San Marcos de Arica vs D. Puerto Montt Prediction

Estadio Carlos Dittborn, Arica 18/10/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
3.2 / 10
AI Best Pick
56%Trust
1X2
Home Win
1.60
SignalNEUTRALModel55%SurpriseMediumGap-6.4%
San Marcos de Arica Rest
7 days
D. Puerto Montt Rest
6 days

San Marcos de Arica vs D. Puerto Montt: the result in context

San Marcos de Arica and D. Puerto Montt drew 0-0 in the Primera B on 18 Oct 2026. San Marcos de Arica had gone in with the better form, having won 3 of their previous five against 1 for D. Puerto Montt.

Their 5 previous meetings averaged 2.6 goals, with both teams scoring in 3 of them.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
55%1.60
X
26%3.52
2
19%5.00
Double Chance
1X
81%1.14
X2
45%2.10
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%2.03
No
52%1.67
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.56 + 1.03 = 2.59
Over 1.5
69%1.33
Over 2.5
46%2.10
Over 3.5
27%3.59
Under 1.5
31%2.95
Under 2.5
54%1.66
Under 3.5
73%1.22
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

54'D. Diaz
57'J. Flores
60'L. Vazquez INB. Taiva out
60'D. Diaz INF. Espinoza out
64'A. Maidana INB. Sagredo out
64'A. Barrios INC. Guerra out
76'A. Barboza
77'K. Gonzalez INB. Nieto out
77'J. Flores INJ. Gonzalez out
79'G. Cubillos INR. Campos out
79'I. Orrego IND. Pereira out
79'N. Donadell INA. Abalos out
83'J. Rivera
86'G. Castillo
87'
87'A. Sabella INN. Mancilla out

Team Comparison

San Marcos de AricaSan Marcos de Arica
D. Puerto MonttD. Puerto Montt
1460Elo Rating 1469
1.03Attack 0.81
1.84Defense 1.90
36%Hit Rate 27%

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend60% in H2H

Game State Tendencies

San Marcos de AricaSan Marcos de Arica
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.7 vs 0.3 in second half)
D. Puerto MonttD. Puerto Montt
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 5 meetings, all competitions

San Marcos de AricaSan Marcos de Arica2Wins · 40%
Draws240%
D. Puerto MonttD. Puerto Montt1Wins · 20%
2.6Avg Goals
60%Both teams scored3 of 5
40%3+ goals2 of 5

Previous meetings

Primera B24/05/2026
D. Puerto MonttSan Marcos de Arica
02
Primera B24/09/2023
D. Puerto MonttSan Marcos de Arica
11
Primera B14/05/2023
San Marcos de AricaD. Puerto Montt
20
Primera B23/10/2021
San Marcos de AricaD. Puerto Montt
12
Primera B15/07/2021
D. Puerto MonttSan Marcos de Arica
22

Recent Form

San Marcos de AricaSan Marcos de Arica
3W1D6L
11/10/2026
AntofagastaSan Marcos de Arica
30
L
04/10/2026
Deportes Santa CruzSan Marcos de Arica
12
W
13/09/2026
San Marcos de AricaCurico Unido
30
W
09/09/2026
RecoletaSan Marcos de Arica
21
L
06/09/2026
San Marcos de AricaDeportes Copiapo
21
W
01/09/2026
CobreloaSan Marcos de Arica
20
L
22/08/2026
San Marcos de AricaRangers de Talca
12
L
16/08/2026
Union EspanolaSan Marcos de Arica
21
L
13/08/2026
San Marcos de AricaUnion San Felipe
01
L
08/08/2026
Santiago WanderersSan Marcos de Arica
11
D
D. Puerto MonttD. Puerto Montt
2W0D8L

League Table

Primera B 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1CobreloaCobreloa29159552:30+2254WWLWW
2San LuisSan Luis29159544:30+1454DWWWW
3Santiago WanderersSantiago Wanderers29148748:32+1650WWLLL
4AntofagastaAntofagasta29139751:26+2548WDWWL
5MagallanesMagallanes29137945:44+146LLWWW
6San Marcos de AricaSan Marcos de Arica291110835:28+743WDLWW
7RecoletaRecoleta29119941:43-242DLLWD
8Deportes CopiapoDeportes Copiapo291181043:42+141DLWWW
9Union EspanolaUnion Espanola291161234:37-339LWLLD
10Deportes IquiqueDeportes Iquique29911942:33+938WDWWW
11D. Puerto MonttD. Puerto Montt291151329:36-738WDLLL
12Deportes TemucoDeportes Temuco29991145:41+436LDWLD
13Curico UnidoCurico Unido297101226:46-2031LDWLL
14Deportes Santa CruzDeportes Santa Cruz294121329:43-1424DDLLD
15Union San FelipeUnion San Felipe29581619:53-3423LDLLL
16Rangers de TalcaRangers de Talca29561828:47-1921LLWLL
#TeamMPGPts
1CobreloaCobreloa2952:3054
2San LuisSan Luis2944:3054
3Santiago WanderersSantiago Wanderers2948:3250
4AntofagastaAntofagasta2951:2648
5MagallanesMagallanes2945:4446
6San Marcos de AricaSan Marcos de Arica2935:2843
7RecoletaRecoleta2941:4342
8Deportes CopiapoDeportes Copiapo2943:4241
9Union EspanolaUnion Espanola2934:3739
10Deportes IquiqueDeportes Iquique2942:3338
11D. Puerto MonttD. Puerto Montt2929:3638
12Deportes TemucoDeportes Temuco2945:4136
13Curico UnidoCurico Unido2926:4631
14Deportes Santa CruzDeportes Santa Cruz2929:4324
15Union San FelipeUnion San Felipe2919:5323
16Rangers de TalcaRangers de Talca2928:4721

About the San Marcos de Arica vs D. Puerto Montt forecast

The forecasts for this Primera B match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

San Marcos de Arica and D. Puerto Montt in the Primera B table

In the Primera B table, San Marcos de Arica are 6th and D. Puerto Montt 11th, 5 points apart. League goal record so far: San Marcos de Arica 35-28, D. Puerto Montt 29-36. The full standings are on the Primera B Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

San Marcos de Arica have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.