Miami FC vs Sporting JAX Prediction

USL ChampionshipUSA USA · Group Stage
Miami FC
4-1
Finished
HT 2-1
Sporting JAX
Riccardo Silva Stadium·M. Hassan 01/10/2026
Miami FCMiami FC
4-1
Finished
Sporting JAXSporting JAX

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
3.2 / 10
AI Best Pick
64%Trust
1X2
Home Win
1.48
SignalSOLIDModel65%SurpriseMediumGap-3.4%
Miami FC Rest
4 days
Sporting JAX Rest
4 days

Miami FC vs Sporting JAX: the result in context

Miami FC beat Sporting JAX 4-1 in the USL Championship on 1 Oct 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
63%1.48
X
20%4.43
2
17%5.28
Double Chance
1X
83%1.12
X2
37%2.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%1.49
No
39%2.45
Goals
Projected Goals: 2.03 + 1.22 = 3.25
Over 1.5
85%1.10
Over 2.5
66%1.40
Over 3.5
46%1.98
Under 1.5
15%6.20
Under 2.5
34%2.82
Under 3.5
54%1.80
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

9'J. Sonora INT. Musto out
29'R. EdwardsFoul
30'W. Kuzain INW. Ackwei out
35'W. AckweiUnsportsmanlike conduct
38'A. RochaAssist: M. Tunbridge
42'C. D. Milanes NavarroAssist: A. Milesi
43'Jean Mota
46'M. Godinho INH. Neville out
52'H. NevilleFoul
66'J. RossiterFoul
68'V. Alvarado IND. Wilson out
75'A. Rocha IND. Mello out
75'B. Ndiaye INTulu out
80'M. TunbridgeAssist: A. Rogers
80'T. Roberts INR. Pedder out
80'K. Sadlier INA. Luckhurst out
82'A. MilesiFoul
85'C. D. Milanes NavarroAssist: M. Romero
85'M. Tunbridge INJ. Medranda out
85'A. Rogers INJ. Levin out
88'Jean MotaUnsportsmanlike conduct
90+2'H. Neville INM. Traore out

Team Comparison

Miami FCMiami FC
Sporting JAXSporting JAX
1437Elo Rating 1317
1.60Attack 0.36
1.64Defense 0.51
50%Hit Rate 0%

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+120 Elo
⚽High Goal Expectancy3.25 goals

Game State Tendencies

Miami FCMiami FC
  • Leads at half-time in 80% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1.1 vs 0.5 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Sporting JAXSporting JAX
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.4 vs 0 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

1 previous meeting, all competitions

Miami FCMiami FC1Wins · 100%
Draws00%
Sporting JAXSporting JAX0Wins · 0%
6.0Avg Goals
100%Both teams scored1 of 1
100%3+ goals1 of 1

Previous meetings

USL Championship26/03/2026
Sporting JAXMiami FC
24

Recent Form

Miami FCMiami FC
2W3D5L
27/09/2026
Indy ElevenMiami FC
02
W20/09/2026
Rhode IslandMiami FC
12
W
13/09/2026
BrooklynMiami FC
11
D
06/09/2026
Miami FCPittsburgh Riverhounds
22
D
25/08/2026
Charleston BatteryMiami FC
50
L
16/08/2026
Hartford AthleticMiami FC
21
L
13/08/2026
San AntonioMiami FC
21
L
09/08/2026
Miami FCLas Vegas Lights
01
L02/08/2026
Miami FCDetroit City
22
D26/07/2026
Miami FCTampa Bay Rowdies
23
L
Sporting JAXSporting JAX
2W1D7L
26/09/2026
Sporting JAXLoudoun United
14
L
17/09/2026
Hartford AthleticSporting JAX
20
L
13/09/2026
Sporting JAXRhode Island
03
L
06/09/2026
Sporting JAXLexington
32
W
30/08/2026
BrooklynSporting JAX
41
L
23/08/2026
Birmingham LegionSporting JAX
23
W
16/08/2026
Sporting JAXIndy Eleven
01
L
02/08/2026
Sacramento RepublicSporting JAX
50
L26/07/2026
El Paso LocomotiveSporting JAX
20
L19/07/2026
Sporting JAXBrooklyn
22
D

League Table

USL Championship 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Tampa Bay RowdiesTampa Bay Rowdies30187552:26+2661WWWLD
2Charleston BatteryCharleston Battery30165956:35+2153WWDLW
3Detroit CityDetroit City30149734:21+1351DLWWW
4Louisville CityLouisville City30138951:43+847DWWWD
5Pittsburgh RiverhoundsPittsburgh Riverhounds301361133:30+345WDWLL
6Hartford AthleticHartford Athletic301013735:33+243WLDLD
7Rhode IslandRhode Island301261242:33+942LDWLW
8Miami FCMiami FC30991239:49-1036LLWWW
9Indy ElevenIndy Eleven30971435:41-634LLLDL
10Loudoun UnitedLoudoun United306131138:48-1031WDLWD
11Birmingham LegionBirmingham Legion306121240:46-630LWDWL
12BrooklynBrooklyn30561934:63-2921LLWLL
13Sporting JAXSporting JAX30352232:78-4614LLLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1Tampa Bay RowdiesTampa Bay Rowdies3052:2661
2Charleston BatteryCharleston Battery3056:3553
3Detroit CityDetroit City3034:2151
4Louisville CityLouisville City3051:4347
5Pittsburgh RiverhoundsPittsburgh Riverhounds3033:3045
6Hartford AthleticHartford Athletic3035:3343
7Rhode IslandRhode Island3042:3342
8Miami FCMiami FC3039:4936
9Indy ElevenIndy Eleven3035:4134
10Loudoun UnitedLoudoun United3038:4831
11Birmingham LegionBirmingham Legion3040:4630
12BrooklynBrooklyn3034:6321
13Sporting JAXSporting JAX3032:7814

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About the Miami FC vs Sporting JAX forecast

The forecasts for this USL Championship match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Miami FC and Sporting JAX in the USL Championship table

In the USL Championship table, Miami FC are 8th and Sporting JAX 13th, 22 points apart. League goal record so far: Miami FC 39-49, Sporting JAX 32-78. The full standings are on the USL Championship Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Miami FC have led at half-time in 80% of their recent matches. Miami FC and Sporting JAX have met only 1 time recently, with 6.0 goals in that meeting. Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.