Tartu Welco vs Elva Prediction

Tartu Welco
4-0
Finished
HT 1-0
Elva
Holm Jalgpallipark, Tartu 09/10/2026
Tartu WelcoTartu Welco
4-0
Finished
ElvaElva

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
4.0 / 10
AI Best Pick
73%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.23
SignalGOODModel48%SurpriseMediumGap-8.4%
Tartu Welco Rest
22 days
Elva Rest
15 days

Tartu Welco vs Elva: the result in context

Tartu Welco beat Elva 4-0 in the Esiliiga A on 9 Oct 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

When these two meet, goals usually follow: 3.1 a game across 10 meetings, with both teams scoring in 6.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
50%1.82
X
23%3.80
2
27%3.30
Double Chance
1X
73%1.23
X2
51%1.80
Both Teams to Score

Both teams to score forecasts not available for this match

Goals

Goal forecasts not available for this match

Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

44'U. Malki
46'E. Veensalu
66'H. KablikAssist: K. Laasner
90'A. KiivitAssist: E. Mottus

Team Comparison

Tartu WelcoTartu Welco
ElvaElva
1735Elo Rating 1593
4.03Attack 1.03
1.77Defense 1.39
100%Hit Rate 34%

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+143 Elo
📈BTTS Trend60% in H2H

Game State Tendencies

Tartu WelcoTartu Welco
  • Leads at half-time in 100% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (2.2 vs 1.9 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
ElvaElva
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.7 vs 0.3 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

Tartu WelcoTartu Welco4Wins · 40%
Draws330%
ElvaElva3Wins · 30%
3.1Avg Goals
60%Both teams scored6 of 10
60%3+ goals6 of 10

Previous meetings

Esiliiga A08/08/2026
ElvaTartu Welco
21
Esiliiga A01/06/2026
ElvaTartu Welco
02
Esiliiga A27/04/2026
Tartu WelcoElva
33
Esiliiga A27/10/2025
Tartu WelcoElva
32
Esiliiga A04/08/2025
ElvaTartu Welco
12
Esiliiga A14/06/2025
Tartu WelcoElva
25
Esiliiga A15/03/2025
ElvaTartu Welco
31
Esiliiga A28/09/2024
ElvaTartu Welco
01
Esiliiga A24/08/2024
Tartu WelcoElva
00
Esiliiga A02/06/2024
Tartu WelcoElva
00

Recent Form

Tartu WelcoTartu Welco
6W2D2L
17/09/2026
ViimsiTartu Welco
02
W
14/09/2026
Tartu WelcoNõmme Kalju II
30
W
10/09/2026
FCI Levadia IITartu Welco
00
D
05/09/2026
Tallinna KalevTartu Welco
11
D
29/08/2026
Tartu WelcoViimsi
13
L
23/08/2026
Nõmme Kalju IITartu Welco
24
W
20/08/2026
Tartu WelcoFCI Levadia II
42
W
15/08/2026
Tartu WelcoFlora II
21
W
12/08/2026
KoseTartu Welco
08
W
08/08/2026
ElvaTartu Welco
21
L
ElvaElva
6W2D2L
24/09/2026
ElvaTallinna Kalev
32
W
19/09/2026
ElvaFC Tallinn
11
D
13/09/2026
Flora IIElva
12
W
10/09/2026
ViimsiElva
50
L
06/09/2026
ElvaNõmme Kalju II
10
W
30/08/2026
Nõmme United IIElva
01
W
24/08/2026
ElvaFlora II
00
D
20/08/2026
ElvaMaardu
10
W
15/08/2026
Tallinna KalevElva
10
L
12/08/2026
ElvaJoker
30
W

League Table

Esiliiga A 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Tartu WelcoTartu Welco34235699:44+5574WWWWW
2ViimsiViimsi331761061:32+2957WDWLL
3Flora IIFlora II321561176:57+1951DLDLW
4FCI Levadia IIFCI Levadia II321621464:56+850WWWWD
5ElvaElva321471147:48-149DLDWL
6MaarduMaardu301271147:59-1243DDDWW
7FC TallinnFC Tallinn341081643:77-3438WLLWD
8Tallinna KalevTallinna Kalev321071556:62-637LLLDL
9Nõmme United IINõmme United II331061755:70-1536LLLWW
10Nõmme Kalju IINõmme Kalju II34662239:82-4324LDLDL
#TeamMPGPts
1Tartu WelcoTartu Welco3499:4474
2ViimsiViimsi3361:3257
3Flora IIFlora II3276:5751
4FCI Levadia IIFCI Levadia II3264:5650
5ElvaElva3247:4849
6MaarduMaardu3047:5943
7FC TallinnFC Tallinn3443:7738
8Tallinna KalevTallinna Kalev3256:6237
9Nõmme United IINõmme United II3355:7036
10Nõmme Kalju IINõmme Kalju II3439:8224

About the Tartu Welco vs Elva forecast

The forecasts for this Esiliiga A match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Tartu Welco and Elva in the Esiliiga A table

In the Esiliiga A table, Tartu Welco are 1st and Elva 5th, 25 points apart. League goal record so far: Tartu Welco 99-44, Elva 47-48. The full standings are on the Esiliiga A Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Tartu Welco have led at half-time in 100% of their recent matches. Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.