Alianza Lima vs Alianza Atletico Prediction
Peru · Clausura - 3
Estadio Alejandro Villanueva, Lima· Michael Espinoza, Peru 02/08/2026
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
AI Best Pick
69%Trust
1X2
Home Win
1.38SignalSOLIDModel60%RiskMediumGap-3.0%
Value Analysis
73%Trust
Home Cards
Home Cards Over 1.5
1.52SignalHIGHModel57%RiskMediumGap+12.6%
Alianza Lima Rest
6 days
Alianza Atletico Rest
8 days
Match Forecasts
Match Result
170%1.38
X19%4.33
211%8.38
Double Chance
1X89%1.06
X231%2.89
Both Teams to Score
Yes61%2.30
No39%1.57
Goals
Projected Goals: 2.64 + 0.87 = 3.51
Over 1.597%1.30
Over 2.566%2.00
Over 3.548%3.48
Under 1.53%3.25
Under 2.534%1.76
Under 3.552%1.25
Corners
Projected Corners: 6.1 + 4 = 10
Over 8.560%2.03
Over 9.549%2.71
Over 10.537%3.40
Under 8.540%1.70
Under 9.551%1.40
Under 10.563%1.26
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.5 + 2.5 = 5
Over 3.573%-
Over 4.555%1.71
Under 3.527%-
Under 4.545%2.01
Match Events
14'E. CastilloAssist: J. Velez
28'J. Ingratti
32'Paolo GuerreroUnsportsmanlike conduct
40'G. A. Larios SaavedraFoul
45'R. GarcesFoul
51'W. GuzmanOG
57'W. GuzmanFoul
66'J. del Castillo INA. Munoz out
70'Paolo Guerrero INA. Cantero out
73'G. A. Larios Saavedra INJ. Molina out
79'J. VelezAssist: A. Cantero
80'A. MunozFoul
83'C. Penilla INF. Flores out
83'J. Ingratti INJ. Perez out
83'G. Diaz INJ. Lujan out
84'E. Castillo INJ. Archimbaud out
90+1'F. Gaibor INJ. Castillo out
90+1'R. Garces INN. Diaz out
Lineups
Alianza LimaAlianza Atletico
4-2-3-1Coach: Federico Urciuoli
1A. DuarteAlejandro Duarte
17L. AdvínculaLuis Advíncula
6R. GarcésRenzo Garcés
3M. AntoniMateo Antoni
13M. HuamánMarco Huamán
5E. PavezEsteban Pavez
7F. GaiborFernando Gaibor
20J. VélezJairo Vélez
99F. GirottiFederico Girotti
8E. CastilloEryc Castillo
34P. GuerreroPaolo Guerrero
31S. RivadeneyraSteven Rivadeneyra
21E. PerlecheErick Perleche
2R. SuárezRomán Suárez
25W. GuzmánWilliams Guzmán
24A. GordilloAnthony Gordillo
15H. LupúHernan Lupú
10G. DiazGerman Diaz
11G. LariosGuillermo Larios
22J. del CastilloJorge del Castillo
17C. PenillaCristian Penilla
27J. IngrattiJosé IngrattiAlianza Lima Substitutes
11Alan CanteroF
29Jean Pierre ArchimbaudM
2Nicolás DíazD
15Jesús CastilloM
12Ángel de la CruzG
4Gianfranco ChávezD
22Christian NeiraM
30Geray MottaF
25Gaspar GentileF
Alianza Atletico Substitutes
23Ariel MuñozM
29Jairo MolinaF
6José LujánD
20Jimmy PérezM
8Franchesco FloresM
95Daniel PrietoG
19Jesus MendietaD
16Stefano FernándezM
77Christian ValladolidF
Match Stats
Alianza LimaAlianza Atletico 75%Ball Possession25%
8Corner Kicks3
2Yellow Cards2
0Red Cards1
19Total Shots7
5Shots on Goal3
9Shots off Goal3
14Shots Inside Box5
5Shots Outside Box2
5Blocked Shots1
6Fouls9
2Offsides2
2Goalkeeper Saves3
534Total Passes185
478Passes Accurate122
90%Pass Accuracy66%
Team Comparison
Alianza LimaAlianza Atletico1679Elo Rating 1618
0.81Attack 2.32
1.87Defense 1.23
14%Hit Rate 56%
17.5Shots per Game 17.0
4.1Shots on Target 5.7
6.2Corners per Game 4.0
1.8Cards per Game 3.0
AI Insights
⚽High Goal Expectancy3.51 goals
📈BTTS Trend63% in H2H
📉Home Underperforming
Game State Tendencies
Alianza Lima- Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
- Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
Alianza Atletico- Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
Head to Head
Based on 5 historical meetings
Alianza Lima 14%Draw 42%44% Alianza Atletico
2.14Avg Goals
63%BTTS Rate
44%Over 2.5
Recent Form
Alianza Lima1W2D2L
26/07/2026
Comerciantes UnidosAlianza LimaAlianza Lima
Sport Huancayo
Comerciantes UnidosAlianza Lima22
D20/07/2026Alianza LimaSport Huancayo21
W28/06/2026Alianza LimaAlianza Atletico
Alianza LimaAlianza Atletico12
L21/06/2026
Carlos A. MannucciAlianza Lima
Carlos A. MannucciAlianza Lima31
L14/06/2026
Cesar VallejoAlianza Lima
Cesar VallejoAlianza Lima00
DAlianza Atletico4W0D1L
24/07/2026Alianza Atletico
Club Deportivo Los Chankas
CuscoAlianza AtleticoAlianza AtleticoCesar Vallejo
Alianza AtleticoClub Deportivo Los Chankas31
W19/07/2026CuscoAlianza Atletico41
L10/07/2026Alianza Atletico
Molinos El Pirata
Alianza AtleticoMolinos El Pirata32
W28/06/2026Alianza LimaAlianza Atletico
19/06/2026Alianza LimaAlianza Atletico12
WAlianza AtleticoCesar Vallejo20
WReferee Profile
Michael Espinoza, Peru · 29 matches analysed
4.4Avg Yellows
4.7Avg Cards
23.1Avg Fouls
Stricter than 52% of referees analysed
League Table
Primera Division: Tabla Anual
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alianza Lima | 26 | 15 | 8 | 3 | 42:18 | +24 | 53 | LWDWW |
| 2 |  Universitario | 26 | 14 | 7 | 5 | 43:27 | +16 | 49 | WDWLW |
| 3 |  FBC Melgar | 26 | 13 | 6 | 7 | 44:28 | +16 | 45 | LDDLL |
| 4 |  Deportivo Garcilaso | 26 | 13 | 6 | 7 | 35:24 | +11 | 45 | WDDLL |
| 5 | Cusco | 26 | 13 | 3 | 10 | 38:37 | +1 | 42 | WWLWL |
| 6 | Club Deportivo Los Chankas | 26 | 12 | 5 | 9 | 35:44 | -9 | 41 | WWWWW |
| 7 |  Cienciano | 25 | 12 | 4 | 9 | 44:37 | +7 | 40 | WWWWD |
| 8 | Alianza Atletico | 26 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 38:34 | +4 | 37 | DDWLD |
| 9 |  Sport Boys | 26 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 28:25 | +3 | 37 | LWLLD |
| 10 |  Sporting Cristal | 26 | 10 | 5 | 11 | 45:39 | +6 | 35 | LLWWL |
| 11 |  Atletico Grau | 26 | 9 | 5 | 12 | 25:28 | -3 | 32 | DDDWL |
| 12 | Sport Huancayo | 26 | 9 | 5 | 12 | 34:42 | -8 | 32 | DLLLW |
| 13 |  Juan Pablo II College | 26 | 8 | 7 | 11 | 38:52 | -14 | 31 | WLLWW |
| 14 | Comerciantes Unidos | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 34:36 | -2 | 30 | DDWLW |
| 15 |  FC Cajamarca | 26 | 7 | 6 | 13 | 40:50 | -10 | 27 | LLLLL |
| 16 |  UCV Moquegua | 26 | 6 | 7 | 13 | 24:37 | -13 | 25 | WLLWD |
| 17 |  ADT | 25 | 5 | 7 | 13 | 27:39 | -12 | 22 | DWLDD |
| 18 |  UTC Cajamarca | 26 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 30:47 | -17 | 15 | LDLWL |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alianza Lima | 26 | 42:18 | 53 |
| 2 | Universitario | 26 | 43:27 | 49 |
| 3 | FBC Melgar | 26 | 44:28 | 45 |
| 4 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 26 | 35:24 | 45 |
| 5 | Cusco | 26 | 38:37 | 42 |
| 6 | Club Deportivo Los Chankas | 26 | 35:44 | 41 |
| 7 | Cienciano | 25 | 44:37 | 40 |
| 8 | Alianza Atletico | 26 | 38:34 | 37 |
| 9 | Sport Boys | 26 | 28:25 | 37 |
| 10 | Sporting Cristal | 26 | 45:39 | 35 |
| 11 | Atletico Grau | 26 | 25:28 | 32 |
| 12 | Sport Huancayo | 26 | 34:42 | 32 |
| 13 | Juan Pablo II College | 26 | 38:52 | 31 |
| 14 | Comerciantes Unidos | 26 | 34:36 | 30 |
| 15 | FC Cajamarca | 26 | 40:50 | 27 |
| 16 | UCV Moquegua | 26 | 24:37 | 25 |
| 17 | ADT | 25 | 27:39 | 22 |
| 18 | UTC Cajamarca | 26 | 30:47 | 15 |
Primera Division: Apertura
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alianza Lima | 17 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 30:8 | +22 | 40 | LWDWW |
| 2 | Club Deportivo Los Chankas | 17 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 25:21 | +4 | 34 | WWWWW |
| 3 | Cienciano | 17 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 34:22 | +12 | 33 | WWWWD |
| 4 | Universitario | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 24:15 | +9 | 29 | WDWLW |
| 5 | FBC Melgar | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 29:20 | +9 | 28 | LDDLL |
| 6 | Cusco | 17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 21:24 | -3 | 27 | WWLWL |
| 7 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 21:18 | +3 | 26 | WDDLL |
| 8 | Alianza Atletico | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 20:18 | +2 | 21 | DDWLD |
| 9 | Comerciantes Unidos | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 18:20 | -2 | 21 | DDWLW |
| 10 | ADT | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 22:21 | +1 | 20 | DWLDD |
| 11 | Sport Boys | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 15:19 | -4 | 20 | LWLLD |
| 12 | Sporting Cristal | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 28:30 | -2 | 19 | LLWWL |
| 13 | UTC Cajamarca | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 21:26 | -5 | 18 | LDLWL |
| 14 | UCV Moquegua | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 17:24 | -7 | 18 | WLLWD |
| 15 | FC Cajamarca | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 23:28 | -5 | 17 | LLLLL |
| 16 | Atletico Grau | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 12:18 | -6 | 16 | DDDWL |
| 17 | Sport Huancayo | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 21:31 | -10 | 16 | DLLLW |
| 18 | Juan Pablo II College | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 22:40 | -18 | 16 | WLLWW |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alianza Lima | 17 | 30:8 | 40 |
| 2 | Club Deportivo Los Chankas | 17 | 25:21 | 34 |
| 3 | Cienciano | 17 | 34:22 | 33 |
| 4 | Universitario | 17 | 24:15 | 29 |
| 5 | FBC Melgar | 17 | 29:20 | 28 |
| 6 | Cusco | 17 | 21:24 | 27 |
| 7 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 17 | 21:18 | 26 |
| 8 | Alianza Atletico | 17 | 20:18 | 21 |
| 9 | Comerciantes Unidos | 17 | 18:20 | 21 |
| 10 | ADT | 17 | 22:21 | 20 |
| 11 | Sport Boys | 17 | 15:19 | 20 |
| 12 | Sporting Cristal | 17 | 28:30 | 19 |
| 13 | UTC Cajamarca | 17 | 21:26 | 18 |
| 14 | UCV Moquegua | 17 | 17:24 | 18 |
| 15 | FC Cajamarca | 17 | 23:28 | 17 |
| 16 | Atletico Grau | 17 | 12:18 | 16 |
| 17 | Sport Huancayo | 17 | 21:31 | 16 |
| 18 | Juan Pablo II College | 17 | 22:40 | 16 |
Primera Division: Clausura
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Universitario | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 19:12 | +7 | 20 | WDWLW |
| 2 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 14:6 | +8 | 19 | WDDLL |
| 3 | FBC Melgar | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 15:8 | +7 | 17 | LDDLL |
| 4 | Sport Boys | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 13:6 | +7 | 17 | LWLLD |
| 5 | Sporting Cristal | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 17:9 | +8 | 16 | LLWWL |
| 6 | Atletico Grau | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 13:10 | +3 | 16 | DDDWL |
| 7 | Alianza Atletico | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 18:16 | +2 | 16 | DDWLD |
| 8 | Sport Huancayo | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 13:11 | +2 | 16 | DLLLW |
| 9 | Cusco | 9 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 17:13 | +4 | 15 | WWLWL |
| 10 | Juan Pablo II College | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 16:12 | +4 | 15 | WLLWW |
| 11 | Alianza Lima | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 12:10 | +2 | 13 | LWDWW |
| 12 | FC Cajamarca | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 17:22 | -5 | 10 | LLLLL |
| 13 | Comerciantes Unidos | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 16:16 | 0 | 9 | DDWLW |
| 14 | Cienciano | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 10:15 | -5 | 7 | WWWWD |
| 15 | UCV Moquegua | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 7:13 | -6 | 7 | WLLWD |
| 16 | Club Deportivo Los Chankas | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 10:23 | -13 | 7 | WWWWW |
| 17 | UTC Cajamarca | 9 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 9:21 | -12 | 2 | LDLWL |
| 18 | ADT | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 5:18 | -13 | 2 | DWLDD |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Universitario | 9 | 19:12 | 20 |
| 2 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 9 | 14:6 | 19 |
| 3 | FBC Melgar | 9 | 15:8 | 17 |
| 4 | Sport Boys | 9 | 13:6 | 17 |
| 5 | Sporting Cristal | 9 | 17:9 | 16 |
| 6 | Atletico Grau | 9 | 13:10 | 16 |
| 7 | Alianza Atletico | 9 | 18:16 | 16 |
| 8 | Sport Huancayo | 9 | 13:11 | 16 |
| 9 | Cusco | 9 | 17:13 | 15 |
| 10 | Juan Pablo II College | 9 | 16:12 | 15 |
| 11 | Alianza Lima | 9 | 12:10 | 13 |
| 12 | FC Cajamarca | 9 | 17:22 | 10 |
| 13 | Comerciantes Unidos | 9 | 16:16 | 9 |
| 14 | Cienciano | 8 | 10:15 | 7 |
| 15 | UCV Moquegua | 9 | 7:13 | 7 |
| 16 | Club Deportivo Los Chankas | 9 | 10:23 | 7 |
| 17 | UTC Cajamarca | 9 | 9:21 | 2 |
| 18 | ADT | 8 | 5:18 | 2 |
PromotionRelegation
Alianza Lima vs Alianza Atletico Prediction
Our AI model has analysed this Primera División fixture using team Elo ratings, recent form, projected goals and head-to-head history. The forecasts cover six independent markets - each probability is a separate model calculation, not derived from the match winner result.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive or open market; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
About Primera División
ScorePredicts covers Peru football across all major markets. Use the navigation to explore today's full fixture list or filter by market.
Key Factors for This Match
Alianza Lima and Alianza Atletico have met 5 times recently, averaging 2.14 goals per game in those meetings. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.