Ivory Coast vs Ecuador Prediction

Ivory Coast
1-0
Finished
HT 0-0
Ecuador
Lincoln Financial Field, Philadelphia·François Letexier, France 15/06/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
7.0 / 10
AI Best Pick
67%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.52
SignalSOLIDModel10%SurpriseHighGap+1.6%
Value Analysis
72%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 1.5 Goals
1.62
SignalGOODModel10%SurpriseHighGap+13.7%
Ivory Coast Rest
6 days
Ecuador Rest
7 days

Ivory Coast vs Ecuador: result, form and history

Ivory Coast beat Ecuador 1-0 in the World Cup on 15 Jun 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
39%3.30
X
28%2.89
2
33%2.60
Double Chance
1X
67%1.52
X2
61%1.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%2.25
No
47%1.59
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.53 + 1.22 = 2.75
Over 1.5
72%1.62
Over 2.5
46%3.00
Over 3.5
25%6.05
Under 1.5
28%2.27
Under 2.5
54%1.40
Under 3.5
75%1.11
Corners
Projected Corners: 6.1 + 3.4 = 9.6
Over 8.5
53%2.00
Over 9.5
47%2.65
Over 10.5
34%3.68
Under 8.5
47%1.73
Under 9.5
53%1.42
Under 10.5
66%1.22
Cards
Projected Cards: 2 + 1.9 = 3.8
Over 3.5
59%1.77
Over 4.5
35%2.50
Under 3.5
41%1.92
Under 4.5
65%1.49

Match Events

28'S. FofanaRoughing
38'F. KessieTripping
40'G. DoueTripping
56'A. Minda INN. Angulo out
56'E. Wahi INA. Bonny out
56'B. Toure INA. Diallo out
62'J. Yeboah INA. Preciado out
62'A. Franco INJ. Porozo out
73'J. PorozoHolding
77'N. Pepe INC. Inao Oulai out
77'S. Fofana INI. Sangare out
77'E. Valencia INK. Rodriguez out
89'G. Doue INO. Kossounou out
90'A. DialloAssist: W. Singo

Lineups

Ivory Coast
4-4-2Coach: Emerse Fae
Ecuador
3-4-3Coach: Sebastian Beccacece
Avg rating6.59
Avg rating6.71
Yahia Fofana6.31Y. Fofana
Guéla Doué6.917G. Doué
Wilfried Singo6.35W. Singo
Emmanuel Agbadou6.920E. Agbadou
Ghislain Konan6.33G. Konan
Yan Diomande7.211Y. Diomande
Franck KessiéC6.98F. Kessié
Seko Fofana6.56S. Fofana
Bazoumana Touré6.224B. Touré
Nicolas Pépé6.319N. Pépé
Elye Wahi6.712E. Wahi
Hernán Galíndez7.21H. Galíndez
Alan Franco7.021A. Franco
Joel Ordóñez6.64J. Ordóñez
Willian Pacho6.36W. Pacho
John Yeboah6.39J. Yeboah
Moisés Caicedo6.623M. Caicedo
Pedro Vite7.215P. Vite
Piero Hincapié6.73P. Hincapié
Gonzalo Plata6.719G. Plata
Enner ValenciaC6.913E. Valencia
Alan Minda6.314A. Minda

Ivory Coast Substitutes

16Mohamed Koné
23Alban Lafont
13Christopher Operi
2Ousmane Diomande
7Odilon Kossounou89'for G. Doue
21Evan Ndicka
18Ibrahim Sangaré77'for S. Fofana
25Parfait Guiagon
15Amad Diallo56'for B. Toure90'
10Simon Adingra
26Christ Inao Oulaï77'for N. Pepe
4Jean Michaël Seri
22Evann Guessand
9Ange-Yoan Bonny56'for E. Wahi
14Oumar Diakité

Ecuador Substitutes

22Gonzalo Valle
12Moisés Ramírez
26Yaimar Medina
25Jackson Porozo62'for A. Franco73'
2Félix Torres
20Nilson Angulo56'for A. Minda
10Kendry Páez
7Pervis Estupiñán
5Jordy Alcivar
17Ángelo Preciado62'for J. Yeboah
18Denil Castillo
16Jordy Caicedo
8Anthony Valencia
24Jeremy Arevalo
11Kevin Rodriguez77'for E. Valencia

Match Stats

Ivory CoastEcuador
48%Ball Possession52%
3Corner Kicks5
3Yellow Cards1
15Total Shots12
4Shots on Goal1
8Shots off Goal8
8Shots Inside Box5
7Shots Outside Box7
3Blocked Shots3
10Fouls13
1Goalkeeper Saves3
470Total Passes492
397Passes Accurate419
84%Pass Accuracy85%

Team Comparison

Ivory CoastIvory Coast
EcuadorEcuador
1683Elo Rating 1658
1.66Attack 0.60
2.33Defense 2.18
66%Hit Rate 17%
14.1Shots per Game 11.5
4.1Shots on Target 4.4
7.9Corners per Game 6.1
1.0Cards per Game 1.9

AI Insights

📉Away Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

Ivory CoastIvory Coast
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.1 vs 0.5 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
EcuadorEcuador
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break

Recent Form

Ivory CoastIvory Coast
7W2D1L
09/06/2026
Philadelphia Union IIIvory Coast
02
W
04/06/2026
FranceIvory Coast
12
W
10/01/2026
EgyptIvory Coast
32
L
06/01/2026
Ivory CoastBurkina Faso
30
W
31/12/2025
GabonIvory Coast
23
W
28/12/2025
Ivory CoastCameroon
11
D
24/12/2025
Ivory CoastMozambique
10
W
14/10/2025
Ivory CoastKenya
30
W
10/10/2025
SeychellesIvory Coast
07
W
09/09/2025
GabonIvory Coast
00
D
EcuadorEcuador
6W4D0L
07/06/2026
EcuadorGuatemala
30
W
31/05/2026
EcuadorSaudi Arabia
21
W
10/09/2025
EcuadorArgentina
10
W
05/09/2025
ParaguayEcuador
00
D
11/06/2025
PeruEcuador
00
D
06/06/2025
EcuadorBrazil
00
D
26/03/2025
ChileEcuador
00
D
21/03/2025
EcuadorVenezuela
21
W
20/11/2024
ColombiaEcuador
01
W
15/11/2024
EcuadorBolivia
40
W

Referee Profile

François Letexier225 matches

4.27Cards per match
4.03Yellow cards per match
0.25Red cards per match
23.2Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

François Letexier4.28
Other referees4.04

4.28 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.04).

Cards come from 220 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

World Cup 2026

Group E

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1GermanyGermany320110:4+66LWW
2Ivory CoastIvory Coast32014:2+26WLW
3EcuadorEcuador31112:204WDL
4CuraçaoCuraçao30121:9-81LDL
#TeamMPGPts
1GermanyGermany310:46
2Ivory CoastIvory Coast34:26
3EcuadorEcuador32:24
4CuraçaoCuraçao31:91

Group Stage

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Congo DRCongo DR31114:3+14WLD
2SwedenSweden31117:704DLW
3GhanaGhana31112:204LDW
4EcuadorEcuador31112:204WDL
5Bosnia & HerzegovinaBosnia & Herzegovina31115:6-14WLD
6AlgeriaAlgeria31115:7-24DWL
7ParaguayParaguay31112:4-24DWL
8SenegalSenegal31028:6+23WLL
9IranIran30303:303DDD
10South KoreaSouth Korea31022:3-13LLW
11ScotlandScotland31021:4-33LLW
12UruguayUruguay30213:4-12LDD
#TeamMPGPts
1Congo DRCongo DR34:34
2SwedenSweden37:74
3GhanaGhana32:24
4EcuadorEcuador32:24
5Bosnia & HerzegovinaBosnia & Herzegovina35:64
6AlgeriaAlgeria35:74
7ParaguayParaguay32:44
8SenegalSenegal38:63
9IranIran33:33
10South KoreaSouth Korea32:33
11ScotlandScotland31:43
12UruguayUruguay33:42

About the Ivory Coast vs Ecuador forecast

This is a World Cup cup fixture; the forecasts combine team ratings, recent form and scoring data, with the cup context taken into account.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Ivory Coast and Ecuador in the World Cup table

This is a meeting of two top-four sides: Ivory Coast are 2nd in the World Cup, 2 points ahead of Ecuador in 3rd. League goal record so far: Ivory Coast 4-2, Ecuador 2-2. The full standings are on the World Cup Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This is a high-importance fixture for both sides, rated 7.0 out of 10 by our context model. Ivory Coast have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. Ivory Coast and Ecuador have little recent head-to-head history for the model to draw on. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.