Sligo Rovers vs Shamrock Rovers Prediction

Showgrounds, Sligo·P. McLaughlin 03/07/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.0 / 10
Value Analysis
57%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 2.5 Goals
1.83
SignalNEUTRALModel51%SurpriseMediumGap+5.2%
Sligo Rovers Rest
6 days
Shamrock Rovers Rest
2 days

Sligo Rovers vs Shamrock Rovers: the result in context

Shamrock Rovers beat Sligo Rovers 2-1 in the Premier Division on 3 Jul 2026. It was in line with recent form: Shamrock Rovers had won 3 of their previous five, compared with 1 for Sligo Rovers.

Their 10 previous meetings averaged 2.6 goals, with both teams scoring in 4 of them. Referee P. McLaughlin averages 5.67 cards a game, 0.61 more than other referees in the same competitions.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
18%5.25
X
25%3.90
2
57%1.57
Double Chance
1X
43%2.30
X2
82%1.14
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%1.84
No
51%1.85
Goals
Projected Goals: 0.96 + 1.88 = 2.84
Over 1.5
76%1.25
Over 2.5
56%1.83
Over 3.5
34%3.00
Under 1.5
24%3.60
Under 2.5
44%1.94
Under 3.5
66%1.33
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

13'W. FitzgeraldAssist: A. Meekison
20'C. McHughUnsportsmanlike conduct
44'S. StewartFoul
46'A. Greene ING. Burke out
46'C. Malley INJ. Byrne out
46'J. McGovern INM. Noonan out
46'E. Stevens INC. O'Sullivan out
47'J. Byrne
52'D. PattonFoul
59'D. Watts INM. Asamoah out
68'A. Meekison INS. Quirk out
72'M. AsamoahFoul
78'C. Kavanagh INJ. O'Donnell out
82'G. BurkeAssist: M. Healy
86'S. QuirkFoul
88'J. Esua INK. McDonagh out
90+2'G. BurkeFoul

Match Stats

Sligo RoversShamrock Rovers
34%Ball Possession66%
2Corner Kicks2
2Yellow Cards1
1Red Cards0
7Total Shots16
3Shots on Goal5
2Shots off Goal6
2Blocked Shots5
9Fouls6
1Offsides2
4Goalkeeper Saves1
4Free Kicks8

Team Comparison

Sligo RoversSligo Rovers
Shamrock RoversShamrock Rovers
1391Elo Rating 1606
0.90Attack 1.94
0.38Defense 1.50
0%Hit Rate 54%
6.7Shots per Game 11.9
2.8Shots on Target 4.6
2.6Corners per Game 6.3
2.1Cards per Game 2.9

AI Insights

⚽High Goal Expectancy2.84 goals

Game State Tendencies

Sligo RoversSligo Rovers
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.7 vs 0.2 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Shamrock RoversShamrock Rovers
  • Leads at half-time in 80% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1.3 vs 0.6 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

Sligo RoversSligo Rovers4Wins · 40%
Draws220%
Shamrock RoversShamrock Rovers4Wins · 40%
2.6Avg Goals
40%Both teams scored4 of 10
60%3+ goals6 of 10

Previous meetings

Premier Division22/05/2026
Shamrock RoversSligo Rovers
12
Premier Division13/03/2026
Sligo RoversShamrock Rovers
02
Premier Division01/11/2025
Shamrock RoversSligo Rovers
12
Premier Division05/07/2025
Sligo RoversShamrock Rovers
22
Premier Division05/05/2025
Shamrock RoversSligo Rovers
20
Premier Division03/03/2025
Sligo RoversShamrock Rovers
21
Premier Division13/09/2024
Shamrock RoversSligo Rovers
40
Premier Division28/06/2024
Sligo RoversShamrock Rovers
20
Premier Division12/04/2024
Shamrock RoversSligo Rovers
30
Premier Division09/03/2024
Sligo RoversShamrock Rovers
00

Recent Form

Sligo RoversSligo Rovers
2W3D5L
27/06/2026
Sligo RoversShelbourne
22
D
19/06/2026
St Patrick's Athl.Sligo Rovers
20
L
12/06/2026
WaterfordSligo Rovers
40
L
29/05/2026
Sligo RoversBohemians
13
L
22/05/2026
Shamrock RoversSligo Rovers
12
W
16/05/2026
Sligo RoversGalway United
14
L
08/05/2026
ShelbourneSligo Rovers
00
D
04/05/2026
Sligo RoversSt Patrick's Athl.
11
D
01/05/2026
Drogheda UnitedSligo Rovers
10
L
25/04/2026
Sligo RoversDundalk
20
W
Shamrock RoversShamrock Rovers
6W1D3L
30/06/2026
Shamrock RoversHibernian
10
W
26/06/2026
Shamrock RoversGalway United
31
W
22/06/2026
Shamrock RoversDerry City
11
D
19/06/2026
WaterfordShamrock Rovers
02
W
12/06/2026
ShelbourneShamrock Rovers
21
L
29/05/2026
Shamrock RoversSt Patrick's Athl.
10
W
25/05/2026
BohemiansShamrock Rovers
12
W
22/05/2026
Shamrock RoversSligo Rovers
12
L
15/05/2026
DundalkShamrock Rovers
10
L
08/05/2026
Galway UnitedShamrock Rovers
13
W

Referee Profile

P. McLaughlin98 matches

5.67Cards per match
5.27Yellow cards per match
0.39Red cards per match
25.1Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

P. McLaughlin5.67
Other referees5.06

5.67 cards a match, 0.61 more than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (5.06).

Cards come from 33 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Premier Division 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Shamrock RoversShamrock Rovers36208859:38+2168LWLWW
2BohemiansBohemians36198963:44+1965WLWLW
3St Patrick's Athl.St Patrick's Athl.361791055:31+2460LDLLW
4ShelbourneShelbourne3612131152:50+249LWWWD
5Derry CityDerry City3611151050:47+348DWWLW
6DundalkDundalk3611121355:59-445WLDLL
7WaterfordWaterford3610131354:61-743WWWLL
8Galway UnitedGalway United3610121446:53-742LDLWD
9Drogheda UnitedDrogheda United3610101644:57-1340WLWLL
10Sligo RoversSligo Rovers365102128:66-3825DLDLL
#TeamMPGPts
1Shamrock RoversShamrock Rovers3659:3868
2BohemiansBohemians3663:4465
3St Patrick's Athl.St Patrick's Athl.3655:3160
4ShelbourneShelbourne3652:5049
5Derry CityDerry City3650:4748
6DundalkDundalk3655:5945
7WaterfordWaterford3654:6143
8Galway UnitedGalway United3646:5342
9Drogheda UnitedDrogheda United3644:5740
10Sligo RoversSligo Rovers3628:6625
Relegation

About the Sligo Rovers vs Shamrock Rovers forecast

The forecasts for this Premier Division match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Sligo Rovers and Shamrock Rovers in the Premier Division table

The table shows a wide gap: Shamrock Rovers are 1st in the Premier Division, while Sligo Rovers sit 10th, 43 points behind. League goal record so far: Sligo Rovers 28-66, Shamrock Rovers 59-38. The full standings are on the Premier Division Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Shamrock Rovers have led at half-time in 80% of their recent matches. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.