Kashima vs Nagoya Grampus Prediction

Kashima
2-1
Finished
HT 1-0
Nagoya Grampus
Kashima Soccer Stadium, Kashima· Florian Exner, Germany 15/08/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.2 / 10
Value Analysis
82%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 1.5 Goals
1.30
SignalGOODModel46%RiskMediumGap+10.5%
Kashima Rest
7 days
Nagoya Grampus Rest
6 days

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
49%1.80
X
28%3.50
2
23%4.30
Double Chance
1X
77%1.20
X2
51%1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%1.84
No
40%1.85
Goals
Projected Goals: 2.15 + 1.05 = 3.20
Over 1.5
81%1.30
Over 2.5
53%2.00
Over 3.5
33%3.50
Under 1.5
19%3.23
Under 2.5
47%1.78
Under 3.5
67%1.27
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.5 + 4.3 = 9.9
Over 8.5
60%1.49
Over 9.5
49%1.83
Over 10.5
36%2.34
Under 8.5
40%2.39
Under 9.5
51%1.88
Under 10.5
64%1.52
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.7 + 2.1 = 3.8
Over 3.5
44%-
Over 4.5
27%-
Under 3.5
56%-
Under 4.5
73%-

Match Events

22'Leo CearaAssist: Yan
25'K. MisaoFoul
43'Yan INY. Matsumura out
45'Y. SuzukiFoul
46'Y. Nogami INS. Tokumoto out
46'M. Yoshida INH. Hayashu out
46'Y. Yamagishi INMateus out
48'Leo CearaFoul
54'N. UedaOG
69'Matheus Bueno ING. Shibasaki out
69'Leo Ceara INA. Cavric out
74'R. Izumi INY. Asano out
77'S. InagakiFoul
87'Y. Kimura INK. Nagai out
88'T. Hara INY. Sato out
88'Y. Suzuki INH. Tokuda out
90+8'T. UchidaOG

Lineups

Kashima
4-4-2Coach: Toru Oniki
Nagoya Grampus
3-4-2-1Coach: Mihailo Petrovic
Tomoki Hayakawa1T. HayakawaTomoki Hayakawa
Rikuto Hirose37R. HiroseRikuto Hirose
Naomichi Ueda55N. UedaNaomichi Ueda
Ikuma Sekigawa5I. SekigawaIkuma Sekigawa
Ryoya Ogawa7R. OgawaRyoya Ogawa
Yan Matheus18Y. MatheusYan Matheus
Kento Misao6K. MisaoKento Misao
Matheus Bueno8M. BuenoMatheus Bueno
Yuma Suzuki40Y. SuzukiYuma Suzuki
Léo Ceará9L. CearáLéo Ceará
Minato Yoshida30M. YoshidaMinato Yoshida
Alexandre Pisano35A. PisanoAlexandre Pisano
Teruki Hara70T. HaraTeruki Hara
Haruya Fujii13H. FujiiHaruya Fujii
Yuki Nogami2Y. NogamiYuki Nogami
Ryuji Izumi7R. IzumiRyuji Izumi
Sho Inagaki15S. InagakiSho Inagaki
Tomoki Takamine31T. TakamineTomoki Takamine
Katsuhiro Nakayama27K. NakayamaKatsuhiro Nakayama
Takuya Uchida17T. UchidaTakuya Uchida
Yudai Kimura22Y. KimuraYudai Kimura
Yuya Yamagishi11Y. YamagishiYuya Yamagishi

Kashima Substitutes

27Yuta MatsumuraM
24Haruki HayashiM
21Taiki YamadaG
35Anthony MotosunaD
23Keisuke TsukuiD
3Kim Tae-hyeonD
77Aleksandar ČavrićF
10Gaku ShibasakiM
34Homare TokudaF

Nagoya Grampus Substitutes

55Shuhei TokumotoD
10MateusF
36Hiroaki HagiG
3Yota SatoD
14Tsukasa MorishimaM
9Yuya AsanoM
19Hidemasa KodaM
41Masahito OnoM
18Kensuke NagaiF

Match Stats

KashimaNagoya Grampus
49%Ball Possession51%
3Corner Kicks4
3Yellow Cards1
17Total Shots13
7Shots on Goal1
6Shots off Goal7
10Shots Inside Box6
7Shots Outside Box7
4Blocked Shots5
14Fouls14
0Offsides1
0Goalkeeper Saves5
480Total Passes480
387Passes Accurate401
81%Pass Accuracy84%

Team Comparison

KashimaKashima
Nagoya GrampusNagoya Grampus
1680Elo Rating 1499
2.73Attack 0.70
1.41Defense 0.60
41%Hit Rate 17%
17.1Shots per Game 10.5
5.4Shots on Target 1.9
3.7Corners per Game 4.2
2.0Cards per Game 1.7

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+181 Elo
High Goal Expectancy3.2 goals
📊Home Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

KashimaKashima
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1.5 vs 1.2 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Nagoya GrampusNagoya Grampus
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Based on 5 historical meetings

Kashima 66%Draw 34%0% Nagoya Grampus
2.09Avg Goals
14%BTTS Rate
44%Over 2.5

Recent Form

KashimaKashima
4W0D1L
07/08/2026
Yokohama F. MarinosKashima
34
W
15/07/2026
KashimaVegalta Sendai
50
W
06/06/2026
KashimaVissel Kobe
20
W
30/05/2026
Vissel KobeKashima
50
L
23/05/2026
KashimaFC Tokyo
10
W
Nagoya GrampusNagoya Grampus
0W1D4L
08/08/2026
Nagoya GrampusShimizu S-pulse
01
L
25/07/2026
Consadole SapporoNagoya Grampus
10
L
21/07/2026
FC TokyoNagoya Grampus
21
L
06/06/2026
Machida ZelviaNagoya Grampus
2010
L
30/05/2026
Nagoya GrampusMachida Zelvia
22
D

League Table

J1 League 2027
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Machida ZelviaMachida Zelvia752019:6+1317DWWDW
2Vissel KobeVissel Kobe751111:5+616WWWWL
3Kashiwa ReysolKashiwa Reysol750213:10+315WLLWW
4Sanfrecce HiroshimaSanfrecce Hiroshima742119:6+1314WLWDD
5FC TokyoFC Tokyo742113:8+514WWDWW
6Fagiano OkayamaFagiano Okayama741210:8+213WWWLD
7Kawasaki FrontaleKawasaki Frontale733113:9+412WWLWD
8KashimaKashima740314:13+112LLLWW
9Yokohama F. MarinosYokohama F. Marinos732211:9+211DWDLW
10Cerezo OsakaCerezo Osaka73136:11-510LDWLW
11Mito HollyhockMito Hollyhock723211:9+29LDWDW
12UrawaUrawa730413:17-49LWWWL
13Shimizu S-pulseShimizu S-pulse72144:7-37WLDLL
14V-varen NagasakiV-varen Nagasaki72149:14-57WLDLL
15Gamba OsakaGamba Osaka71338:13-56LLDDL
16Nagoya GrampusNagoya Grampus72057:13-66LLLWW
17Kyoto SangaKyoto Sanga71249:14-55LLDWL
18Avispa FukuokaAvispa Fukuoka71159:11-24LDLLL
19Tokyo VerdyTokyo Verdy70433:9-64DDLLD
20JEF United ChibaJEF United Chiba71156:16-104DWLLL
Champions LeagueRelegation

Kashima vs Nagoya Grampus Prediction

Our AI model has analysed this J1 League fixture using team Elo ratings, recent form, projected goals and head-to-head history. The forecasts cover six independent markets - each probability is a separate model calculation, not derived from the match winner result.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive or open market; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

About J1 League

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Key Factors for This Match

Kashima and Nagoya Grampus have met 5 times recently, averaging 2.09 goals per game in those meetings. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.