2026
SumqayıtŞamaxı FK
11
D
04/09/2026
KapazŞamaxı FK
14
W
29/08/2026
QabalaŞamaxı FK
00
D
23/08/2026
TuranŞamaxı FK
00
D
17/08/2026
QarabagŞamaxı FK
31
L
21/05/2026
QabalaŞamaxı FK
31
L
16/05/2026
Şamaxı FKTuran
32
W
10/05/2026
Neftchi BakuŞamaxı FK
30
L
Safa BakuSafa Baku
2W1D7L
11/10/2026
Safa BakuTuran
01
L
18/09/2026
QarabagSafa Baku
10
L
14/09/2026
Safa BakuSabah FA
03
L
05/09/2026
Neftchi BakuSafa Baku
41
L
29/08/2026
Safa BakuImisli FK
01
L
22/08/2026
QabalaSafa Baku
01
W
16/08/2026
ZiraSafa Baku
20
L
22/05/2026
ZaqatalaSafa Baku
21
L
15/05/2026
Safa BakuCəbrayıl
10
W
06/05/2026
Difai AğsuSafa Baku
00
D

League Table

Premyer Liqa 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Sabah FASabah FA862018:1+1720DWDWW
2Neftchi BakuNeftchi Baku953122:9+1318DDDWW
3QarabagQarabag853014:7+718DDWWD
4TuranTuran94328:6+215DLWWD
5ZiraZira943212:12015WDDLD
6KapazKapaz84229:9014WDWDW
7Şamaxı FKŞamaxı FK934213:11+213LWDWD
8Imisli FKImisli FK93159:14-510WWLLL
9SumqayıtSumqayıt822412:13-18LWWDD
10QabalaQabala92165:16-117WLLLL
11Safa BakuSafa Baku91085:17-123LLLLL
12ArazAraz90277:19-122LLLLD
#TeamMPGPts
1Sabah FASabah FA818:120
2Neftchi BakuNeftchi Baku922:918
3QarabagQarabag814:718
4TuranTuran98:615
5ZiraZira912:1215
6KapazKapaz89:914
7Şamaxı FKŞamaxı FK913:1113
8Imisli FKImisli FK99:1410
9SumqayıtSumqayıt812:138
10QabalaQabala95:167
11Safa BakuSafa Baku95:173
12ArazAraz97:192
Champions LeagueConference LeagueRelegation

About the Şamaxı FK vs Safa Baku forecast

The forecasts for this Premyer Liqa match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Şamaxı FK and Safa Baku in the Premyer Liqa table

In the Premyer Liqa table, Şamaxı FK are 7th and Safa Baku 11th, 10 points apart. League goal record so far: Şamaxı FK 13-11, Safa Baku 5-17. The full standings are on the Premyer Liqa Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Şamaxı FK and Safa Baku have little recent head-to-head history for the model to draw on. Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.