Alianza Lima vs Alianza Atletico Prediction
Peru · Clausura - 3
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
AI Best Pick
69%Trust
1X2
Home Win
1.38
SignalSOLIDModel60%SurpriseMediumGap-3.0%
Value Analysis
73%Trust
Home Cards
Home Cards Over 1.5
1.52
SignalHIGHModel57%SurpriseMediumGap+12.6%
Alianza Lima Rest
6 days
Alianza Atletico Rest
8 days
Alianza Lima vs Alianza Atletico: result, form and history
Alianza Lima beat Alianza Atletico 3-1 in the Primera División on 2 Aug 2026. That went against recent form: Alianza Atletico had won 4 of their previous five, compared with 1 for Alianza Lima.
Their 10 previous meetings averaged 2.2 goals, with both teams scoring in 4 of them.
Match Forecasts
Match Result
170%1.38
X19%4.33
211%8.38
Double Chance
1X89%1.06
X231%2.89
Both Teams to Score
Yes61%2.30
No39%1.57
Goals
Projected Goals: 2.64 + 0.87 = 3.51
Over 1.597%1.30
Over 2.566%2.00
Over 3.548%3.48
Under 1.53%3.25
Under 2.534%1.76
Under 3.552%1.25
Corners
Projected Corners: 6.1 + 4 = 10
Over 8.560%2.03
Over 9.549%2.71
Over 10.537%3.40
Under 8.540%1.70
Under 9.551%1.40
Under 10.563%1.26
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.5 + 2.5 = 5
Over 3.573%-
Over 4.555%1.71
Under 3.527%-
Under 4.545%2.01
Match Events
14'E. CastilloAssist: J. Velez
28'J. Ingratti
32'Paolo GuerreroUnsportsmanlike conduct
40'G. A. Larios SaavedraFoul
45'R. GarcesFoul
51'W. GuzmanOG
57'W. GuzmanFoul
66'J. del Castillo INA. Munoz out
70'Paolo Guerrero INA. Cantero out
73'G. A. Larios Saavedra INJ. Molina out
79'J. VelezAssist: A. Cantero
80'A. MunozFoul
83'C. Penilla INF. Flores out
83'J. Ingratti INJ. Perez out
83'G. Diaz INJ. Lujan out
84'E. Castillo INJ. Archimbaud out
90+1'F. Gaibor INJ. Castillo out
90+1'R. Garces INN. Diaz out
Lineups
Alianza LimaAlianza Atletico
4-2-3-1Coach: Federico UrciuoliAvg ratingAvg rating
1A. Duarte
17L. Advíncula
6R. Garcés
3M. Antoni
13M. Huamán
5E. Pavez
7F. Gaibor
20J. Vélez
99F. Girotti
8E. Castillo
C34P. Guerrero
31S. Rivadeneyra
21E. Perleche
2R. Suárez
25W. Guzmán
24A. Gordillo
C15H. Lupú
10G. Diaz
11G. Larios
22J. del Castillo
17C. Penilla
27J. IngrattiAlianza Lima Substitutes
11Alan Cantero70'for Paolo Guerrero
29Jean Pierre Archimbaud84'for E. Castillo
2Nicolás Díaz90+1'for R. Garces
15Jesús Castillo90+1'for F. Gaibor
12Ángel de la Cruz
4Gianfranco Chávez
22Christian Neira
30Geray Motta
25Gaspar Gentile
Alianza Atletico Substitutes
23Ariel Muñoz66'for J. del Castillo80'
29Jairo Molina73'for G. A. Larios Saavedra
6José Luján83'for G. Diaz
20Jimmy Pérez83'for J. Ingratti
8Franchesco Flores83'for C. Penilla
95Daniel Prieto
19Jesus Mendieta
16Stefano Fernández
77Christian Valladolid
Match Stats
Alianza LimaAlianza Atletico 75%Ball Possession25%
8Corner Kicks3
2Yellow Cards2
0Red Cards1
19Total Shots7
5Shots on Goal3
9Shots off Goal3
14Shots Inside Box5
5Shots Outside Box2
5Blocked Shots1
6Fouls9
2Offsides2
2Goalkeeper Saves3
534Total Passes185
478Passes Accurate122
90%Pass Accuracy66%
Team Comparison
Alianza LimaAlianza Atletico1707Elo Rating 1620
1.97Attack 2.15
1.83Defense 0.60
73%Hit Rate 58%
17.3Shots per Game 14.4
5.7Shots on Target 5.0
6.3Corners per Game 5.0
2.3Cards per Game 1.5
AI Insights
⚽High Goal Expectancy3.51 goals
📈BTTS Trend40% in H2H
📊Away Overperforming
Game State Tendencies
Alianza Lima- Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
- Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
Alianza Atletico- Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 33% of the time
- Scores more in 2nd half (1.2 vs 0.9 in first half)
- Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
Head to Head
Last 10 meetings, all competitions
Alianza Lima5Wins · 50%Draws220%
Alianza Atletico3Wins · 30%
3Wins · 30%2.2Avg Goals
40%Both teams scored4 of 10
30%3+ goals3 of 10
Previous meetings
28/06/2026Alianza LimaAlianza Atletico12
15/02/2026Alianza AtleticoAlianza Lima00
28/07/2025Alianza LimaAlianza Atletico11
15/02/2025Alianza AtleticoAlianza Lima31
21/07/2024Alianza LimaAlianza Atletico20
04/02/2024Alianza AtleticoAlianza Lima02
27/08/2023Alianza LimaAlianza Atletico10
09/04/2023Alianza AtleticoAlianza Lima01
27/07/2022Alianza LimaAlianza Atletico10
27/02/2022Alianza AtleticoAlianza Lima42
Recent Form
Alianza Lima4W4D2L
26/07/2026
Comerciantes UnidosAlianza LimaAlianza Lima
Sport Huancayo
Comerciantes UnidosAlianza Lima22
D20/07/2026Alianza LimaSport Huancayo21
W28/06/2026Alianza LimaAlianza Atletico
Alianza LimaAlianza Atletico12
L21/06/2026
Carlos A. MannucciAlianza Lima
Carlos A. MannucciAlianza Lima31
L14/06/2026
Cesar VallejoAlianza Lima
Cesar VallejoAlianza Lima00
D31/05/2026
FC CajamarcaAlianza Lima
FC CajamarcaAlianza Lima11
D24/05/2026Alianza Lima
Club Deportivo Los Chankas
Alianza LimaClub Deportivo Los Chankas30
W17/05/2026
CiencianoAlianza Lima
CiencianoAlianza Lima01
W10/05/2026Alianza Lima
Sporting Cristal
Alianza LimaSporting Cristal11
D03/05/2026Alianza Lima
UCV Moquegua
Alianza LimaUCV Moquegua21
WAlianza Atletico5W2D3L
24/07/2026Alianza AtleticoClub Deportivo Los Chankas
CuscoAlianza AtleticoAlianza AtleticoCesar Vallejo
Alianza AtleticoClub Deportivo Los Chankas31
W19/07/2026CuscoAlianza Atletico41
L10/07/2026Alianza Atletico
Molinos El Pirata
Alianza AtleticoMolinos El Pirata32
W28/06/2026Alianza LimaAlianza Atletico
19/06/2026Alianza LimaAlianza Atletico12
WAlianza AtleticoCesar Vallejo20
W13/06/2026Carlos A. MannucciAlianza Atletico
Carlos A. MannucciAlianza Atletico01
W31/05/2026
FBC MelgarAlianza Atletico
FBC MelgarAlianza Atletico31
L29/05/2026
TigreAlianza Atletico
TigreAlianza Atletico20
L24/05/2026Alianza AtleticoFC Cajamarca
Alianza AtleticoFC Cajamarca11
D22/05/2026
MacaraAlianza Atletico
MacaraAlianza Atletico00
DReferee Profile
5.55Cards per match
5.07Yellow cards per match
0.48Red cards per match
26.1Fouls per match
Compared with other referees
5.55 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (5.39).
Cards come from 126 matches with official statistics.
Full referee statsLeague Table
Primera Division: Tabla Anual
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alianza Lima | 31 | 19 | 8 | 4 | 52:23 | +29 | 65 | DWWWW |
| 2 |  Universitario | 30 | 16 | 8 | 6 | 52:34 | +18 | 56 | WLWLW |
| 3 | FBC Melgar | 31 | 15 | 9 | 7 | 54:35 | +19 | 54 | DWLWW |
| 4 |  Deportivo Garcilaso | 31 | 15 | 6 | 10 | 47:33 | +14 | 51 | WWWLL |
| 5 | Cusco | 32 | 16 | 3 | 13 | 46:44 | +2 | 51 | LDDWW |
| 6 | Cienciano | 31 | 15 | 5 | 11 | 53:43 | +10 | 50 | WWDLW |
| 7 | Alianza Atletico | 32 | 14 | 7 | 11 | 49:46 | +3 | 49 | WLWWL |
| 8 | Sporting Cristal | 31 | 14 | 5 | 12 | 57:47 | +10 | 47 | DDLLW |
| 9 | Club Deportivo Los Chankas | 32 | 13 | 8 | 11 | 39:51 | -12 | 47 | WDLLW |
| 10 |  Sport Boys | 31 | 12 | 8 | 11 | 35:33 | +2 | 44 | DLDWL |
| 11 | Sport Huancayo | 31 | 13 | 5 | 13 | 44:48 | -4 | 44 | WLLWD |
| 12 |  Juan Pablo II College | 32 | 11 | 8 | 13 | 47:57 | -10 | 41 | LLLDD |
| 13 | Comerciantes Unidos | 31 | 8 | 11 | 12 | 42:45 | -3 | 35 | DLWWD |
| 14 |  Atletico Grau | 31 | 9 | 7 | 15 | 28:38 | -10 | 34 | LLLWL |
| 15 |  ADT | 31 | 7 | 9 | 15 | 33:45 | -12 | 30 | DWWDL |
| 16 | UCV Moquegua | 32 | 7 | 8 | 17 | 25:46 | -21 | 29 | LDLWL |
| 17 | FC Cajamarca | 31 | 7 | 7 | 17 | 44:60 | -16 | 28 | WWLLD |
| 18 |  UTC Cajamarca | 31 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 36:55 | -19 | 18 | LLDLD |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alianza Lima | 31 | 52:23 | 65 |
| 2 | Universitario | 30 | 52:34 | 56 |
| 3 | FBC Melgar | 31 | 54:35 | 54 |
| 4 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 31 | 47:33 | 51 |
| 5 | Cusco | 32 | 46:44 | 51 |
| 6 | Cienciano | 31 | 53:43 | 50 |
| 7 | Alianza Atletico | 32 | 49:46 | 49 |
| 8 | Sporting Cristal | 31 | 57:47 | 47 |
| 9 | Club Deportivo Los Chankas | 32 | 39:51 | 47 |
| 10 | Sport Boys | 31 | 35:33 | 44 |
| 11 | Sport Huancayo | 31 | 44:48 | 44 |
| 12 | Juan Pablo II College | 32 | 47:57 | 41 |
| 13 | Comerciantes Unidos | 31 | 42:45 | 35 |
| 14 | Atletico Grau | 31 | 28:38 | 34 |
| 15 | ADT | 31 | 33:45 | 30 |
| 16 | UCV Moquegua | 32 | 25:46 | 29 |
| 17 | FC Cajamarca | 31 | 44:60 | 28 |
| 18 | UTC Cajamarca | 31 | 36:55 | 18 |
Primera Division: Apertura
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alianza Lima | 17 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 30:8 | +22 | 40 | DWWWW |
| 2 | Club Deportivo Los Chankas | 17 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 25:21 | +4 | 34 | WDLLW |
| 3 | Cienciano | 17 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 34:22 | +12 | 33 | WWDLW |
| 4 | Universitario | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 24:15 | +9 | 29 | WLWLW |
| 5 | FBC Melgar | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 29:20 | +9 | 28 | DWLWW |
| 6 | Cusco | 17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 21:24 | -3 | 27 | LDDWW |
| 7 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 21:18 | +3 | 26 | WWWLL |
| 8 | Alianza Atletico | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 20:18 | +2 | 21 | WLWWL |
| 9 | Comerciantes Unidos | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 18:20 | -2 | 21 | DLWWD |
| 10 | ADT | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 22:21 | +1 | 20 | DWWDL |
| 11 | Sport Boys | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 15:19 | -4 | 20 | DLDWL |
| 12 | Sporting Cristal | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 28:30 | -2 | 19 | DDLLW |
| 13 | UTC Cajamarca | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 21:26 | -5 | 18 | LLDLD |
| 14 | UCV Moquegua | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 17:24 | -7 | 18 | LDLWL |
| 15 | FC Cajamarca | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 23:28 | -5 | 17 | WWLLD |
| 16 | Atletico Grau | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 12:18 | -6 | 16 | LLLWL |
| 17 | Sport Huancayo | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 21:31 | -10 | 16 | WLLWD |
| 18 | Juan Pablo II College | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 22:40 | -18 | 16 | LLLDD |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alianza Lima | 17 | 30:8 | 40 |
| 2 | Club Deportivo Los Chankas | 17 | 25:21 | 34 |
| 3 | Cienciano | 17 | 34:22 | 33 |
| 4 | Universitario | 17 | 24:15 | 29 |
| 5 | FBC Melgar | 17 | 29:20 | 28 |
| 6 | Cusco | 17 | 21:24 | 27 |
| 7 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 17 | 21:18 | 26 |
| 8 | Alianza Atletico | 17 | 20:18 | 21 |
| 9 | Comerciantes Unidos | 17 | 18:20 | 21 |
| 10 | ADT | 17 | 22:21 | 20 |
| 11 | Sport Boys | 17 | 15:19 | 20 |
| 12 | Sporting Cristal | 17 | 28:30 | 19 |
| 13 | UTC Cajamarca | 17 | 21:26 | 18 |
| 14 | UCV Moquegua | 17 | 17:24 | 18 |
| 15 | FC Cajamarca | 17 | 23:28 | 17 |
| 16 | Atletico Grau | 17 | 12:18 | 16 |
| 17 | Sport Huancayo | 17 | 21:31 | 16 |
| 18 | Juan Pablo II College | 17 | 22:40 | 16 |
Primera Division: Clausura
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sporting Cristal | 14 | 9 | 1 | 4 | 29:17 | +12 | 28 | DDLLW |
| 2 | Sport Huancayo | 14 | 9 | 1 | 4 | 23:17 | +6 | 28 | WLLWD |
| 3 | Alianza Atletico | 15 | 9 | 1 | 5 | 29:28 | +1 | 28 | WLWWL |
| 4 | Universitario | 13 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 28:19 | +9 | 27 | WLWLW |
| 5 | FBC Melgar | 14 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 25:15 | +10 | 26 | DWLWW |
| 6 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 14 | 8 | 1 | 5 | 26:15 | +11 | 25 | WWWLL |
| 7 | Juan Pablo II College | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 25:17 | +8 | 25 | LLLDD |
| 8 | Alianza Lima | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 22:15 | +7 | 25 | DWWWW |
| 9 | Sport Boys | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 20:14 | +6 | 24 | DLDWL |
| 10 | Cusco | 15 | 8 | 0 | 7 | 25:20 | +5 | 24 | LDDWW |
| 11 | Atletico Grau | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 16:20 | -4 | 18 | LLLWL |
| 12 | Cienciano | 14 | 5 | 2 | 7 | 19:21 | -2 | 17 | WWDLW |
| 13 | Comerciantes Unidos | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 24:25 | -1 | 14 | DLWWD |
| 14 | Club Deportivo Los Chankas | 15 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 14:30 | -16 | 13 | WDLLW |
| 15 | FC Cajamarca | 14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 21:32 | -11 | 11 | WWLLD |
| 16 | UCV Moquegua | 15 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 8:22 | -14 | 11 | LDLWL |
| 17 | ADT | 14 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 11:24 | -13 | 10 | DWWDL |
| 18 | UTC Cajamarca | 14 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 15:29 | -14 | 5 | LLDLD |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sporting Cristal | 14 | 29:17 | 28 |
| 2 | Sport Huancayo | 14 | 23:17 | 28 |
| 3 | Alianza Atletico | 15 | 29:28 | 28 |
| 4 | Universitario | 13 | 28:19 | 27 |
| 5 | FBC Melgar | 14 | 25:15 | 26 |
| 6 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 14 | 26:15 | 25 |
| 7 | Juan Pablo II College | 15 | 25:17 | 25 |
| 8 | Alianza Lima | 14 | 22:15 | 25 |
| 9 | Sport Boys | 14 | 20:14 | 24 |
| 10 | Cusco | 15 | 25:20 | 24 |
| 11 | Atletico Grau | 14 | 16:20 | 18 |
| 12 | Cienciano | 14 | 19:21 | 17 |
| 13 | Comerciantes Unidos | 14 | 24:25 | 14 |
| 14 | Club Deportivo Los Chankas | 15 | 14:30 | 13 |
| 15 | FC Cajamarca | 14 | 21:32 | 11 |
| 16 | UCV Moquegua | 15 | 8:22 | 11 |
| 17 | ADT | 14 | 11:24 | 10 |
| 18 | UTC Cajamarca | 14 | 15:29 | 5 |
PromotionRelegation
Explore more predictions
This match
More Primera División matches
- Club Deportivo Los Chankas vs Comerciantes Unidos 31/07/26
- FC Cajamarca vs Sport Huancayo 01/08/26
- Atletico Grau vs Sport Boys 01/08/26
- Cusco vs UTC Cajamarca 02/08/26
- Sporting Cristal vs Juan Pablo II College 02/08/26
- ADT vs Deportivo Garcilaso 02/08/26
- UCV Moquegua vs FBC Melgar 02/08/26
- Cienciano vs Universitario 03/08/26
About the Alianza Lima vs Alianza Atletico forecast
Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
Alianza Lima and Alianza Atletico in the Primera División table
In the Primera División table, Alianza Lima are 1st and Alianza Atletico 7th, 16 points apart. League goal record so far: Alianza Lima 52-23, Alianza Atletico 49-46. The full standings are on the Primera División Table 2026 page.
Key Factors for This Match
This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.