Phoenix Rising vs Las Vegas Lights Prediction
USA · Group Stage
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Phoenix Rising vs Las Vegas Lights: result, form and history
Phoenix Rising beat Las Vegas Lights 3-2 in the USL Championship on 11 Oct 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.
Meetings between them tend to be tight, with just 2.0 goals a game across 10 matches.
Match Forecasts
Corner forecasts not available for this match
Card forecasts not available for this match
Match Events
Team Comparison
Phoenix Rising
Las Vegas LightsAI Insights
Game State Tendencies
Phoenix Rising- Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1.4 vs 0.5 in second half)
- Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Las Vegas Lights- Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
- Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
- Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
Head to Head
Last 10 meetings, all competitions
Phoenix Rising2Wins · 20%4Wins · 40%Previous meetings
02/08/2026Las Vegas LightsPhoenix Rising06/09/2025Phoenix RisingLas Vegas Lights29/05/2025Las Vegas LightsPhoenix Rising29/09/2024Phoenix RisingLas Vegas Lights02/06/2024Las Vegas LightsPhoenix Rising27/08/2023Las Vegas LightsPhoenix Rising27/05/2023Phoenix RisingLas Vegas Lights07/08/2022Phoenix RisingLas Vegas Lights25/06/2022Las Vegas LightsPhoenix Rising20/03/2022Las Vegas LightsPhoenix RisingRecent Form
Phoenix Rising
New Mexico UnitedPhoenix Rising
Oakland RootsPhoenix RisingPhoenix Rising
El Paso LocomotivePhoenix Rising
FC Tulsa
Monterey BayPhoenix RisingPhoenix Rising
Indy Eleven
Sacramento RepublicPhoenix RisingPhoenix Rising
Colorado Springs
LexingtonPhoenix RisingLas Vegas LightsPhoenix RisingLas Vegas LightsLas Vegas Lights
San AntonioSacramento RepublicLas Vegas LightsLas Vegas Lights
Hartford Athletic
Orange County SCLas Vegas LightsLas Vegas LightsNew Mexico UnitedLas Vegas Lights
Charleston BatteryLexingtonLas Vegas LightsLas Vegas Lights
Brooklyn
Miami FCLas Vegas LightsLas Vegas LightsOakland RootsLeague Table
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | New Mexico United | 30 | 15 | 7 | 8 | 45:34 | +11 | 52 | WLWWL |
| 2 | Sacramento Republic | 30 | 13 | 12 | 5 | 42:28 | +14 | 51 | WWDDW |
| 3 | El Paso Locomotive | 30 | 15 | 5 | 10 | 48:38 | +10 | 50 | LLWLD |
| 4 | Lexington | 30 | 14 | 6 | 10 | 57:39 | +18 | 48 | DWDWW |
| 5 | Colorado Springs | 30 | 13 | 8 | 9 | 44:38 | +6 | 47 | WWDDD |
| 6 | San Antonio | 30 | 11 | 12 | 7 | 32:30 | +2 | 45 | WWDLD |
| 7 | FC Tulsa | 30 | 11 | 10 | 9 | 34:31 | +3 | 43 | LLDDW |
| 8 | Phoenix Rising | 30 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 45:46 | -1 | 40 | DWWLL |
| 9 | Orange County SC | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 39:49 | -10 | 39 | LLLLW |
| 10 | Oakland Roots | 30 | 9 | 11 | 10 | 39:40 | -1 | 38 | LWDDW |
| 11 | Las Vegas Lights | 30 | 10 | 6 | 14 | 41:48 | -7 | 36 | LLLWL |
| 12 | Monterey Bay | 30 | 6 | 6 | 18 | 32:52 | -20 | 24 | WLLWL |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | New Mexico United | 30 | 45:34 | 52 |
| 2 | Sacramento Republic | 30 | 42:28 | 51 |
| 3 | El Paso Locomotive | 30 | 48:38 | 50 |
| 4 | Lexington | 30 | 57:39 | 48 |
| 5 | Colorado Springs | 30 | 44:38 | 47 |
| 6 | San Antonio | 30 | 32:30 | 45 |
| 7 | FC Tulsa | 30 | 34:31 | 43 |
| 8 | Phoenix Rising | 30 | 45:46 | 40 |
| 9 | Orange County SC | 30 | 39:49 | 39 |
| 10 | Oakland Roots | 30 | 39:40 | 38 |
| 11 | Las Vegas Lights | 30 | 41:48 | 36 |
| 12 | Monterey Bay | 30 | 32:52 | 24 |
Explore more predictions
This match
More USL Championship matches
- Miami FC vs Loudoun United 11/10/26
- Pittsburgh Riverhounds vs Hartford Athletic 11/10/26
- El Paso Locomotive vs Orange County SC 11/10/26
- New Mexico United vs Monterey Bay 11/10/26
- Oakland Roots vs San Antonio 11/10/26
- Sacramento Republic vs Colorado Springs 11/10/26
- Sporting JAX vs Birmingham Legion 15/10/26
- Rhode Island vs Loudoun United 15/10/26
About the Phoenix Rising vs Las Vegas Lights forecast
Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
Phoenix Rising and Las Vegas Lights in the USL Championship table
In the USL Championship table, Phoenix Rising are 8th and Las Vegas Lights 11th, 4 points apart. League goal record so far: Phoenix Rising 45-46, Las Vegas Lights 41-48. The full standings are on the USL Championship Table 2026 page.
Key Factors for This Match
Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.