Sport Boys vs Alianza Lima Prediction

Primera División

Peru · Clausura - 4

Sport Boys

1-1

Finished

HT 1-0

Alianza Lima

Estadio Miguel Grau, Callao· Roberto Perez Gutierrez, Peru 09/08/2026

Sport Boys

1-1

Finished

Alianza Lima

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality

Complete

Match Importance

4.4 / 10

Value Analysis

53%Trust

BTTS

Both Teams to Score

1.98

SignalGOODModel43%RiskMediumGap+6.0%

Sport Boys Rest

7 days

Alianza Lima Rest

6 days

Match Forecasts

Match Result

27%3.80

30%3.18

43%1.99

Double Chance

57%1.75

73%1.23

Both Teams to Score

Yes

53%1.98

47%1.73

Goals

Projected Goals: 1.1 + 1.19 = 2.29

Over 1.5

71%1.40

Over 2.5

47%2.29

Over 3.5

26%4.26

Under 1.5

29%2.75

Under 2.5

53%1.58

Under 3.5

74%1.20

Corners

Projected Corners: 3.4 + 4.6 = 7.9

Over 8.5

25%-

Over 9.5

25%-

Over 10.5

5%-

Under 8.5

75%-

Under 9.5

75%-

Under 10.5

95%-

Cards

Projected Cards: 3 + 2.6 = 5.6

Over 3.5

79%-

Over 4.5

61%-

Under 3.5

21%-

Under 4.5

39%-

Match Events

8'L. NequecaurFoul

10'M. Huaman INN. Diaz out

28'J. AlarconAssist: L. Urruti

38'H. RiojasFoul

47'Goal Disallowed - handballL. Urruti

65'F. GirottiAssist: R. Garces

72'P. Erustes INP. Liza out

72'J. Alarcon INE. Gonzales out

79'N. DiazFoul

88'L. Urruti INC. Lopez out

88'L. Nequecaur INC. Cueva out

89'Paolo Guerrero INA. Cantero out

Lineups

Sport Boys

4-3-3Coach: Carlos Desio

Alianza Lima

4-1-3-2Coach: Pablo Guede

22D. MeliánDiego Melián

17E. SabaEmilio Saba

3C. ZambranoCarlos Zambrano

26H. RiojasHansell Riojas

13M. LlontopMathias Llontop

24O. MoraOslimg Mora

8H. Da CampoHernan Da Campo

10J. AlarcónJostin Alarcón

32P. ErustesPablo Erustes

9L. NequecaurLuciano Nequecaur

11L. UrrutiLuis Urruti

1A. DuarteAlejandro Duarte

17L. AdvínculaLuis Advíncula

6R. GarcésRenzo Garcés

3M. AntoniMateo Antoni

13M. HuamánMarco Huamán

5E. PavezEsteban Pavez

7F. GaiborFernando Gaibor

34P. GuerreroPaolo Guerrero

20J. VélezJairo Vélez

8E. CastilloEryc Castillo

99F. GirottiFederico Girotti

Sport Boys Substitutes

28Erick GonzalesM

30Percy LizaF

99Christian CuevaM

7Carlos LópezF

61Jeferson NolascoG

4Renzo AlfaniD

55Gustavo DulantoD

5Federico IllanesM

77Yuriel CeliM

Alianza Lima Substitutes

2Nicolás DíazD

11Alan CanteroF

12Ángel de la CruzG

4Gianfranco ChávezD

15Jesús CastilloM

22Christian NeiraM

29Jean Pierre ArchimbaudM

25Gaspar GentileF

30Geray MottaF

Match Stats

Sport BoysAlianza Lima

37%Ball Possession63%

0Corner Kicks4

2Yellow Cards1

7Total Shots11

2Shots on Goal2

3Shots off Goal7

3Shots Inside Box6

4Shots Outside Box5

2Blocked Shots2

14Fouls9

2Offsides1

1Goalkeeper Saves1

262Total Passes448

196Passes Accurate369

75%Pass Accuracy82%

Sport Boys

Alianza Lima

1628Elo Rating 1679

1.73Attack 0.81

2.07Defense 1.87

61%Hit Rate 14%

11.7Shots per Game 17.5

3.9Shots on Target 4.1

5.4Corners per Game 6.2

3.3Cards per Game 1.8

AI Insights

📊Home Overperforming

📉Away Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

Sport Boys

Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
Scores more in 2nd half (1.1 vs 0.6 in first half)

Alianza Lima

Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break

Head to Head

Based on 5 historical meetings

Sport Boys 0%Draw 0%100% Alianza Lima

2.3Avg Goals

23%BTTS Rate

54%Over 2.5

Recent Form

Club Deportivo Los Chankas

Sport Boys

11/07/2026

Sport Boys

Comerciantes

28/06/2026

Sport Boys

Academia Cantolao

28/06/2026

Alianza Lima

Alianza Atletico

21/06/2026

Carlos A. Mannucci

Alianza Lima

Referee Profile

Roberto Perez Gutierrez, Peru · 28 matches analysed

3.9Avg Yellows

4.2Avg Cards

23.8Avg Fouls

Stricter than 18% of referees analysed

League Table

Primera División 2026

Primera Division: Tabla Anual

#	Team	MP	W	D	L	G	GD	Pts	Form
1	Alianza Lima	26	15	8	3	42:18	+24	53	LWDWW
2	Universitario	26	14	7	5	43:27	+16	49	WDWLW
3	FBC Melgar	26	13	6	7	44:28	+16	45	LDDLL
4	Deportivo Garcilaso	26	13	6	7	35:24	+11	45	WDDLL
5	Cusco	26	13	3	10	38:37	+1	42	WWLWL
6	Club Deportivo Los Chankas	26	12	5	9	35:44	-9	41	WWWWW
7	Cienciano	25	12	4	9	44:37	+7	40	WWWWD
8	Alianza Atletico	26	10	7	9	38:34	+4	37	DDWLD
9	Sport Boys	26	10	7	9	28:25	+3	37	LWLLD
10	Sporting Cristal	26	10	5	11	45:39	+6	35	LLWWL
11	Atletico Grau	26	9	5	12	25:28	-3	32	DDDWL
12	Sport Huancayo	26	9	5	12	34:42	-8	32	DLLLW
13	Juan Pablo II College	26	8	7	11	38:52	-14	31	WLLWW
14	Comerciantes Unidos	26	7	9	10	34:36	-2	30	DDWLW
15	FC Cajamarca	26	7	6	13	40:50	-10	27	LLLLL
16	UCV Moquegua	26	6	7	13	24:37	-13	25	WLLWD
17	ADT	25	5	7	13	27:39	-12	22	DWLDD
18	UTC Cajamarca	26	4	8	14	30:47	-17	15	LDLWL

#	Team	MP	G	Pts
1	Alianza Lima	26	42:18	53
2	Universitario	26	43:27	49
3	FBC Melgar	26	44:28	45
4	Deportivo Garcilaso	26	35:24	45
5	Cusco	26	38:37	42
6	Club Deportivo Los Chankas	26	35:44	41
7	Cienciano	25	44:37	40
8	Alianza Atletico	26	38:34	37
9	Sport Boys	26	28:25	37
10	Sporting Cristal	26	45:39	35
11	Atletico Grau	26	25:28	32
12	Sport Huancayo	26	34:42	32
13	Juan Pablo II College	26	38:52	31
14	Comerciantes Unidos	26	34:36	30
15	FC Cajamarca	26	40:50	27
16	UCV Moquegua	26	24:37	25
17	ADT	25	27:39	22
18	UTC Cajamarca	26	30:47	15

Primera Division: Apertura

#	Team	MP	W	D	L	G	GD	Pts	Form
1	Alianza Lima	17	12	4	1	30:8	+22	40	LWDWW
2	Club Deportivo Los Chankas	17	10	4	3	25:21	+4	34	WWWWW
3	Cienciano	17	10	3	4	34:22	+12	33	WWWWD
4	Universitario	17	8	5	4	24:15	+9	29	WDWLW
5	FBC Melgar	17	8	4	5	29:20	+9	28	LDDLL
6	Cusco	17	8	3	6	21:24	-3	27	WWLWL
7	Deportivo Garcilaso	17	7	5	5	21:18	+3	26	WDDLL
8	Alianza Atletico	17	5	6	6	20:18	+2	21	DDWLD
9	Comerciantes Unidos	17	5	6	6	18:20	-2	21	DDWLW
10	ADT	17	5	5	7	22:21	+1	20	DWLDD
11	Sport Boys	17	5	5	7	15:19	-4	20	LWLLD
12	Sporting Cristal	17	5	4	8	28:30	-2	19	LLWWL
13	UTC Cajamarca	17	4	6	7	21:26	-5	18	LDLWL
14	UCV Moquegua	17	5	3	9	17:24	-7	18	WLLWD
15	FC Cajamarca	17	4	5	8	23:28	-5	17	LLLLL
16	Atletico Grau	17	4	4	9	12:18	-6	16	DDDWL
17	Sport Huancayo	17	4	4	9	21:31	-10	16	DLLLW
18	Juan Pablo II College	17	4	4	9	22:40	-18	16	WLLWW

#	Team	MP	G	Pts
1	Alianza Lima	17	30:8	40
2	Club Deportivo Los Chankas	17	25:21	34
3	Cienciano	17	34:22	33
4	Universitario	17	24:15	29
5	FBC Melgar	17	29:20	28
6	Cusco	17	21:24	27
7	Deportivo Garcilaso	17	21:18	26
8	Alianza Atletico	17	20:18	21
9	Comerciantes Unidos	17	18:20	21
10	ADT	17	22:21	20
11	Sport Boys	17	15:19	20
12	Sporting Cristal	17	28:30	19
13	UTC Cajamarca	17	21:26	18
14	UCV Moquegua	17	17:24	18
15	FC Cajamarca	17	23:28	17
16	Atletico Grau	17	12:18	16
17	Sport Huancayo	17	21:31	16
18	Juan Pablo II College	17	22:40	16

Primera Division: Clausura

#	Team	MP	W	D	L	G	GD	Pts	Form
1	Universitario	9	6	2	1	19:12	+7	20	WDWLW
2	Deportivo Garcilaso	9	6	1	2	14:6	+8	19	WDDLL
3	FBC Melgar	9	5	2	2	15:8	+7	17	LDDLL
4	Sport Boys	9	5	2	2	13:6	+7	17	LWLLD
5	Sporting Cristal	9	5	1	3	17:9	+8	16	LLWWL
6	Atletico Grau	9	5	1	3	13:10	+3	16	DDDWL
7	Alianza Atletico	9	5	1	3	18:16	+2	16	DDWLD
8	Sport Huancayo	9	5	1	3	13:11	+2	16	DLLLW
9	Cusco	9	5	0	4	17:13	+4	15	WWLWL
10	Juan Pablo II College	9	4	3	2	16:12	+4	15	WLLWW
11	Alianza Lima	9	3	4	2	12:10	+2	13	LWDWW
12	FC Cajamarca	9	3	1	5	17:22	-5	10	LLLLL
13	Comerciantes Unidos	9	2	3	4	16:16	0	9	DDWLW
14	Cienciano	8	2	1	5	10:15	-5	7	WWWWD
15	UCV Moquegua	9	1	4	4	7:13	-6	7	WLLWD
16	Club Deportivo Los Chankas	9	2	1	6	10:23	-13	7	WWWWW
17	UTC Cajamarca	9	0	2	7	9:21	-12	2	LDLWL
18	ADT	8	0	2	6	5:18	-13	2	DWLDD

#	Team	MP	G	Pts
1	Universitario	9	19:12	20
2	Deportivo Garcilaso	9	14:6	19
3	FBC Melgar	9	15:8	17
4	Sport Boys	9	13:6	17
5	Sporting Cristal	9	17:9	16
6	Atletico Grau	9	13:10	16
7	Alianza Atletico	9	18:16	16
8	Sport Huancayo	9	13:11	16
9	Cusco	9	17:13	15
10	Juan Pablo II College	9	16:12	15
11	Alianza Lima	9	12:10	13
12	FC Cajamarca	9	17:22	10
13	Comerciantes Unidos	9	16:16	9
14	Cienciano	8	10:15	7
15	UCV Moquegua	9	7:13	7
16	Club Deportivo Los Chankas	9	10:23	7
17	UTC Cajamarca	9	9:21	2
18	ADT	8	5:18	2

PromotionRelegation

Our AI model has analysed this Primera División fixture using team Elo ratings, recent form, projected goals and head-to-head history. The forecasts cover six independent markets - each probability is a separate model calculation, not derived from the match winner result.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive or open market; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

About Primera División

ScorePredicts covers Peru football across all major markets. Use the navigation to explore today's full fixture list or filter by market.

Key Factors for This Match

Sport Boys and Alianza Lima have met 5 times recently, averaging 2.3 goals per game in those meetings. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.

Sport Boys vs Alianza Lima Prediction

AI Best Pick

Match Forecasts

Match Events

Lineups

Sport Boys Substitutes

Alianza Lima Substitutes

Match Stats

Team Comparison

AI Insights

Game State Tendencies

Head to Head

Recent Form

Referee Profile

League Table

Primera Division: Tabla Anual

Primera Division: Apertura

Primera Division: Clausura