Sporting JAX vs Birmingham Legion Prediction

USL ChampionshipUSA USA · Group Stage
Sporting JAX
0-1
Finished
HT 0-1
Birmingham Legion
Hodges Stadium·E. Osmanovic 15/10/2026
Sporting JAXSporting JAX
0-1
Finished
Birmingham LegionBirmingham Legion

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
3.2 / 10
AI Best Pick
73%Trust
Double Chance
Draw or Away Win
1.25
SignalGOODModel48%SurpriseMediumGap-6.7%
Sporting JAX Rest
14 days
Birmingham Legion Rest
11 days

Sporting JAX vs Birmingham Legion: the result in context

Birmingham Legion beat Sporting JAX 1-0 in the USL Championship on 15 Oct 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
28%3.35
X
23%3.80
2
49%1.85
Double Chance
1X
51%1.80
X2
72%1.25
Both Teams to Score
Yes
63%1.36
No
37%2.80
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.27 + 1.59 = 2.86
Over 1.5
83%1.10
Over 2.5
63%1.36
Over 3.5
42%1.91
Under 1.5
17%6.00
Under 2.5
37%2.78
Under 3.5
58%1.77
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

26'H. Neville
27'V. Alvarado
37'Paterson AJ
60'E. Rito
62'W. Kuzain INK. Sadlier out
66'P. Vassell INS. Tregarthen out
69'A. Luckhurst INE. Jaaskelainen out
71'G. Diarbian INS. Saucedo out
75'N. Brown
77'A. Al Qaq INR. Pedder out
78'T. Roberts INR. Somersall out
85'S. Shashoua INR. Williams out
86'Paterson AJ INP. Kavita out
88'A. Gomez

Team Comparison

Sporting JAXSporting JAX
Birmingham LegionBirmingham Legion
1317Elo Rating 1445
0.36Attack 1.30
0.51Defense 2.56
0%Hit Rate 61%

AI Insights

⚽High Goal Expectancy2.87 goals

Game State Tendencies

Sporting JAXSporting JAX
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.4 vs 0 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Birmingham LegionBirmingham Legion
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break

Head to Head

1 previous meeting, all competitions

Sporting JAXSporting JAX1Wins · 100%
Draws00%
Birmingham LegionBirmingham Legion0Wins · 0%
5.0Avg Goals
100%Both teams scored1 of 1
100%3+ goals1 of 1

Previous meetings

USL Championship23/08/2026
Birmingham LegionSporting JAX
23

Recent Form

Sporting JAXSporting JAX
2W0D8L
01/10/2026
Miami FCSporting JAX
41
L
26/09/2026
Sporting JAXLoudoun United
14
L
17/09/2026
Hartford AthleticSporting JAX
20
L
13/09/2026
Sporting JAXRhode Island
03
L
06/09/2026
Sporting JAXLexington
32
W
30/08/2026
BrooklynSporting JAX
41
L
23/08/2026
Birmingham LegionSporting JAX
23
W
16/08/2026
Sporting JAXIndy Eleven
01
L
02/08/2026
Sacramento RepublicSporting JAX
50
L26/07/2026
El Paso LocomotiveSporting JAX
20
L
Birmingham LegionBirmingham Legion
2W3D5L
04/10/2026
Detroit CityBirmingham Legion
10
L23/09/2026
Birmingham LegionBrooklyn
40
W20/09/2026
Tampa Bay RowdiesBirmingham Legion
40
L
17/09/2026
Birmingham LegionNew Mexico United
44
D
13/09/2026
Birmingham LegionCharleston Battery
22
D
06/09/2026
Indy ElevenBirmingham Legion
22
D
30/08/2026
Hartford AthleticBirmingham Legion
32
L
23/08/2026
Birmingham LegionSporting JAX
23
L
16/08/2026
Colorado SpringsBirmingham Legion
32
L
03/08/2026
Birmingham LegionRhode Island
10
W

League Table

USL Championship 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Tampa Bay RowdiesTampa Bay Rowdies30187552:26+2661WWWLD
2Charleston BatteryCharleston Battery30165956:35+2153WWDLW
3Detroit CityDetroit City30149734:21+1351DLWWW
4Louisville CityLouisville City30138951:43+847DWWWD
5Pittsburgh RiverhoundsPittsburgh Riverhounds301361133:30+345WDWLL
6Hartford AthleticHartford Athletic301013735:33+243WLDLD
7Rhode IslandRhode Island301261242:33+942LDWLW
8Miami FCMiami FC30991239:49-1036LLWWW
9Indy ElevenIndy Eleven30971435:41-634LLLDL
10Loudoun UnitedLoudoun United306131138:48-1031WDLWD
11Birmingham LegionBirmingham Legion306121240:46-630LWDWL
12BrooklynBrooklyn30561934:63-2921LLWLL
13Sporting JAXSporting JAX30352232:78-4614LLLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1Tampa Bay RowdiesTampa Bay Rowdies3052:2661
2Charleston BatteryCharleston Battery3056:3553
3Detroit CityDetroit City3034:2151
4Louisville CityLouisville City3051:4347
5Pittsburgh RiverhoundsPittsburgh Riverhounds3033:3045
6Hartford AthleticHartford Athletic3035:3343
7Rhode IslandRhode Island3042:3342
8Miami FCMiami FC3039:4936
9Indy ElevenIndy Eleven3035:4134
10Loudoun UnitedLoudoun United3038:4831
11Birmingham LegionBirmingham Legion3040:4630
12BrooklynBrooklyn3034:6321
13Sporting JAXSporting JAX3032:7814

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About the Sporting JAX vs Birmingham Legion forecast

The forecasts for this USL Championship match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Sporting JAX and Birmingham Legion in the USL Championship table

Birmingham Legion and Sporting JAX are close in the USL Championship table, 11th and 13th, with 16 points between them. League goal record so far: Sporting JAX 32-78, Birmingham Legion 40-46. The full standings are on the USL Championship Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Sporting JAX and Birmingham Legion have met only 1 time recently, with 5.0 goals in that meeting. Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.