South Africa vs Guinea Prediction

South Africa
2-1
Finished
HT 1-0
Guinea
Orlando Stadium, Johannesburg 26/09/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
4.0 / 10
AI Best Pick
82%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.17
SignalSTRONGModel58%SurpriseMediumGap-3.7%
South Africa Rest
89 days
Guinea Rest
113 days

South Africa vs Guinea: result, form and history

South Africa beat Guinea 2-1 in the Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification on 26 Sep 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
56%1.81
X
27%3.10
2
17%4.43
Double Chance
1X
83%1.17
X2
44%1.89
Both Teams to Score

Both teams to score forecasts not available for this match

Goals

Goal forecasts not available for this match

Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

30'Ime OkonAssist: Sphephelo Sithole
40'Serhou GuirassyDissent
44'Ime OkonFoul
45'Lass Kourouma INOusmane Diabate out
57'Aubrey Modiba INSamukele Kabini out
63'ibrahima fofana breze INIbrahim Diakite out
63'Ilaix Moriba INLamine Diaby Fadiga out
67'Thapelo MasekoFoul
68'Iqraam Rayners INYanela Mbuthuma out
69'Seydouba Cisse
75'Abdoul Karim Traoré INAguibou Camara out
77'Samukele KabiniAssist: Yanela Mbuthuma
82'Oswin Appollis INThapelo Morena out
82'Relebohile Mofokeng INBathusi Aubaas out
82'Thapelo Maseko INLuther Singh out
85'Seydouba Cisse INOusmane Camara out

Lineups

South Africa
4-2-3-1Coach: Pitso Mosimane
Guinea
4-3-3Coach: Paulo Duarte
Avg rating6.74
Avg rating6.38
R. Williams6.41R. Williams
K. Sebelebele6.825K. Sebelebele
I. Okon7.321I. Okon
O. Makhanya6.724O. Makhanya
A. Modiba6.96A. Modiba
S. Sithole7.713S. Sithole
T. Mokoena6.54T. Mokoena
T. Maseko6.212T. Maseko
R. Mofokeng6.510R. Mofokeng
O. Appollis6.77O. Appollis
I. Rayners6.115I. Rayners
S. Sylla7.01S. Sylla
I. Fofana6.26I. Fofana
S. Sow6.14S. Sow
A. Keita6.63A. Keita
S. Sylla6.321S. Sylla
S. Cissé7.515S. Cissé
L. Kourouma5.712L. Kourouma
I. Moriba6.57I. Moriba
A. Balde6.710A. Balde
S. Guirassy6.39S. Guirassy
A. Traoré5.88A. Traoré

South Africa Substitutes

16S. Chaine
30B. Aubaas82'for Relebohile Mofokeng6.3
22R. Goss
18S. Kabini57'for Aubrey Modiba77'7.6
27C. Mailula
2T. Matuludi
9Y. Mbuthuma68'for Iqraam Rayners7.0
28T. Morena82'for Oswin Appollis6.4
3K. Ndamane
5L. Seema
17L. Singh82'for Thapelo Maseko6.9
11T. Zwane

Guinea Substitutes

22M. Camara
18A. Camara75'for Abdoul Karim Traoré6.0
25O. Camara85'for Seydouba Cisse6.5
19Ousmane Diabate45'for Lass Kourouma6.7
24L. Diaby-Fadiga63'for Ilaix Moriba6.2
2I. Diakité63'for ibrahima fofana breze6.1
16mory keita
13Madiou Keita
20M. Konaté
5Mohamed Soumah
14M. Sylla
17I. Bangoura

Match Stats

South AfricaGuinea
56%Ball Possession44%
5Corner Kicks4
2Yellow Cards1
22Total Shots11
5Shots on Goal2
7Shots off Goal5
15Shots Inside Box5
7Shots Outside Box6
10Blocked Shots4
18Fouls17
1Offsides1
1Goalkeeper Saves3
432Total Passes341
378Passes Accurate290
17Free Kicks18

Team Comparison

South AfricaSouth Africa
GuineaGuinea
1616Elo Rating 1498
0.90Attack 1.31
2.05Defense 2.15
46%Hit Rate 41%
13.1Shots per Game 9.9
3.3Shots on Target 2.5
3.3Corners per Game 4.5
1.6Cards per Game 1.2

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+118 Elo

Game State Tendencies

South AfricaSouth Africa
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.6 vs 0.3 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
GuineaGuinea
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.8 vs 0.5 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break

Head to Head

1 previous meeting, all competitions

South AfricaSouth Africa1Wins · 100%
Draws00%
GuineaGuinea0Wins · 0%
3.0Avg Goals
100%Both teams scored1 of 1
100%3+ goals1 of 1

Previous meetings

African Nations Championship11/08/2025
South AfricaGuinea
21

Recent Form

South AfricaSouth Africa
4W2D4L
28/06/2026
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01
L
25/06/2026
South AfricaSouth Korea
10
W
18/06/2026
CzechiaSouth Africa
11
D
11/06/2026
MexicoSouth Africa
20
L
29/05/2026
South AfricaNicaragua
00
D
04/01/2026
South AfricaCameroon
12
L
29/12/2025
ZimbabweSouth Africa
23
W
26/12/2025
EgyptSouth Africa
10
L
22/12/2025
South AfricaAngola
21
W
14/10/2025
South AfricaRwanda
30
W
GuineaGuinea
3W3D4L
04/06/2026
Northern IrelandGuinea
10
L
14/10/2025
GuineaBotswana
22
D
09/10/2025
MozambiqueGuinea
12
W
08/09/2025
GuineaAlgeria
00
D
05/09/2025
SomaliaGuinea
03
W
15/08/2025
GuineaAlgeria
11
D
11/08/2025
South AfricaGuinea
21
L
08/08/2025
GuineaUganda
03
L
04/08/2025
NigerGuinea
01
W
25/03/2025
UgandaGuinea
10
L

League Table

Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification 2027
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1South AfricaSouth Africa22007:1+66WW
2GuineaGuinea21012:203WL
3EritreaEritrea20111:6-51WW
4KenyaKenya20111:2-11LD
#TeamMPGPts
1South AfricaSouth Africa27:16
2GuineaGuinea22:23
3EritreaEritrea21:61
4KenyaKenya21:21
Promotion

About the South Africa vs Guinea forecast

This is a Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification cup fixture; the forecasts combine team ratings, recent form and scoring data, with the cup context taken into account.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

About Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification

More Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification fixtures and forecasts are on the Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification Predictions page.

Key Factors for This Match

South Africa and Guinea have met only 1 time recently, with 3.0 goals in that meeting. Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.