Georgia vs Northern Ireland Prediction

Georgia
0-1
Finished
HT 0-0
Northern Ireland
Boris Paichadze Dinamo Arena, Tbilisi·Orel Grinfeld 25/09/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
5.0 / 10
AI Best Pick
80%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.20
SignalSTRONGModel52%SurpriseMediumGap-3.0%
Georgia Rest
112 days
Northern Ireland Rest
108 days

Georgia vs Northern Ireland: result, form and history

Northern Ireland beat Georgia 1-0 in the UEFA Nations League on 25 Sep 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
54%1.82
X
28%3.40
2
18%4.75
Double Chance
1X
82%1.20
X2
46%1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%2.00
No
56%1.73
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.5 + 0.88 = 2.38
Over 1.5
71%1.36
Over 2.5
45%2.21
Over 3.5
27%4.10
Under 1.5
29%2.95
Under 2.5
55%1.67
Under 3.5
73%1.22
Corners
Projected Corners: 4.6 + 3.8 = 8.5
Over 8.5
56%1.67
Over 9.5
48%2.11
Over 10.5
36%2.81
Under 8.5
44%2.09
Under 9.5
52%1.67
Under 10.5
64%1.37
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.6 + 2.3 = 3.9
Over 3.5
55%1.67
Over 4.5
35%2.50
Under 3.5
45%2.13
Under 4.5
65%1.50

Match Events

45'Saba Kharebashvili INGiorgi Chakvetadze out
62'Penalty confirmedLuka Lochoshvili
64'Dan BallardFoul
65'Khvicha Kvaratskhelia(Penalty missed)
67'Ciaron BrownFoul
72'Ciaron Brown INRuairi McConville out
73'Jamie Donley INJosh Magennis out
73'Patrick Kelly INBrodie Spencer out
77'Anzor Mekvabishvili INOtar Kiteishvili out
77'Giorgi Kvernadze INZuriko Davitashvili out
85'Luka Lochoshvili INJemal Tabidze out
85'Saba Goglichidze INIlia Beriashvili out
86'Tom Atcheson INCeadach O'Neill out
90+5'Dan Ballard INPaddy McNair out
90+5'Khvicha KvaratskheliaArgument
90+5'Justin DevennyArgument
90+9'Shea CharlesAssist: Trai Hume

Lineups

Georgia
3-4-2-1Coach: W. Sagnol
Northern Ireland
3-4-2-1Coach: M. O'Neill
Avg rating6.54
Avg rating6.74
G. Mamardashvili7.51G. Mamardashvili
S. Goglichidze6.55S. Goglichidze
L. Dvali6.63L. Dvali
L. Lochoshvili7.04L. Lochoshvili
O. Kakabadze5.42O. Kakabadze
G. Kochorashvili7.16G. Kochorashvili
A. Mekvabishvili6.514A. Mekvabishvili
S. Kharebashvili6.116S. Kharebashvili
G. Kvernadze6.417G. Kvernadze
G. Mikautadze6.122G. Mikautadze
K. Kvaratskhelia6.67K. Kvaratskhelia
P. Charles7.91P. Charles
Tom Atcheson6.018T. Atcheson
D. Ballard6.14D. Ballard
C. Brown6.322C. Brown
T. Hume7.75T. Hume
S. Charles8.219S. Charles
E. Galbraith6.67E. Galbraith
J. Devenny6.23J. Devenny
Patrick Kelly6.516P. Kelly
I. Price7.014I. Price
J. Donley6.410J. Donley

Georgia Substitutes

10G. Chakvetadze45'for Saba Kharebashvili7.2
13I. Beriashvili85'for Saba Goglichidze6.2
9Z. Davitashvili77'for Giorgi Kvernadze6.3
20G. Gagua
23L. Gugeshashvili
8O. Kiteishvili77'for Anzor Mekvabishvili7.0
15G. Mamageishvili
21J. Tabidze85'for Luka Lochoshvili6.3
19G. Tsitaishvili
18I. Yegoian
11B. Zivzivadze
12D. Kereselidze

Northern Ireland Substitutes

12C. Hazard
21J. Magennis73'for Jamie Donley6.7
8C. Marshall
15Ruairi McConville72'for Ciaron Brown6.6
17P. McNair90+5'for Dan Ballard6.5
13K. Morrison
9C. O’Neill86'for Tom Atcheson6.4
23B. Peacock-Farrell
11P. Smyth
20B. Spencer73'for Patrick Kelly6.7
6J. Thompson
2T. Devlin

Match Stats

GeorgiaNorthern Ireland
62%Ball Possession38%
9Corner Kicks1
1Yellow Cards3
11Total Shots12
5Shots on Goal5
3Shots off Goal3
7Shots Inside Box3
4Shots Outside Box9
3Blocked Shots4
13Fouls14
0Offsides3
4Goalkeeper Saves4
582Total Passes355
514Passes Accurate292
12Free Kicks11

Team Comparison

GeorgiaGeorgia
Northern IrelandNorthern Ireland
1514Elo Rating 1523
0.14Attack 0.85
2.32Defense 2.72
0%Hit Rate 39%
10.7Shots per Game 11.4
3.3Shots on Target 3.6
4.8Corners per Game 3.6
2.4Cards per Game 1.5

AI Insights

📉Home Underperforming
📉Away Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

GeorgiaGeorgia
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
Northern IrelandNorthern Ireland
  • Tied at half-time in 80% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Recent Form

GeorgiaGeorgia
4W1D5L
05/06/2026
GeorgiaBahrain
20
W
02/06/2026
GeorgiaRomania
11
D
18/11/2025
BulgariaGeorgia
21
L
15/11/2025
GeorgiaSpain
04
L
14/10/2025
TürkiyeGeorgia
41
L
11/10/2025
SpainGeorgia
20
L
07/09/2025
GeorgiaBulgaria
30
W
04/09/2025
GeorgiaTürkiye
23
L
23/03/2025
GeorgiaArmenia
61
W
20/03/2025
ArmeniaGeorgia
03
W
Northern IrelandNorthern Ireland
4W1D5L
08/06/2026
FranceNorthern Ireland
31
L
04/06/2026
Northern IrelandGuinea
10
W
26/03/2026
ItalyNorthern Ireland
20
L
17/11/2025
Northern IrelandLuxembourg
10
W
14/11/2025
SlovakiaNorthern Ireland
10
L
13/10/2025
Northern IrelandGermany
01
L
10/10/2025
Northern IrelandSlovakia
20
W
07/09/2025
GermanyNorthern Ireland
31
L
04/09/2025
LuxembourgNorthern Ireland
13
W
18/11/2024
LuxembourgNorthern Ireland
22
D

Referee Profile

Orel Grinfeld71 matches

4.66Cards per match
4.34Yellow cards per match
0.32Red cards per match
26.9Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Orel Grinfeld4.66
Other referees4.34

4.66 cards a match, 0.32 more than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.34).

Cards come from 44 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

UEFA Nations League 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Northern IrelandNorthern Ireland42204:0+48DWDW
2HungaryHungary42113:2+17WWDL
3UkraineUkraine41122:5-34LLDW
4GeorgiaGeorgia40220:2-22DLDL
#TeamMPGPts
1Northern IrelandNorthern Ireland44:08
2HungaryHungary43:27
3UkraineUkraine42:54
4GeorgiaGeorgia40:22
PromotionRelegation

About the Georgia vs Northern Ireland forecast

This is a UEFA Nations League cup fixture; the forecasts combine team ratings, recent form and scoring data, with the cup context taken into account.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Georgia and Northern Ireland in the UEFA Nations League table

This is a meeting of two top-four sides: Northern Ireland are 1st in the UEFA Nations League, 6 points ahead of Georgia in 4th. League goal record so far: Georgia 0-2, Northern Ireland 4-0. The full standings are on the UEFA Nations League Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Georgia and Northern Ireland have little recent head-to-head history for the model to draw on. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.