Sumqayıt vs Araz Prediction

Sumqayıt
2-1
Finished
HT 0-1
Araz
Mehdi Huseynzade Stadium, Sumqayit 16/10/2026
SumqayıtSumqayıt
2-1
Finished
ArazAraz

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
3.0 / 10
AI Best Pick
71%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.31
SignalGOODModel44%SurpriseMediumGap-5.5%
Sumqayıt Rest
5 days
Araz Rest
7 days

Sumqayıt vs Araz: result, form and history

Sumqayıt beat Araz 2-1 in the Premyer Liqa on 16 Oct 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Meetings between them tend to be tight, with just 1.8 goals a game across 10 matches.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
41%2.19
X
29%3.21
2
30%2.98
Double Chance
1X
70%1.31
X2
59%1.56
Both Teams to Score

Both teams to score forecasts not available for this match

Goals

Goal forecasts not available for this match

Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

21'I. Paro INBruno Franco out
32'A. Fernandez
62'R. Vasquez
65'C. Boli INR. Muradov out
80'A. Fernandez INC. Nuriyev out
82'N. Ahmadzada
84'E. Mustafaev INR. Kehat out
84'Lucas Black
84'A. Salyanskiy
85'A. Salyanskiy
85'A. Salyanskiy
86'R. Vasquez INA. Suleymali out
88'Keffel
90+1'N. Ahmadzada INI. Barker out
90+1'M. Bangre INN. Orucov out
90+4'A. Suleymali

Team Comparison

SumqayıtSumqayıt
ArazAraz
1468Elo Rating 1427
2.08Attack 0.95
1.46Defense 1.00
42%Hit Rate 0%

Game State Tendencies

SumqayıtSumqayıt
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1.2 vs 0.9 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
ArazAraz
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.8 vs 0.1 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

SumqayıtSumqayıt4Wins · 40%
Draws220%
ArazAraz4Wins · 40%
1.8Avg Goals
30%Both teams scored3 of 10
20%3+ goals2 of 10

Previous meetings

Premyer Liqa09/05/2026
SumqayıtAraz
21
Premyer Liqa15/02/2026
ArazSumqayıt
10
Premyer Liqa02/11/2025
SumqayıtAraz
32
Premyer Liqa07/04/2025
ArazSumqayıt
20
Premyer Liqa01/02/2025
SumqayıtAraz
00
Premyer Liqa10/11/2024
ArazSumqayıt
10
Premyer Liqa30/08/2024
SumqayıtAraz
01
Premyer Liqa31/03/2024
SumqayıtAraz
10
Premyer Liqa28/01/2024
ArazSumqayıt
11
Premyer Liqa04/11/2023
SumqayıtAraz
20

Recent Form

SumqayıtSumqayıt
2W2D6L
10/10/2026
SumqayıtQabala
41
W
20/09/2026
KapazSumqayıt
11
D
12/09/2026
SumqayıtŞamaxı FK
11
D
06/09/2026
TuranSumqayıt
21
L
31/08/2026
SumqayıtQarabag
01
L
16/08/2026
SumqayıtNeftchi Baku
13
L
22/05/2026
SumqayıtQarabag
34
L
17/05/2026
ZiraSumqayıt
21
L
09/05/2026
SumqayıtAraz
21
W
02/05/2026
KapazSumqayıt
21
L
ArazAraz
2W2D6L
09/10/2026
ArazKapaz
02
L
20/09/2026
Şamaxı FKAraz
21
L
13/09/2026
ArazTuran
22
D
06/09/2026
QarabagAraz
32
L
31/08/2026
ArazSabah FA
01
L
23/08/2026
Neftchi BakuAraz
50
L
15/08/2026
ArazImisli FK
00
D
23/05/2026
ArazZira
32
W
15/05/2026
ArazKapaz
20
W
09/05/2026
SumqayıtAraz
21
L

League Table

Premyer Liqa 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Sabah FASabah FA862018:1+1720DWDWW
2Neftchi BakuNeftchi Baku953122:9+1318DDDWW
3QarabagQarabag853014:7+718DDWWD
4TuranTuran94328:6+215DLWWD
5ZiraZira943212:12015WDDLD
6KapazKapaz84229:9014WDWDW
7Şamaxı FKŞamaxı FK934213:11+213LWDWD
8Imisli FKImisli FK93159:14-510WWLLL
9SumqayıtSumqayıt822412:13-18LWWDD
10QabalaQabala92165:16-117WLLLL
11Safa BakuSafa Baku91085:17-123LLLLL
12ArazAraz90277:19-122LLLLD
#TeamMPGPts
1Sabah FASabah FA818:120
2Neftchi BakuNeftchi Baku922:918
3QarabagQarabag814:718
4TuranTuran98:615
5ZiraZira912:1215
6KapazKapaz89:914
7Şamaxı FKŞamaxı FK913:1113
8Imisli FKImisli FK99:1410
9SumqayıtSumqayıt812:138
10QabalaQabala95:167
11Safa BakuSafa Baku95:173
12ArazAraz97:192
Champions LeagueConference LeagueRelegation

About the Sumqayıt vs Araz forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Sumqayıt and Araz in the Premyer Liqa table

In the Premyer Liqa table, Sumqayıt are 9th and Araz 12th, 6 points apart. League goal record so far: Sumqayıt 12-13, Araz 7-19. The full standings are on the Premyer Liqa Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Sumqayıt have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.