Qarabag vs Neftchi Baku Prediction
Azerbaijan · Regular Season - 8
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Qarabag vs Neftchi Baku: result, form and history
Qarabag and Neftchi Baku drew 3-3 in the Premyer Liqa on 17 Oct 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.
Qarabag have had the better of this fixture, winning 9 of the 10 previous meetings, which averaged 3.6 goals a game.
Match Forecasts
Both teams to score forecasts not available for this match
Goal forecasts not available for this match
Corner forecasts not available for this match
Card forecasts not available for this match
Match Events
Team Comparison
Qarabag
Neftchi BakuAI Insights
Game State Tendencies
Qarabag- Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
- Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
- Scores more in 2nd half (1.6 vs 0.4 in first half)
Neftchi Baku- Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
- Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
- Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1.2 vs 0.7 in second half)
Head to Head
Last 10 meetings, all competitions
Qarabag9Wins · 90%1Wins · 10%Previous meetings
30/04/2026Neftchi BakuQarabag26/04/2026Neftchi BakuQarabag09/11/2025QarabagNeftchi Baku19/04/2025QarabagNeftchi Baku16/02/2025Neftchi BakuQarabag01/12/2024Neftchi BakuQarabag20/09/2024QarabagNeftchi Baku04/05/2024QarabagNeftchi Baku
24/04/2024QarabagNeftchi Baku02/04/2024Neftchi BakuQarabagRecent Form
Qarabag
Imisli FKQarabagQarabag
Safa Baku
ZiraQarabagQarabag
Araz
SumqayıtQarabagQarabag
TwenteTwenteQarabagQarabag
Şamaxı FKQarabag
Dynamo KyivDynamo KyivQarabagNeftchi BakuNeftchi Baku
Sabah FA
QabalaNeftchi BakuImisli FKNeftchi BakuNeftchi BakuSafa BakuZiraNeftchi BakuNeftchi BakuArazSumqayıtNeftchi Baku
Dinamo MinskNeftchi BakuNeftchi BakuDinamo Minsk
Radnicki NISNeftchi BakuLeague Table
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sabah FA | 8 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 18:1 | +17 | 20 | DWDWW |
| 2 | Neftchi Baku | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 22:9 | +13 | 18 | DDDWW |
| 3 | Qarabag | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 14:7 | +7 | 18 | DDWWD |
| 4 |  Turan | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 8:6 | +2 | 15 | DLWWD |
| 5 | Zira | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 12:12 | 0 | 15 | WDDLD |
| 6 |  Kapaz | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 9:9 | 0 | 14 | WDWDW |
| 7 | Şamaxı FK | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 13:11 | +2 | 13 | LWDWD |
| 8 | Imisli FK | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 9:14 | -5 | 10 | WWLLL |
| 9 | Sumqayıt | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 12:13 | -1 | 8 | LWWDD |
| 10 | Qabala | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 5:16 | -11 | 7 | WLLLL |
| 11 | Safa Baku | 9 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 5:17 | -12 | 3 | LLLLL |
| 12 | Araz | 9 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 7:19 | -12 | 2 | LLLLD |
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This match
More Premyer Liqa matches
About the Qarabag vs Neftchi Baku forecast
Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
Qarabag and Neftchi Baku in the Premyer Liqa table
In the Premyer Liqa table, Qarabag (3rd) and Neftchi Baku (2nd) are level on 18 points. League goal record so far: Qarabag 14-7, Neftchi Baku 22-9. The full standings are on the Premyer Liqa Table 2026 page.
Key Factors for This Match
Neftchi Baku have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.