Trabzonspor vs Başakşehir Prediction

Trabzonspor
2-1
Finished
HT 1-1
Başakşehir
Papara Park, Trabzon·Ali Sansalan, Türkiye 23/08/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.6 / 10
AI Best Pick
83%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 1.5 Goals
1.19
SignalSTRONGModel48%SurpriseMediumGap-1.2%
Value Analysis
63%Trust
Home Corners
Home Corners Under 5.5
1.65
SignalSOLIDModel46%SurpriseMediumGap+7.6%
Trabzonspor Rest
2 days
Başakşehir Rest
7 days

Trabzonspor vs Başakşehir: the result in context

Trabzonspor beat Başakşehir 2-1 in the Süper Lig on 23 Aug 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Trabzonspor have had the better of this fixture, winning 7 of the 10 previous meetings, which averaged 2.8 goals a game.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
47%1.96
X
27%3.63
2
26%3.58
Double Chance
1X
74%1.28
X2
53%1.80
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%1.54
No
44%2.35
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.53 + 1.28 = 2.81
Over 1.5
83%1.19
Over 2.5
59%1.64
Over 3.5
33%2.55
Under 1.5
17%4.55
Under 2.5
41%2.25
Under 3.5
67%1.48
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.2 + 4.3 = 9.5
Over 8.5
59%1.47
Over 9.5
49%1.81
Over 10.5
38%2.25
Under 8.5
41%2.50
Under 9.5
51%1.89
Under 10.5
62%1.56
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.3 + 2.6 = 4.9
Over 3.5
68%1.42
Over 4.5
47%1.84
Under 3.5
32%2.55
Under 4.5
53%1.88

Match Events

8'M. Salah
19'E. Shomurodov(Penalty)
22'O. Kemen
39'B. Yildirim
46'B. Yildirim INO. Ergun out
48'M. SalahAssist: E. Muci
58'A. Fayzullaev IND. Selke out
58'J. Kaluzinski INI. Brnic out
61'D. Selke
70'E. Muci INC. Ozkacar out
70'A. Simsir INN. Saviolo out
70'O. Sahiner INM. Karbownik out
79'M. Salah
79'A. Skov Olsen INU. Bozok out
81'R. Malinovskyi INB. Bouchouari out
83'C. Nwaiwu
87'P. Onuachu INO. Tufan out
89'O. Ergun
89'S. Savic
90+3'F. Tekke
90+4'Goal Disallowed - offsideM. Salah

Lineups

Trabzonspor
4-4-1-1Coach: Fatih Tekke
Başakşehir
4-2-3-1Coach: Nuri Sahin
Avg rating7.03
Avg rating6.66
A. Onana7.524A. Onana
S. Lopes Cabral7.255S. Lopes Cabral
C. Nwaiwu6.627C. Nwaiwu
S. SavicC7.015S. Savic
M. Eskihellac6.919M. Eskihellac
E. Muci6.37E. Muci
M. Kabasakal6.657M. Kabasakal
R. Malinovskyi6.917R. Malinovskyi
A. Simsir8.058A. Simsir
M. Salah10.010M. Salah
P. Onuachu6.230P. Onuachu
M. Sengezer7.616M. Sengezer
O. SahinerC6.242O. Sahiner
E. Bayram6.523E. Bayram
J. Opoku6.23J. Opoku
C. Operi7.221C. Operi
O. Kemen6.28O. Kemen
J. Kaluzinski6.618J. Kaluzinski
A. Skov Olsen6.370A. Skov Olsen
E. Shomurodov6.914E. Shomurodov
A. Fayzullaev6.511A. Fayzullaev
B. Yildirim6.391B. Yildirim

Trabzonspor Substitutes

1A. Yildirim
4S. Akaydin
39C. Ozkacar70'for E. Muci6.6
20W. Pina
11O. Tufan87'for P. Onuachu6.7
8B. Bouchouari81'for R. Malinovskyi6.7
14U. Nayir
77M. Mimaroglu
70N. Saviolo70'for A. Simsir6.3
49R. Mitongo

Başakşehir Substitutes

98D. Dilmen
33M. Karbownik70'for O. Sahiner7.0
15H. Gureler
27O. Ba
19B. Ozcan
4O. Ergun46'for B. Yildirim89'7.0
20U. Gunes
9D. Selke58'for A. Fayzullaev61'6.3
77I. Brnic58'for J. Kaluzinski6.5
17U. Bozok79'for A. Skov Olsen7.2

Match Stats

TrabzonsporBaşakşehir
53%Ball Possession47%
5Corner Kicks1
3Yellow Cards4
19Total Shots12
8Shots on Goal4
7Shots off Goal5
13Shots Inside Box8
6Shots Outside Box4
4Blocked Shots3
13Fouls18
4Offsides0
3Goalkeeper Saves7
477Total Passes422
419Passes Accurate360
88%Pass Accuracy85%

Team Comparison

TrabzonsporTrabzonspor
BaşakşehirBaşakşehir
1841Elo Rating 1719
1.85Attack 2.30
2.15Defense 1.81
73%Hit Rate 61%
13.2Shots per Game 15.0
5.0Shots on Target 6.3
4.1Corners per Game 4.6
1.7Cards per Game 1.8

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+123 Elo
⚽High Goal Expectancy2.82 goals
📈BTTS Trend50% in H2H

Game State Tendencies

TrabzonsporTrabzonspor
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.3 vs 0.5 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half, then tightens up after the break
BaşakşehirBaşakşehir
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Starts fast: scores more in 1st half (1.3 vs 1 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half and can tire late

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

TrabzonsporTrabzonspor7Wins · 70%
Draws220%
BaşakşehirBaşakşehir1Wins · 10%
2.8Avg Goals
50%Both teams scored5 of 10
40%3+ goals4 of 10

Previous meetings

Süper Lig19/04/2026
TrabzonsporBaşakşehir
11
Türkiye Kupası03/03/2026
BaşakşehirTrabzonspor
24
Süper Lig24/11/2025
BaşakşehirTrabzonspor
34
Süper Lig15/03/2025
BaşakşehirTrabzonspor
03
Süper Lig19/10/2024
TrabzonsporBaşakşehir
10
Süper Lig18/05/2024
BaşakşehirTrabzonspor
01
Türkiye Kupası28/02/2024
TrabzonsporBaşakşehir
10
Süper Lig23/12/2023
TrabzonsporBaşakşehir
11
Süper Lig06/06/2023
BaşakşehirTrabzonspor
31
Süper Lig14/01/2023
TrabzonsporBaşakşehir
10

Recent Form

TrabzonsporTrabzonspor
4W2D4L
20/08/2026
TrabzonsporFerencvarosi TC
01
L
15/08/2026
KasımpaşaTrabzonspor
11
D
02/08/2026
TrabzonsporUdinese
10
W
30/07/2026
TrabzonsporAl Sadd
01
L
22/05/2026
TrabzonsporKonyaspor
21
W
17/05/2026
TrabzonsporGençlerbirliği S.K.
03
L
13/05/2026
Gençlerbirliği S.K.Trabzonspor
12
W
09/05/2026
BeşiktaşTrabzonspor
12
W
02/05/2026
TrabzonsporGöztepe
11
D
27/04/2026
KonyasporTrabzonspor
21
L
BaşakşehirBaşakşehir
5W2D3L
16/08/2026
BaşakşehirKocaelispor
20
W
30/07/2026
Inter TurkuBaşakşehir
20
L
22/07/2026
BaşakşehirInter Turku
11
D
16/07/2026
Puskas AcademyBaşakşehir
02
W
15/07/2026
Red Bull SalzburgBaşakşehir
12
W
10/07/2026
RiedBaşakşehir
11
D
06/07/2026
Cracovia KrakowBaşakşehir
31
L
16/05/2026
Gaziantep FKBaşakşehir
12
W
09/05/2026
BaşakşehirSamsunspor
30
W
02/05/2026
FenerbahçeBaşakşehir
31
L

Referee Profile

Ali Sansalan145 matches

5.04Cards per match
4.80Yellow cards per match
0.24Red cards per match
25.4Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Ali Sansalan5.04
Other referees4.70

5.04 cards a match, 0.34 more than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.70).

Cards come from 131 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Süper Lig 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1GalatasarayGalatasaray1191127:15+1228WWWWW
2TrabzonsporTrabzonspor1181226:8+1825WWWWW
3AmedAmed1172228:15+1323LWWWD
4BeşiktaşBeşiktaş1171323:12+1122WDWLW
5KasımpaşaKasımpaşa1155117:11+620WDWWL
6FenerbahçeFenerbahçe1161429:10+1919WLLWW
7KocaelisporKocaelispor1161413:9+419WDWLL
8BaşakşehirBaşakşehir1152419:17+217WWLWD
9Çorum FKÇorum FK1151521:21016LWLWW
10GöztepeGöztepe1143422:19+315LWWWW
11RizesporRizespor1142513:16-314WDLLL
12Erzurumspor FKErzurumspor FK1142510:17-714LLWWD
13AlanyasporAlanyaspor113359:18-912LLLLD
14Gençlerbirliği S.K.Gençlerbirliği S.K.1132612:21-911LWLLD
15KonyasporKonyaspor112276:14-88LLWLD
16Gaziantep FKGaziantep FK112279:19-108LLLLL
17SamsunsporSamsunspor1121811:26-157WLLLL
18EyüpsporEyüpspor1110103:30-273LLLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1GalatasarayGalatasaray1127:1528
2TrabzonsporTrabzonspor1126:825
3AmedAmed1128:1523
4BeşiktaşBeşiktaş1123:1222
5KasımpaşaKasımpaşa1117:1120
6FenerbahçeFenerbahçe1129:1019
7KocaelisporKocaelispor1113:919
8BaşakşehirBaşakşehir1119:1717
9Çorum FKÇorum FK1121:2116
10GöztepeGöztepe1122:1915
11RizesporRizespor1113:1614
12Erzurumspor FKErzurumspor FK1110:1714
13AlanyasporAlanyaspor119:1812
14Gençlerbirliği S.K.Gençlerbirliği S.K.1112:2111
15KonyasporKonyaspor116:148
16Gaziantep FKGaziantep FK119:198
17SamsunsporSamsunspor1111:267
18EyüpsporEyüpspor113:303
Champions LeagueEuropa LeagueConference LeagueRelegation

About the Trabzonspor vs Başakşehir forecast

The forecasts for this Süper Lig match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage is the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% means strong statistical confidence; 45-65% points to a competitive, open match; below 45% means the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for information and entertainment only.

Trabzonspor and Başakşehir in the Süper Lig table

In the Süper Lig table, Trabzonspor are 2nd and Başakşehir 8th, 8 points apart. League goal record so far: Trabzonspor 26-8, Başakşehir 19-17. The full standings are on the Süper Lig Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Trabzonspor have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. Başakşehir have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.