Spartak Varna vs CSKA 1948 Prediction

Spartak Varna
2-2
Finished
HT 2-0
CSKA 1948
Stadion Spartak, Varna·Lyuboslav Lyubomirov, Bulgaria 17/07/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
4.0 / 10
Value Analysis
56%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 2.5 Goals
1.90
SignalNEUTRALModel34%SurpriseHighGap+6.8%
Spartak Varna Rest
6 days
CSKA 1948 Rest
10 days

Spartak Varna vs CSKA 1948: result, form and history

Spartak Varna and CSKA 1948 drew 2-2 in the First League on 17 Jul 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Games between these two are rarely quiet: their 6 previous meetings averaged 3.2 goals, and both sides scored in 5 of them.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
34%5.40
X
23%3.75
2
43%1.59
Double Chance
1X
57%2.23
X2
66%1.12
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%1.89
No
46%1.80
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.18 + 1.61 = 2.79
Over 1.5
76%1.28
Over 2.5
56%1.90
Over 3.5
34%3.20
Under 1.5
24%3.30
Under 2.5
44%1.84
Under 3.5
66%1.30
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

13'G. Stojanovski
19'M. Boychev
45'J. TshitokuAssist: G. Stojanovski
46'F. Krebs INB. Tsonev out
46'H. Cuellar INM. Zemzemi out
46'E. Parkhomenko INA. Hoffmann out
46'M. Boychev INFrederic out
50'M. Diallo(Penalty)
52'T. Marinov
69'T. Silva IND. Valverde out
69'Jota Lopes INR. Sousa out
77'FredericAssist: M. Diallo
79'D. Yordanov INB. Hanne out
79'A. Ahmedov INT. Chunchukov out
84'Goal Disallowed - offsideJ. Martines
85'J. Martines INB. Dimitrov out
90'T. Chunchukov
90+8'G. Stojanovski ING. Trifonov out

Team Comparison

Spartak VarnaSpartak Varna
CSKA 1948CSKA 1948
1451Elo Rating 1675
1.21Attack 3.93
0.39Defense 2.09
36%Hit Rate 83%
10.9Shots per Game 16.2
3.4Shots on Target 7.9
4.6Corners per Game 3.3
1.8Cards per Game 2.2

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend83% in H2H
📊Away Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

Spartak VarnaSpartak Varna
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 33% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.9 vs 0.3 in first half)
CSKA 1948CSKA 1948
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Concedes more in 1st half, then tightens up after the break

Head to Head

Last 6 meetings, all competitions

Spartak VarnaSpartak Varna0Wins · 0%
Draws467%
CSKA 1948CSKA 19482Wins · 33%
3.2Avg Goals
83%Both teams scored5 of 6
50%3+ goals3 of 6

Previous meetings

First League14/03/2026
Spartak VarnaCSKA 1948
12
First League04/10/2025
CSKA 1948Spartak Varna
11
First League29/11/2024
Spartak VarnaCSKA 1948
11
First League28/07/2024
CSKA 1948Spartak Varna
22
First League03/05/2023
Spartak VarnaCSKA 1948
33
First League16/10/2022
CSKA 1948Spartak Varna
20

Recent Form

Spartak VarnaSpartak Varna
4W3D3L
11/07/2026
Spartak VarnaDobrudzha
73
W
08/07/2026
Spartak VarnaNesebar
11
D
04/07/2026
Botev PlovdivSpartak Varna
10
L
27/06/2026
Spartak VarnaDunav Ruse
00
D
22/05/2026
Spartak VarnaLokomotiv Sofia
30
W
18/05/2026
MontanaSpartak Varna
02
W
14/05/2026
Septemvri SofiaSpartak Varna
10
L
10/05/2026
Spartak VarnaSlavia Sofia
21
W
06/05/2026
Spartak VarnaDobrudzha
11
D
02/05/2026
Botev VratsaSpartak Varna
21
L
CSKA 1948CSKA 1948
4W3D3L
07/07/2026
Železničar PančevoCSKA 1948
01
W
04/07/2026
NK VarazdinCSKA 1948
10
L
01/07/2026
CSKA 1948Maribor
33
D
29/06/2026
CSKA 1948FK Partizan
30
W
25/05/2026
CSKA 1948Levski Sofia
00
D
16/05/2026
CSKA 1948Ludogorets
10
W
13/05/2026
CSKA SofiaCSKA 1948
11
D
08/05/2026
CSKA 1948CSKA Sofia
01
L
02/05/2026
Levski SofiaCSKA 1948
10
L
25/04/2026
LudogoretsCSKA 1948
12
W

Referee Profile

Lyuboslav Lyubomirov82 matches

4.71Cards per match
4.50Yellow cards per match
0.21Red cards per match
21.2Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Lyuboslav Lyubomirov4.71
Other referees4.77

4.71 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.77).

Cards come from 14 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

First League 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1CSKA SofiaCSKA Sofia14104032:9+2334WDWWD
2Levski SofiaLevski Sofia13102125:8+1732LWDWD
3LudogoretsLudogorets1393126:11+1530DWLWW
4CSKA 1948CSKA 19481492333:16+1729DWWLW
5Botev PlovdivBotev Plovdiv1472523:21+223DWLWW
6Arda KardzhaliArda Kardzhali1463520:22-221LWDLD
7Spartak VarnaSpartak Varna1444615:25-1016WLLWL
8Slavia SofiaSlavia Sofia142849:9014DDDLL
9Cherno More VarnaCherno More Varna1434714:22-813DWWLD
10Dunav RuseDunav Ruse1433816:23-712DLWWD
11Lokomotiv PlovdivLokomotiv Plovdiv143388:18-1012WLDDD
12Septemvri SofiaSeptemvri Sofia1432912:25-1311WLLLL
13Botev VratsaBotev Vratsa1424811:24-1310LLDLD
14Lokomotiv SofiaLokomotiv Sofia1416715:26-119LLDDW
#TeamMPGPts
1CSKA SofiaCSKA Sofia1432:934
2Levski SofiaLevski Sofia1325:832
3LudogoretsLudogorets1326:1130
4CSKA 1948CSKA 19481433:1629
5Botev PlovdivBotev Plovdiv1423:2123
6Arda KardzhaliArda Kardzhali1420:2221
7Spartak VarnaSpartak Varna1415:2516
8Slavia SofiaSlavia Sofia149:914
9Cherno More VarnaCherno More Varna1414:2213
10Dunav RuseDunav Ruse1416:2312
11Lokomotiv PlovdivLokomotiv Plovdiv148:1812
12Septemvri SofiaSeptemvri Sofia1412:2511
13Botev VratsaBotev Vratsa1411:2410
14Lokomotiv SofiaLokomotiv Sofia1415:269
Conference LeaguePromotionRelegation

About the Spartak Varna vs CSKA 1948 forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage is the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% means strong statistical confidence; 45-65% points to a competitive, open match; below 45% means the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for information and entertainment only.

Spartak Varna and CSKA 1948 in the First League table

In the First League table, CSKA 1948 are 4th and Spartak Varna 7th, 13 points apart. League goal record so far: Spartak Varna 15-25, CSKA 1948 33-16. The full standings are on the First League Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

CSKA 1948 have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. Some of the data for this fixture is limited, so the model gives it a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.