Spartak Varna vs Lokomotiv Plovdiv Prediction

Stadion Spartak, Varna· Nikola Popov, Bulgaria 03/08/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
4.0 / 10
Value Analysis
66%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.53
SignalGOODModel35%RiskHighGap+6.7%
Spartak Varna Rest
8 days
Lokomotiv Plovdiv Rest
8 days

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
35%2.98
X
30%3.20
2
35%2.34
Double Chance
1X
65%1.53
X2
65%1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%1.73
No
49%2.00
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.26 + 1.24 = 2.50
Over 1.5
68%1.30
Over 2.5
49%1.96
Over 3.5
27%3.40
Under 1.5
32%3.20
Under 2.5
51%1.76
Under 3.5
73%1.28
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

8'D. Valverde
31'I. Ivanov
50'D. Yordanov
55'P. Umarbaev
56'J. Lamy INC. Longville out
56'I. Ivanov INM. Trdan out
57'A. Ivanov INB. Hanne out
57'D. Yordanov INS. Major out
57'G. Trifonov INT. Chunchukov out
61'A. Chindris
62'C. Longville
65'A. Chindris INM. Petrovic out
65'S. Idriz INA. Velev out
74'P. Umarbaev INA. Aleksandrov out
84'T. Silva INR. Sousa out
86'A. Granchov
90'P. Iliev
90+4'Jota Lopes INV. Oliveira out
90+5'S. Major
90+6'V. Oliveira
90+6'E. Ali

Lineups

Spartak Varna
4-2-3-1Coach: Yasen Petrov
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
4-2-3-1Coach: Dusan Kosic
Plamen Iliev23P. IlievPlamen Iliev
David Valverde Juan76D. Valverde JuanDavid Valverde Juan
Angel Granchov44A. GranchovAngel Granchov
Joey Tshitoku45J. TshitokuJoey Tshitoku
Boris Ivanov4B. IvanovBoris Ivanov
Damian Yordanov8D. YordanovDamian Yordanov
Tsvetoslav Marinov17T. MarinovTsvetoslav Marinov
Anton Ivanov77A. IvanovAnton Ivanov
Tomás Silva82T. SilvaTomás Silva
Jota Lopes10J. LopesJota Lopes
Georgi Trifonov99G. TrifonovGeorgi Trifonov
Bojan Milosavljević1B. MilosavljevićBojan Milosavljević
Adrián Cova2A. CovaAdrián Cova
Andrei Chindriş4A. ChindrişAndrei Chindriş
Lucas Ryan13L. RyanLucas Ryan
Todor Pavlov5T. PavlovTodor Pavlov
Efe Ali12E. AliEfe Ali
Ivaylo Ivanov22I. IvanovIvaylo Ivanov
Sevi Idriz7S. IdrizSevi Idriz
Parvizdzhon Umarbaev39P. UmarbaevParvizdzhon Umarbaev
Cătălin Itu94C. ItuCătălin Itu
Julien Lamy99J. LamyJulien Lamy

Spartak Varna Substitutes

19Sámuel MajorM
9Tsvetelin ChunchukovF
11Boubacar HanneF
6Ricardo SousaM
72Vasco OliveiraD
1Pedro VictorG
22Jhonatan CueroD
7BuáM
80Ángel Gomes ArevaloF

Lokomotiv Plovdiv Substitutes

6Miha TrdanM
29Christ LongvilleF
44Milan PetrovicD
9Axel VelevF
40Petar ZovkoG
3Dalil AliD
26Denis KirashkiD
30Aleksandar AleksandrovM
31Yoan Dzhelepov

Team Comparison

Spartak VarnaSpartak Varna
Lokomotiv PlovdivLokomotiv Plovdiv
1481Elo Rating 1488
0.42Attack 0.37
1.44Defense 1.62
0%Hit Rate 23%
8.9Shots per Game 7.5
4.2Shots on Target 3.5
2.5Corners per Game 5.2
2.0Cards per Game 2.5

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend83% in H2H

Game State Tendencies

Spartak VarnaSpartak Varna
  • Tied at half-time in 80% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Lokomotiv PlovdivLokomotiv Plovdiv
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.4 vs 0 in second half)

Head to Head

Based on 5 historical meetings

Spartak Varna 36%Draw 27%37% Lokomotiv Plovdiv
2.54Avg Goals
83%BTTS Rate
56%Over 2.5

Recent Form

Spartak VarnaSpartak Varna
2W2D1L
26/07/2026
Cherno More VarnaSpartak Varna
03
W
17/07/2026
Spartak VarnaCSKA 1948
22
D
11/07/2026
Spartak VarnaDobrudzha
73
W
08/07/2026
Spartak VarnaNesebar
11
D
04/07/2026
Botev PlovdivSpartak Varna
10
L
Lokomotiv PlovdivLokomotiv Plovdiv
3W0D2L
26/07/2026
Lokomotiv PlovdivSeptemvri Sofia
21
W
18/07/2026
LudogoretsLokomotiv Plovdiv
10
L
08/07/2026
Rilski SportistLokomotiv Plovdiv
02
W
04/07/2026
Lokomotiv PlovdivArda Kardzhali
20
W
29/05/2026
LudogoretsLokomotiv Plovdiv
3010
L

Referee Profile

Nikola Popov, Bulgaria · 10 matches analysed

4.4Avg Yellows
4.5Avg Cards
23.8Avg Fouls
Stricter than 42% of referees analysed

League Table

First League 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Levski SofiaLevski Sofia981021:4+1725DWWWW
2CSKA SofiaCSKA Sofia972023:6+1723WWDWW
3LudogoretsLudogorets972016:7+923WWDDW
4CSKA 1948CSKA 1948961217:9+819WLWLW
5Arda KardzhaliArda Kardzhali951314:11+316LLWWW
6Botev PlovdivBotev Plovdiv941413:14-113WWLLL
7Slavia SofiaSlavia Sofia92528:6+211DWLDD
8Spartak VarnaSpartak Varna924310:14-410DDDLL
9Botev VratsaBotev Vratsa92257:17-108DWLWL
10Septemvri SofiaSeptemvri Sofia92258:15-78LLDWW
11Lokomotiv PlovdivLokomotiv Plovdiv92074:12-86LWLLL
12Cherno More VarnaCherno More Varna912610:19-95DLLWL
13Lokomotiv SofiaLokomotiv Sofia904510:18-84LDLDL
14Dunav RuseDunav Ruse91178:17-94LLDLW
#TeamMPGPts
1Levski SofiaLevski Sofia921:425
2CSKA SofiaCSKA Sofia923:623
3LudogoretsLudogorets916:723
4CSKA 1948CSKA 1948917:919
5Arda KardzhaliArda Kardzhali914:1116
6Botev PlovdivBotev Plovdiv913:1413
7Slavia SofiaSlavia Sofia98:611
8Spartak VarnaSpartak Varna910:1410
9Botev VratsaBotev Vratsa97:178
10Septemvri SofiaSeptemvri Sofia98:158
11Lokomotiv PlovdivLokomotiv Plovdiv94:126
12Cherno More VarnaCherno More Varna910:195
13Lokomotiv SofiaLokomotiv Sofia910:184
14Dunav RuseDunav Ruse98:174
Conference LeaguePromotionRelegation

Spartak Varna vs Lokomotiv Plovdiv Prediction

Our AI model has analysed this First League fixture using team Elo ratings, recent form, projected goals and head-to-head history. The forecasts cover six independent markets - each probability is a separate model calculation, not derived from the match winner result.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive or open market; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

About First League

ScorePredicts covers Bulgaria football across all major markets. Use the navigation to explore today's full fixture list or filter by market.

Key Factors for This Match

Spartak Varna and Lokomotiv Plovdiv have met 5 times recently, averaging 2.54 goals per game in those meetings. Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.