Lanus vs Cienciano Prediction

Lanus
2-0
Finished
HT 1-0
Cienciano
Estadio Ciudad de Lanus, Buenos Aires·Alexis Herrera, Venezuela 23/07/2026
LanusLanus
2-0
Finished
CiencianoCienciano

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
5.9 / 10
AI Best Pick
82%Trust
Goals O/U
Under 3.5 Goals
1.35
SignalSTRONGModel52%SurpriseMediumGap+8.1%
Value Analysis
72%Trust
Home Cards
Home Cards Over 1.5
1.66
SignalGOODModel51%SurpriseMediumGap+16.0%
Lanus Rest
53 days
Cienciano Rest
4 days

Lanus vs Cienciano: the result in context

Lanus beat Cienciano 2-0 in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana on 23 Jul 2026. That went against recent form: Cienciano had won 3 of their previous five, compared with 1 for Lanus.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
51%1.33
X
31%4.90
2
18%9.00
Double Chance
1X
83%1.06
X2
49%3.20
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%2.28
No
58%1.57
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.5 + 0.7 = 2.20
Over 1.5
69%1.25
Over 2.5
37%1.83
Over 3.5
18%3.09
Under 1.5
31%3.75
Under 2.5
63%1.95
Under 3.5
82%1.35
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.2 + 3 = 8.2
Over 8.5
55%1.69
Over 9.5
44%1.98
Over 10.5
33%2.59
Under 8.5
45%2.05
Under 9.5
56%1.69
Under 10.5
67%1.40
Cards
Projected Cards: 2 + 2.5 = 4.5
Over 3.5
66%1.28
Over 4.5
48%1.67
Under 3.5
34%2.95
Under 4.5
52%2.10

Match Events

10'F. N. WatsonRoughing
16'S. D. Arias FierroHolding
21'E. SalvioElbowing
27'A. CardozoTripping
35'F. N. WatsonAssist: L. Besozzi
39'A. Robles INC. Cabello out
46'F. N. Watson INR. Carrera out
53'M. MartinichRoughing
62'L. BesozziRoughing
67'M. Martinich IND. La Torre out
75'Y. Valois INA. Wlk out
81'R. CarreraTripping
82'S. D. Arias Fierro INM. Succar out
86'E. Salvio IND. Aquino out
86'A. Cardozo INF. Pena Biafore out
89'A. Medina INM. Sepulveda out
90+5'R. Carrera

Lineups

Lanus
4-2-3-1Coach: Mauricio Pellegrino
Cienciano
4-3-3Coach: Horacio Melgarejo
Avg rating6.94
Avg rating6.65
Nahuel Losada7.026N. Losada
Tomás Guidara8.033T. Guidara
Carlos IzquierdozC7.024C. Izquierdoz
José Canale6.613J. Canale
Sasha Marcich7.06S. Marcich
Agustín Medina7.017A. Medina
Agustín Cardozo7.630A. Cardozo
Eduardo Salvio7.211E. Salvio
Franco Watson7.38F. Watson
Lucas Besozzi6.977L. Besozzi
Yoshan Valois5.919Y. Valois
Ítalo Espinoza7.231Í. Espinoza
Claudio Nunez6.313C. Nunez
Maximiliano Amondarain7.34M. Amondarain
Kevin Becerra6.93K. Becerra
Marcos Martinich7.016M. Martinich
Gerson Barreto6.288G. Barreto
Santiago Arias6.95S. Arias
Ademar Robles6.229A. Robles
Cristian Souza6.37C. Souza
Carlos GarcésC6.921C. Garcés
Alejandro Hohberg6.610A. Hohberg

Lanus Substitutes

23Ramiro Carrera46'for F. N. Watson81'90+5'7.3
20Allan Wlk75'for Y. Valois6.5
5Felipe Peña Biafore86'for A. Cardozo6.9
25Dylan Aquino86'for E. Salvio6.3
16Matías Sepúlveda89'for A. Medina6.6
1Franco Petroli
2Luciano Romero
35Ronaldo De Jesus
3Nicolás Morgantini
4Gonzalo Perez
27Facundo Sánchez
38Benjamin Acosta

Cienciano Substitutes

22Carlos Cabello39'for A. Robles6.3
18Didier La Torre67'for M. Martinich6.7
19Matías Succar82'for S. D. Arias Fierro6.3
30Jean Franco Roncal
1Gonzalo Falcón
25Renzo Salazar
14Sebastian Cavero
27Alonso Yovera
26Rotceh Aguilar
11Neri Bandiera
8Gonzalo Aguirre
39Henry Caparó

Match Stats

LanusCienciano
54%Ball Possession46%
7Corner Kicks0
4Yellow Cards2
1Red Cards0
15Total Shots3
5Shots on Goal1
6Shots off Goal2
11Shots Inside Box1
4Shots Outside Box2
4Blocked Shots0
10Fouls10
3Offsides0
1Goalkeeper Saves3
470Total Passes405
372Passes Accurate294
79%Pass Accuracy73%

Team Comparison

LanusLanus
CiencianoCienciano
1693Elo Rating 1598
1.02Attack 1.33
2.50Defense 2.15
36%Hit Rate 54%
11.7Shots per Game 16.4
3.8Shots on Target 4.2
5.0Corners per Game 4.4
1.8Cards per Game 2.3

AI Insights

💎Value Analysis Identified

Game State Tendencies

LanusLanus
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
CiencianoCienciano
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1 vs 0.3 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Recent Form

LanusLanus
3W2D5L
30/05/2026
Instituto CordobaLanus
21
L
27/05/2026
LanusMirassol
10
W
21/05/2026
LDU de QuitoLanus
20
L
10/05/2026
Argentinos JRSLanus
20
L
06/05/2026
Always ReadyLanus
40
L
02/05/2026
LanusDeportivo Riestra
00
D
29/04/2026
LanusLDU de Quito
10
W
25/04/2026
LanusCentral Cordoba de Santiago
00
D
21/04/2026
Gimnasia M.Lanus
10
L
17/04/2026
LanusAlways Ready
10
W
CiencianoCienciano
4W2D4L
18/07/2026
CiencianoFBC Melgar
13
L
10/07/2026
CiencianoADT
23
L
29/06/2026
CuscoCienciano
12
W
22/06/2026
CiencianoDeportivo Garcilaso
21
W
14/06/2026
Deportivo BinacionalCienciano
02
W
01/06/2026
CiencianoSporting Cristal
32
W
28/05/2026
CiencianoJuventud
11
D
24/05/2026
Sport HuancayoCienciano
22
D
22/05/2026
Atletico-MGCienciano
20
L
17/05/2026
CiencianoAlianza Lima
01
L

Referee Profile

Alexis Herrera191 matches

5.03Cards per match
4.72Yellow cards per match
0.32Red cards per match
26.3Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Alexis Herrera5.03
Other referees5.16

5.03 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (5.16).

Cards come from 95 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

Bracket

Round of 32
Round of 16
Quarter-finals
Semi-finals
Deportivo Recoleta
Seeded
Sao Paulo
Seeded
Atletico-MG
Seeded
Atletico Torque
Seeded
Macara
Seeded
Olimpia
Seeded
Botafogo
Seeded
River Plate
Seeded
Deportivo Recoleta
Seeded
Sao Paulo
Seeded
Atletico-MG
Seeded
Atletico Torque
Seeded
Macara
Seeded
Olimpia
Seeded
Botafogo
Seeded
River Plate
Seeded

League Table

CONMEBOL Sudamericana 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Atletico-MGAtletico-MG63128:6+210WWDLW
2CiencianoCienciano62225:7-28DLLWW
3JuventudJuventud614110:7+37DDDWL
4Puerto CabelloPuerto Cabello62136:9-37LDWLL
#TeamMPGPts
1Atletico-MGAtletico-MG68:610
2CiencianoCienciano65:78
3JuventudJuventud610:77
4Puerto CabelloPuerto Cabello66:97
Promotion

About the Lanus vs Cienciano forecast

As a knockout tie in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana, there is more at stake than league points; the forecasts weigh that alongside team ratings, recent form and the head-to-head record.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

About CONMEBOL Sudamericana

More CONMEBOL Sudamericana fixtures and forecasts are on the CONMEBOL Sudamericana Predictions page.

Key Factors for This Match

Lanus and Cienciano have little recent head-to-head history for the model to draw on. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.