South Africa vs Canada Prediction

South Africa
0-1
Finished
HT 0-0
Canada
SoFi Stadium, Inglewood·Joao Pedro Pinheiro, Portugal 28/06/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
7.5 / 10
AI Best Pick
77%Trust
Goals O/U
Under 3.5 Goals
1.24
SignalHIGHModel10%SurpriseHighGap-3.9%
Value Analysis
56%Trust
Corners Total
Corners Under 9.5
1.91
SignalNEUTRALModel10%SurpriseHighGap+6.5%
South Africa Rest
3 days
Canada Rest
4 days

South Africa vs Canada: result, form and history

Canada beat South Africa 1-0 in the World Cup on 28 Jun 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Canada tend to win more corners, 9.7 a game to 3.3 for South Africa.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
37%5.50
X
26%3.65
2
37%1.67
Double Chance
1X
64%2.20
X2
63%1.14
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%2.02
No
49%1.73
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.16 + 1.22 = 2.38
Over 1.5
71%1.36
Over 2.5
44%2.15
Over 3.5
23%3.82
Under 1.5
29%2.98
Under 2.5
56%1.69
Under 3.5
77%1.24
Corners
Projected Corners: 4.4 + 5 = 9.4
Over 8.5
52%1.52
Over 9.5
44%1.84
Over 10.5
33%2.32
Under 8.5
48%2.42
Under 9.5
56%1.91
Under 10.5
67%1.54
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.9 + 2.1 = 4
Over 3.5
57%1.84
Over 4.5
33%2.70
Under 3.5
43%1.84
Under 4.5
67%1.40

Match Events

46'R. Mofokeng INT. Mbatha out
54'N. SalibaHolding
59'N. Saliba INN. Sigur out
59'M. Bombito INL. De Fougerolles out
67'N. SigurHolding
70'T. Oluwaseyi INP. David out
70'L. Millar INJ. Shaffelburg out
75'T. Buchanan INA. Davies out
86'E. Makgopa INI. Rayners out
86'T. Maseko INT. Moremi out
90+2'S. Eustaquio

Lineups

South Africa
4-2-3-1Coach: Hugo Broos
Canada
4-4-2Coach: Jesse Marsch
Avg rating6.91
Avg rating6.73
Ronwen WilliamsC8.31R. Williams
Khuliso Mudau7.220K. Mudau
Ime Okon6.921I. Okon
Mbekezeli Mbokazi7.314M. Mbokazi
Aubrey Modiba7.66A. Modiba
Teboho Mokoena6.74T. Mokoena
Sphephelo Sithole7.313S. Sithole
Thapelo Maseko6.712T. Maseko
Relebohile Mofokeng6.610R. Mofokeng
Oswin Appollis6.37O. Appollis
Evidence Makgopa6.717E. Makgopa
Maxime Crépeau6.616M. Crépeau
Alistair Johnston7.22A. Johnston
Moise Bombito6.615M. Bombito
Derek Cornelius7.013D. Cornelius
Richie Laryea6.622R. Laryea
Tajon Buchanan6.017T. Buchanan
Nathan-Dylan Saliba6.925N. Saliba
Stephen EustaquioC8.67S. Eustaquio
Liam Millar6.211L. Millar
Jonathan David5.910J. David
Tani Oluwaseyi7.212T. Oluwaseyi

South Africa Substitutes

5Thalente Mbatha46'for R. Mofokeng6.5
16Sipho Chaine
22Ricardo Goss
2Tholo Thabang Matuludi
3Khulumani Ndamane
18Samukelo Kabini
19Nkosinathi Sibisi
24Olwethu Makhanya
26Bradley Cross
23Jayden Adams
8Tshepang Moremi86'for T. Maseko6.3
25Kamogelo Sebelebele
9Lyle Foster
15Iqraam Rayners86'for E. Makgopa6.3

Canada Substitutes

4Luc De Fougerolles59'for M. Bombito7.5
23Niko Sigur59'for N. Saliba67'6.3
14Jacob Shaffelburg70'for L. Millar6.5
24Promise David70'for T. Oluwaseyi6.3
1Dayne St. Clair
18Owen Goodman
3Alfie Jones
5Joel Waterman
19Alphonso Davies75'for T. Buchanan6.2
6Mathieu Choinière
20Ali Ahmed
21Jonathan Osorio
9Cyle Larin
26Jayden Nelson

Match Stats

South AfricaCanada
58%Ball Possession42%
1Corner Kicks4
0Yellow Cards2
6Total Shots12
1Shots on Goal7
4Shots off Goal5
1Shots Inside Box9
5Shots Outside Box3
1Blocked Shots0
10Fouls16
1Offsides0
5Goalkeeper Saves1
550Total Passes380
468Passes Accurate298
85%Pass Accuracy78%

Team Comparison

South AfricaSouth Africa
CanadaCanada
1616Elo Rating 1651
0.90Attack 1.56
2.05Defense 1.66
46%Hit Rate 39%
13.1Shots per Game 15.1
3.3Shots on Target 6.0
3.3Corners per Game 9.7
1.6Cards per Game 2.4

Game State Tendencies

South AfricaSouth Africa
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.6 vs 0.3 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half and can tire late
CanadaCanada
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.1 vs 0.5 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half and can tire late

Recent Form

South AfricaSouth Africa
4W3D3L
25/06/2026
South AfricaSouth Korea
10
W
18/06/2026
CzechiaSouth Africa
11
D
11/06/2026
MexicoSouth Africa
20
L
29/05/2026
South AfricaNicaragua
00
D
04/01/2026
South AfricaCameroon
12
L
29/12/2025
ZimbabweSouth Africa
23
W
26/12/2025
EgyptSouth Africa
10
L
22/12/2025
South AfricaAngola
21
W
14/10/2025
South AfricaRwanda
30
W
10/10/2025
ZimbabweSouth Africa
00
D
CanadaCanada
5W3D2L
24/06/2026
SwitzerlandCanada
21
L
19/06/2026
CanadaQatar
60
W
12/06/2026
CanadaBosnia & Herzegovina
11
D
06/06/2026
CanadaRep. Of Ireland
11
D
02/06/2026
CanadaUzbekistan
20
W
29/06/2025
CanadaGuatemala
5161
L
25/06/2025
CanadaEl Salvador
20
W
22/06/2025
CuraçaoCanada
11
D
18/06/2025
CanadaHonduras
60
W
22/03/2025
CanadaUSA
21
W

Referee Profile

Joao Pedro Pinheiro222 matches

4.78Cards per match
4.54Yellow cards per match
0.24Red cards per match
27.4Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Joao Pedro Pinheiro4.78
Other referees5.24

4.78 cards a match, 0.46 fewer than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (5.24).

Cards come from 182 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

World Cup 2026

Group A

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1MexicoMexico33006:0+69WWW
2South AfricaSouth Africa31112:3-14WDL
3South KoreaSouth Korea31022:3-13LLW
4CzechiaCzechia30122:6-41LDL
#TeamMPGPts
1MexicoMexico36:09
2South AfricaSouth Africa32:34
3South KoreaSouth Korea32:33
4CzechiaCzechia32:61

Group B

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1SwitzerlandSwitzerland32107:3+47WWD
2CanadaCanada31118:3+54LWD
3Bosnia & HerzegovinaBosnia & Herzegovina31115:6-14WLD
4QatarQatar30122:10-81LLD
#TeamMPGPts
1SwitzerlandSwitzerland37:37
2CanadaCanada38:34
3Bosnia & HerzegovinaBosnia & Herzegovina35:64
4QatarQatar32:101

About the South Africa vs Canada forecast

As a knockout tie in the World Cup, there is more at stake than league points; the forecasts weigh that alongside team ratings, recent form and the head-to-head record.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage is the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% means strong statistical confidence; 45-65% points to a competitive, open match; below 45% means the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for information and entertainment only.

About World Cup

More World Cup fixtures and forecasts are on the World Cup Predictions page.

Key Factors for This Match

This is a high-importance fixture for both sides, rated 7.5 out of 10 by our context model. South Africa and Canada have little recent head-to-head history for the model to draw on. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.