Somalia vs Ivory Coast Prediction

Somalia
0-2
Finished
HT 0-0
Ivory Coast
Stade Felix Houphouet-Boigny, Abidjan·David Chinoko 29/09/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
4.0 / 10
AI Best Pick
61%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 2.5 Goals
1.26
SignalNEUTRALModel74%SurpriseMediumGap-18.1%
Somalia Rest
4 days
Ivory Coast Rest
5 days

Somalia vs Ivory Coast: result, form and history

Ivory Coast beat Somalia 2-0 in the Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification on 29 Sep 2026. It was in line with recent form: Ivory Coast had won 3 of their previous five, compared with 1 for Somalia.

Ivory Coast tend to win more corners, 7.9 a game to 1.8 for Somalia.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
9%29.65
X
14%11.00
2
77%1.04
Double Chance
1X
23%8.40
X2
92%1.01
Both Teams to Score

Both teams to score forecasts not available for this match

Goals

Goal forecasts not available for this match

Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

44'Sakariya HassanFoul
45'Faysal Omar INMohamud Ali Mohamed out
65'Sepe Elye Wahi INRayan Fofana out
65'Nicolas Pépé INBazoumana Touré out
65'Christ Inao Oulaï INPatrick Zabi out
69'I. Abatari INIlyas Akram out
79'Patrick ZabiDissent
83'Franck Kessié INYann Gboho out
89'Yann Gboho
90+5'Bazoumana Touré

Lineups

Somalia
4-3-3Coach: Yusuf Ali Nur
Ivory Coast
4-4-2Coach: H. Renard
Avg rating6.16
Avg rating6.95
2323I. Hussein
M. Mohamed6.22M. Mohamed
33A. Gigli Mohamed
A. Omar6.615A. Omar
Faysal Omar6.419F. Omar
66M. Ahmed Osman
A. Sharif6.014A. Sharif
1212I. Abatari
M. Suleiman6.110M. Suleiman
B. Njie6.09B. Njie
77S. Hassan
Y. Fofana6.71Y. Fofana
L. Zogbe7.315L. Zogbe
E. Agbadou7.020E. Agbadou
E. Ndicka7.321E. Ndicka
G. Konan6.73G. Konan
N. Pépé6.819N. Pépé
C. Inao Oulaï6.44C. Inao Oulaï
F. Kessié7.28F. Kessié
Y. Diomande7.210Y. Diomande
E. Wahi6.512E. Wahi
M. Yalcouyé6.413M. Yalcouyé

Somalia Substitutes

98O. Addo
5Ahmed Abdullahi Abdi
20Ilyas Akram69'replaced by I. Abatari
4Mohamud Ali Mohamed45'replaced by Faysal Omar
13Abdirahman Mohamud Jama
21Moussa Njie
99M. Omar
11A. Sabriye
1A. Saeed
22Abdiwali Abdirahman Mohamed

Ivory Coast Substitutes

11A. Koné
16M. Koné
23A. Lafont
99I. Sangaré
17C. Tapé
24B. Touré65'for Nicolas Pépé90+5'7.5
6E. Zabi65'for Christ Inao Oulaï79'7.0
5Y. Gboho83'for Franck Kessié89'8.0
7R. Fofana65'for Sepe Elye Wahi6.5
14Eddy Doue
2O. Diomande
9A. Bonny

Match Stats

SomaliaIvory Coast
26%Ball Possession74%
0Corner Kicks9
1Yellow Cards1
1Total Shots23
0Shots on Goal6
0Shots off Goal12
1Shots Inside Box13
0Shots Outside Box10
1Blocked Shots5
12Fouls15
3Offsides5
4Goalkeeper Saves0
192Total Passes651
122Passes Accurate591
15Free Kicks12

Team Comparison

SomaliaSomalia
Ivory CoastIvory Coast
1255Elo Rating 1683
0.23Attack 1.66
1.58Defense 2.33
0%Hit Rate 66%
3.3Shots per Game 14.1
0.3Shots on Target 4.1
1.8Corners per Game 7.9
1.3Cards per Game 1.0

AI Insights

📊Home Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

SomaliaSomalia
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Ivory CoastIvory Coast
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.1 vs 0.5 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Recent Form

SomaliaSomalia
1W2D7L
25/09/2026
GambiaSomalia
21
L
31/03/2026
MauritiusSomalia
2040
W
27/03/2026
SomaliaMauritius
00
D
14/10/2025
SomaliaMozambique
01
L
09/10/2025
SomaliaAlgeria
03
L
08/09/2025
UgandaSomalia
20
L
05/09/2025
SomaliaGuinea
03
L
25/03/2025
BotswanaSomalia
20
L
21/03/2025
GuineaSomalia
00
D
01/11/2024
SomaliaBurundi
03
L
Ivory CoastIvory Coast
7W0D3L
24/09/2026
Ivory CoastGhana
20
W
30/06/2026
Ivory CoastNorway
12
L
25/06/2026
CuraçaoIvory Coast
02
W
20/06/2026
GermanyIvory Coast
21
L
15/06/2026
Ivory CoastEcuador
10
W
09/06/2026
Philadelphia Union IIIvory Coast
02
W
04/06/2026
FranceIvory Coast
12
W
10/01/2026
EgyptIvory Coast
32
L
06/01/2026
Ivory CoastBurkina Faso
30
W
31/12/2025
GabonIvory Coast
23
W

League Table

Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification 2027
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Ivory CoastIvory Coast22004:0+46WW
2GambiaGambia22006:3+36WW
3SomaliaSomalia20021:4-30DD
4GhanaGhana20022:6-40LL
#TeamMPGPts
1Ivory CoastIvory Coast24:06
2GambiaGambia26:36
3SomaliaSomalia21:40
4GhanaGhana22:60
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About the Somalia vs Ivory Coast forecast

This is a Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification cup fixture; the forecasts combine team ratings, recent form and scoring data, with the cup context taken into account.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

About Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification

More Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification fixtures and forecasts are on the Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification Predictions page.

Key Factors for This Match

Ivory Coast have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. Somalia and Ivory Coast have little recent head-to-head history for the model to draw on. Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.