Serbia vs Greece Prediction

Serbia
1-2
Finished
HT 1-0
Greece
Glenn Nyberg 24/09/2026
SerbiaSerbia
1-2
Finished
GreeceGreece

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
5.0 / 10
Value Analysis
75%Trust
Away Cards
Away Cards Under 2.5
1.54
SignalHIGHModel75%SurpriseHighGap+11.0%
Serbia Rest
111 days
Greece Rest
108 days

Serbia vs Greece: result, form and history

Greece beat Serbia 2-1 in the UEFA Nations League on 24 Sep 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
33%2.80
X
30%3.20
2
37%2.61
Double Chance
1X
63%1.48
X2
67%1.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%1.85
No
53%1.90
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.36 + 0.89 = 2.25
Over 1.5
71%1.37
Over 2.5
44%2.23
Over 3.5
26%4.22
Under 1.5
29%3.00
Under 2.5
56%1.67
Under 3.5
74%1.21
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.1 + 4.6 = 9.7
Over 8.5
57%1.84
Over 9.5
48%2.40
Over 10.5
38%3.27
Under 8.5
43%1.92
Under 9.5
52%1.50
Under 10.5
62%1.29
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.7 + 1.7 = 3.4
Over 3.5
45%1.58
Over 4.5
26%2.13
Under 3.5
55%2.33
Under 4.5
74%1.69

Match Events

4'Andrija ŽivkovićAssist: Dušan Tadić
45'Mihajlo Cvetkovic INSaša Lukić out
63'Dušan TadićFoul
63'Charalampos Kostoulas INFotis Ioannidis out
71'Luka Jovic INDejan Joveljić out
71'Filip Kostić INAleksa Terzić out
72'Aleksa TerzićFoul
74'Christos TzolisAssist: Vangelis Pavlidis
74'Vangelis Pavlidis INAndrews Tetteh out
74'Konstantinos Karetsas INAnastasios Douvikas out
81'Nikola Simić INNemanja Gudelj out
83'Christos ZafeirisHandball
90'Dušan Tadić INPetar Sukacev out
90+1'Konstantinos Mavropanos INGiannis Michailidis out
90+1'Christos Zafeiris INAthanasios Androutsos out
90+4'Anastasios DouvikasAssist: Konstantinos Tsimikas

Lineups

Serbia
4-4-2Coach: V. Paunovic
Greece
4-4-2Coach: I. Jovanović
Avg rating6.63
Avg rating7.07
V. Milinković-Savić8.423V. Milinković-Savić
N. Simić6.613N. Simić
S. Eraković6.816S. Eraković
S. Pavlović7.13S. Pavlović
F. Kostić6.511F. Kostić
A. Živković8.014A. Živković
N. Maksimović6.65N. Maksimović
S. Milinković-Savić6.420S. Milinković-Savić
M. Cvetković6.218M. Cvetković
L. Jović5.98L. Jović
D. Tadić6.310D. Tadić
K. Tzolakis6.712K. Tzolakis
G. Vagiannidis6.82G. Vagiannidis
K. Mavropanos7.34K. Mavropanos
P. Retsos6.95P. Retsos
K. Tsimikas7.421K. Tsimikas
K. Karetsas7.019K. Karetsas
D. Kourbelis7.26D. Kourbelis
C. Zafeiris6.620C. Zafeiris
C. Tzolis8.210C. Tzolis
C. Kostoulas6.411C. Kostoulas
V. Pavlidis7.214V. Pavlidis

Serbia Substitutes

15S. Babić
6N. Gudelj81'for Nikola Simić6.1
9D. Joveljić71'for Luka Jovic6.3
19V. Kostov
4V. Dragojević
22S. Lukić45'for Mihajlo Cvetkovic6.1
1Đ. Petrović
21L. Samardžić
7A. Stanković
12F. Stanković
2P. Sukacev90'for Dušan Tadić
17A. Terzić71'for Filip Kostić72'6.2

Greece Substitutes

8F. Ioannidis63'for Charalampos Kostoulas6.6
3K. Koulierakis
22G. Kiriakopoulos
13C. Mandas
7G. Masouras
18G. Michailidis90+1'for Konstantinos Mavropanos
23C. Mouzakitis
17M. Saliakas
16A. Tetteh74'for Vangelis Pavlidis6.9
1O. Vlachodimos
15T. Androutsos90+1'for Christos Zafeiris
9T. Douvikas74'for Konstantinos Karetsas90+4'7.8

Match Stats

SerbiaGreece
39%Ball Possession61%
2Corner Kicks6
2Yellow Cards1
9Total Shots26
4Shots on Goal9
4Shots off Goal10
7Shots Inside Box16
2Shots Outside Box10
1Blocked Shots7
11Fouls7
2Offsides2
7Goalkeeper Saves3
378Total Passes588
323Passes Accurate525
6Free Kicks11

Team Comparison

SerbiaSerbia
GreeceGreece
1598Elo Rating 1652
0.91Attack 0.98
1.14Defense 2.38
14%Hit Rate 36%
10.3Shots per Game 10.9
4.1Shots on Target 3.6
4.1Corners per Game 4.1
2.1Cards per Game 2.4

AI Insights

📉Home Underperforming
⚠️Home Rotation Risk70%

Game State Tendencies

SerbiaSerbia
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 33% of the time
GreeceGreece
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Recent Form

SerbiaSerbia
4W1D5L
05/06/2026
MexicoSerbia
51
L
31/05/2026
Cape Verde IslandsSerbia
30
L
16/11/2025
SerbiaLatvia
21
W
13/11/2025
EnglandSerbia
20
L
14/10/2025
AndorraSerbia
13
W
11/10/2025
SerbiaAlbania
01
L
09/09/2025
SerbiaEngland
05
L
06/09/2025
LatviaSerbia
01
W
10/06/2025
SerbiaAndorra
30
W
07/06/2025
AlbaniaSerbia
00
D
GreeceGreece
3W2D5L
07/06/2026
GreeceItaly
01
L
04/06/2026
SwedenGreece
22
D
18/11/2025
BelarusGreece
00
D
15/11/2025
GreeceScotland
32
W
12/10/2025
DenmarkGreece
31
L
09/10/2025
ScotlandGreece
31
L
08/09/2025
GreeceDenmark
03
L
05/09/2025
GreeceBelarus
51
W
23/03/2025
ScotlandGreece
03
W
20/03/2025
GreeceScotland
01
L

Referee Profile

Glenn Nyberg200 matches

3.59Cards per match
3.46Yellow cards per match
0.13Red cards per match
24.8Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Glenn Nyberg3.59
Other referees3.94

3.59 cards a match, 0.35 fewer than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (3.94).

Cards come from 176 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

UEFA Nations League 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1NetherlandsNetherlands42207:5+28WDWD
2GreeceGreece42205:3+28DDWW
3GermanyGermany41213:2+15DWLD
4SerbiaSerbia40043:8-50LLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1NetherlandsNetherlands47:58
2GreeceGreece45:38
3GermanyGermany43:25
4SerbiaSerbia43:80

About the Serbia vs Greece forecast

This is a UEFA Nations League cup fixture; the forecasts combine team ratings, recent form and scoring data, with the cup context taken into account.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Serbia and Greece in the UEFA Nations League table

This is a meeting of two top-four sides: Greece are 2nd in the UEFA Nations League, 8 points ahead of Serbia in 4th. League goal record so far: Serbia 3-8, Greece 5-3. The full standings are on the UEFA Nations League Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Serbia and Greece have little recent head-to-head history for the model to draw on. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.