TSV Hartberg vs Sturm Graz Prediction

TSV Hartberg
0-2
Finished
HT 0-0
Sturm Graz
Profertil Arena Hartberg, Hartberg· Julian Weinberger, Austria 08/08/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
4.6 / 10
Value Analysis
59%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 2.5 Goals
1.75
SignalGOODModel41%RiskHighGap+5.1%
TSV Hartberg Rest
7 days
Sturm Graz Rest
2 days

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
20%4.67
X
26%3.78
2
54%1.70
Double Chance
1X
46%2.10
X2
80%1.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%1.73
No
45%2.00
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.08 + 1.8 = 2.88
Over 1.5
82%1.22
Over 2.5
58%1.75
Over 3.5
32%2.88
Under 1.5
18%3.85
Under 2.5
42%2.00
Under 3.5
68%1.39
Corners
Projected Corners: 3.9 + 5.4 = 9.4
Over 8.5
62%1.50
Over 9.5
50%1.89
Over 10.5
39%2.33
Under 8.5
38%2.44
Under 9.5
50%1.83
Under 10.5
61%1.54
Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

37'Konstantin SchoppFoul
60'Konstantin SchoppFoul
60'Konstantin SchoppFoul
62'G. Mamageishvili INS. Seidl out
62'L. Balbo INE. Soglo out
62'S. Wlodarczyk INN. Weiper out
64'A. Gattermayer INJ. Drew out
69'N. WeiperAssist: S. Seidl
71'Y. Diarra INO. Lukic out
71'M. Hoffmann INA. Urrutia out
78'S. Jatta INA. Kayombo out
81'N. WeiperAssist: S. Seidl
82'T. Kainz INN. Feldhofer out
82'H. Coulibaly INC. Onuoha out
84'J. Heil INP. Koller out
89'Penalty cancelledLuca Weinhandl
90+4'Albert VallciFoul

Lineups

TSV Hartberg
5-3-2Coach: Markus Schopp
Sturm Graz
4-2-3-1Coach: Fabio Ingolitsch
A. Pecsi91A. PecsiA. Pecsi
F. Wilfinger18F. WilfingerF. Wilfinger
P. Komposch14P. KomposchP. Komposch
L. Spendlhofer19L. SpendlhoferL. Spendlhofer
B. Markus4B. MarkusB. Markus
H. Coulibaly6H. CoulibalyH. Coulibaly
T. Kainz23T. KainzT. Kainz
K. Schopp27K. SchoppK. Schopp
Y. Diarra5Y. DiarraY. Diarra
M. Hoffmann22M. HoffmannM. Hoffmann
A. Gattermayer7A. GattermayerA. Gattermayer
D. Khudyakov53D. KhudyakovD. Khudyakov
J. Heil28J. HeilJ. Heil
A. Vallci5A. VallciA. Vallci
J. Mitchell2J. MitchellJ. Mitchell
L. Balbo27L. BalboL. Balbo
L. Weinhandl39L. WeinhandlL. Weinhandl
J. Gorenc Stankovic4J. Gorenc StankovicJ. Gorenc Stankovic
S. Jatta20S. JattaS. Jatta
J. Hodl43J. HodlJ. Hodl
G. Mamageishvili15G. MamageishviliG. Mamageishvili
S. Wlodarczyk17S. WlodarczykS. Wlodarczyk

TSV Hartberg Substitutes

21L. MaricG
28F. GerstlM
10O. LukicM
95N. FeldhoferM
17J. KarnerM
11J. DrewF
16M. DalpiazD
70C. OnuohaF
9A. UrrutiaF

Sturm Graz Substitutes

22A. HelacG
80R. FossoM
19S. SeidlM
18E. SogloD
21P. PetrovicD
30P. KollerD
44N. WeiperF
11A. KayomboF
23A. MalicD

Match Stats

TSV HartbergSturm Graz
46%Ball Possession54%
3Corner Kicks9
2Yellow Cards1
1Red Cards0
6Total Shots20
2Shots on Goal5
2Shots off Goal9
2Shots Inside Box11
4Shots Outside Box9
2Blocked Shots6
15Fouls10
2Offsides2
4Goalkeeper Saves2
334Total Passes378
246Passes Accurate301
74%Pass Accuracy80%

Team Comparison

TSV HartbergTSV Hartberg
Sturm GrazSturm Graz
1589Elo Rating 1728
2.37Attack 1.54
1.62Defense 1.94
59%Hit Rate 42%
9.0Shots per Game 12.9
3.9Shots on Target 4.9
4.4Corners per Game 4.4
0.8Cards per Game 2.2

AI Insights

High Goal Expectancy2.88 goals
📈BTTS Trend41% in H2H
📊Home Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

TSV HartbergTSV Hartberg
  • Leads at half-time in 80% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (2 vs 0.4 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Sturm GrazSturm Graz
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1 vs 0.6 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break

Head to Head

Based on 5 historical meetings

TSV Hartberg 0%Draw 23%77% Sturm Graz
2.4Avg Goals
41%BTTS Rate
41%Over 2.5

Recent Form

TSV HartbergTSV Hartberg
3W0D2L
01/08/2026
Red Bull SalzburgTSV Hartberg
10
L
26/07/2026
ImstTSV Hartberg
13
W
18/07/2026
TSV HartbergVoitsberg
02
L
18/07/2026
TSV HartbergFirst Vienna
20
W
08/07/2026
TSV HartbergZbrojovka Brno
20
W

Referee Profile

Julian Weinberger, Austria · 4 matches analysed

4.2Avg Yellows
4.5Avg Cards
23.9Avg Fouls
Stricter than 40% of referees analysed

League Table

Bundesliga 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Rapid ViennaRapid Vienna760121:7+1418WWLWW
2Lask LinzLask Linz650116:4+1215LWWWW
3Red Bull SalzburgRed Bull Salzburg642015:4+1114DWWWD
4Sturm GrazSturm Graz63218:6+211WLDWW
5WSG WattensWSG Wattens72239:12-38LDWWL
6Austria LustenauAustria Lustenau72238:11-38WLLDW
7Grazer AKGrazer AK72236:16-108DWDLL
8TSV HartbergTSV Hartberg62137:10-37DWWLL
9Austria ViennaAustria Vienna72147:13-67DWLLW
10Wolfsberger ACWolfsberger AC61236:9-35LLDLD
11RiedRied61237:11-45DLWLL
12SCR AltachSCR Altach71065:12-73LLLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1Rapid ViennaRapid Vienna721:718
2Lask LinzLask Linz616:415
3Red Bull SalzburgRed Bull Salzburg615:414
4Sturm GrazSturm Graz68:611
5WSG WattensWSG Wattens79:128
6Austria LustenauAustria Lustenau78:118
7Grazer AKGrazer AK76:168
8TSV HartbergTSV Hartberg67:107
9Austria ViennaAustria Vienna77:137
10Wolfsberger ACWolfsberger AC66:95
11RiedRied67:115
12SCR AltachSCR Altach75:123
PromotionRelegation

TSV Hartberg vs Sturm Graz Prediction

Our AI model has analysed this Bundesliga fixture using team Elo ratings, recent form, projected goals and head-to-head history. The forecasts cover six independent markets - each probability is a separate model calculation, not derived from the match winner result.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive or open market; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

About Bundesliga

ScorePredicts covers Austria football across all major markets. Use the navigation to explore today's full fixture list or filter by market.

Key Factors for This Match

TSV Hartberg have led at half-time in 80% of their recent matches. TSV Hartberg and Sturm Graz have met 5 times recently, averaging 2.4 goals per game in those meetings. Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.