HNK Rijeka vs Derry City Prediction
World · Qualifying Round 2
Stadion HNK Rijeka Dean Šćulac, Rijeka· José Luis Munuera Montero, Spain 23/07/2026
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.8 / 10
Value Analysis
73%Trust
Corners Total
Corners Under 10.5
1.45SignalSTRONGModel70%RiskMediumGap+10.4%
HNK Rijeka Rest
20 days
Derry City Rest
4 days
Match Forecasts
Match Result
182%1.13
X7%7.00
211%19.00
Double Chance
1X89%1.01
X219%5.20
Both Teams to Score
Yes48%2.51
No52%1.45
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.92 + 0.95 = 2.87
Over 1.579%1.17
Over 2.557%1.55
Over 3.534%2.35
Under 1.521%4.50
Under 2.543%2.33
Under 3.566%1.52
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.6 + 3.7 = 9.3
Over 8.545%1.54
Over 9.542%1.93
Over 10.527%2.47
Under 8.555%2.26
Under 9.558%1.78
Under 10.573%1.45
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.9 + 2 = 4
Over 3.539%-
Over 4.527%-
Under 3.561%-
Under 4.573%-
Match Events
7'A. Orec
52'T. FrukAssist: B. Pavic
59'D. Adu Adjei
62'L. Boyce INJ. Clarke out
62'N. Twisk INA. O'Reilly out
62'J. Stott INC. Dummigan out
70'D. Adu Adjei INA. Juric out
75'B. Lyons-Foster INC. Barr out
80'A. Gojak ING. Rukavina out
80'J. Olayinka IND. Burns out
90+1'T. Fruk INJ. Lasickas out
Lineups
HNK RijekaDerry City
4-1-4-1Coach: Tiernan Lynch
99A. TodorovićAleksa Todorović
22A. OrečAnte Oreč
45A. MajstorovićAnte Majstorović
5A. BarcoAlfonso Barco
34M. DevetakMladen Devetak
6B. PavićBranko Pavić
26T. DantasTiago Dantas
14A. GojakAmer Gojak
10T. FrukToni Fruk
4N. JankovićNiko Janković
18D. Adu-AdjeiDaniel Adu-Adjei
1B. MaherBrian Maher
24B. Lyons-FosterBrooklyn Lyons-Foster
4J. StottJamie Stott
3P. McCleanPatrick McClean
19B. FlemingBrandon Fleming
17N. TwiskNick Twisk
2B. CotterBarry Cotter
28J. OlayinkaJames Olayinka
14E. ChapmanEllis Chapman
7M. DuffyMichael Duffy
27L. BoyceLiam BoyceHNK Rijeka Substitutes
77Ante Matej JurićF
11Gabriel RukavinaM
23Justas LasickasD
1Vito KovačG
31Dávid NwolokorG
3Moreno ŽivkovićD
51Anel HusićD
91Noel BodetićD
19Samuele VignatoM
30Simon Cletus KarsheM
15Goran GrulovićF
37Cherno SahoF
Derry City Substitutes
23Cameron DummiganD
8Adam O'ReillyM
15James ClarkeM
22Conor BarrD
12Darragh BurnsM
13Tom NorcottG
6Robert SlevinD
25Christy GroganD
16James McCleanM
35Liam KellyF
32Terence DohertyF
Match Stats
HNK RijekaDerry City 71%Ball Possession29%
13Corner Kicks4
2Yellow Cards0
19Total Shots4
3Shots on Goal1
9Shots off Goal0
7Blocked Shots3
13Fouls3
2Offsides0
Team Comparison
HNK RijekaDerry City1641Elo Rating 1591
1.77Attack 2.47
1.56Defense 0.87
37%Hit Rate 42%
17.1Shots per Game 14.3
6.7Shots on Target 4.9
7.5Corners per Game 4.2
1.7Cards per Game 3.3
AI Insights
⚽High Goal Expectancy2.87 goals
📈BTTS Trend50% in H2H
📊Away Overperforming
Game State Tendencies
HNK Rijeka- Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
- Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1.1 vs 0.6 in second half)
- Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Derry City- Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
- Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
- Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Recent Form
HNK Rijeka4W1D0L
03/07/2026
RadomljeHNK Rijeka
RadomljeHNK Rijeka02
W30/06/2026
Brinje-GrosupljeHNK Rijeka
Brinje-GrosupljeHNK Rijeka03
W27/06/2026
BravoHNK Rijeka
BravoHNK Rijeka12
W23/05/2026HNK Rijeka
HNK Gorica
HNK RijekaHNK Gorica20
W17/05/2026
Istra 1961HNK Rijeka
Istra 1961HNK Rijeka00
DDerry City2W0D3L
19/07/2026Derry City
Tolka Rovers
16/07/2026Derry CityTolka Rovers30
WDerry City
CSKA Sofia12
L09/07/2026CSKA SofiaDerry City32
L03/07/2026Derry City
Waterford24
L26/06/2026Derry City
Drogheda United
Derry CityDrogheda United20
WBracket
Qualifying Round 1
Qualifying Round 2
Qualifying Round 3
Play-offs
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ZrinjskiLincoln Red Imps FCLarneBrightonKI KlaksvikPAOKVikingur ReykjavikGornik ZabrzeMonacoSC FreiburgMaccabi Tel AvivHradec KrálovéAtalantaRangersHeart Of MidlothianShamrock RoversKuPSGetafePafosTromsoHNK Hajduk SplitSheriff TiraspolFC ST. GallenHammarby FFInter Club d'EscaldesDynamo KyivQarabagTwenteFC MidtjyllandTre FioriLincoln Red Imps FCLarneBrightonKI KlaksvikPAOKVikingur ReykjavikGornik ZabrzeMonacoSC FreiburgMaccabi Tel AvivHradec KrálovéAtalantaRangersHeart Of MidlothianShamrock RoversKuPSGetafePafosLincoln Red Imps FCLarneBrightonKI KlaksvikPAOKVikingur ReykjavikGornik ZabrzeMonacoSC FreiburgMaccabi Tel AvivHradec KrálovéAtalantaRangersHeart Of MidlothianShamrock RoversKuPSGetafePafosTromsoHNK Hajduk SplitSheriff TiraspolFC ST. GallenHammarby FFInter Club d'EscaldesDynamo KyivQarabagTwenteFC MidtjyllandTre FioriHNK Rijeka vs Derry City Prediction
As a knockout-stage UEFA Europa Conference League fixture, this match carries added stakes for both sides. Our AI model analyses team Elo ratings, recent form, projected goals and head-to-head history to build forecasts across six independent markets.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive or open market; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
About UEFA Europa Conference League
ScorePredicts covers UEFA Europa Conference League across every knockout round. Use the navigation to explore today's full fixture list or filter by market.
Key Factors for This Match
Derry City have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. HNK Rijeka and Derry City have little recent head-to-head history for the model to draw on. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.