Sportivo Ameliano vs Nacional Asuncion Prediction

Estadio Ameliano Villeta, Naranjaisy·Blas Romero, Paraguay 25/07/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
3.0 / 10
Value Analysis
69%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.52
SignalGOODModel37%SurpriseMediumGap+8.9%
Sportivo Ameliano Rest
62 days
Nacional Asuncion Rest
62 days

Sportivo Ameliano vs Nacional Asuncion: result, form and history

Sportivo Ameliano and Nacional Asuncion drew 1-1 in the Division Profesional - Clausura on 25 Jul 2026. Nacional Asuncion had gone in with the better form, having won 4 of their previous five against 1 for Sportivo Ameliano.

Meetings between them tend to be tight, with just 1.8 goals a game across 10 matches.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
40%3.00
X
28%3.00
2
32%2.40
Double Chance
1X
69%1.52
X2
60%1.34
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%2.07
No
56%1.66
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.2 + 1 = 2.20
Over 1.5
63%1.50
Over 2.5
38%2.47
Over 3.5
18%5.00
Under 1.5
37%2.50
Under 2.5
62%1.50
Under 3.5
82%1.17
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

24'O. Gaona Lugo
40'W. Rodriguez
54'R. ToralesAssist: F. Franco
58'H. A. BenitezAssist: O. Gaona Lugo
64'L. Ortiz INC. Favero out
64'W. Rodriguez INE. Moreira out
66'R. Prieto INL. Meza out
66'O. Gaona Lugo INI. Valdez out
72'H. A. Benitez INL. Gonzales out
72'V. Larralde ING. M. Camargo out
72'L. Ayala INF. Vera out
79'M. Benitez INA. Paredes out
83'R. C. Ramirez Antunez INA. Cardozo Lucena out
84'D. J. Colman Escobar INF. Pelozo out
84'C. Favero

Lineups

Sportivo Ameliano
Coach: Roberto Nanni
Nacional Asuncion
Coach: Victor Bernay

Sportivo Ameliano Starting XI

35Angel Sanchez6.9
21Fabián Franco7.7
26Julio GonzalezC7.2
22Andrea Falabella7.2
34Miguel Benítez79'replaced by A. Paredes6.7
24Luis Ayala72'replaced by F. Vera6.5
15Walter Rodríguez40'64'replaced by E. Moreira7.0
20Valentín Larralde72'replaced by G. M. Camargo6.9
18Luis Ortiz64'replaced by C. Favero6.2
17Richard Torales54'7.3
30Raúl Cabral6.7
Avg rating6.79

Nacional Asuncion Starting XI

30Santiago Rojas6.9
21Juan Feliu6.9
26Mauro Coronel6.9
5Gaston Benitez6.3
29Sebastian Vargas7.5
33Orlando Gaona LugoC24'66'replaced by I. Valdez6.5
8Fabrizio Jara7.2
25Roberto Ramírez83'replaced by A. Cardozo Lucena6.7
10Josué Colmán84'replaced by F. Pelozo5.9
9Hugo Adrián Benítez7.3
27Richard Prieto66'replaced by L. Meza6.3
Avg rating6.69

Sportivo Ameliano Substitutes

8Estivel Moreira64'for W. Rodriguez6.7
16Carlos Favero64'for L. Ortiz84'6.3
7Fredy Vera72'for L. Ayala6.5
32Marcelo Camargo72'for V. Larralde6.3
19Abel Paredes79'for M. Benitez6.6
23Miguel Martínez
3Francisco Báez
5Hugo Benitez
6Jonathan Benitez Benitez
25Bruno López
40Alberto Contrera
9Cristhian Ocampos
14Edgar Raul Paez Torales

Nacional Asuncion Substitutes

13Leandro Meza66'for R. Prieto6.6
18Hugo Valdez66'for O. Gaona Lugo6.5
19Lucas González6.5
15Ángel Cardozo Lucena83'for R. C. Ramirez Antunez6.7
36Franco Pelozo84'for D. J. Colman Escobar6.3
1Gerardo Ortiz
23Carlos Espinola
20Rodolfo Arguello Balbuena
2Rodrigo Melgarejo
31Mauricio Cabrera
17Jordan Santacruz
38Tobías Vega

Match Stats

Sportivo AmelianoNacional Asuncion
56%Ball Possession44%
3Corner Kicks5
2Yellow Cards1
12Total Shots13
3Shots on Goal6
7Shots off Goal3
5Shots Inside Box5
7Shots Outside Box8
2Blocked Shots4
9Fouls9
0Offsides4
5Goalkeeper Saves2
577Total Passes450
486Passes Accurate365
84%Pass Accuracy81%

Team Comparison

Sportivo AmelianoSportivo Ameliano
Nacional AsuncionNacional Asuncion
1521Elo Rating 1642
1.04Attack 1.10
1.54Defense 2.28
0%Hit Rate 42%
12.7Shots per Game 11.9
4.5Shots on Target 3.9
4.5Corners per Game 5.3
2.6Cards per Game 2.4

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend60% in H2H
📉Home Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

Sportivo AmelianoSportivo Ameliano
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 67% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1 vs 0 in first half)
Nacional AsuncionNacional Asuncion
  • Tied at half-time in 80% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.8 vs 0.3 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

Sportivo AmelianoSportivo Ameliano3Wins · 30%
Draws660%
Nacional AsuncionNacional Asuncion1Wins · 10%
1.8Avg Goals
60%Both teams scored6 of 10
20%3+ goals2 of 10

Previous meetings

Division Profesional - Apertura21/04/2026
Sportivo AmelianoNacional Asuncion
11
Division Profesional - Apertura20/02/2026
Nacional AsuncionSportivo Ameliano
11
Division Profesional - Apertura04/05/2025
Nacional AsuncionSportivo Ameliano
01
Division Profesional - Apertura22/02/2025
Sportivo AmelianoNacional Asuncion
21
Division Profesional - Apertura06/04/2024
Nacional AsuncionSportivo Ameliano
11
Division Profesional - Apertura19/01/2024
Sportivo AmelianoNacional Asuncion
10
Division Profesional - Apertura06/05/2023
Nacional AsuncionSportivo Ameliano
10
Division Profesional - Apertura24/02/2023
Sportivo AmelianoNacional Asuncion
00
Copa Paraguay05/11/2022
Nacional AsuncionSportivo Ameliano
0111
Division Profesional - Apertura19/06/2022
Sportivo AmelianoNacional Asuncion
22

Recent Form

Sportivo AmelianoSportivo Ameliano
4W4D2L
24/05/2026
Sportivo AmelianoSportivo Trinidense
12
L
16/05/2026
Club GuaraniSportivo Ameliano
10
L
11/05/2026
Sportivo AmelianoDeportivo Recoleta
32
W
03/05/2026
OlimpiaSportivo Ameliano
11
D
25/04/2026
Cerro PortenoSportivo Ameliano
11
D
21/04/2026
Sportivo AmelianoNacional Asuncion
11
D
10/04/2026
2 de MayoSportivo Ameliano
12
W
05/04/2026
Sportivo AmelianoSportivo Luqueno
22
D
01/04/2026
Club Sp. San LorenzoSportivo Ameliano
12
W
28/03/2026
Sportivo AmelianoLibertad Asuncion
20
W
Nacional AsuncionNacional Asuncion
5W4D1L
24/05/2026
Nacional AsuncionLibertad Asuncion
21
W
15/05/2026
Rubio NUNacional Asuncion
11
D
10/05/2026
Nacional AsuncionSportivo Trinidense
21
W
04/05/2026
Club GuaraniNacional Asuncion
01
W
24/04/2026
Nacional AsuncionDeportivo Recoleta
21
W
21/04/2026
Sportivo AmelianoNacional Asuncion
11
D
12/04/2026
Nacional AsuncionCerro Porteno
00
D
04/04/2026
OlimpiaNacional Asuncion
30
L
31/03/2026
2 de MayoNacional Asuncion
11
D
27/03/2026
Nacional AsuncionSportivo Luqueno
32
W

Referee Profile

Blas Romero63 matches

4.78Cards per match
4.39Yellow cards per match
0.39Red cards per match
22.7Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Blas Romero4.78
Other referees4.54

4.78 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.54).

Cards come from 23 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Division Profesional - Clausura 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1OlimpiaOlimpia16103328:12+1633WWDDW
2Sportivo TrinidenseSportivo Trinidense1693426:14+1230WWDWW
3Libertad AsuncionLibertad Asuncion1693424:17+730WLDWL
4Nacional AsuncionNacional Asuncion1685323:9+1429LWWDD
52 de Mayo2 de Mayo1685318:17+129DLWWD
6Club GuaraniClub Guarani1667318:14+425WLDDW
7Cerro PortenoCerro Porteno1673623:17+624WDWLL
8Sportivo AmelianoSportivo Ameliano1647519:21-219LDLLD
9Sportivo LuquenoSportivo Luqueno16511017:30-1316LWLLL
10Rubio NURubio NU1634915:27-1213LLDWD
11Deportivo RecoletaDeportivo Recoleta16331016:28-1212DWLLD
12Club Sp. San LorenzoClub Sp. San Lorenzo1604128:29-214LLDDD
#TeamMPGPts
1OlimpiaOlimpia1628:1233
2Sportivo TrinidenseSportivo Trinidense1626:1430
3Libertad AsuncionLibertad Asuncion1624:1730
4Nacional AsuncionNacional Asuncion1623:929
52 de Mayo2 de Mayo1618:1729
6Club GuaraniClub Guarani1618:1425
7Cerro PortenoCerro Porteno1623:1724
8Sportivo AmelianoSportivo Ameliano1619:2119
9Sportivo LuquenoSportivo Luqueno1617:3016
10Rubio NURubio NU1615:2713
11Deportivo RecoletaDeportivo Recoleta1616:2812
12Club Sp. San LorenzoClub Sp. San Lorenzo168:294
Promotion

About the Sportivo Ameliano vs Nacional Asuncion forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Sportivo Ameliano and Nacional Asuncion in the Division Profesional - Clausura table

In the Division Profesional - Clausura table, Nacional Asuncion are 4th and Sportivo Ameliano 8th, 10 points apart. League goal record so far: Sportivo Ameliano 19-21, Nacional Asuncion 23-9. The full standings are on the Division Profesional - Clausura Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.