Toulouse vs Lyon Prediction

Toulouse
0-2
Finished
HT 0-0
Lyon
Stadium de Toulouse, Toulouse· Guillaume Paradis, France 22/08/2026
ToulouseToulouse
0-2
Finished
LyonLyon

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
5.5 / 10
AI Best Pick
61%Trust
BTTS
Both Teams to Score
1.66
SignalNEUTRALModel44%RiskMediumGap+0.4%
Value Analysis
73%Trust
Corners Total
Corners Under 10.5
1.60
SignalGOODModel44%RiskMediumGap+14.5%
Toulouse Rest
7 days
Lyon Rest
3 days

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
36%2.40
X
31%3.40
2
33%2.92
Double Chance
1X
67%1.41
X2
64%1.55
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%1.66
No
39%2.12
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.28 + 1.56 = 2.84
Over 1.5
79%1.28
Over 2.5
55%1.88
Over 3.5
34%3.18
Under 1.5
21%3.70
Under 2.5
45%1.93
Under 3.5
66%1.36
Corners
Projected Corners: 3.6 + 5 = 8.6
Over 8.5
58%1.47
Over 9.5
41%1.79
Over 10.5
27%2.19
Under 8.5
42%2.50
Under 9.5
59%1.95
Under 10.5
73%1.60
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.3 + 2.3 = 4.6
Over 3.5
64%1.39
Over 4.5
44%1.83
Under 3.5
36%2.76
Under 4.5
56%1.86

Match Events

31'N. SchmidtTripping
45'N. NarteyTripping
63'J. Duranville INM. Fofana out
63'R. Himbert INP. Sulc out
68'N. NarteyAssist: P. Sulc
69'M. de Carvalho INC. Tolisso out
69'N. Nartey INT. Morton out
71'J. Vignolo INI. Azizi out
71'I. Diallo INR. Messali out
71'S. Hidalgo INJ. Russell-Rowe out
80'M. Bidstrup INT. Tessmann out
80'Y. Gboho INS. Oppong out
85'M. FofanaAssist: C. Tolisso
86'N. Schmidt INM. Saka out
90+4'T. TessmannHolding

Lineups

Toulouse
4-2-3-1Coach: Jens Askou
Lyon
4-3-3Coach: Paulo Fonseca
Guillaume Restes16G. RestesGuillaume Restes
Ismail Diallo94I. DialloIsmail Diallo
Mark McKenzie3M. McKenzieMark McKenzie
Rasmus Nicolaisen2R. NicolaisenRasmus Nicolaisen
Christ Tapé12C. TapéChrist Tapé
Cristian Cásseres Jr.23C. Cásseres Jr.Cristian Cásseres Jr.
Niklas Schmidt31N. SchmidtNiklas Schmidt
Julian Vignolo7J. VignoloJulian Vignolo
Thomas Jørgensen8T. JørgensenThomas Jørgensen
Yann Gboho10Y. GbohoYann Gboho
Santiago Hidalgo9S. HidalgoSantiago Hidalgo
Rémy Descamps40R. DescampsRémy Descamps
Zachary Athekame13Z. AthekameZachary Athekame
Felix Bacher20F. BacherFelix Bacher
Clinton Mata22C. MataClinton Mata
Mohamed Ouédraogo76M. OuédraogoMohamed Ouédraogo
Mads Bidstrup2M. BidstrupMads Bidstrup
Mathys de Carvalho39M. de CarvalhoMathys de Carvalho
Noah Nartey99N. NarteyNoah Nartey
Kaïl Boudache26K. BoudacheKaïl Boudache
Rémi Himbert45R. HimbertRémi Himbert
Julien Duranville24J. DuranvilleJulien Duranville

Toulouse Substitutes

60Mathys NifloreG
19David OdoguD
5Seny KoumbassaD
77Mario SauerM
28Mathis SakaM
22Rafik MessaliM
11Sion OppongF
13Jacen Russell RoweF
37Ilyas AziziF

Lyon Substitutes

11Malick FofanaF
10Pavel ŠulcM
23Tyler MortonM
8Corentin TolissoM
1Dominik GreifG
3Nicolás TagliaficoD
6Tanner TessmannM
7Ernest NuamahF
17Loïs OpendaF

Match Stats

ToulouseLyon
47%Ball Possession53%
6Corner Kicks4
1Yellow Cards1
17Total Shots6
2Shots on Goal1
12Shots off Goal3
13Shots Inside Box4
4Shots Outside Box2
3Blocked Shots2
11Fouls10
2Offsides0
1Goalkeeper Saves2
306Total Passes352
268Passes Accurate310
88%Pass Accuracy88%

Team Comparison

ToulouseToulouse
LyonLyon
1717Elo Rating 1817
1.21Attack 1.33
1.37Defense 2.24
14%Hit Rate 37%
15.0Shots per Game 12.4
4.9Shots on Target 3.7
4.6Corners per Game 5.2
1.8Cards per Game 1.0

AI Insights

High Goal Expectancy2.84 goals
📈BTTS Trend81% in H2H
📉Home Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

ToulouseToulouse
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.9 vs 0.3 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
LyonLyon
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.9 vs 0.5 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break

Head to Head

Based on 5 historical meetings

Toulouse 50%Draw 19%31% Lyon
2.7Avg Goals
81%BTTS Rate
81%Over 2.5

Recent Form

ToulouseToulouse
2W2D1L
15/08/2026
ToulouseHamburger SV
12
L
31/07/2026
ToulouseReal Sociedad
21
W
25/07/2026
ToulouseRodez
11
D
17/05/2026
NantesToulouse
00
D
10/05/2026
ToulouseLyon
21
W
LyonLyon
2W1D2L

Referee Profile

Guillaume Paradis, France · 17 matches analysed

3.9Avg Yellows
4.0Avg Cards
24.3Avg Fouls
Stricter than 23% of referees analysed

League Table

Ligue 1 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1LilleLille43107:2+510WWDW
2MonacoMonaco43106:2+410DWWW
3RennesRennes43108:5+310WWWD
4LyonLyon42206:2+48DWDW
5Paris FCParis FC42206:2+48DWWD
6StrasbourgStrasbourg42119:8+17DWWL
7Stade Brestois 29Stade Brestois 2941216:605LWDD
8Paris Saint GermainParis Saint Germain41216:605WLDD
9LorientLorient41214:405DWLD
10LensLens41128:7+14DLLW
11AngersAngers41124:5-14DLWL
12Estac TroyesEstac Troyes41124:9-54LLWD
13MarseilleMarseille41036:603LLLW
14Le MansLe Mans40317:8-13DDLD
15AuxerreAuxerre41035:11-63WLLL
16Le HavreLe Havre40222:4-22DLDL
17ToulouseToulouse40224:7-32DLDL
18NiceNice40221:5-42LDLD
#TeamMPGPts
1LilleLille47:210
2MonacoMonaco46:210
3RennesRennes48:510
4LyonLyon46:28
5Paris FCParis FC46:28
6StrasbourgStrasbourg49:87
7Stade Brestois 29Stade Brestois 2946:65
8Paris Saint GermainParis Saint Germain46:65
9LorientLorient44:45
10LensLens48:74
11AngersAngers44:54
12Estac TroyesEstac Troyes44:94
13MarseilleMarseille46:63
14Le MansLe Mans47:83
15AuxerreAuxerre45:113
16Le HavreLe Havre42:42
17ToulouseToulouse44:72
18NiceNice41:52
Champions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation

Toulouse vs Lyon Prediction

Our AI model has analysed this Ligue 1 fixture using team Elo ratings, recent form, projected goals and head-to-head history. The forecasts cover six independent markets - each probability is a separate model calculation, not derived from the match winner result.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive or open market; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

About Ligue 1

ScorePredicts covers France football across all major markets. Use the navigation to explore today's full fixture list or filter by market.

Key Factors for This Match

Toulouse and Lyon have met 5 times recently, averaging 2.7 goals per game in those meetings. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.