Stjarnan vs Ilves Prediction

Stjarnan
1-0
Finished
HT 0-0
Ilves
Stjörnuvöllur, Gardabaer·Oscar Johnson, Sweden 23/07/2026
StjarnanStjarnan
1-0
Finished
IlvesIlves

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
4.8 / 10
AI Best Pick
69%Trust
Double Chance
Draw or Away Win
1.40
SignalSOLIDModel47%SurpriseMediumGap-2.6%
Value Analysis
66%Trust
Goals O/U
Under 3.5 Goals
1.67
SignalGOODModel41%SurpriseHighGap+10.3%
Stjarnan Rest
4 days
Ilves Rest
3 days

Stjarnan vs Ilves: the result in context

Stjarnan beat Ilves 1-0 in the UEFA Europa Conference League on 23 Jul 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Referee Oscar Johnson averages 4.30 cards a game, 0.69 more than other referees in the same competitions.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
31%2.67
X
22%3.75
2
47%2.25
Double Chance
1X
53%1.58
X2
69%1.40
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%1.40
No
52%2.66
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.03 + 1.75 = 2.78
Over 1.5
79%1.13
Over 2.5
57%1.45
Over 3.5
35%2.13
Under 1.5
21%5.50
Under 2.5
43%2.56
Under 3.5
65%1.67
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

58'J. Kilo INR. Riski out
58'J. Veteli INO. Multala out
64'E. Atlason
66'T. Thorisson INB. Hauksson out
71'O. Pettersson ING. Bamba out
71'S. Vaisanen INV. Kumpu out
81'A. Popovitch
83'B. Waren IND. Matthiasson out
83'O. Eggertsson INA. Vilhjalmsson out
84'G. Nokkvason
85'M. Rale INL. Ala-Myllymaki out
90+1'D. Matthiasson
90+5'G. Nokkvason INA. Hauksson out

Lineups

Stjarnan
4-3-3Coach: Jokull Elisabetarson
Ilves
4-3-3Coach: Joni Lehtonen
Árni Snær Ólafsson12Á. Snær Ólafsson
Örvar Logi Örvarsson32Ö. Logi Örvarsson
Sindri Þór Ingimarsson6S. Þór Ingimarsson
Gustav Kjeldsen3G. Kjeldsen
Þorri Mar Þórisson4Þ. Mar Þórisson
Benedikt Warén23B. Warén
Gudmundur Baldvin Nokkvason18G. Baldvin Nokkvason
Jóhann Árni Gunnarsson8J. Árni Gunnarsson
Birnir Snaer Ingason11B. Snaer Ingason
Emil Atlason22E. Atlason
Örvar Eggertsson7Ö. Eggertsson
Faris Krkalić12F. Krkalić
Oliver Pettersson4O. Pettersson
Sauli Väisänen5S. Väisänen
Tatu Miettunen16T. Miettunen
Matias Rale3M. Rale
Joona Veteli7J. Veteli
Jardell Kanga30J. Kanga
Anton Popovitch14A. Popovitch
Kalle Wallius13K. Wallius
Teemu Hytönen9T. Hytönen
Jesse Kilo28J. Kilo

Stjarnan Substitutes

14Bjarki Hauksson66'for T. Thorisson
10Daníel Finns Matthíasson
94Árni Vilhjálmsson83'replaced by O. Eggertsson
29Alex Þór Hauksson90+5'for G. Nokkvason
1Darri Bergmann Gylfason
183Duro Stefan Beic
19Ari Leifsson
5Guðmundur Kristjánsson
24Sigurdur Gunnar Jónsson
25Christian Alexandersson
35Bjarki Fridjon Saemundsson
99Andri Rúnar Bjarnason

Ilves Substitutes

22Oskari Multala58'for J. Veteli
10Roope Riski58'for J. Kilo
19Bamba Abdoul Goudouss71'replaced by O. Pettersson
24Ville Kumpu71'for S. Vaisanen
15Lauri Ala-Myllymäki85'for M. Rale
1Otso Virtanen
31Rasmus Leislahti
17Stanislav Baranov
20Otto Tiitinen

Team Comparison

StjarnanStjarnan
IlvesIlves
1517Elo Rating 1657
2.46Attack 2.13
0.90Defense 2.61
41%Hit Rate 77%
-Shots per Game 12.1
-Shots on Target 4.6
-Corners per Game 2.0
-Cards per Game 1.6

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend
📊Away Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

StjarnanStjarnan
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1.9 vs 0.6 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
IlvesIlves
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.5 vs 0.6 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Recent Form

StjarnanStjarnan
3W3D4L
19/07/2026
KR ReykjavikStjarnan
50
L
16/07/2026
Vikingur GotaStjarnan
22
D
09/07/2026
StjarnanVikingur Gota
31
W
03/07/2026
FH hafnarfjordurStjarnan
22
D
28/06/2026
StjarnanKA Akureyri
31
W
21/06/2026
IBV VestmannaeyjarStjarnan
21
L
16/06/2026
StjarnanBreidablik
44
D
10/06/2026
AftureldingStjarnan
31
L
31/05/2026
Thor AkureyriStjarnan
13
W
26/05/2026
StjarnanVikingur Reykjavik
13
L

Referee Profile

Oscar Johnson140 matches

4.30Cards per match
4.19Yellow cards per match
0.11Red cards per match
25.9Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Oscar Johnson4.30
Other referees3.61

4.30 cards a match, 0.69 more than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (3.61).

Cards come from 100 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

Bracket

Qualifying Round 1
Qualifying Round 2
Qualifying Round 3
Play-offs
Lincoln Red Imps FC
Seeded
Larne
Seeded
Brighton
Seeded
KI Klaksvik
Seeded
PAOK
Seeded
Vikingur Reykjavik
Seeded
Gornik Zabrze
Seeded
Monaco
Seeded
Hradec Králové
Seeded
SC Freiburg
Seeded
Maccabi Tel Aviv
Seeded
Atalanta
Seeded
Heart Of Midlothian
Seeded
Rangers
Seeded
Shamrock Rovers
Seeded
KuPS
Seeded
Pafos
Seeded
Getafe
Seeded
Tromso
Seeded
HNK Hajduk Split
Seeded
Sheriff Tiraspol
Seeded
FC ST. Gallen
Seeded
Dynamo Kyiv
Seeded
Qarabag
Seeded
Inter Club d'Escaldes
Seeded
Hammarby FF
Seeded
Twente
Seeded
FC Midtjylland
Seeded
Tre Fiori
Seeded
IFK Goteborg
Seeded
Floriana
Seeded
Drita
Seeded
Atert Bissen
Seeded
Gyori ETO FC
Seeded
Neftchi Baku
Seeded
Başakşehir
Seeded
Vardar Skopje
Seeded
Riga
Seeded
Spartak Trnava
Seeded
CSKA 1948
Seeded
Železničar Pančevo
Seeded
SC Braga
Seeded
Hibernian
Seeded
Austria Vienna
Seeded
CFR 1907 Cluj
Seeded
Panevėžys
Seeded
FK Tobol Kostanay
Seeded
HJK Helsinki
Seeded
Coleraine FC
Seeded
Flora Tallinn
Seeded
The New Saints
Seeded
Debreceni VSC
Seeded
Apollon Limassol
Seeded
AEK Larnaca
Seeded
Beitar Jerusalem
Seeded
Raków Częstochowa
Seeded
Valletta FC
Seeded
Dunajska Streda
Seeded
Vestri
Seeded
Gais
Seeded
FC Nordsjaelland
Seeded
FC Sion
Seeded
Rapid Vienna
Seeded
Zimbru
Seeded
FC Noah
Seeded
ML Vitebsk
Seeded
Sutjeska
Seeded
Universitatea Cluj
Seeded
Brann
Seeded
FC Vaduz
Seeded
FCSB
Seeded
Auda
Seeded
NK Varazdin
Seeded
FK Jablonec
Seeded
Aluminij
Seeded
Vojvodina
Seeded
Ajax
Seeded
Polessya
Seeded
FC Copenhagen
Seeded
Paks
Seeded
Panathinaikos
Seeded
Hapoel Tel Aviv
Seeded
Ludogorets
Seeded
Borac Banja Luka
Seeded
Petrocub
Seeded
LNZ Cherkasy
Seeded
Gent
Seeded
FC Lugano
Seeded
Dukagjini
Seeded
Žilina
Seeded
GKS Katowice
Seeded
Motherwell
Seeded
HB Torshavn
Seeded
Bravo
Seeded
Koper
Seeded
HNK Rijeka
Seeded
Derry City
Seeded
Shelbourne
Seeded
FK Partizan
Seeded
Valur Reykjavik
Seeded
Zrinjski
Seeded
Lincoln Red Imps FC
Seeded
Larne
Seeded
Brighton
Seeded
KI Klaksvik
Seeded
PAOK
Seeded
Vikingur Reykjavik
Seeded
Gornik Zabrze
Seeded
Monaco
Seeded
Hradec Králové
Seeded
SC Freiburg
Seeded
Maccabi Tel Aviv
Seeded
Atalanta
Seeded
Heart Of Midlothian
Seeded
Rangers
Seeded
Shamrock Rovers
Seeded
KuPS
Seeded
Pafos
Seeded
Getafe
Seeded
Tromso
Seeded
HNK Hajduk Split
Seeded
Sheriff Tiraspol
Seeded
FC ST. Gallen
Seeded
Dynamo Kyiv
Seeded
Qarabag
Seeded
Inter Club d'Escaldes
Seeded
Hammarby FF
Seeded
Twente
Seeded
FC Midtjylland
Seeded
Tre Fiori
Seeded
Lincoln Red Imps FC
Seeded
Larne
Seeded
Brighton
Seeded
KI Klaksvik
Seeded
PAOK
Seeded
Vikingur Reykjavik
Seeded
Gornik Zabrze
Seeded
Monaco
Seeded
Hradec Králové
Seeded
SC Freiburg
Seeded
Maccabi Tel Aviv
Seeded
Atalanta
Seeded
Heart Of Midlothian
Seeded
Rangers
Seeded
Shamrock Rovers
Seeded
KuPS
Seeded
Pafos
Seeded
Getafe
Seeded
Lincoln Red Imps FC
Seeded
Larne
Seeded
Brighton
Seeded
KI Klaksvik
Seeded
PAOK
Seeded
Vikingur Reykjavik
Seeded
Gornik Zabrze
Seeded
Monaco
Seeded
Hradec Králové
Seeded
SC Freiburg
Seeded
Maccabi Tel Aviv
Seeded
Atalanta
Seeded
Heart Of Midlothian
Seeded
Rangers
Seeded
Shamrock Rovers
Seeded
KuPS
Seeded
Pafos
Seeded
Getafe
Seeded
Tromso
Seeded
HNK Hajduk Split
Seeded
Sheriff Tiraspol
Seeded
FC ST. Gallen
Seeded
Dynamo Kyiv
Seeded
Qarabag
Seeded
Inter Club d'Escaldes
Seeded
Hammarby FF
Seeded
Twente
Seeded
FC Midtjylland
Seeded
Tre Fiori
Seeded

About the Stjarnan vs Ilves forecast

This is a UEFA Europa Conference League cup fixture; the forecasts combine team ratings, recent form and scoring data, with the cup context taken into account.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

About UEFA Europa Conference League

More UEFA Europa Conference League fixtures and forecasts are on the UEFA Europa Conference League Predictions page.

Key Factors for This Match

Ilves have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. Stjarnan and Ilves have little recent head-to-head history for the model to draw on. Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.