Twente vs Qarabag Prediction
World · Play-offs
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
5.3 / 10
Value Analysis
70%Trust
Goals O/U
Under 3.5 Goals
1.50
SignalGOODModel56%SurpriseHighGap+7.5%
Twente Rest
4 days
Qarabag Rest
3 days
Twente vs Qarabag: result, form and history
Qarabag beat Twente 1-0 in the UEFA Europa Conference League on 20 Aug 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.
Match Forecasts
Match Result
163%1.51
X20%4.22
217%5.42
Double Chance
1X83%1.14
X237%2.40
Both Teams to Score
Yes50%1.67
No50%2.07
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.83 + 1.05 = 2.88
Over 1.577%1.18
Over 2.555%1.60
Over 3.532%2.45
Under 1.523%4.50
Under 2.545%2.26
Under 3.568%1.50
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.9 + 3.2 = 9
Over 8.533%1.42
Over 9.525%1.68
Over 10.520%2.05
Under 8.567%2.64
Under 9.575%2.06
Under 10.580%1.67
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.1 + 2.4 = 4.5
Over 3.550%1.82
Over 4.537%2.57
Under 3.550%1.88
Under 4.563%1.39
Match Events
23'R. PropperHolding
28'A. AdelgaardUnsportsmanlike conduct
28'Matheus SilvaUnsportsmanlike conduct
34'D. WeidmannHolding
46'R. Propper INM. Bruns out
52'Kady BorgesAssist: M. Qurbanly
58'R. ZerroukiRoughing
61'M. Pjaca INK. Hlynsson out
61'W. Weghorst INS. Lammers out
66'D. RotsUnsportsmanlike conduct
75'M. Qurbanly INDani Bolt out
83'A. Adelgaard INF. Thorvaldsen out
83'D. Weidmann INL. Vennegoor of Hesselink out
Lineups
TwenteQarabag
4-2-3-1Coach: Qurban QurbanovAvg ratingAvg rating
1L. Unnerstall
28B. van Rooij
C3R. Pröpper
43R. Nijstad
29A. Adelgaard
6R. Zerrouki
7M. Pjaca
11D. Rots
42D. Weidmann
27S. Ørjasæter
9W. Weghorst
23M. Zlomislić
2M. Silva
C55B. Hüseynov
4B. Várkonyi
5B. Langa
88S. Lobato
8M. Janković
21O. Kashchuk
20K. Borges
7J. Mouaddib
22M. QurbanlıTwente Substitutes
16Joël Drommel
22Remko Pasveer
12Guilherme Peixoto
24Krzysztof Kurowski
38Max Bruns46'for R. Propper
4Mathias Kjølø
14Kristian Hlynsson61'for M. Pjaca
17Filip Thorvaldsen83'for A. Adelgaard
19Younes Taha
20Thomas Van den Belt
10Sam Lammers61'for W. Weghorst
25Lucas Vennegoor of Hesselink83'for D. Weidmann
Qarabag Substitutes
1Shakhrudin Magomedaliyev
99Mateusz Kochalski
13Bahlul Mustafazada
18Dani Bolt75'for M. Qurbanly
9Joni Montiel
32Hikmat Cabrayilzada
49Ali Bashirov
Match Stats
TwenteQarabag 61%Ball Possession39%
5Corner Kicks3
5Yellow Cards1
21Total Shots7
5Shots on Goal4
5Shots off Goal3
12Shots Inside Box6
9Shots Outside Box1
11Blocked Shots1
13Fouls4
1Offsides1
3Goalkeeper Saves5
523Total Passes343
438Passes Accurate260
84%Pass Accuracy76%
Team Comparison
TwenteQarabag1877Elo Rating 1679
4.06Attack 0.78
2.28Defense 2.23
86%Hit Rate 14%
23.4Shots per Game -
9.7Shots on Target -
7.7Corners per Game -
1.2Cards per Game -
AI Insights
🏠Strong Home Advantage+198 Elo
⚽High Goal Expectancy2.88 goals
⚠️Away Rotation Risk90%
Game State Tendencies
Twente- Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
- Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
- Scores more in 2nd half (2.4 vs 1.6 in first half)
Qarabag- Tied at half-time in 80% of matches
- Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
- Scores more in 2nd half (0.6 vs 0.2 in first half)
Recent Form
Twente4W2D4L
16/08/2026Twente
PEC Zwolle
Dunajska StredaTwente
HeerenveenTwente
Ferencvarosi TCTwenteTwenteFerencvarosi TC
TwentePEC Zwolle31
W13/08/2026Dunajska StredaTwente33
D09/08/2026HeerenveenTwente10
L06/08/2026TwenteDunajska Streda
TwenteDunajska Streda60
W02/08/2026
GenkTwente
30/07/2026GenkTwente21
LFerencvarosi TCTwente22
D24/07/2026
EmmenTwente
23/07/2026EmmenTwente03
WTwenteFerencvarosi TC12
L18/07/2026Twente
Gent
TwenteGent02
L11/07/2026
PAOKTwente
PAOKTwente23
WQarabag5W1D4L
17/08/2026Qarabag
Şamaxı FK
QarabagŞamaxı FK31
W13/08/2026Qarabag
Dynamo Kyiv
QarabagDynamo Kyiv20
W06/08/2026Dynamo KyivQarabag
30/07/2026Dynamo KyivQarabag10
L
CSKA SofiaQarabag5040
L23/07/2026QarabagCSKA Sofia00
D16/07/2026
VestriQarabag
VestriQarabag03
W09/07/2026QarabagVestri
QarabagVestri30
W01/07/2026Ferencvarosi TCQarabag
Ferencvarosi TCQarabag10
L01/07/2026Qarabag
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
QarabagMetalist 1925 Kharkiv26
L22/05/2026
SumqayıtQarabag
SumqayıtQarabag34
WReferee Profile
4.73Cards per match
4.58Yellow cards per match
0.15Red cards per match
24.6Fouls per match
Compared with other referees
4.73 cards a match, 0.25 more than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.48).
Cards come from 26 matches with official statistics.
Full referee statsBracket
Qualifying Round 1
Qualifying Round 2
Qualifying Round 3
Play-offs
Lincoln Red Imps FC
Larne
Brighton
KI KlaksvikPAOK
Vikingur Reykjavik
Gornik Zabrze
Monaco
Hradec Králové
SC Freiburg
Maccabi Tel Aviv
Atalanta
Heart Of Midlothian
Rangers
Shamrock Rovers
KuPS
Pafos
Getafe
Tromso
HNK Hajduk Split
Sheriff Tiraspol
FC ST. GallenDynamo KyivQarabag
Inter Club d'Escaldes
Hammarby FFTwente
FC Midtjylland
Tre Fiori
IFK Goteborg
Floriana
Drita
Atert Bissen
Gyori ETO FC
Neftchi Baku
Başakşehir
Vardar Skopje
Riga
Spartak Trnava
CSKA 1948
Železničar Pančevo
SC Braga
Hibernian
Austria Vienna
CFR 1907 Cluj
Panevėžys
FK Tobol Kostanay
HJK Helsinki
Coleraine FC
Flora Tallinn
The New Saints
Debreceni VSC
Apollon Limassol
AEK Larnaca
Beitar Jerusalem
Raków Częstochowa
Valletta FCDunajska StredaVestri
Gais
FC Nordsjaelland
FC Sion
Rapid Vienna
Zimbru
FC Noah
ML Vitebsk
Sutjeska
Universitatea Cluj
Brann
FC Vaduz
FCSB
Auda
NK Varazdin
FK Jablonec
Aluminij
Vojvodina
Ajax
Polessya
FC Copenhagen
Paks
Panathinaikos
Hapoel Tel Aviv
Ludogorets
Borac Banja Luka
Petrocub
LNZ CherkasyGent
FC Lugano
Dukagjini
Žilina
GKS Katowice
Motherwell
HB Torshavn
Bravo
Koper
HNK Rijeka
Derry City
Shelbourne
FK Partizan
Valur Reykjavik
ZrinjskiLincoln Red Imps FCLarneBrightonKI KlaksvikPAOKVikingur ReykjavikGornik ZabrzeMonacoHradec KrálovéSC FreiburgMaccabi Tel AvivAtalantaHeart Of MidlothianRangersShamrock RoversKuPSPafosGetafeTromsoHNK Hajduk SplitSheriff TiraspolFC ST. GallenDynamo KyivQarabagInter Club d'EscaldesHammarby FFTwenteFC MidtjyllandTre FioriLincoln Red Imps FCLarneBrightonKI KlaksvikPAOKVikingur ReykjavikGornik ZabrzeMonacoHradec KrálovéSC FreiburgMaccabi Tel AvivAtalantaHeart Of MidlothianRangersShamrock RoversKuPSPafosGetafeLeague Table
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Lugano | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 11:4 | +7 | 9 | WWW |
| 2 | Panathinaikos | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9:3 | +6 | 9 | WWW |
| 3 | Twente | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 8:2 | +6 | 9 | WWW |
| 4 | Monaco | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7:1 | +6 | 9 | WWW |
| 5 | Brighton | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5:0 | +5 | 7 | WDW |
| 6 | Brann | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7:3 | +4 | 7 | DWW |
| 7 | FC Copenhagen | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7:3 | +4 | 7 | WDW |
| 8 |  Universitatea Craiova | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6:2 | +4 | 7 | WWD |
| 9 |  Mjallby AIF | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5:1 | +4 | 7 | WDW |
| 10 |  St. Truiden | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4:1 | +3 | 7 | DWW |
| 11 | Ajax | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9:3 | +6 | 6 | WWL |
| 12 |  Trabzonspor | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6:3 | +3 | 6 | LWW |
| 13 | HNK Hajduk Split | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3:2 | +1 | 6 | LWW |
| 14 | SC Freiburg | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4:5 | -1 | 6 | WLW |
| 15 |  FK Crvena Zvezda | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6:6 | 0 | 4 | WDL |
| 16 | Atalanta | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4:4 | 0 | 4 | DLW |
| 17 | SC Braga | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 4 | DWL |
| 18 | Gent | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 4 | DLW |
| 19 | Riga | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3:3 | 0 | 3 | DDD |
| 20 |  FC Thun | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3:3 | 0 | 3 | WLL |
| 21 | Borac Banja Luka | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3:4 | -1 | 3 | LWL |
| 22 | Lincoln Red Imps FC | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3:6 | -3 | 3 | WLL |
| 23 | FK Jablonec | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3:4 | -1 | 2 | DDL |
| 24 |  Aarhus | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 2 | DDL |
| 25 | FC Nordsjaelland | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3:5 | -2 | 2 | LDD |
| 26 |  Egnatia Rrogozhinë | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2:4 | -2 | 2 | LDD |
| 27 |  Kairat Almaty | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3:7 | -4 | 2 | DLD |
| 28 | CSKA Sofia | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4:6 | -2 | 1 | LDL |
| 29 |  FC Iberia 1999 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2:5 | -3 | 1 | LDL |
| 30 | Pafos | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3:7 | -4 | 1 | LDL |
| 31 | Getafe | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3:7 | -4 | 1 | LLD |
| 32 | Heart Of Midlothian | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2:6 | -4 | 1 | LLD |
| 33 | KuPS | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2:6 | -4 | 1 | DLL |
| 34 | FC Midtjylland | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2:8 | -6 | 1 | LLD |
| 35 | Inter Club d'Escaldes | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2:7 | -5 | 0 | LLL |
| 36 |  Kauno Žalgiris | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1:11 | -10 | 0 | LLL |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Lugano | 3 | 11:4 | 9 |
| 2 | Panathinaikos | 3 | 9:3 | 9 |
| 3 | Twente | 3 | 8:2 | 9 |
| 4 | Monaco | 3 | 7:1 | 9 |
| 5 | Brighton | 3 | 5:0 | 7 |
| 6 | Brann | 3 | 7:3 | 7 |
| 7 | FC Copenhagen | 3 | 7:3 | 7 |
| 8 | Universitatea Craiova | 3 | 6:2 | 7 |
| 9 | Mjallby AIF | 3 | 5:1 | 7 |
| 10 | St. Truiden | 3 | 4:1 | 7 |
| 11 | Ajax | 3 | 9:3 | 6 |
| 12 | Trabzonspor | 3 | 6:3 | 6 |
| 13 | HNK Hajduk Split | 3 | 3:2 | 6 |
| 14 | SC Freiburg | 3 | 4:5 | 6 |
| 15 | FK Crvena Zvezda | 3 | 6:6 | 4 |
| 16 | Atalanta | 3 | 4:4 | 4 |
| 17 | SC Braga | 3 | 2:3 | 4 |
| 18 | Gent | 3 | 1:2 | 4 |
| 19 | Riga | 3 | 3:3 | 3 |
| 20 | FC Thun | 3 | 3:3 | 3 |
| 21 | Borac Banja Luka | 3 | 3:4 | 3 |
| 22 | Lincoln Red Imps FC | 3 | 3:6 | 3 |
| 23 | FK Jablonec | 3 | 3:4 | 2 |
| 24 | Aarhus | 3 | 1:2 | 2 |
| 25 | FC Nordsjaelland | 3 | 3:5 | 2 |
| 26 | Egnatia Rrogozhinë | 3 | 2:4 | 2 |
| 27 | Kairat Almaty | 3 | 3:7 | 2 |
| 28 | CSKA Sofia | 3 | 4:6 | 1 |
| 29 | FC Iberia 1999 | 3 | 2:5 | 1 |
| 30 | Pafos | 3 | 3:7 | 1 |
| 31 | Getafe | 3 | 3:7 | 1 |
| 32 | Heart Of Midlothian | 3 | 2:6 | 1 |
| 33 | KuPS | 3 | 2:6 | 1 |
| 34 | FC Midtjylland | 3 | 2:8 | 1 |
| 35 | Inter Club d'Escaldes | 3 | 2:7 | 0 |
| 36 | Kauno Žalgiris | 3 | 1:11 | 0 |
Conference League
Explore more predictions
This match
- Twente Predictions
- Qarabag Predictions
- UEFA Europa Conference League Predictions
- UEFA Europa Conference League Standings
- UEFA Europa Conference League Stats 2026
- UEFA Europa Conference League top scorers
- UEFA Europa Conference League Knockout Rounds
- UEFA Europa Conference League Winners and Finals History
- Football Tournaments: Predictions, Brackets and History
More UEFA Europa Conference League matches
About the Twente vs Qarabag forecast
As a knockout tie in the UEFA Europa Conference League, there is more at stake than league points; the forecasts weigh that alongside team ratings, recent form and the head-to-head record.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
About UEFA Europa Conference League
More UEFA Europa Conference League fixtures and forecasts are on the UEFA Europa Conference League Predictions page.
Key Factors for This Match
Twente have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. Twente and Qarabag have little recent head-to-head history for the model to draw on. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.