South Africa vs Canada Prediction

South Africa
0-1
Finished
HT 0-0
Canada
SoFi Stadium, Inglewood· Joao Pedro Pinheiro, Portugal 28/06/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
7.5 / 10
AI Best Pick
77%Trust
Goals O/U
Under 3.5 Goals
1.24
SignalNEUTRALModel10%RiskHighGap-3.9%
Value Analysis
56%Trust
Corners Total
Corners Under 9.5
1.89
SignalGOODModel10%RiskHighGap+6.5%
South Africa Rest
3 days
Canada Rest
4 days

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
37%5.50
X
26%3.65
2
37%1.67
Double Chance
1X
64%2.20
X2
63%1.14
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%2.02
No
49%1.73
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.16 + 1.22 = 2.38
Over 1.5
71%1.36
Over 2.5
44%2.15
Over 3.5
23%3.82
Under 1.5
29%2.98
Under 2.5
56%1.69
Under 3.5
77%1.24
Corners
Projected Corners: 4.4 + 5 = 9.4
Over 8.5
52%1.51
Over 9.5
44%1.85
Over 10.5
33%2.39
Under 8.5
48%2.40
Under 9.5
56%1.89
Under 10.5
67%1.51
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.9 + 2.1 = 4
Over 3.5
57%1.84
Over 4.5
33%2.67
Under 3.5
43%1.84
Under 4.5
67%1.43

Match Events

46'R. Mofokeng INT. Mbatha out
54'N. SalibaHolding
59'N. Saliba INN. Sigur out
59'M. Bombito INL. De Fougerolles out
67'N. SigurHolding
70'T. Oluwaseyi INP. David out
70'L. Millar INJ. Shaffelburg out
75'T. Buchanan INA. Davies out
86'E. Makgopa INI. Rayners out
86'T. Maseko INT. Moremi out
90+2'S. Eustaquio

Lineups

South Africa
4-2-3-1Coach: Hugo Broos
Canada
4-4-2Coach: Jesse Marsch
Ronwen Williams1R. WilliamsRonwen Williams
Khuliso Mudau20K. MudauKhuliso Mudau
Ime Okon21I. OkonIme Okon
Mbekezeli Mbokazi14M. MbokaziMbekezeli Mbokazi
Aubrey Modiba6A. ModibaAubrey Modiba
Teboho Mokoena4T. MokoenaTeboho Mokoena
Sphephelo Sithole13S. SitholeSphephelo Sithole
Thapelo Maseko12T. MasekoThapelo Maseko
Relebohile Mofokeng10R. MofokengRelebohile Mofokeng
Oswin Appollis7O. AppollisOswin Appollis
Evidence Makgopa17E. MakgopaEvidence Makgopa
Maxime Crépeau16M. CrépeauMaxime Crépeau
Alistair Johnston2A. JohnstonAlistair Johnston
Moise Bombito15M. BombitoMoise Bombito
Derek Cornelius13D. CorneliusDerek Cornelius
Richie Laryea22R. LaryeaRichie Laryea
Tajon Buchanan17T. BuchananTajon Buchanan
Nathan-Dylan Saliba25N. SalibaNathan-Dylan Saliba
Stephen Eustaquio7S. EustaquioStephen Eustaquio
Liam Millar11L. MillarLiam Millar
Jonathan David10J. DavidJonathan David
Tani Oluwaseyi12T. OluwaseyiTani Oluwaseyi

South Africa Substitutes

5Thalente MbathaM
16Sipho ChaineG
22Ricardo GossG
2Tholo Thabang MatuludiD
3Khulumani NdamaneD
18Samukelo KabiniD
19Nkosinathi SibisiD
24Olwethu MakhanyaD
26Bradley CrossD
23Jayden AdamsM
8Tshepang MoremiF
25Kamogelo SebelebeleM
9Lyle FosterF
15Iqraam RaynersF

Canada Substitutes

4Luc De FougerollesD
23Niko SigurM
14Jacob ShaffelburgF
24Promise DavidF
1Dayne St. ClairG
18Owen GoodmanG
3Alfie JonesD
5Joel WatermanD
19Alphonso DaviesD
6Mathieu ChoinièreM
20Ali AhmedM
21Jonathan OsorioM
9Cyle LarinF
26Jayden NelsonF

Match Stats

South AfricaCanada
58%Ball Possession42%
1Corner Kicks4
0Yellow Cards2
6Total Shots12
1Shots on Goal7
4Shots off Goal5
1Shots Inside Box9
5Shots Outside Box3
1Blocked Shots0
9Fouls16
5Goalkeeper Saves1
537Total Passes377
456Passes Accurate297
85%Pass Accuracy79%

Team Comparison

South AfricaSouth Africa
CanadaCanada
1604Elo Rating 1644
0.56Attack 1.56
1.92Defense 1.66
23%Hit Rate 39%
10.6Shots per Game 14.9
2.9Shots on Target 6.0
3.0Corners per Game 9.5
2.0Cards per Game 2.4

AI Insights

📉Home Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

South AfricaSouth Africa
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 33% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.6 vs 0 in first half)
CanadaCanada
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.1 vs 0.5 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Recent Form

South AfricaSouth Africa
1W2D2L
25/06/2026
South AfricaSouth Korea
10
W
18/06/2026
CzechiaSouth Africa
11
D
11/06/2026
MexicoSouth Africa
20
L
29/05/2026
South AfricaNicaragua
00
D
04/01/2026
South AfricaCameroon
12
L
CanadaCanada
2W2D1L
24/06/2026
SwitzerlandCanada
21
L
19/06/2026
CanadaQatar
60
W
12/06/2026
CanadaBosnia & Herzegovina
11
D
06/06/2026
CanadaRep. Of Ireland
11
D
02/06/2026
CanadaUzbekistan
20
W

Referee Profile

Joao Pedro Pinheiro, Portugal · 10 matches analysed

3.7Avg Yellows
3.9Avg Cards
24.1Avg Fouls
Stricter than 39% of referees analysed

League Table

World Cup 2026

Group A

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1MexicoMexico33006:0+69WWW
2South AfricaSouth Africa31112:3-14WDL
3South KoreaSouth Korea31022:3-13LLW
4CzechiaCzechia30122:6-41LDL
#TeamMPGPts
1MexicoMexico36:09
2South AfricaSouth Africa32:34
3South KoreaSouth Korea32:33
4CzechiaCzechia32:61

Group B

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1SwitzerlandSwitzerland32107:3+47WWD
2CanadaCanada31118:3+54LWD
3Bosnia & HerzegovinaBosnia & Herzegovina31115:6-14WLD
4QatarQatar30122:10-81LLD
#TeamMPGPts
1SwitzerlandSwitzerland37:37
2CanadaCanada38:34
3Bosnia & HerzegovinaBosnia & Herzegovina35:64
4QatarQatar32:101

South Africa vs Canada Prediction

As a knockout-stage World Cup fixture, this match carries added stakes for both sides. Our AI model analyses team Elo ratings, recent form, projected goals and head-to-head history to build forecasts across six independent markets.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive or open market; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

About World Cup

ScorePredicts covers World Cup across every knockout round. Use the navigation to explore today's full fixture list or filter by market.

Key Factors for This Match

This is a high-importance fixture for both sides, rated 7.5 out of 10 by our context model. South Africa and Canada have little recent head-to-head history for the model to draw on. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.