Union Santa Fe vs Lanus Prediction

Union Santa Fe
2-1
Finished
HT 0-0
Lanus
Estadio 15 de Abril, Santa Fe de la Vera Cruz·Nicolas Lamolina, Argentina 07/08/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
AI Best Pick
80%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.30
SignalSTRONGModel48%SurpriseMediumGap+3.1%
Value Analysis
71%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 1.5 Goals
1.52
SignalGOODModel46%SurpriseMediumGap+8.6%
Union Santa Fe Rest
5 days
Lanus Rest
3 days

Union Santa Fe vs Lanus: result, form and history

Union Santa Fe beat Lanus 2-1 in the Liga Profesional Argentina on 6 Aug 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Their 6 previous meetings averaged 2.8 goals, with both teams scoring in 5 of them.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
47%2.38
X
33%2.90
2
20%3.35
Double Chance
1X
80%1.30
X2
53%1.55
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%2.10
No
47%1.67
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.26 + 0.96 = 2.22
Over 1.5
70%1.52
Over 2.5
42%2.60
Over 3.5
24%5.25
Under 1.5
30%2.50
Under 2.5
58%1.47
Under 3.5
76%1.14
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.2 + 4.5 = 9.6
Over 8.5
60%1.75
Over 9.5
47%2.23
Over 10.5
32%2.95
Under 8.5
40%1.98
Under 9.5
53%1.58
Under 10.5
68%1.34
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.9 + 2.8 = 5.7
Over 3.5
79%1.26
Over 4.5
61%1.55
Under 3.5
21%3.05
Under 4.5
39%2.22

Match Events

28'R. Carrera INE. Salvio out
40'A. Medina INF. Pena Biafore out
41'C. IzquierdozFoul
53'L. Menossi
59'M. Aguirre INM. Estigarribia out
60'S. MarcichFoul
69'L. Ayala INB. Pitton out
69'I. Malcorra INM. Luna Diale out
71'Y. Valois INA. Wlk out
71'L. Besozzi IND. Aquino out
71'M. Sepulveda INW. Bou out
73'F. Pena BiaforeAssist: G. Perez
76'J. MosqueiraAssist: C. Tarragona
82'L. Menossi INE. Giaccone out
83'J. Palacios INJ. Pintado out
90+2'W. BouUnsportsmanlike conduct

Lineups

Union Santa Fe
4-1-3-2Coach: Leonardo Madelon
Lanus
4-2-3-1Coach: Mauricio Pellegrino
Avg rating6.80
Avg rating6.57
Matías Mansilla6.021M. Mansilla
Lautaro Vargas6.335L. Vargas
Maizon Rodriguez6.72M. Rodriguez
Juan Pablo Ludueña7.326J. Pablo Ludueña
Lucas Ayala6.918L. Ayala
Lucas Menossi7.75L. Menossi
Julián Palacios6.920J. Palacios
Joaquin Mosqueira8.017J. Mosqueira
Ignacio Malcorra6.910I. Malcorra
Cristian TarragonaC7.025C. Tarragona
Misael Aguirre6.331M. Aguirre
Nahuel Losada5.626N. Losada
Gonzalo Perez6.94G. Perez
Carlos IzquierdozC6.524C. Izquierdoz
Ronaldo De Jesus6.935R. De Jesus
Sasha Marcich5.56S. Marcich
Agustín Medina6.517A. Medina
Agustín Cardozo7.030A. Cardozo
Matías Sepúlveda6.516M. Sepúlveda
Ramiro Carrera6.323R. Carrera
Lucas Besozzi7.377L. Besozzi
Yoshan Valois6.519Y. Valois

Union Santa Fe Substitutes

19Marcelo Estigarribia59'for M. Aguirre6.7
12Bruno Pittón69'for L. Ayala6.6
11Mauro Luna69'for I. Malcorra6.7
40Lucas Meuli
44Tomás Fagioli
15Juan Pintado83'for J. Palacios6.5
36Mateo Aimar
22Brahian Cuello
29Santino Vera
46Santiago Grella
8Emilio Giaccone82'for L. Menossi6.3
43Eric Ramírez

Lanus Substitutes

11Eduardo Salvio28'for R. Carrera5.7
5Felipe Peña Biafore40'for A. Medina73'8.0
25Dylan Aquino71'for L. Besozzi6.7
20Allan Wlk71'for Y. Valois6.5
9Walter Bou71'for M. Sepulveda90+2'6.7
1Franco Petroli
33Tomás Guidara
2Luciano Romero
3Nicolás Morgantini
27Facundo Sánchez
8Franco Watson
38Benjamin Acosta

Match Stats

Union Santa FeLanus
41%Ball Possession59%
4Corner Kicks2
0Yellow Cards3
11Total Shots10
3Shots on Goal2
6Shots off Goal6
4Shots Inside Box4
7Shots Outside Box6
2Blocked Shots2
6Fouls7
1Goalkeeper Saves1
335Total Passes495
238Passes Accurate410
71%Pass Accuracy83%

Team Comparison

Union Santa FeUnion Santa Fe
LanusLanus
1617Elo Rating 1693
1.15Attack 1.02
1.55Defense 2.50
23%Hit Rate 36%
13.9Shots per Game 11.7
5.0Shots on Target 3.8
4.1Corners per Game 5.0
2.8Cards per Game 1.8

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend83% in H2H
📉Home Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

Union Santa FeUnion Santa Fe
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 33% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.2 vs 0 in first half)
LanusLanus
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time

Head to Head

Last 6 meetings, all competitions

Union Santa FeUnion Santa Fe2Wins · 33%
Draws350%
LanusLanus1Wins · 17%
2.8Avg Goals
83%Both teams scored5 of 6
50%3+ goals3 of 6

Previous meetings

Liga Profesional Argentina29/01/2026
LanusUnion Santa Fe
21
Liga Profesional Argentina13/09/2024
LanusUnion Santa Fe
11
Liga Profesional Argentina17/06/2023
Union Santa FeLanus
11
Liga Profesional Argentina03/07/2022
Union Santa FeLanus
30
Liga Profesional Argentina31/07/2021
LanusUnion Santa Fe
11
Liga Profesional Argentina01/03/2021
Union Santa FeLanus
32

Recent Form

Union Santa FeUnion Santa Fe
2W3D5L
01/08/2026
Gimnasia M.Union Santa Fe
20
L
25/07/2026
PlatenseUnion Santa Fe
22
D
23/05/2026
Union Santa FeIndependiente
02
L
13/05/2026
Belgrano CordobaUnion Santa Fe
20
L
10/05/2026
Independ. RivadaviaUnion Santa Fe
12
W
02/05/2026
Union Santa FeTalleres Cordoba
11
D
27/04/2026
Velez SarsfieldUnion Santa Fe
22
D
18/04/2026
Union Santa FeNewells Old Boys
23
L
11/04/2026
Estudiantes L.P.Union Santa Fe
21
L
03/04/2026
Union Santa FeDeportivo Riestra
20
W
LanusLanus
3W1D6L
03/08/2026
LanusInstituto Cordoba
01
L
30/07/2026
CiencianoLanus
40
L
26/07/2026
LanusSan Lorenzo
10
W
23/07/2026
LanusCienciano
20
W
30/05/2026
Instituto CordobaLanus
21
L
27/05/2026
LanusMirassol
10
W
21/05/2026
LDU de QuitoLanus
20
L
10/05/2026
Argentinos JRSLanus
20
L
06/05/2026
Always ReadyLanus
40
L
02/05/2026
LanusDeportivo Riestra
00
D

Referee Profile

Nicolas Lamolina122 matches

5.48Cards per match
5.16Yellow cards per match
0.32Red cards per match
24.7Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Nicolas Lamolina5.48
Other referees5.27

5.48 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (5.27).

Cards come from 112 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Liga Profesional Argentina 2026

Apertura - Group A

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Estudiantes L.P.Estudiantes L.P.1694319:7+1231DDLLD
2Boca JuniorsBoca Juniors1686222:9+1330WWWWD
3Velez SarsfieldVelez Sarsfield1677218:12+628LDWWL
4Talleres CordobaTalleres Cordoba1675417:13+426DWLLD
5IndependienteIndependiente1666424:20+424WDLDD
6LanusLanus1666418:15+324DDDWW
7San LorenzoSan Lorenzo1657414:14022LDDWW
8Union Santa FeUnion Santa Fe1656524:20+421WDWDL
9Instituto CordobaInstituto Cordoba1663717:17021DDWWD
10Defensa Y JusticiaDefensa Y Justicia1647518:21-319LDWLW
11Gimnasia M.Gimnasia M.1654714:22-819DDLLW
12PlatensePlatense1637610:15-516WWWLD
13Central Cordoba de SantiagoCentral Cordoba de Santiago1644811:21-1016DLLLD
14Newells Old BoysNewells Old Boys1636715:27-1215DDDWL
15Deportivo RiestraDeportivo Riestra161875:12-711LLLDL
#TeamMPGPts
1Estudiantes L.P.Estudiantes L.P.1619:731
2Boca JuniorsBoca Juniors1622:930
3Velez SarsfieldVelez Sarsfield1618:1228
4Talleres CordobaTalleres Cordoba1617:1326
5IndependienteIndependiente1624:2024
6LanusLanus1618:1524
7San LorenzoSan Lorenzo1614:1422
8Union Santa FeUnion Santa Fe1624:2021
9Instituto CordobaInstituto Cordoba1617:1721
10Defensa Y JusticiaDefensa Y Justicia1618:2119
11Gimnasia M.Gimnasia M.1614:2219
12PlatensePlatense1610:1516
13Central Cordoba de SantiagoCentral Cordoba de Santiago1611:2116
14Newells Old BoysNewells Old Boys1615:2715
15Deportivo RiestraDeportivo Riestra165:1211

Clausura - Group A

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Instituto CordobaInstituto Cordoba16104226:15+1134DDWWD
2Boca JuniorsBoca Juniors1696124:14+1033WWWWD
3Velez SarsfieldVelez Sarsfield1677225:17+828LDWWL
4Defensa Y JusticiaDefensa Y Justicia1684421:15+628LDWLW
5LanusLanus1675419:12+726DDDWW
6Newells Old BoysNewells Old Boys1658316:13+323DDDWL
7IndependienteIndependiente1665515:16-123WDLDD
8Gimnasia M.Gimnasia M.1664618:17+122DDLLW
9Union Santa FeUnion Santa Fe1663724:24021WDWDL
10PlatensePlatense1655618:20-220WWWLD
11San LorenzoSan Lorenzo165479:16-719LDDWW
12Estudiantes L.P.Estudiantes L.P.1644821:22-116DDLLD
13Talleres CordobaTalleres Cordoba1634917:23-613DWLLD
14Deportivo RiestraDeportivo Riestra1626811:19-812LLLDL
15Central Cordoba de SantiagoCentral Cordoba de Santiago1625912:26-1411DLLLD
#TeamMPGPts
1Instituto CordobaInstituto Cordoba1626:1534
2Boca JuniorsBoca Juniors1624:1433
3Velez SarsfieldVelez Sarsfield1625:1728
4Defensa Y JusticiaDefensa Y Justicia1621:1528
5LanusLanus1619:1226
6Newells Old BoysNewells Old Boys1616:1323
7IndependienteIndependiente1615:1623
8Gimnasia M.Gimnasia M.1618:1722
9Union Santa FeUnion Santa Fe1624:2421
10PlatensePlatense1618:2020
11San LorenzoSan Lorenzo169:1619
12Estudiantes L.P.Estudiantes L.P.1621:2216
13Talleres CordobaTalleres Cordoba1617:2313
14Deportivo RiestraDeportivo Riestra1611:1912
15Central Cordoba de SantiagoCentral Cordoba de Santiago1612:2611

Liga Profesional Argentina

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Boca JuniorsBoca Juniors321712346:23+2363WWWWD
2Rosario CentralRosario Central32188646:28+1862WWWWW
3Argentinos JRSArgentinos JRS32179637:27+1060LWWWD
4Independ. RivadaviaIndepend. Rivadavia32169750:39+1157DWLDL
5Gimnasia L.P.Gimnasia L.P.32176944:39+557WWWWD
6Velez SarsfieldVelez Sarsfield321414443:29+1456LDWWL
7River PlateRiver Plate321741143:26+1755WLWWD
8Instituto CordobaInstituto Cordoba32167943:32+1155DDWWD
9LanusLanus321311837:27+1050DDDWW
10Belgrano CordobaBelgrano Cordoba321310934:28+649LDLLW
11Estudiantes L.P.Estudiantes L.P.321381140:29+1147DDLLD
12Barracas CentralBarracas Central321211932:28+447WDWDW
13IndependienteIndependiente321211939:36+347WDLDD
14Defensa Y JusticiaDefensa Y Justicia321211939:36+347LDWLW
15HuracanHuracan3211111031:29+244WLLLL
16Union Santa FeUnion Santa Fe321191248:44+442WDWDL
17Gimnasia M.Gimnasia M.321181332:39-741DDLLW
18San LorenzoSan Lorenzo3210111123:30-741LDDWW
19Sarmiento JuninSarmiento Junin321241636:44-840LLLDD
20TigreTigre329121134:31+339WWLDL
21Talleres CordobaTalleres Cordoba321091334:36-239DWLLD
22Newells Old BoysNewells Old Boys328141031:40-938DDDWL
23Racing ClubRacing Club32991433:39-636LWLDL
24PlatensePlatense328121228:35-736WWWLD
25BanfieldBanfield32891535:44-933DLDLW
26Atletico TucumanAtletico Tucuman327111431:37-632DLWLD
27Central Cordoba de SantiagoCentral Cordoba de Santiago32691723:47-2427DLLLD
28Deportivo RiestraDeportivo Riestra323141516:31-1523LLLDL
29AldosiviAldosivi323101922:45-2319LLWLL
30Estudiantes de Rio CuartoEstudiantes de Rio Cuarto32352415:47-3214LLLWL
#TeamMPGPts
1Boca JuniorsBoca Juniors3246:2363
2Rosario CentralRosario Central3246:2862
3Argentinos JRSArgentinos JRS3237:2760
4Independ. RivadaviaIndepend. Rivadavia3250:3957
5Gimnasia L.P.Gimnasia L.P.3244:3957
6Velez SarsfieldVelez Sarsfield3243:2956
7River PlateRiver Plate3243:2655
8Instituto CordobaInstituto Cordoba3243:3255
9LanusLanus3237:2750
10Belgrano CordobaBelgrano Cordoba3234:2849
11Estudiantes L.P.Estudiantes L.P.3240:2947
12Barracas CentralBarracas Central3232:2847
13IndependienteIndependiente3239:3647
14Defensa Y JusticiaDefensa Y Justicia3239:3647
15HuracanHuracan3231:2944
16Union Santa FeUnion Santa Fe3248:4442
17Gimnasia M.Gimnasia M.3232:3941
18San LorenzoSan Lorenzo3223:3041
19Sarmiento JuninSarmiento Junin3236:4440
20TigreTigre3234:3139
21Talleres CordobaTalleres Cordoba3234:3639
22Newells Old BoysNewells Old Boys3231:4038
23Racing ClubRacing Club3233:3936
24PlatensePlatense3228:3536
25BanfieldBanfield3235:4433
26Atletico TucumanAtletico Tucuman3231:3732
27Central Cordoba de SantiagoCentral Cordoba de Santiago3223:4727
28Deportivo RiestraDeportivo Riestra3216:3123
29AldosiviAldosivi3222:4519
30Estudiantes de Rio CuartoEstudiantes de Rio Cuarto3215:4714
Relegation

About the Union Santa Fe vs Lanus forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Union Santa Fe and Lanus in the Liga Profesional Argentina table

Lanus and Union Santa Fe are close in the Liga Profesional Argentina table, 6th and 8th, with 3 points between them. League goal record so far: Union Santa Fe 24-20, Lanus 18-15. The full standings are on the Liga Profesional Argentina Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.