Fenerbahçe vs Lyon Prediction
World · Play-offsCupKnockout
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
7.1 / 10
AI Best Pick
67%Trust
BTTS
Both Teams to Score
1.60
SignalSOLIDModel43%SurpriseMediumGap+4.9%
Value Analysis
67%Trust
BTTS
Both Teams to Score
1.60
SignalGOODModel42%SurpriseMediumGap+9.7%
Fenerbahçe Rest
3 days
Lyon Rest
7 days
Fenerbahçe vs Lyon: result, form and history
Fenerbahçe and Lyon drew 1-1 in the UEFA Champions League on 18 Aug 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.
Match Forecasts
Match Result
140%2.02
X25%3.58
235%3.45
Double Chance
1X65%1.29
X260%1.80
Both Teams to Score
Yes67%1.60
No33%2.20
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.81 + 1.45 = 3.26
Over 1.577%1.22
Over 2.555%1.71
Over 3.541%2.77
Under 1.523%4.16
Under 2.545%2.12
Under 3.559%1.42
Corners
Projected Corners: 4.9 + 3.7 = 8.6
Over 8.533%1.41
Over 9.525%1.70
Over 10.520%2.14
Under 8.567%2.62
Under 9.575%2.03
Under 10.580%1.66
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.7 + 2.3 = 4
Over 3.523%1.67
Over 4.514%2.20
Under 3.577%2.10
Under 4.586%1.54
Match Events
37'Abner ViniciusRoughing
40'L. OpendaAssist: C. Tolisso
47'M. GreenwoodAssist: K. Akturkoglu
73'K. Akturkoglu IND. Nene out
73'Talisca INM. Asensio out
75'R. Kluivert INC. Mata out
75'E. Nuamah INK. Boudache out
81'N. KanteHolding
82'V. Muriqi INR. Lukaku out
84'M. SkriniarRoughing
86'T. Morton INM. Bidstrup out
90+1'M. Fofana INM. Ouedraogo out
Lineups
FenerbahçeLyon
4-2-3-1Coach: Paulo FonsecaAvg ratingAvg rating
31Ederson
27N. Semedo
C37M. Škriniar
15N. Aké
3A. Brown
91N. Kanté
6M. Guendouzi
11M. Greenwood
94Talisca
7K. Aktürkoğlu
19V. Muriqi
1D. Greif
98A. Maitland-Niles
21R. Kluivert
19M. Niakhaté
16A. Vinícius
6T. Tessmann
23T. Morton
7E. Nuamah
C8C. Tolisso
11M. Fofana
17L. OpendaFenerbahçe Substitutes
13Tarık Çetin
75Kuzey Sapaz
14Yiğit Efe Demir
18Mert Müldür
22Levent Mercan
5İsmail Yüksek
10Marco Asensio73'for Talisca
17İrfan Can Kahveci
28Bartuğ Elmaz
70Oğuz Aydın
9Romelu Lukaku82'for V. Muriqi
45Dorgeles Nene73'for K. Akturkoglu
Lyon Substitutes
25Justin Bengui
40Rémy Descamps
13Zachary Athekame
20Felix Bacher
22Clinton Mata75'for R. Kluivert
2Mads Bidstrup86'for T. Morton
39Mathys de Carvalho
76Mohamed Ouédraogo90+1'for M. Fofana
99Noah Nartey
24Julien Duranville
26Kaïl Boudache75'for E. Nuamah
45Rémi Himbert
Match Stats
FenerbahçeLyon 52%Ball Possession48%
3Corner Kicks0
2Yellow Cards1
12Total Shots12
5Shots on Goal5
5Shots off Goal2
7Shots Inside Box5
5Shots Outside Box7
2Blocked Shots5
13Fouls13
3Offsides1
4Goalkeeper Saves4
454Total Passes432
389Passes Accurate373
86%Pass Accuracy86%
Team Comparison
FenerbahçeLyon1833Elo Rating 1824
1.73Attack 1.03
1.01Defense 0.97
34%Hit Rate 36%
13.5Shots per Game 9.2
4.5Shots on Target 4.0
4.4Corners per Game 4.7
3.0Cards per Game 1.0
AI Insights
⚽High Goal Expectancy3.26 goals
💎Value Analysis Identified
Game State Tendencies
Fenerbahçe- Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
- Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
Lyon- Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.7 vs 0.3 in second half)
- Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Head to Head
1 previous meeting, all competitions
Fenerbahçe0Wins · 0%Draws1100%
Lyon0Wins · 0%
0Wins · 0%0.0Avg Goals
0%Both teams scored0 of 1
0%3+ goals0 of 1
Previous meetings
23/01/2025FenerbahçeLyon00
Recent Form
Fenerbahçe7W2D1L
15/08/2026
Gençlerbirliği S.K.Fenerbahçe
Sturm GrazFenerbahçeFenerbahçeSturm Graz
Gornik ZabrzeFenerbahçeFenerbahçeGornik Zabrze
Gençlerbirliği S.K.Fenerbahçe21
L11/08/2026Sturm GrazFenerbahçe01
W05/08/2026FenerbahçeSturm Graz20
W29/07/2026Gornik ZabrzeFenerbahçe11
D21/07/2026FenerbahçeGornik Zabrze10
W14/07/2026
Lask LinzFenerbahçe
Lask LinzFenerbahçe12
W11/07/2026Fenerbahçe
Pogon Szczecin
FenerbahçePogon Szczecin40
W08/07/2026
Admira WackerFenerbahçe
Admira WackerFenerbahçe05
W17/05/2026Fenerbahçe
Eyüpspor
FenerbahçeEyüpspor33
D09/05/2026
KonyasporFenerbahçe
KonyasporFenerbahçe03
WLyon5W0D5L
11/08/2026Lyon
Sparta PrahaSparta PrahaLyon
LyonSparta Praha30
W04/08/2026Sparta PrahaLyon21
L29/07/2026
Real BetisLyon
Real BetisLyon40
L24/07/2026
VfL WolfsburgLyon
VfL WolfsburgLyon02
W18/07/2026
Slavia PrahaLyon
Slavia PrahaLyon20
L15/07/2026Lyon
Servette FC
LyonServette FC21
W11/07/2026Lyon
FC ST. Gallen
LyonFC ST. Gallen63
W08/07/2026Lyon
Mâcon
LyonMâcon52
W17/05/2026Lyon
Lens
LyonLens04
L10/05/2026
ToulouseLyon
ToulouseLyon21
LReferee Profile
3.80Cards per match
3.69Yellow cards per match
0.11Red cards per match
21.3Fouls per match
Compared with other referees
3.80 cards a match, 0.45 fewer than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.25).
Cards come from 183 matches with official statistics.
Full referee statsBracket
Qualifying Round 1
Qualifying Round 2
Qualifying Round 3
Play-offs
Viking
AEK Athens FC
CelticLask Linz
Union St. Gilloise
Bodo/Glimt
Olympiakos Piraeus
NEC NijmegenSparta PrahaLyon
Slovan Bratislava
Mjallby AIF
Aarhus
Lech PoznanFenerbahçeGornik Zabrze
FC Thun
Dinamo ZagrebSturm Graz
Heart Of Midlothian
FK Crvena Zvezda
Hapoel Beer Sheva
Omonia Nicosia
CeljeVikingAEK Athens FCCelticLask LinzUnion St. GilloiseBodo/GlimtOlympiakos PiraeusNEC NijmegenSparta PrahaLyonVikingAEK Athens FCCelticLask LinzLeague Table
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Paris Saint Germain | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 14:5 | +9 | 9 | WWW |
| 2 |  Aston Villa | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 12:3 | +9 | 9 | WWW |
| 3 |  Liverpool | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 12:7 | +5 | 9 | WWW |
| 4 |  Real Madrid | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 10:5 | +5 | 9 | WWW |
| 5 |  Sporting CP | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8:4 | +4 | 9 | WLWW |
| 6 | Real Betis | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7:4 | +3 | 9 | WWW |
| 7 |  Arsenal | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6:2 | +4 | 7 | DWW |
| 8 |  VfB Stuttgart | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7:4 | +3 | 7 | LDWW |
| 9 |  Barcelona | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 11:6 | +5 | 6 | LWW |
| 10 |  Como | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10:5 | +5 | 6 | WLW |
| 11 |  Manchester City | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9:5 | +4 | 6 | WLW |
| 12 |  Club Brugge KV | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9:6 | +3 | 6 | WWL |
| 13 |  Borussia Dortmund | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5:4 | +1 | 6 | WLW |
| 14 |  Galatasaray | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8:9 | -1 | 6 | WWLL |
| 15 |  Bayern München | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 10:5 | +5 | 5 | DDW |
| 16 |  AS Roma | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8:5 | +3 | 4 | WLD |
| 17 |  Atletico Madrid | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4:3 | +1 | 4 | DWL |
| 18 |  Shakhtar Donetsk | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4:4 | 0 | 4 | LLWD |
| 19 |  PSV Eindhoven | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2:2 | 0 | 4 | WLD |
| 20 |  Villarreal | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8:8 | 0 | 3 | LWL |
| 21 |  Inter | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5:6 | -1 | 3 | WLL |
| 22 |  Manchester United | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5:6 | -1 | 3 | LLW |
| 23 |  Napoli | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5:7 | -2 | 3 | WLL |
| 24 | Lask Linz | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6:9 | -3 | 3 | WLL |
| 25 |  Sabah FA | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3:6 | -3 | 3 | LWL |
| 26 |  Feyenoord | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4:8 | -4 | 3 | LWL |
| 27 | Lens | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3:7 | -4 | 3 | LLW |
| 28 | Bodo/Glimt | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4:9 | -5 | 3 | LWL |
| 29 | AEK Athens FC | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3:8 | -5 | 3 | LLW |
| 30 |  RB Leipzig | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3:8 | -5 | 3 | LWL |
| 31 | Fenerbahçe | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3:9 | -6 | 2 | DLD |
| 32 | Slavia Praha | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4:7 | -3 | 1 | DLL |
| 33 | Viking | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5:9 | -4 | 1 | LDL |
| 34 |  FC Porto | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2:6 | -4 | 0 | LLL |
| 35 |  Lille | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4:10 | -6 | 0 | LLL |
| 36 | Slovan Bratislava | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1:13 | -12 | 0 | LLL |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Paris Saint Germain | 3 | 14:5 | 9 |
| 2 | Aston Villa | 3 | 12:3 | 9 |
| 3 | Liverpool | 3 | 12:7 | 9 |
| 4 | Real Madrid | 3 | 10:5 | 9 |
| 5 | Sporting CP | 4 | 8:4 | 9 |
| 6 | Real Betis | 3 | 7:4 | 9 |
| 7 | Arsenal | 3 | 6:2 | 7 |
| 8 | VfB Stuttgart | 4 | 7:4 | 7 |
| 9 | Barcelona | 3 | 11:6 | 6 |
| 10 | Como | 3 | 10:5 | 6 |
| 11 | Manchester City | 3 | 9:5 | 6 |
| 12 | Club Brugge KV | 3 | 9:6 | 6 |
| 13 | Borussia Dortmund | 3 | 5:4 | 6 |
| 14 | Galatasaray | 4 | 8:9 | 6 |
| 15 | Bayern München | 3 | 10:5 | 5 |
| 16 | AS Roma | 3 | 8:5 | 4 |
| 17 | Atletico Madrid | 3 | 4:3 | 4 |
| 18 | Shakhtar Donetsk | 4 | 4:4 | 4 |
| 19 | PSV Eindhoven | 3 | 2:2 | 4 |
| 20 | Villarreal | 3 | 8:8 | 3 |
| 21 | Inter | 3 | 5:6 | 3 |
| 22 | Manchester United | 3 | 5:6 | 3 |
| 23 | Napoli | 3 | 5:7 | 3 |
| 24 | Lask Linz | 3 | 6:9 | 3 |
| 25 | Sabah FA | 3 | 3:6 | 3 |
| 26 | Feyenoord | 3 | 4:8 | 3 |
| 27 | Lens | 3 | 3:7 | 3 |
| 28 | Bodo/Glimt | 3 | 4:9 | 3 |
| 29 | AEK Athens FC | 3 | 3:8 | 3 |
| 30 | RB Leipzig | 3 | 3:8 | 3 |
| 31 | Fenerbahçe | 3 | 3:9 | 2 |
| 32 | Slavia Praha | 3 | 4:7 | 1 |
| 33 | Viking | 3 | 5:9 | 1 |
| 34 | FC Porto | 3 | 2:6 | 0 |
| 35 | Lille | 3 | 4:10 | 0 |
| 36 | Slovan Bratislava | 3 | 1:13 | 0 |
Explore more predictions
This match
- Fenerbahçe Predictions
- Lyon Predictions
- UEFA Champions League Predictions
- UEFA Champions League Standings
- UEFA Champions League Stats 2026
- UEFA Champions League top scorers
- UEFA Champions League Knockout Rounds
- UEFA Champions League Winners and Finals History
- Football Tournaments: Predictions, Brackets and History
More UEFA Champions League matches
About the Fenerbahçe vs Lyon forecast
As a knockout tie in the UEFA Champions League, there is more at stake than league points; the forecasts weigh that alongside team ratings, recent form and the head-to-head record.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
About UEFA Champions League
More UEFA Champions League fixtures and forecasts are on the UEFA Champions League Predictions page.
Key Factors for This Match
This is a high-importance fixture for both sides, rated 7.1 out of 10 by our context model. Fenerbahçe have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. Fenerbahçe and Lyon have met only 1 time recently, with 0.0 goals in that meeting. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.