Tenerife vs Cadiz Prediction

Tenerife
1-1
Finished
HT 1-0
Cadiz
Heliodoro Rodríguez López, Santa Cruz de Tenerife·Olatz Rivera Olmedo 26/09/2026
TenerifeTenerife
1-1
Finished
CadizCadiz

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
3.6 / 10
AI Best Pick
81%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.18
SignalSTRONGModel58%SurpriseMediumGap-3.4%
Value Analysis
71%Trust
Home Cards
Home Cards Under 2.5
1.58
SignalGOODModel71%SurpriseMediumGap+8.0%
Tenerife Rest
7 days
Cadiz Rest
6 days

Tenerife vs Cadiz: the result in context

Tenerife and Cadiz drew 1-1 in the Segunda División on 26 Sep 2026. Tenerife had gone in with the better form, having won 2 of their previous five against none for Cadiz.

When these two meet, goals usually follow: 3.7 a game across 3 meetings, with both teams scoring in 3.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
56%1.82
X
27%3.30
2
17%4.50
Double Chance
1X
83%1.18
X2
44%1.93
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%2.00
No
51%1.73
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.57 + 1.01 = 2.58
Over 1.5
69%1.40
Over 2.5
45%2.25
Over 3.5
25%4.33
Under 1.5
31%2.75
Under 2.5
55%1.61
Under 3.5
75%1.20
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.5 + 3.4 = 8.9
Over 8.5
56%1.51
Over 9.5
48%1.88
Over 10.5
38%2.38
Under 8.5
44%2.29
Under 9.5
52%1.81
Under 10.5
62%1.49
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.9 + 2.3 = 4.2
Over 3.5
60%1.41
Over 4.5
40%1.85
Under 3.5
40%2.76
Under 4.5
60%1.89

Match Events

8'Javier CastroFoul
25'Enric Gallego
56'Borja Vazquez INEfe Ugiagbe Aghama out
56'Jandro Orellana INDilan Zárate out
59'Gerard Valentín INDani Fernández out
59'Martin Pečar INIvan Chapela out
70'Antonio Cordero INUrko Iruretagoiena Lertxundi out
70'Víctor Moreno Alcalá INChristian Pierre Louis Gomis out
74'Vladyslav KopotunAssist: Ibon Ignacio Sánchez Océn
81'Enric Gallego INJesús De Miguel Alameda out
81'Fabricio Assis de Souza Barbosa INMauro Pitton out
83'Marc-Olivier Doué INDamián Rodríguez Sousa out
83'Vladyslav Kopotun INÁlvaro García Pascual out
86'Sergio Arribas PrietoFoul
88'Dani FernándezFoul
90+2'Álvaro García PascualFoul

Lineups

Tenerife
4-4-2Coach: Álvaro
Cadiz
4-2-3-1Coach: Celades
Avg rating6.59
Avg rating6.75
Dani Martín6.21D. Martín
César Álvarez6.719C. Álvarez
A. Landázuri6.912A. Landázuri
José León7.04J. León
David Rodríguez6.62D. Rodríguez
Gerard Valentín6.114G. Valentín
Fabricio6.515Fabricio
Juanjo6.76Juanjo
M. Pečar6.37M. Pečar
Enric Gallego8.018E. Gallego
Víctor Moreno6.88V. Moreno
David Gil6.61D. Gil
J. Diaz Peregrina7.327J. Diaz Peregrina
Javi Castro6.74J. Castro
Manu Fernández6.86M. Fernández
Sergio Arribas6.43S. Arribas
M. Doué6.65M. Doué
Jandro Orellana5.918J. Orellana
Borja Vazquez6.220B. Vazquez
Ibon Sánchez7.324I. Sánchez
Antonio Cordero6.816A. Cordero
V. Kopotun7.921V. Kopotun

Tenerife Substitutes

29Daniel Fernández59'for Gerard Valentín88'6.0
17C. Gomis70'for Víctor Moreno Alcalá6.6
3R. Jureškin
40Gabriel Lozano
11Noel López
21Marc Mateu
5Jorge Moreno
20M. Pittón81'for Fabricio Assis de Souza Barbosa6.4
22G. Ranos
27N. Viereck
9De Miguel81'for Enric Gallego6.4
24Iván Chapela59'for Martin Pečar6.5

Cadiz Substitutes

28D. A. Zarate Hidalgo56'for Jandro Orellana6.9
31N. Ukwuije
23Damián Rodríguez83'for Marc-Olivier Doué6.2
25G. Petit
9Álvaro García83'for Vladyslav Kopotun90+2'6.4
10Javi Ontiveros
17A. Moueffek
19Urko Izeta70'for Antonio Cordero7.0
13Jokin Ezkieta
8E. Aghama56'for Borja Vazquez7.0
2Beñat de Jesús
30César Díaz

Match Stats

TenerifeCadiz
44%Ball Possession56%
1Corner Kicks2
1Yellow Cards3
10Total Shots12
3Shots on Goal3
6Shots off Goal5
8Shots Inside Box8
2Shots Outside Box4
1Blocked Shots4
15Fouls10
4Offsides1
2Goalkeeper Saves2
406Total Passes506
340Passes Accurate442
10Free Kicks15

Team Comparison

TenerifeTenerife
CadizCadiz
1619Elo Rating 1539
1.05Attack 1.09
1.05Defense 1.78
0%Hit Rate 19%
11.0Shots per Game 12.5
2.9Shots on Target 3.5
4.9Corners per Game 5.0
2.8Cards per Game 2.4

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend100% in H2H

Game State Tendencies

TenerifeTenerife
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 33% of the time
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
CadizCadiz
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.9 vs 0.2 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 3 meetings, all competitions

TenerifeTenerife1Wins · 33%
Draws267%
CadizCadiz0Wins · 0%
3.7Avg Goals
100%Both teams scored3 of 3
100%3+ goals3 of 3

Previous meetings

Friendlies Clubs01/08/2026
TenerifeCadiz
22
Segunda División23/03/2025
TenerifeCadiz
21
Segunda División31/08/2024
CadizTenerife
22

Recent Form

TenerifeTenerife
6W2D2L
19/09/2026
CastellónTenerife
50
L
13/09/2026
TenerifeLeganes
20
W
05/09/2026
Real Sociedad IITenerife
11
D
28/08/2026
TenerifeSporting Gijon
01
L
23/08/2026
TenerifeAlmeria
10
W
16/08/2026
EibarTenerife
13
W
08/08/2026
LeganesTenerife
3040
W
04/08/2026
TenerifeTamaraceite
32
W
01/08/2026
TenerifeCadiz
2222
D
26/07/2026
MarinoTenerife
06
W
CadizCadiz
1W4D5L
19/09/2026
CadizGirona
12
L
12/09/2026
CadizLas Palmas
01
L
06/09/2026
AlmeriaCadiz
32
L
30/08/2026
CadizValladolid
11
D
22/08/2026
EldenseCadiz
22
D
15/08/2026
CadizCelta de Vigo II
00
D
05/08/2026
CadizGranada CF
20
W
01/08/2026
TenerifeCadiz
2222
D
29/07/2026
CadizAD Ceuta FC
13
L
22/07/2026
CadizLeicester
01
L

Referee Profile

Olatz Rivera Olmedo3 matches analysed

4.59Cards per match
4.36Yellow cards per match
0.23Red cards per match
24.5Fouls per match

Strictness

Stricter than 57% of referees analysed

Model estimates, weighted toward the competition average while the sample is small.

Full referee stats

League Table

Segunda División 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1AlmeriaAlmeria1181222:9+1325DWWWW
2CastellónCastellón1072118:4+1423WLDWW
3EibarEibar1171320:13+722LDLWW
4GironaGirona1163222:10+1221WWDDW
5Granada CFGranada CF1162318:14+420WWWWL
6MallorcaMallorca1154213:6+719DDWDL
7Sporting GijonSporting Gijon1061311:9+219WWWLW
8OviedoOviedo1153315:12+318DWWLW
9BurgosBurgos1052313:10+317WLLWW
10SabadellSabadell1145211:9+217DLWDD
11CordobaCordoba1150617:20-315WWLWL
12TenerifeTenerife1135313:15-214DDDLD
13EldenseEldense1142513:15-214LWWWL
14Las PalmasLas Palmas1142514:19-514WLLDL
15ValladolidValladolid1133516:16012LLWDW
16Celta de Vigo IICelta de Vigo II1133516:21-512LDWLD
17LeganesLeganes113357:16-912DLLLL
18CadizCadiz1124514:14010WLLWD
19FC AndorraFC Andorra1031613:17-410LWDWL
20Real Sociedad IIReal Sociedad II1122714:22-88LLLLL
21AD Ceuta FCAD Ceuta FC1112810:25-155LLLDW
22AlbaceteAlbacete111198:22-144WLLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1AlmeriaAlmeria1122:925
2CastellónCastellón1018:423
3EibarEibar1120:1322
4GironaGirona1122:1021
5Granada CFGranada CF1118:1420
6MallorcaMallorca1113:619
7Sporting GijonSporting Gijon1011:919
8OviedoOviedo1115:1218
9BurgosBurgos1013:1017
10SabadellSabadell1111:917
11CordobaCordoba1117:2015
12TenerifeTenerife1113:1514
13EldenseEldense1113:1514
14Las PalmasLas Palmas1114:1914
15ValladolidValladolid1116:1612
16Celta de Vigo IICelta de Vigo II1116:2112
17LeganesLeganes117:1612
18CadizCadiz1114:1410
19FC AndorraFC Andorra1013:1710
20Real Sociedad IIReal Sociedad II1114:228
21AD Ceuta FCAD Ceuta FC1110:255
22AlbaceteAlbacete118:224
PromotionRelegation

About the Tenerife vs Cadiz forecast

The forecasts for this Segunda División match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Tenerife and Cadiz in the Segunda División table

In the Segunda División table, Tenerife are 12th and Cadiz 18th, 4 points apart. League goal record so far: Tenerife 13-15, Cadiz 14-14. The full standings are on the Segunda División Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.