Qarabag vs CSKA Sofia Prediction

Qarabag
0-0
Finished
HT 0-0
CSKA Sofia
Azərsun Arena, Baku· Daniele Chiffi, Italy 23/07/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
5.4 / 10
Value Analysis
56%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 2.5 Goals
1.93
SignalGOODModel45%RiskMediumGap+7.1%
Qarabag Rest
6 days
CSKA Sofia Rest
2 days

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
52%1.50
X
19%4.00
2
29%5.90
Double Chance
1X
71%1.12
X2
48%2.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%2.03
No
49%1.70
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.54 + 1.2 = 2.74
Over 1.5
78%1.28
Over 2.5
55%1.93
Over 3.5
29%3.40
Under 1.5
22%3.30
Under 2.5
45%1.83
Under 3.5
71%1.29
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards
Projected Cards: + =
Over 3.5
39%1.51
Over 4.5
27%2.07
Under 3.5
61%2.27
Under 4.5
73%1.67

Match Events

35'L. GodoyHolding
37'M. JankovicRoughing
56'B. Langa INE. Cafarquliyev out
56'M. Jankovic INR. Cephas out
59'Goal Disallowed - offsideKady Borges
73'L. Godoy INJ. Zwarts out
73'M. Ebong INI. Solet out
74'O. Kashchuk INJ. Mouaddib out
74'B. Huseynov INC. Makreckis out
77'F. RodriguezRoughing
78'A. Zoubir INJ. Montiel out
84'A. Martino INT. Ouorou out
90+1'Pastor INM. Brahimi out
90+1'S. Sensi INP. Panayotov out

Lineups

Qarabag
4-2-3-1Coach: Qurban Qurbanov
CSKA Sofia
4-4-2Coach: Hristo Yanev
Mateusz Kochalski99M. KochalskiMateusz Kochalski
Matheus Silva2M. SilvaMatheus Silva
Bədavi Hüseynov55B. HüseynovBədavi Hüseynov
Bence Várkonyi4B. VárkonyiBence Várkonyi
Bruno Langa5B. LangaBruno Langa
Pedro Bicalho35P. BicalhoPedro Bicalho
Marko Janković8M. JankovićMarko Janković
Olexiy Kashchuk21O. KashchukOlexiy Kashchuk
Kady Borges20K. BorgesKady Borges
Abdellah Zoubir10A. ZoubirAbdellah Zoubir
Zakaria Sawo11Z. SawoZakaria Sawo
Fedor Lapoukhov21F. LapoukhovFedor Lapoukhov
Pastor2PastorPastor
Facundo Rodríguez32F. RodríguezFacundo Rodríguez
Teodor Ivanov14T. IvanovTeodor Ivanov
Ángelo Martino17Á. MartinoÁngelo Martino
Max Ebong7M. EbongMax Ebong
Jean-Philippe Gbamin5J. GbaminJean-Philippe Gbamin
Bruno Jordão6B. JordãoBruno Jordão
Stefano Sensi8S. SensiStefano Sensi
Leandro Godoy9L. GodoyLeandro Godoy
Ioannis Pittas28I. PittasIoannis Pittas

Qarabag Substitutes

29Renaldo CephasF
1Shakhrudin MagomedaliyevG
23Martin ZlomislićG
13Bahlul MustafazadaD
7Jaly MouaddibM
9Joni MontielM
25Cebrail MakreckisM
32Hikmat JabrayilzadeM
44Elvin JafarguliyevM
49Ali BashirovM
22Musa QurbanlıF

CSKA Sofia Substitutes

25Dimitar EvtimovG
3Tamimou OuorouD
19Andrey YordanovD
91Aleks TunchevD
11Mohamed Amine BrahimiM
30Petko PanayotovM
34Vasil KaymakanovM
38Léo PereiraM
77Alejandro PiedrahitaM
80Georgi ChorbadzhiyskiM
94Isaac SoletM
10Joël ZwartsF

Match Stats

QarabagCSKA Sofia
1Yellow Cards2

Team Comparison

QarabagQarabag
CSKA SofiaCSKA Sofia
1702Elo Rating 1679
1.46Attack 2.69
1.94Defense 1.63
56%Hit Rate 66%
7.6Shots per Game 21.2
1.9Shots on Target 8.6
1.4Corners per Game 6.5
4.2Cards per Game 1.8

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend50% in H2H

Game State Tendencies

QarabagQarabag
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1 vs 0.4 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
CSKA SofiaCSKA Sofia
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.9 vs 0.8 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break

Recent Form

QarabagQarabag
3W0D2L
16/07/2026
VestriQarabag
03
W
09/07/2026
QarabagVestri
30
W
01/07/2026
Ferencvarosi TCQarabag
10
L
01/07/2026
QarabagMetalist 1925 Kharkiv
26
L
22/05/2026
SumqayıtQarabag
34
W
CSKA SofiaCSKA Sofia
3W1D1L

Referee Profile

Daniele Chiffi, Italy · 3 matches analysed

4.3Avg Yellows
4.5Avg Cards
24.5Avg Fouls
Stricter than 52% of referees analysed

Bracket

Qualifying Round 1
Qualifying Round 2
Qualifying Round 3
Play-offs
Kairat Almaty
Seeded
Mjallby AIF
Seeded
Kauno Žalgiris
Seeded
Lillestrom
Seeded
Trabzonspor
Seeded
Ararat-Armenia
Seeded
FK Crvena Zvezda
Seeded
Plzen
Seeded
OFI
Seeded
St. Truiden
Seeded
Aarhus
Seeded
Shamrock Rovers
Seeded
Egnatia Rrogozhinë
Seeded
Larne
Seeded
Saburtalo
Seeded
Gornik Zabrze
Seeded
KuPS
Seeded
Universitatea Craiova
Seeded
Jagiellonia
Seeded
Rangers
Seeded
Lech Poznan
Seeded
KI Klaksvik
Seeded
Lincoln Red Imps FC
Seeded
Omonia Nicosia
Seeded
Red Bull Salzburg
Seeded
FC Thun
Seeded
Vikingur Reykjavik
Seeded
Heart Of Midlothian
Seeded
Hammarby FF
Seeded
Anderlecht
Seeded
Tromso
Seeded
Hradec Králové
Seeded
PAOK
Seeded
Maccabi Tel Aviv
Seeded
Beşiktaş
Seeded
FC Midtjylland
Seeded
FC ST. Gallen
Seeded
Benfica
Seeded
Twente
Seeded
Pafos
Seeded
Kairat Almaty
Seeded
Mjallby AIF
Seeded
Kauno Žalgiris
Seeded
Lillestrom
Seeded
Trabzonspor
Seeded
Ararat-Armenia
Seeded
FK Crvena Zvezda
Seeded
Plzen
Seeded
OFI
Seeded
St. Truiden
Seeded
Aarhus
Seeded
Shamrock Rovers
Seeded
Egnatia Rrogozhinë
Seeded
Larne
Seeded
Saburtalo
Seeded
Gornik Zabrze
Seeded
KuPS
Seeded
Universitatea Craiova
Seeded
Jagiellonia
Seeded
Rangers
Seeded
Lech Poznan
Seeded
KI Klaksvik
Seeded
Lincoln Red Imps FC
Seeded
Omonia Nicosia
Seeded
Red Bull Salzburg
Seeded
FC Thun
Seeded
Vikingur Reykjavik
Seeded
Heart Of Midlothian
Seeded
Kairat Almaty
Seeded
Mjallby AIF
Seeded
Kauno Žalgiris
Seeded
Lillestrom
Seeded
Trabzonspor
Seeded
Ararat-Armenia
Seeded
FK Crvena Zvezda
Seeded
Plzen
Seeded
OFI
Seeded
St. Truiden
Seeded
Aarhus
Seeded
Kairat Almaty
Seeded
Mjallby AIF
Seeded
Kauno Žalgiris
Seeded
Lillestrom
Seeded
Trabzonspor
Seeded
Ararat-Armenia
Seeded
FK Crvena Zvezda
Seeded
Plzen
Seeded
OFI
Seeded
St. Truiden
Seeded
Aarhus
Seeded
Shamrock Rovers
Seeded
Egnatia Rrogozhinë
Seeded
Larne
Seeded
Saburtalo
Seeded
Gornik Zabrze
Seeded
KuPS
Seeded
Universitatea Craiova
Seeded
Jagiellonia
Seeded
Rangers
Seeded
Lech Poznan
Seeded
KI Klaksvik
Seeded
Lincoln Red Imps FC
Seeded
Omonia Nicosia
Seeded
Red Bull Salzburg
Seeded
FC Thun
Seeded
Vikingur Reykjavik
Seeded
Heart Of Midlothian
Seeded

Qarabag vs CSKA Sofia Prediction

As a knockout-stage UEFA Europa League fixture, this match carries added stakes for both sides. Our AI model analyses team Elo ratings, recent form, projected goals and head-to-head history to build forecasts across six independent markets.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive or open market; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

About UEFA Europa League

ScorePredicts covers UEFA Europa League across every knockout round. Use the navigation to explore today's full fixture list or filter by market.

Key Factors for This Match

Qarabag and CSKA Sofia have little recent head-to-head history for the model to draw on. Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.