Burkina Faso vs Benin Prediction

Burkina Faso
1-1
Finished
HT 1-0
Benin
Stade du 4-Août, Ouagadougou·Omar Abdulkadir Artan 25/09/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
4.0 / 10
AI Best Pick
55%Trust
1X2
Home Win
1.47
SignalNEUTRALModel59%SurpriseMediumGap-12.6%
Burkina Faso Rest
108 days
Benin Rest
108 days

Burkina Faso vs Benin: result, form and history

Burkina Faso and Benin drew 1-1 in the Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification on 25 Sep 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Burkina Faso tend to win more corners, 5.9 a game to 3.7 for Benin.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
55%1.47
X
25%3.70
2
20%6.70
Double Chance
1X
80%1.10
X2
45%2.50
Both Teams to Score

Both teams to score forecasts not available for this match

Goals

Goal forecasts not available for this match

Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

19'Junior OlaitanDissent
20'Lassina Traore(Penalty)
45'Rachid Kouda INAxel Sountonoma Taonsa out
57'Lassina TraoreFoul
68'Aiyegun Tosin(Penalty)
71'Lassina Traore INPierre Landry Kabore out
71'Ismahila Ouédraogo INChec Bebel Doumbia out
72'Axel Sountonoma Taonsa INMoïse Elohim Victoire Kaboré out
80'Yamirou Ouorou INAttidjikou Samadou out
81'Rodolfo Aloko INOlatoundji Tessilimi out
87'Edmond Tapsoba INPakwo Abdoul Rachide Gnanou out
88'Aiyegun Tosin INJoseph Oloko Ede out
90+2'Junior Olaitan INDokou Dodo out

Lineups

Burkina Faso
4-2-3-1Coach: Amir Abdou
Benin
4-1-4-1Coach: G. Rohr
Avg rating6.77
Avg rating6.61
H. Koffi7.416H. Koffi
I. Kaboré7.29I. Kaboré
N. Djiga7.55N. Djiga
E. Tapsoba6.712E. Tapsoba
K. Kouassi7.326K. Kouassi
L. Doucet7.28L. Doucet
I. Ouédraogo6.618I. Ouédraogo
O. Bouda6.311O. Bouda
R. Kouda6.120R. Kouda
G. Minoungou6.919G. Minoungou
L. Traoré6.82L. Traoré
M. Dandjinou6.01M. Dandjinou
C. Azongnitode6.112C. Azongnitode
Y. Roche6.65Y. Roche
M. Tijani7.313M. Tijani
Tamimou Ouorou6.93T. Ouorou
S. D'Almeida6.515S. D'Almeida
Y. Ouorou6.36Y. Ouorou
H. Imourane6.58H. Imourane
J. Olaitan6.918J. Olaitan
R. Aloko6.717R. Aloko
A. Tosin7.710A. Tosin

Burkina Faso Substitutes

3A. Camara
13C. B. Doumbia71'for Ismahila Ouédraogo6.4
14P. Gnanou87'for Edmond Tapsoba6.7
17M. Kaboré72'replaced by Axel Sountonoma Taonsa6.5
27P. Kabore71'for Lassina Traore6.5
23K. Nikiéma
25M. Ouédraogo
1Farid Ouédraogo
21A. Taonsa45'for Rachid Kouda72'for Moïse Elohim Victoire Kaboré6.2
15A. Tapsoba
22A. Zagré
6J. Bationo

Benin Substitutes

16S. Allagbé
7M. Ahlinvi
4Amiro Amadou
22S. Attidjikou80'for Yamirou Ouorou6.3
19D. Dokou90+2'for Junior Olaitan
20Jodel Dossou
11R. Moumini
23Adebiyi Marcel Serge Obassa
9J. Ede88'for Aiyegun Tosin6.4
2L. Omore
14O. Tessilimi81'for Rodolfo Aloko6.4
21Junior Pamilerin Olougbade

Match Stats

Burkina FasoBenin
64%Ball Possession36%
9Corner Kicks5
1Yellow Cards1
10Total Shots7
2Shots on Goal5
5Shots off Goal2
4Shots Inside Box6
6Shots Outside Box1
3Blocked Shots0
16Fouls15
2Offsides0
4Goalkeeper Saves1
468Total Passes273
421Passes Accurate223
13Free Kicks16

Team Comparison

Burkina FasoBurkina Faso
BeninBenin
1496Elo Rating 1497
1.08Attack 1.10
1.74Defense 1.81
34%Hit Rate 41%
10.2Shots per Game 9.3
2.2Shots on Target 4.6
5.9Corners per Game 3.7
1.5Cards per Game 2.2

AI Insights

📊Home Overperforming
📉Away Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

Burkina FasoBurkina Faso
  • No tendency data available
BeninBenin
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.7 vs 0.4 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 2 meetings, all competitions

Burkina FasoBurkina Faso1Wins · 50%
Draws00%
BeninBenin1Wins · 50%
2.5Avg Goals
50%Both teams scored1 of 2
50%3+ goals1 of 2

Previous meetings

World Cup - Qualification Africa17/11/2015
Burkina FasoBenin
20
World Cup - Qualification Africa12/11/2015
BeninBurkina Faso
21

Recent Form

Burkina FasoBurkina Faso
5W2D3L
09/06/2026
BelarusBurkina Faso
22
D
05/06/2026
RussiaBurkina Faso
30
L
06/01/2026
Ivory CoastBurkina Faso
30
L
31/12/2025
SudanBurkina Faso
02
W
28/12/2025
AlgeriaBurkina Faso
10
L
24/12/2025
Burkina FasoEquatorial Guinea
21
W
12/10/2025
Burkina FasoEthiopia
31
W
08/10/2025
Sierra LeoneBurkina Faso
01
W
09/09/2025
Burkina FasoEgypt
00
D
05/09/2025
DjiboutiBurkina Faso
06
W
BeninBenin
4W1D5L
09/06/2026
TogoBenin
51
L
05/06/2026
BeninNiger
11
D
05/01/2026
EgyptBenin
3111
L
30/12/2025
BeninSenegal
03
L
27/12/2025
BeninBotswana
10
W
23/12/2025
Congo DRBenin
10
L
14/10/2025
NigeriaBenin
40
L
10/10/2025
RwandaBenin
01
W
09/09/2025
BeninLesotho
40
W
05/09/2025
BeninZimbabwe
10
W

Referee Profile

Omar Abdulkadir Artan35 matches

3.73Cards per match
3.64Yellow cards per match
0.09Red cards per match
26.8Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Omar Abdulkadir Artan3.76
Other referees3.76

3.76 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (3.76).

Cards come from 22 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification 2027
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1BeninBenin21103:2+14WD
2Burkina FasoBurkina Faso21102:1+14WD
3MauritaniaMauritania21014:3+13LW
4Central African RepublicCentral African Republic20021:4-30LL
#TeamMPGPts
1BeninBenin23:24
2Burkina FasoBurkina Faso22:14
3MauritaniaMauritania24:33
4Central African RepublicCentral African Republic21:40
Promotion

About the Burkina Faso vs Benin forecast

This is a Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification cup fixture; the forecasts combine team ratings, recent form and scoring data, with the cup context taken into account.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

About Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification

More Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification fixtures and forecasts are on the Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification Predictions page.

Key Factors for This Match

Burkina Faso and Benin have met only 2 times recently, averaging 2.5 goals per game in those meetings. Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.