TSV Hartberg vs Sturm Graz Prediction

TSV Hartberg
0-2
Finished
HT 0-0
Sturm Graz
Profertil Arena Hartberg, Hartberg·Julian Weinberger, Austria 08/08/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
4.6 / 10
Value Analysis
59%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 2.5 Goals
1.75
SignalSOLIDModel41%SurpriseHighGap+5.1%
TSV Hartberg Rest
7 days
Sturm Graz Rest
2 days

TSV Hartberg vs Sturm Graz: the result in context

Sturm Graz beat TSV Hartberg 2-0 in the Bundesliga on 8 Aug 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Sturm Graz have had the better of this fixture, winning 7 of the 10 previous meetings, which averaged 2.4 goals a game.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
20%4.67
X
26%3.78
2
54%1.70
Double Chance
1X
46%2.10
X2
80%1.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%1.73
No
45%2.00
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.08 + 1.8 = 2.88
Over 1.5
82%1.22
Over 2.5
58%1.75
Over 3.5
32%2.88
Under 1.5
18%3.85
Under 2.5
42%2.00
Under 3.5
68%1.39
Corners
Projected Corners: 3.9 + 5.4 = 9.4
Over 8.5
62%1.50
Over 9.5
50%1.89
Over 10.5
39%2.33
Under 8.5
38%2.44
Under 9.5
50%1.83
Under 10.5
61%1.54
Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

37'Konstantin SchoppFoul
60'Konstantin SchoppFoul
60'Konstantin SchoppFoul
62'G. Mamageishvili INS. Seidl out
62'L. Balbo INE. Soglo out
62'S. Wlodarczyk INN. Weiper out
64'A. Gattermayer INJ. Drew out
69'N. WeiperAssist: S. Seidl
71'Y. Diarra INO. Lukic out
71'M. Hoffmann INA. Urrutia out
78'S. Jatta INA. Kayombo out
81'N. WeiperAssist: S. Seidl
82'T. Kainz INN. Feldhofer out
82'H. Coulibaly INC. Onuoha out
84'J. Heil INP. Koller out
89'Penalty cancelledLuca Weinhandl
90+4'Albert VallciFoul

Lineups

TSV Hartberg
5-3-2Coach: Markus Schopp
Sturm Graz
4-2-3-1Coach: Fabio Ingolitsch
Avg rating6.55
Avg rating7.11
A. Pecsi7.091A. Pecsi
F. Wilfinger6.518F. Wilfinger
P. Komposch6.714P. Komposch
L. Spendlhofer6.719L. Spendlhofer
B. Markus6.74B. Markus
H. Coulibaly5.96H. Coulibaly
T. KainzC7.623T. Kainz
K. Schopp6.327K. Schopp
Y. Diarra6.35Y. Diarra
M. Hoffmann22M. Hoffmann
A. Gattermayer6.67A. Gattermayer
D. Khudyakov7.053D. Khudyakov
J. Heil6.628J. Heil
A. Vallci8.35A. Vallci
J. Mitchell7.92J. Mitchell
L. Balbo6.627L. Balbo
L. Weinhandl7.239L. Weinhandl
J. Gorenc StankovicC7.24J. Gorenc Stankovic
S. Jatta6.520S. Jatta
J. Hodl7.043J. Hodl
G. Mamageishvili6.715G. Mamageishvili
S. Wlodarczyk6.317S. Wlodarczyk

TSV Hartberg Substitutes

21L. Maric
28F. Gerstl
10O. Lukic71'for Y. Diarra6.5
95N. Feldhofer82'for T. Kainz6.9
17J. Karner
11J. Drew64'for A. Gattermayer6.2
16M. Dalpiaz
70C. Onuoha82'for H. Coulibaly6.7
9A. Urrutia71'for M. Hoffmann6.2

Sturm Graz Substitutes

22A. Helac
80R. Fosso
19S. Seidl62'for G. Mamageishvili7.3
18E. Soglo62'for L. Balbo7.3
21P. Petrovic
30P. Koller84'for J. Heil6.9
44N. Weiper62'for S. Wlodarczyk69'81'8.3
11A. Kayombo78'for S. Jatta6.7
23A. Malic

Match Stats

TSV HartbergSturm Graz
46%Ball Possession54%
3Corner Kicks9
2Yellow Cards1
1Red Cards0
6Total Shots20
2Shots on Goal5
2Shots off Goal9
2Shots Inside Box11
4Shots Outside Box9
2Blocked Shots6
15Fouls10
2Offsides2
4Goalkeeper Saves2
334Total Passes378
246Passes Accurate301
74%Pass Accuracy80%

Team Comparison

TSV HartbergTSV Hartberg
Sturm GrazSturm Graz
1634Elo Rating 1690
2.23Attack 1.63
1.85Defense 1.05
61%Hit Rate 14%
17.0Shots per Game 21.5
6.6Shots on Target 5.3
5.5Corners per Game 7.2
1.3Cards per Game 1.8

AI Insights

⚽High Goal Expectancy2.88 goals
📈BTTS Trend60% in H2H

Game State Tendencies

TSV HartbergTSV Hartberg
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.3 vs 0.9 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half, then tightens up after the break
Sturm GrazSturm Graz
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 33% of the time
  • Concedes more in 1st half, then tightens up after the break

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

TSV HartbergTSV Hartberg0Wins · 0%
Draws330%
Sturm GrazSturm Graz7Wins · 70%
2.4Avg Goals
60%Both teams scored6 of 10
40%3+ goals4 of 10

Previous meetings

Bundesliga10/05/2026
TSV HartbergSturm Graz
24
Bundesliga12/04/2026
Sturm GrazTSV Hartberg
00
Bundesliga30/11/2025
TSV HartbergSturm Graz
01
Bundesliga28/09/2025
Sturm GrazTSV Hartberg
10
Bundesliga09/11/2024
TSV HartbergSturm Graz
12
Bundesliga11/08/2024
Sturm GrazTSV Hartberg
20
Bundesliga05/05/2024
Sturm GrazTSV Hartberg
11
Bundesliga14/04/2024
TSV HartbergSturm Graz
13
Bundesliga10/03/2024
TSV HartbergSturm Graz
11
Bundesliga21/10/2023
Sturm GrazTSV Hartberg
21

Recent Form

TSV HartbergTSV Hartberg
5W1D4L
01/08/2026
Red Bull SalzburgTSV Hartberg
10
L
26/07/2026
ImstTSV Hartberg
13
W
18/07/2026
TSV HartbergVoitsberg
02
L
18/07/2026
TSV HartbergFirst Vienna
20
W
08/07/2026
TSV HartbergZbrojovka Brno
20
W
04/07/2026
TSV HartbergUjpest
11
D
01/07/2026
WeizTSV Hartberg
32
L
27/06/2026
TSV HartbergAdmira Wacker
31
W
17/05/2026
Red Bull SalzburgTSV Hartberg
13
W
10/05/2026
TSV HartbergSturm Graz
24
L
Sturm GrazSturm Graz
6W2D2L
05/08/2026
FenerbahçeSturm Graz
20
L
01/08/2026
WSG WattensSturm Graz
11
D
28/07/2026
Heart Of MidlothianSturm Graz
02
W
24/07/2026
SeekirchenSturm Graz
03
W
21/07/2026
Sturm GrazHeart Of Midlothian
40
W
15/07/2026
Sturm GrazPogon Szczecin
10
W
11/07/2026
Sturm GrazSanfrecce Hiroshima
41
W
08/07/2026
Sturm GrazKalsdorf
41
W
03/07/2026
Sturm GrazFK Košice
22
D
30/06/2026
Sturm GrazLNZ Cherkasy
26
L

Referee Profile

Julian Weinberger166 matches

4.50Cards per match
4.28Yellow cards per match
0.22Red cards per match
24.8Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Julian Weinberger4.50
Other referees4.43

4.50 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.43).

Cards come from 130 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Bundesliga 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Rapid ViennaRapid Vienna12110139:9+3033WWWWW
2Red Bull SalzburgRed Bull Salzburg1293033:9+2430WWWWD
3Lask LinzLask Linz1281330:15+1525WWLWL
4TSV HartbergTSV Hartberg1262423:19+420WWWLW
5Sturm GrazSturm Graz1254322:17+519LDDWW
6RiedRied1244421:22-116LDDWW
7WSG WattensWSG Wattens1234515:18-313DLDWL
8Austria LustenauAustria Lustenau1232715:30-1511WLLLL
9SCR AltachSCR Altach1231811:20-910LDWLW
10Grazer AKGrazer AK122469:29-2010LLDLD
11Austria ViennaAustria Vienna1222811:23-128DLLLL
12Wolfsberger ACWolfsberger AC121388:26-186LDLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1Rapid ViennaRapid Vienna1239:933
2Red Bull SalzburgRed Bull Salzburg1233:930
3Lask LinzLask Linz1230:1525
4TSV HartbergTSV Hartberg1223:1920
5Sturm GrazSturm Graz1222:1719
6RiedRied1221:2216
7WSG WattensWSG Wattens1215:1813
8Austria LustenauAustria Lustenau1215:3011
9SCR AltachSCR Altach1211:2010
10Grazer AKGrazer AK129:2910
11Austria ViennaAustria Vienna1211:238
12Wolfsberger ACWolfsberger AC128:266
PromotionRelegation

About the TSV Hartberg vs Sturm Graz forecast

The forecasts for this Bundesliga match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage is the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% means strong statistical confidence; 45-65% points to a competitive, open match; below 45% means the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for information and entertainment only.

TSV Hartberg and Sturm Graz in the Bundesliga table

TSV Hartberg and Sturm Graz are close in the Bundesliga table, 4th and 5th, with 1 point between them. League goal record so far: TSV Hartberg 23-19, Sturm Graz 22-17. The full standings are on the Bundesliga Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Some of the data for this fixture is limited, so the model gives it a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.