Mito Hollyhock vs Gamba Osaka Prediction

Mito Hollyhock
1-1
Finished
HT 1-0
Gamba Osaka
K's Denki Stadium Mito, Mito·Jumpei Iida, Japan 15/08/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.2 / 10
Value Analysis
61%Trust
BTTS
Both Teams to Score
1.75
SignalSOLIDModel42%SurpriseMediumGap+7.9%
Mito Hollyhock Rest
6 days
Gamba Osaka Rest
3 days

Mito Hollyhock vs Gamba Osaka: the result in context

Mito Hollyhock and Gamba Osaka drew 1-1 in the J1 League on 15 Aug 2026. Gamba Osaka had gone in with the better form, having won 4 of their previous five against none for Mito Hollyhock.

Gamba Osaka tend to win more corners, 5.8 a game to 1.7 for Mito Hollyhock.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
28%2.70
X
27%3.20
2
45%2.62
Double Chance
1X
55%1.45
X2
72%1.41
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%1.75
No
39%1.95
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.15 + 1.69 = 2.84
Over 1.5
81%1.32
Over 2.5
53%2.02
Over 3.5
33%3.50
Under 1.5
19%3.10
Under 2.5
47%1.76
Under 3.5
67%1.26
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.1 + 4.9 = 10.1
Over 8.5
60%1.64
Over 9.5
49%2.04
Over 10.5
36%2.66
Under 8.5
40%2.12
Under 9.5
51%1.68
Under 10.5
64%1.39
Cards
Projected Cards: 2 + 1.8 = 3.8
Over 3.5
44%-
Over 4.5
27%-
Under 3.5
56%-
Under 4.5
73%-

Match Events

18'Y. TorikaiAssist: K. Taniguchi
46'Y. Torikai INC. Kato out
46'G. Ikegaya INS. Sasaki out
56'T. Usami IND. Hummet out
58'Y. Kimoto INA. Kawazura out
63'A. Watanabe INK. Tada out
63'K. Taniguchi INH. Yamamoto out
69'R. Mito INE. Adams out
74'S. NakataniAssist: R. Hatsuse
81'Y. Funabashi INMatheus Leiria out
82'H. YamamotoFoul

Lineups

Mito Hollyhock
4-4-2Coach: Daisuke Kimori
Gamba Osaka
4-2-3-1Coach: Tomokazu Myojin
Avg rating6.89
Avg rating6.79
Konosuke Nishikawa7.234K. Nishikawa
Takumi Mase7.325T. Mase
Yasuki Kimoto6.915Y. Kimoto
Kenta Itakura8.317K. Itakura
Sho Omori6.77S. Omori
Yoshiki Torikai8.011Y. Torikai
Taishi Semba7.019T. Semba
Yu Funabashi7.220Y. Funabashi
Kaito Taniguchi6.622K. Taniguchi
Kotaro Uchino6.518K. Uchino
Arata WatanabeC6.610A. Watanabe
Rui Araki6.918R. Araki
Takeru Kishimoto6.215T. Kishimoto
Ginjiro Ikegaya6.219G. Ikegaya
Shinnosuke NakataniC8.34S. Nakatani
Ryo Hatsuse7.721R. Hatsuse
Shuto Abe6.313S. Abe
Rin Mito6.927R. Mito
Ryoya Yamashita7.017R. Yamashita
Takashi Usami6.27T. Usami
Gaku Nawata6.238G. Nawata
Asahi Uenaka6.914A. Uenaka

Mito Hollyhock Substitutes

8Chihiro Kato46'for Y. Torikai6.0
4Akinari Kawazura58'for Y. Kimoto6.5
39Yamamota Hayata63'for K. Taniguchi82'6.2
29Tada Keisuke63'for A. Watanabe6.7
21Shuhei Matsubara
50Rei Ieizumi
53Shota Yamashita
70Matheus Leiria81'for Y. Funabashi6.6
9Ryo Nemoto

Gamba Osaka Substitutes

67Shogo Sasaki46'for G. Ikegaya7.7
23Deniz Hümmet56'for T. Usami5.9
22Jun Ichimori
2Shota Fukuoka
20Eli Adams69'for R. Mito6.6
32Yuki Yoshihara
16Tokuma Suzuki
10Shu Kurata
37Naru Nakatsumi

Match Stats

Mito HollyhockGamba Osaka
32%Ball Possession68%
9Corner Kicks9
1Yellow Cards0
17Total Shots19
4Shots on Goal4
9Shots off Goal8
12Shots Inside Box13
5Shots Outside Box6
4Blocked Shots7
14Fouls9
2Offsides2
3Goalkeeper Saves2
278Total Passes623
221Passes Accurate556
79%Pass Accuracy89%

Team Comparison

Mito HollyhockMito Hollyhock
Gamba OsakaGamba Osaka
1423Elo Rating 1615
0.23Attack 1.62
0.00Defense 1.52
0%Hit Rate 14%
5.5Shots per Game 16.5
1.3Shots on Target 6.6
1.7Corners per Game 5.8
1.1Cards per Game 1.2

AI Insights

⚽High Goal Expectancy2.84 goals
📉Home Underperforming
📉Away Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

Mito HollyhockMito Hollyhock
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half and can tire late
Gamba OsakaGamba Osaka
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.2 vs 0.4 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half and can tire late

Head to Head

1 previous meeting, all competitions

Mito HollyhockMito Hollyhock0Wins · 0%
Draws00%
Gamba OsakaGamba Osaka1Wins · 100%
1.0Avg Goals
0%Both teams scored0 of 1
0%3+ goals0 of 1

Previous meetings

J-League Cup16/04/2025
Mito HollyhockGamba Osaka
01

Recent Form

Mito HollyhockMito Hollyhock
1W0D9L
08/08/2026
Kashiwa ReysolMito Hollyhock
21
L
06/06/2026
Mito HollyhockV-varen Nagasaki
01
L
30/05/2026
V-varen NagasakiMito Hollyhock
10
L
24/05/2026
Mito HollyhockKawasaki Frontale
13
L
16/05/2026
Mito HollyhockTokyo Verdy
01
L
09/05/2026
Mito HollyhockUrawa
14
L
06/05/2026
KashimaMito Hollyhock
30
L
02/05/2026
Yokohama F. MarinosMito Hollyhock
1131
W
29/04/2026
Mito HollyhockMachida Zelvia
3242
L
24/04/2026
FC TokyoMito Hollyhock
52
L
Gamba OsakaGamba Osaka
6W1D3L
11/08/2026
Gangwon FCGamba Osaka
0010
W
07/08/2026
Gamba OsakaUrawa
43
W
15/07/2026
Red Bull SalzburgGamba Osaka
03
W
11/07/2026
Sparta PrahaGamba Osaka
30
L
06/06/2026
Tokyo VerdyGamba Osaka
24
W
30/05/2026
Gamba OsakaTokyo Verdy
11
D
24/05/2026
Shimizu S-pulseGamba Osaka
12
W
16/05/2026
Al-NassrGamba Osaka
01
W
10/05/2026
Gamba OsakaSanfrecce Hiroshima
01
L
06/05/2026
Nagoya GrampusGamba Osaka
21
L

Referee Profile

Jumpei Iida150 matches

3.04Cards per match
2.95Yellow cards per match
0.10Red cards per match
24.1Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Jumpei Iida3.04
Other referees2.72

3.04 cards a match, 0.32 more than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (2.72).

Cards come from 113 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

J1 League 2027
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1FC TokyoFC Tokyo14103133:8+2533WWWDW
2Kashiwa ReysolKashiwa Reysol14101331:20+1131WWWDL
3Sanfrecce HiroshimaSanfrecce Hiroshima1493232:10+2230DWWLW
4Machida ZelviaMachida Zelvia1485130:10+2029DDDWW
5Vissel KobeVissel Kobe1483323:14+927DWDLW
6KashimaKashima1472529:24+523LWLDW
7Yokohama F. MarinosYokohama F. Marinos1457221:15+622DWDDD
8Kawasaki FrontaleKawasaki Frontale1464428:24+422LLWWW
9UrawaUrawa1471623:29-622DLWWW
10Fagiano OkayamaFagiano Okayama1452716:22-617DLLWL
11Cerezo OsakaCerezo Osaka1445516:25-917WLDDL
12Kyoto SangaKyoto Sanga1444619:23-416WWDDL
13Nagoya GrampusNagoya Grampus1442815:23-814LLDDW
14Tokyo VerdyTokyo Verdy1435612:22-1014WWWDL
15Shimizu S-pulseShimizu S-pulse1442810:23-1314LLLLD
16V-varen NagasakiV-varen Nagasaki1434717:22-513DLLWL
17JEF United ChibaJEF United Chiba1434716:24-813WWDLD
18Gamba OsakaGamba Osaka1426616:24-812LDDWD
19Mito HollyhockMito Hollyhock1423912:26-149LLLLL
20Avispa FukuokaAvispa Fukuoka14221014:25-118DLLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1FC TokyoFC Tokyo1433:833
2Kashiwa ReysolKashiwa Reysol1431:2031
3Sanfrecce HiroshimaSanfrecce Hiroshima1432:1030
4Machida ZelviaMachida Zelvia1430:1029
5Vissel KobeVissel Kobe1423:1427
6KashimaKashima1429:2423
7Yokohama F. MarinosYokohama F. Marinos1421:1522
8Kawasaki FrontaleKawasaki Frontale1428:2422
9UrawaUrawa1423:2922
10Fagiano OkayamaFagiano Okayama1416:2217
11Cerezo OsakaCerezo Osaka1416:2517
12Kyoto SangaKyoto Sanga1419:2316
13Nagoya GrampusNagoya Grampus1415:2314
14Tokyo VerdyTokyo Verdy1412:2214
15Shimizu S-pulseShimizu S-pulse1410:2314
16V-varen NagasakiV-varen Nagasaki1417:2213
17JEF United ChibaJEF United Chiba1416:2413
18Gamba OsakaGamba Osaka1416:2412
19Mito HollyhockMito Hollyhock1412:269
20Avispa FukuokaAvispa Fukuoka1414:258
Champions LeagueRelegation

About the Mito Hollyhock vs Gamba Osaka forecast

The forecasts for this J1 League match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage is the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% means strong statistical confidence; 45-65% points to a competitive, open match; below 45% means the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for information and entertainment only.

Mito Hollyhock and Gamba Osaka in the J1 League table

Gamba Osaka and Mito Hollyhock are close in the J1 League table, 18th and 19th, with 3 points between them. League goal record so far: Mito Hollyhock 12-26, Gamba Osaka 16-24. The full standings are on the J1 League Table 2027 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Mito Hollyhock and Gamba Osaka have met only 1 time recently, with 1.0 goals in that meeting. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.