South Hobart vs Launceston City Prediction

Darcy Street 01/08/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
3.0 / 10
AI Best Pick
75%Trust
1X2
Home Win
1.20
SignalGOODModel74%SurpriseMediumGap-8.5%
South Hobart Rest
13 days
Launceston City Rest
6 days

South Hobart vs Launceston City: result, form and history

South Hobart beat Launceston City 3-1 in the Tasmania NPL on 1 Aug 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Games between these two are rarely quiet: their 10 previous meetings averaged 3.8 goals, and both sides scored in 9 of them.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
75%1.20
X
17%6.28
2
8%8.57
Double Chance
1X
92%1.02
X2
25%3.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%1.52
No
56%2.31
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.2 + 1 = 2.20
Over 1.5
63%1.01
Over 2.5
39%1.20
Over 3.5
18%1.57
Under 1.5
37%8.40
Under 2.5
61%3.77
Under 3.5
82%2.21
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

6'D. Mensah
12'H. Oates
23'R. Maddock
65'J. Lancaster

Team Comparison

South HobartSouth Hobart
Launceston CityLaunceston City
1736Elo Rating 1562
2.78Attack 0.39
1.33Defense 0.00
64%Hit Rate 0%

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+174 Elo
📈BTTS Trend90% in H2H

Game State Tendencies

South HobartSouth Hobart
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.5 vs 1.2 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
Launceston CityLaunceston City
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

South HobartSouth Hobart5Wins · 50%
Draws330%
Launceston CityLaunceston City2Wins · 20%
3.8Avg Goals
90%Both teams scored9 of 10
70%3+ goals7 of 10

Previous meetings

Tasmania NPL09/05/2026
Launceston CitySouth Hobart
18
Tasmania NPL09/08/2025
South HobartLaunceston City
13
Tasmania NPL14/06/2025
Launceston CitySouth Hobart
12
Tasmania NPL06/04/2025
South HobartLaunceston City
22
Tasmania NPL07/09/2024
South HobartLaunceston City
21
Tasmania NPL13/07/2024
Launceston CitySouth Hobart
42
Tasmania NPL11/05/2024
Launceston CitySouth Hobart
12
Tasmania NPL09/09/2023
South HobartLaunceston City
11
Tasmania NPL15/07/2023
Launceston CitySouth Hobart
02
Tasmania NPL13/05/2023
South HobartLaunceston City
11

Recent Form

South HobartSouth Hobart
7W2D1L
18/07/2026
Devonport CitySouth Hobart
13
W
11/07/2026
South HobartUlverstone
20
W
05/07/2026
South East Utd.South Hobart
10
L
27/06/2026
South HobartGlenorchy Knights
61
W
21/06/2026
Kingborough LionsSouth Hobart
11
D
13/06/2026
Clarence ZebrasSouth Hobart
13
W
30/05/2026
South HobartLaunceston United
41
W
23/05/2026
RiversideSouth Hobart
11
D
09/05/2026
Launceston CitySouth Hobart
18
W
02/05/2026
South HobartDevonport City
32
W
Launceston CityLaunceston City
5W1D4L
25/07/2026
RiversideLaunceston City
00
D
22/07/2026
Launceston CityLaunceston United
42
W
18/07/2026
Launceston CityKingborough Lions
13
L
11/07/2026
Clarence ZebrasLaunceston City
12
W
28/06/2026
Launceston CitySouth East Utd.
10
W
14/06/2026
UlverstoneLaunceston City
13
W
30/05/2026
Glenorchy KnightsLaunceston City
12
W
24/05/2026
Launceston CityDevonport City
13
L
09/05/2026
Launceston CitySouth Hobart
18
L
02/05/2026
Kingborough LionsLaunceston City
21
L

League Table

Tasmania NPL 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1South HobartSouth Hobart18152165:16+4947WWWWL
2Devonport CityDevonport City18141356:19+3743WWWLW
3Kingborough LionsKingborough Lions18141351:16+3543WWWWL
4Launceston CityLaunceston City18101740:36+431LLDWL
5Clarence ZebrasClarence Zebras1883730:29+127LWWLD
6RiversideRiverside1873831:33-224LLDLW
7South East Utd.South East Utd.18701126:51-2521WWWLW
8Glenorchy KnightsGlenorchy Knights18521123:33-1017WLWLD
9Launceston UnitedLaunceston United18121517:61-445LLLLL
10UlverstoneUlverstone18111615:60-454LLLLW
#TeamMPGPts
1South HobartSouth Hobart1865:1647
2Devonport CityDevonport City1856:1943
3Kingborough LionsKingborough Lions1851:1643
4Launceston CityLaunceston City1840:3631
5Clarence ZebrasClarence Zebras1830:2927
6RiversideRiverside1831:3324
7South East Utd.South East Utd.1826:5121
8Glenorchy KnightsGlenorchy Knights1823:3317
9Launceston UnitedLaunceston United1817:615
10UlverstoneUlverstone1815:604

About the South Hobart vs Launceston City forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

South Hobart and Launceston City in the Tasmania NPL table

This is a meeting of two top-four sides: South Hobart are 1st in the Tasmania NPL, 16 points ahead of Launceston City in 4th. League goal record so far: South Hobart 65-16, Launceston City 40-36. The full standings are on the Tasmania NPL Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.