Heerenveen vs Twente Prediction

Heerenveen
1-0
Finished
HT 0-0
Twente
Abe Lenstra Stadion, Heerenveen·Marc Nagtegaal, Netherlands 09/08/2026
HeerenveenHeerenveen
1-0
Finished
TwenteTwente

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.6 / 10
Value Analysis
68%Trust
Goals O/U
Under 3.5 Goals
1.67
SignalGOODModel40%SurpriseMediumGap+11.5%
Heerenveen Rest
8 days
Twente Rest
2 days

Heerenveen vs Twente: result, form and history

Heerenveen beat Twente 1-0 in the Eredivisie on 9 Aug 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Twente have had the better of this fixture, winning 6 of the 10 previous meetings, which averaged 3.9 goals a game. Referee Marc Nagtegaal averages 2.56 cards a game, 0.71 fewer than other referees in the same competitions.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
35%3.01
X
31%3.73
2
34%2.16
Double Chance
1X
66%1.67
X2
65%1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%1.40
No
44%2.72
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.52 + 1.46 = 2.98
Over 1.5
82%1.14
Over 2.5
59%1.47
Over 3.5
33%2.17
Under 1.5
18%5.50
Under 2.5
41%2.60
Under 3.5
67%1.67
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.3 + 5.4 = 10.6
Over 8.5
75%1.33
Over 9.5
65%1.61
Over 10.5
54%1.99
Under 8.5
25%2.94
Under 9.5
35%2.20
Under 10.5
46%1.75
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.5 + 2.2 = 3.7
Over 3.5
47%2.00
Over 4.5
30%3.13
Under 3.5
53%1.73
Under 4.5
70%1.29

Match Events

46'L. Machine INL. Oyen out
52'L. OyenAssist: J. Trenskow
55'R. Meerveld INN. Courtens out
57'S. Orjasaeter INY. Taha out
68'M. Egbring INH. Petrov out
68'M. Pjaca INL. Vennegoor of Hesselink out
68'T. van den Belt INM. Kjolo out
75'D. ProperFoul
77'R. Zerrouki INK. Hlynsson out
77'A. Adelgaard INS. Lammers out
83'S. Kersten IND. Bladi out
83'J. Trenskow INN. Hopland out
90+1'L. OyenDelay of game
90+6'D. RotsTripping

Lineups

Heerenveen
4-1-4-1Coach: Robin Veldman
Twente
4-2-3-1Coach: John van den Brom
Avg rating7.04
Avg rating6.73
Bernt Klaverboer7.522B. Klaverboer
Mats Egbring7.015M. Egbring
Sam Kersten7.24S. Kersten
Maas WillemsenC7.93M. Willemsen
Vasilios Zagaritis7.319V. Zagaritis
Dirk Wanner Proper6.76D. Wanner Proper
Jacob Trenskow7.520J. Trenskow
Marcus Linday7.016M. Linday
Ringo Meerveld6.910R. Meerveld
Lanroy Machine6.629L. Machine
Dylan Vente6.59D. Vente
Lars Unnerstall7.21L. Unnerstall
Bart van Rooij7.228B. van Rooij
Max Bruns6.738M. Bruns
Robin PröpperC6.33R. Pröpper
Aske Adelgaard6.929A. Adelgaard
Thomas Van den Belt6.320T. Van den Belt
Ramiz Zerrouki6.66R. Zerrouki
Marko Pjaca6.77M. Pjaca
Daan Rots6.611D. Rots
Sondre Ørjasæter6.327S. Ørjasæter
Wout Weghorst6.29W. Weghorst

Heerenveen Substitutes

44Andries Noppert
30Timo Schreuder
17Nikolai Soyset Hopland83'for J. Trenskow6.6
23Darling Bladi83'for S. Kersten6.9
41Jimte Scholten
28Hristiyan Petrov68'for M. Egbring6.6
11Luca Oyen46'for L. Machine52'90+1'7.9
7Maxence Rivera
8Luuk Brouwers
14Levi Smans
36Nolhan Courtens55'for R. Meerveld6.5
47Kirayno Schaken

Twente Substitutes

22Remko Pasveer
16Joël Drommel
43Ruud Nijstad
24Krzysztof Kurowski
12Guilherme Peixoto
14Kristian Hlynsson77'for R. Zerrouki6.9
4Mathias Kjølø68'for T. van den Belt7.2
19Younes Taha57'for S. Orjasaeter7.2
10Sam Lammers77'for A. Adelgaard6.7
37Naci Ünüvar
25Lucas Vennegoor of Hesselink68'for M. Pjaca6.7

Match Stats

HeerenveenTwente
46%Ball Possession54%
4Corner Kicks8
2Yellow Cards1
7Total Shots18
4Shots on Goal3
1Shots off Goal11
4Shots Inside Box14
3Shots Outside Box4
2Blocked Shots4
7Fouls7
2Offsides2
3Goalkeeper Saves3
474Total Passes533
395Passes Accurate459
83%Pass Accuracy86%

Team Comparison

HeerenveenHeerenveen
TwenteTwente
1756Elo Rating 1877
1.97Attack 4.06
2.33Defense 2.28
86%Hit Rate 86%
12.3Shots per Game 23.4
5.0Shots on Target 9.7
3.9Corners per Game 7.7
1.3Cards per Game 1.2

AI Insights

⚽High Goal Expectancy2.98 goals
📈BTTS Trend60% in H2H

Game State Tendencies

HeerenveenHeerenveen
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.6 vs 0.4 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half and can tire late
TwenteTwente
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (2.4 vs 1.6 in first half)

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

HeerenveenHeerenveen1Wins · 10%
Draws330%
TwenteTwente6Wins · 60%
3.9Avg Goals
60%Both teams scored6 of 10
80%3+ goals8 of 10

Previous meetings

Eredivisie07/02/2026
TwenteHeerenveen
50
Eredivisie24/08/2025
HeerenveenTwente
12
Eredivisie09/02/2025
HeerenveenTwente
33
Eredivisie17/09/2024
TwenteHeerenveen
20
Eredivisie03/04/2024
HeerenveenTwente
33
Eredivisie30/09/2023
TwenteHeerenveen
10
Eredivisie04/06/2023
TwenteHeerenveen
40
Eredivisie01/06/2023
HeerenveenTwente
12
Eredivisie04/03/2023
TwenteHeerenveen
33
Eredivisie18/09/2022
HeerenveenTwente
21

Recent Form

HeerenveenHeerenveen
5W2D3L
01/08/2026
HeerenveenVolos NFC
32
W
25/07/2026
HeerenveenOH Leuven
44
D
17/07/2026
Club Brugge KVHeerenveen
23
W
03/07/2026
HeerenveenDe Graafschap
72
W
21/05/2026
UtrechtHeerenveen
32
L
17/05/2026
HeerenveenAjax
00
D
11/05/2026
NAC BredaHeerenveen
20
L
03/05/2026
FC VolendamHeerenveen
02
W
25/04/2026
HeerenveenFortuna Sittard
21
W
12/04/2026
AZ AlkmaarHeerenveen
30
L
TwenteTwente
5W1D4L
06/08/2026
TwenteDunajska Streda
60
W
02/08/2026
GenkTwente
21
L
30/07/2026
Ferencvarosi TCTwente
22
D
24/07/2026
EmmenTwente
03
W
23/07/2026
TwenteFerencvarosi TC
12
L
18/07/2026
TwenteGent
02
L
11/07/2026
PAOKTwente
23
W
04/07/2026
TwenteAberdeen
10
W
17/05/2026
PSV EindhovenTwente
51
L
10/05/2026
TwenteSparta Rotterdam
40
W

Referee Profile

Marc Nagtegaal175 matches

2.56Cards per match
2.51Yellow cards per match
0.05Red cards per match
20.4Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Marc Nagtegaal2.56
Other referees3.27

2.56 cards a match, 0.71 fewer than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (3.27).

Cards come from 164 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Eredivisie 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1PSV EindhovenPSV Eindhoven1282240:15+2526WWDLW
2FeyenoordFeyenoord1274136:17+1925LDDWW
3AjaxAjax1274132:15+1725DWWWD
4TwenteTwente1273230:12+1824DWWLD
5AZ AlkmaarAZ Alkmaar1272324:16+823WLLDL
6HeerenveenHeerenveen1263324:16+821WWWWL
7Fortuna SittardFortuna Sittard1255220:20020DDWDD
8GO Ahead EaglesGO Ahead Eagles1245324:27-317WLWLD
9GroningenGroningen1243529:28+115LLDLW
10CambuurCambuur1243525:27-215LWWDW
11NEC NijmegenNEC Nijmegen1235420:21-114WLDDD
12Sparta RotterdamSparta Rotterdam1233621:29-812LWLWD
13PEC ZwollePEC Zwolle1233613:24-1112DWDWL
14UtrechtUtrecht1233621:34-1312LLDWW
15ExcelsiorExcelsior1232716:29-1311LLLLL
16TelstarTelstar1224618:25-710DWLLD
17ADO Den HaagADO Den Haag1223716:25-99WLLWD
18Willem IIWillem II1203911:40-293DLLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1PSV EindhovenPSV Eindhoven1240:1526
2FeyenoordFeyenoord1236:1725
3AjaxAjax1232:1525
4TwenteTwente1230:1224
5AZ AlkmaarAZ Alkmaar1224:1623
6HeerenveenHeerenveen1224:1621
7Fortuna SittardFortuna Sittard1220:2020
8GO Ahead EaglesGO Ahead Eagles1224:2717
9GroningenGroningen1229:2815
10CambuurCambuur1225:2715
11NEC NijmegenNEC Nijmegen1220:2114
12Sparta RotterdamSparta Rotterdam1221:2912
13PEC ZwollePEC Zwolle1213:2412
14UtrechtUtrecht1221:3412
15ExcelsiorExcelsior1216:2911
16TelstarTelstar1218:2510
17ADO Den HaagADO Den Haag1216:259
18Willem IIWillem II1211:403
Champions LeagueEuropa LeagueConference LeagueRelegation

About the Heerenveen vs Twente forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage is the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% means strong statistical confidence; 45-65% points to a competitive, open match; below 45% means the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for information and entertainment only.

Heerenveen and Twente in the Eredivisie table

Twente and Heerenveen are close in the Eredivisie table, 4th and 6th, with 3 points between them. League goal record so far: Heerenveen 24-16, Twente 30-12. The full standings are on the Eredivisie Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Twente have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.