South Hobart vs Kingborough Lions Prediction

South Hobart
4-2
After Extra Time
HT 1-2AET 2-0
Kingborough Lions
Darcy Street 29/08/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
6.3 / 10
AI Best Pick
77%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.25
SignalHIGHModel65%SurpriseMediumGap-3.0%
South Hobart Rest
6 days
Kingborough Lions Rest
6 days

South Hobart vs Kingborough Lions: the result in context

South Hobart beat Kingborough Lions 4-2 after extra time in the Tasmania NPL on 29 Aug 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

South Hobart have had the better of this fixture, winning 7 of the 10 previous meetings, which averaged 4.7 goals a game.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
55%1.85
X
26%3.65
2
19%3.30
Double Chance
1X
81%1.25
X2
45%1.80
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%1.38
No
56%2.67
Goals

Goal forecasts not available for this match

Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

8'R. Pitt
30'A. Yost
45'E. Wright
56'K. Kemp

Extra Time2 - 0

105'R. Maddock
119'A. Walter

Team Comparison

South HobartSouth Hobart
Kingborough LionsKingborough Lions
1736Elo Rating 1656
2.78Attack 2.66
1.33Defense 1.91
64%Hit Rate 54%

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend100% in H2H

Game State Tendencies

South HobartSouth Hobart
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.5 vs 1.2 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
Kingborough LionsKingborough Lions
  • Leads at half-time in 80% of matches
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

South HobartSouth Hobart7Wins · 70%
Draws220%
Kingborough LionsKingborough Lions1Wins · 10%
4.7Avg Goals
100%Both teams scored10 of 10
90%3+ goals9 of 10

Previous meetings

Tasmania NPL21/06/2026
Kingborough LionsSouth Hobart
11
Tasmania NPL21/03/2026
South HobartKingborough Lions
51
Tasmania NPL26/07/2025
South HobartKingborough Lions
41
Tasmania NPL24/05/2025
Kingborough LionsSouth Hobart
23
Tasmania NPL15/03/2025
South HobartKingborough Lions
42
Tasmania NPL27/07/2024
Kingborough LionsSouth Hobart
14
Tasmania NPL25/05/2024
South HobartKingborough Lions
33
Tasmania NPL16/03/2024
Kingborough LionsSouth Hobart
13
Tasmania NPL30/07/2023
South HobartKingborough Lions
12
Tasmania NPL27/05/2023
Kingborough LionsSouth Hobart
23

Recent Form

South HobartSouth Hobart
7W1D2L
23/08/2026
South HobartDevonport City
03
L
08/08/2026
South HobartRiverside
52
W
01/08/2026
South HobartLaunceston City
31
W
18/07/2026
Devonport CitySouth Hobart
13
W
11/07/2026
South HobartUlverstone
20
W
05/07/2026
South East Utd.South Hobart
10
L
27/06/2026
South HobartGlenorchy Knights
61
W
21/06/2026
Kingborough LionsSouth Hobart
11
D
13/06/2026
Clarence ZebrasSouth Hobart
13
W
30/05/2026
South HobartLaunceston United
41
W
Kingborough LionsKingborough Lions
6W1D3L
22/08/2026
Kingborough LionsLaunceston City
50
W
15/08/2026
Devonport CityKingborough Lions
21
L
08/08/2026
Kingborough LionsClarence Zebras
31
W
01/08/2026
Kingborough LionsLaunceston United
20
W
26/07/2026
Kingborough LionsMelbourne Victory
04
L
18/07/2026
Launceston CityKingborough Lions
13
W
10/07/2026
Glenorchy KnightsKingborough Lions
02
W
04/07/2026
UlverstoneKingborough Lions
21
L
28/06/2026
Kingborough LionsDevonport City
21
W
21/06/2026
Kingborough LionsSouth Hobart
11
D

Bracket

Quarter-finals
Semi-finals
Final
Devonport City2
Kingborough Lions1
Launceston City15
Clarence Zebras13
On penalties
Devonport City
Seeded
South Hobart
Seeded
Devonport City
Seeded
South Hobart
Seeded
Kingborough Lions
Seeded
Kingborough Lions5
Launceston City0
South Hobart0
Devonport City3
Devonport City
Seeded
South Hobart5
Devonport City1
Kingborough Lions5
Launceston City0
South Hobart0
Devonport City3
Devonport City
Seeded

League Table

Tasmania NPL 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1South HobartSouth Hobart18152165:16+4947WWWWL
2Devonport CityDevonport City18141356:19+3743WWWLW
3Kingborough LionsKingborough Lions18141351:16+3543WWWWL
4Launceston CityLaunceston City18101740:36+431LLDWL
5Clarence ZebrasClarence Zebras1883730:29+127LWWLD
6RiversideRiverside1873831:33-224LLDLW
7South East Utd.South East Utd.18701126:51-2521WWWLW
8Glenorchy KnightsGlenorchy Knights18521123:33-1017WLWLD
9Launceston UnitedLaunceston United18121517:61-445LLLLL
10UlverstoneUlverstone18111615:60-454LLLLW
#TeamMPGPts
1South HobartSouth Hobart1865:1647
2Devonport CityDevonport City1856:1943
3Kingborough LionsKingborough Lions1851:1643
4Launceston CityLaunceston City1840:3631
5Clarence ZebrasClarence Zebras1830:2927
6RiversideRiverside1831:3324
7South East Utd.South East Utd.1826:5121
8Glenorchy KnightsGlenorchy Knights1823:3317
9Launceston UnitedLaunceston United1817:615
10UlverstoneUlverstone1815:604

About the South Hobart vs Kingborough Lions forecast

As a knockout tie in the Tasmania NPL, there is more at stake than league points; the forecasts weigh that alongside team ratings, recent form and the head-to-head record.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

South Hobart and Kingborough Lions in the Tasmania NPL table

This is a meeting of two top-four sides: South Hobart are 1st in the Tasmania NPL, 4 points ahead of Kingborough Lions in 3rd. League goal record so far: South Hobart 65-16, Kingborough Lions 51-16. The full standings are on the Tasmania NPL Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Kingborough Lions have led at half-time in 80% of their recent matches. Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.