Germany vs Ivory Coast Prediction

Germany
2-1
Finished
HT 0-1
Ivory Coast
BMO Field, Toronto·Juan Gabriel Benitez, Paraguay 20/06/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
7.0 / 10
Value Analysis
75%Trust
Goals O/U
Under 3.5 Goals
1.57
SignalHIGHModel46%SurpriseMediumGap+13.4%
Germany Rest
6 days
Ivory Coast Rest
5 days

Germany vs Ivory Coast: result, form and history

Germany beat Ivory Coast 2-1 in the World Cup on 20 Jun 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
59%1.47
X
33%4.70
2
8%6.40
Double Chance
1X
91%1.12
X2
41%2.65
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%1.67
No
48%2.10
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.55 + 0.9 = 2.45
Over 1.5
72%1.18
Over 2.5
45%1.57
Over 3.5
25%2.40
Under 1.5
28%4.85
Under 2.5
55%2.40
Under 3.5
75%1.57
Corners
Projected Corners: 4.8 + 3.8 = 8.6
Over 8.5
53%1.55
Over 9.5
44%1.89
Over 10.5
33%2.43
Under 8.5
47%2.35
Under 9.5
56%1.84
Under 10.5
67%1.49
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.7 + 1.5 = 3.3
Over 3.5
52%2.30
Over 4.5
30%3.55
Under 3.5
48%1.56
Under 4.5
70%1.27

Match Events

30'F. Kessie
46'N. Schlotterbeck INA. Rudiger out
60'L. Sane INJ. Leweling out
60'J. Musiala IND. Undav out
60'A. Pavlovic INN. Amiri out
68'D. UndavAssist: N. Amiri
75'A. Bonny INE. Guessand out
75'I. Sangare INS. Fofana out
75'A. Diallo INS. Adingra out
82'W. Singo ING. Doue out
85'Y. Diomande INN. Pepe out
85'K. Havertz INL. Goretzka out
90+4'D. UndavAssist: F. Nmecha

Lineups

Germany
4-2-3-1Coach: Julian Nagelsmann
Ivory Coast
4-1-4-1Coach: Emerse Fae
Avg rating7.00
Avg rating6.76
Manuel Neuer6.91M. Neuer
Joshua KimmichC7.36J. Kimmich
Jonathan Tah7.34J. Tah
Nico Schlotterbeck6.715N. Schlotterbeck
Nathaniel Brown7.218N. Brown
Felix Nmecha7.523F. Nmecha
Aleksandar Pavlović6.35A. Pavlović
Leroy Sané6.919L. Sané
Jamal Musiala6.310J. Musiala
Florian Wirtz7.317F. Wirtz
Kai Havertz6.27K. Havertz
Yahia Fofana8.21Y. Fofana
Wilfried Singo6.65W. Singo
Odilon Kossounou6.77O. Kossounou
Emmanuel Agbadou6.220E. Agbadou
Ghislain Konan6.93G. Konan
Ibrahim Sangaré7.218I. Sangaré
Amad Diallo6.315A. Diallo
Franck KessiéC7.58F. Kessié
Christ Inao Oulaï7.226C. Inao Oulaï
Yan Diomande7.011Y. Diomande
Ange-Yoan Bonny6.39A. Bonny

Germany Substitutes

2Antonio Rüdiger46'for N. Schlotterbeck7.0
9Jamie Leweling60'for L. Sane6.7
20Nadiem Amiri60'for A. Pavlovic7.2
26Deniz Undav60'for J. Musiala68'90+4'8.3
21Alexander Nübel
12Oliver Baumann
24Malick Thiaw
3Waldemar Anton
22David Raum
25Assan Ouédraogo
13Pascal Groß
8Leon Goretzka85'for K. Havertz6.9
16Angelo Stiller
14Maximilian Beier
11Nick Woltemade

Ivory Coast Substitutes

23Alban Lafont
16Mohamed Koné
13Christopher Operi
2Ousmane Diomande
17Guéla Doué82'for W. Singo6.3
21Evan Ndicka
24Bazoumana Touré
4Jean Michaël Seri
25Parfait Guiagon
6Seko Fofana75'for I. Sangare6.3
10Simon Adingra75'for A. Diallo6.3
14Oumar Diakité
12Elye Wahi
19Nicolas Pépé85'for Y. Diomande6.9
22Evann Guessand75'for A. Bonny6.2

Match Stats

GermanyIvory Coast
60%Ball Possession40%
8Corner Kicks3
16Total Shots9
7Shots on Goal2
5Shots off Goal2
9Shots Inside Box6
7Shots Outside Box3
4Blocked Shots5
5Fouls7
0Offsides1
1Goalkeeper Saves5
624Total Passes431
555Passes Accurate367
89%Pass Accuracy85%

Team Comparison

GermanyGermany
Ivory CoastIvory Coast
1760Elo Rating 1683
0.76Attack 1.66
2.50Defense 2.33
23%Hit Rate 66%
19.7Shots per Game 14.1
4.8Shots on Target 4.1
6.7Corners per Game 7.9
1.2Cards per Game 1.0

AI Insights

📉Home Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

GermanyGermany
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Ivory CoastIvory Coast
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.1 vs 0.5 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Recent Form

GermanyGermany
8W0D2L
14/06/2026
GermanyCuraçao
71
W
06/06/2026
USAGermany
12
W
31/05/2026
GermanyFinland
40
W
17/11/2025
GermanySlovakia
60
W
14/11/2025
LuxembourgGermany
02
W
13/10/2025
Northern IrelandGermany
01
W
10/10/2025
GermanyLuxembourg
40
W
07/09/2025
GermanyNorthern Ireland
31
W
04/09/2025
SlovakiaGermany
20
L
08/06/2025
GermanyFrance
02
L
Ivory CoastIvory Coast
8W1D1L
15/06/2026
Ivory CoastEcuador
10
W
09/06/2026
Philadelphia Union IIIvory Coast
02
W
04/06/2026
FranceIvory Coast
12
W
10/01/2026
EgyptIvory Coast
32
L
06/01/2026
Ivory CoastBurkina Faso
30
W
31/12/2025
GabonIvory Coast
23
W
28/12/2025
Ivory CoastCameroon
11
D
24/12/2025
Ivory CoastMozambique
10
W
14/10/2025
Ivory CoastKenya
30
W
10/10/2025
SeychellesIvory Coast
07
W

Referee Profile

Juan Gabriel Benitez166 matches

4.28Cards per match
4.09Yellow cards per match
0.19Red cards per match
22.9Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Juan Gabriel Benitez4.28
Other referees4.73

4.28 cards a match, 0.45 fewer than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.73).

Cards come from 79 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

World Cup 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1GermanyGermany320110:4+66LWW
2Ivory CoastIvory Coast32014:2+26WLW
3EcuadorEcuador31112:204WDL
4CuraçaoCuraçao30121:9-81LDL
#TeamMPGPts
1GermanyGermany310:46
2Ivory CoastIvory Coast34:26
3EcuadorEcuador32:24
4CuraçaoCuraçao31:91

About the Germany vs Ivory Coast forecast

This is a World Cup cup fixture; the forecasts combine team ratings, recent form and scoring data, with the cup context taken into account.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Germany and Ivory Coast in the World Cup table

In the World Cup table, Germany (1st) and Ivory Coast (2nd) are level on 6 points. League goal record so far: Germany 10-4, Ivory Coast 4-2. The full standings are on the World Cup Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This is a high-importance fixture for both sides, rated 7.0 out of 10 by our context model. Ivory Coast have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. Germany and Ivory Coast have little recent head-to-head history for the model to draw on. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.