Boca Juniors vs Estudiantes L.P. Prediction

Liga Profesional Argentina

Argentina · Clausura - 2

Boca Juniors

1-0

Finished

HT 1-0

Estudiantes L.P.

Alberto Jose Armando, Buenos Aires·Nazareno Arasa, Argentina 06/08/2026

Boca Juniors

1-0

Finished

Estudiantes L.P.

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality

Complete

Match Importance

4.4 / 10

Value Analysis

71%Trust

Goals O/U

Over 1.5 Goals

1.57

SignalGOODModel44%SurpriseMediumGap+10.8%

Boca Juniors Rest

3 days

Estudiantes L.P. Rest

4 days

Boca Juniors vs Estudiantes L.P.: the result in context

Boca Juniors beat Estudiantes L.P. 1-0 in the Liga Profesional Argentina on 5 Aug 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Their 9 previous meetings averaged 2.4 goals, with both teams scoring in 5 of them.

Match Forecasts

Match Result

42%2.15

32%2.91

26%3.90

Double Chance

75%1.25

58%1.68

Both Teams to Score

Yes

53%2.25

47%1.60

Goals

Projected Goals: 1.27 + 1 = 2.27

Over 1.5

70%1.57

Over 2.5

47%2.77

Over 3.5

25%5.50

Under 1.5

30%2.38

Under 2.5

53%1.40

Under 3.5

75%1.13

Corners

Projected Corners: 6 + 4.1 = 10.1

Over 8.5

60%1.71

Over 9.5

49%2.16

Over 10.5

37%2.77

Under 8.5

40%2.02

Under 9.5

51%1.62

Under 10.5

63%1.36

Cards

Projected Cards: 2.4 + 2.9 = 5.3

Over 3.5

74%-

Over 4.5

57%1.34

Under 3.5

26%-

Under 4.5

43%2.70

Match Events

45+1'S. AscacibarAssist: L. Blanco

56'L. PioviFoul

60'Perez Fabricio INE. Cetre out

60'J. Burgos INB. Aguirre out

67'Miguel Merentiel INS. Villa out

68'A. Castro INF. Farias out

68'T. Palacios INGabriel Neves out

74'L. FloresFoul

78'Gabriel NevesFoul

80'T. Aranda INA. Velasco out

85'L. Flores INK. Zenon out

85'L. Paredes INC. Rey Domenech out

86'L. Piovi INL. Alario out

90'G. BenedettiFoul

Lineups

Boca Juniors

4-1-4-1Coach: Rodolfo Arruabarrena

Estudiantes L.P.

4-2-3-1Coach: Alexander Medina

Avg rating7.09

Avg rating6.73

7.91Á. Montero

6.917L. Lozano

7.52L. Di Lollo

6.926M. Pellegrino

7.93L. Blanco

C7.95L. Paredes

6.719L. Flores

7.225S. Ascacíbar

7.218M. Delgado

6.710T. Aranda

6.616M. Merentiel

6.71F. Iacovich

6.920E. Meza

7.34S. Núñez

7.724T. Palacios

6.313G. Benedetti

7.521E. Piovi

6.922A. Castro

6.529F. Pérez

6.010T. Palacios

6.217J. Tobio Burgos

C6.99G. Carrillo

Boca Juniors Substitutes

22Sebastián Villa67'for Miguel Merentiel6.3

12Leandro Brey

32Ayrton Costa

27Malcom Braida

24Dylan Gorosito

4Nicolás Figal

23Camilo Rey Domenech85'for L. Paredes

21Kevin Zenón85'for L. Flores

20Alan Velasco80'for T. Aranda6.5

15Williams Alarcón

9Milton Giménez

11Ángel Romero

Estudiantes L.P. Substitutes

28Brian Aguirre60'for J. Burgos6.9

18Edwuin Cetré60'for Perez Fabricio6.3

8Gabriel Neves68'for T. Palacios78'6.3

11Facundo Farías68'for A. Castro6.6

12Rodrigo Borzone

26Ramiro Funes Mori

36Joaquin Pereyra

40Eros Mancuso

52Bautista Kociubinski

7José Sosa

19Adolfo Gaich

27Lucas Alario86'for L. Piovi

Match Stats

Boca JuniorsEstudiantes L.P.

61%Ball Possession39%

5Corner Kicks2

1Yellow Cards3

12Total Shots8

2Shots on Goal4

4Shots off Goal3

7Shots Inside Box5

5Shots Outside Box3

6Blocked Shots1

16Fouls11

2Offsides0

4Goalkeeper Saves1

610Total Passes381

528Passes Accurate306

87%Pass Accuracy80%

Boca Juniors

Estudiantes L.P.

1837Elo Rating 1665

1.41Attack 1.20

2.50Defense 1.17

86%Hit Rate 0%

12.7Shots per Game 13.6

4.2Shots on Target 4.8

6.5Corners per Game 5.6

3.5Cards per Game 3.4

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+172 Elo

📈BTTS Trend56% in H2H

📉Away Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

Boca Juniors

Tied at half-time in 40% of matches

Estudiantes L.P.

Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
Scores more in 2nd half (0.8 vs 0.4 in first half)
Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 9 meetings, all competitions

Boca Juniors4Wins · 45%

Draws111%

Estudiantes L.P.

4Wins · 44%

2.4Avg Goals

56%Both teams scored5 of 9

44%3+ goals4 of 9

Previous meetings

29/01/2026

Estudiantes L.P.

Boca Juniors

02/11/2025

Estudiantes L.P.

Boca Juniors

20/04/2025

Boca Juniors

Estudiantes L.P.

27/08/2024

Estudiantes L.P.

Boca Juniors

23/11/2023

Boca Juniors

Estudiantes L.P.

16/04/2023

Boca Juniors

Estudiantes L.P.

25/07/2022

Boca Juniors

Estudiantes L.P.

14/03/2022

Estudiantes L.P.

Boca Juniors

15/08/2021

Estudiantes L.P.

Boca Juniors

Recent Form

17/07/2026

Sarmiento Junin

Boca Juniors

09/07/2026

Boca Juniors

Atletico Paranaense

29/05/2026

Boca Juniors

U. Catolica

20/05/2026

Boca Juniors

Cruzeiro

10/05/2026

Boca Juniors

Huracan

2131

06/05/2026

Barcelona SC

Boca Juniors

31/05/2026

Estudiantes L.P.

Rosario Central

27/05/2026

Estudiantes L.P.

Independiente Medellin

21/05/2026

Flamengo

Estudiantes L.P.

10/05/2026

Estudiantes L.P.

Racing Club

07/05/2026

Cusco

Estudiantes L.P.

03/05/2026

Platense

Estudiantes L.P.

30/04/2026

Estudiantes L.P.

Flamengo

25/04/2026

Estudiantes L.P.

Talleres Cordoba

Referee Profile

Nazareno Arasa219 matches

5.26Cards per match

5.01Yellow cards per match

0.26Red cards per match

23.4Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Nazareno Arasa5.26

Other referees5.20

5.26 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (5.20).

Cards come from 136 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Liga Profesional Argentina 2026

Apertura - Group A

#	Team	MP	W	D	L	G	GD	Pts	Form
1	Estudiantes L.P.	16	9	4	3	19:7	+12	31	DDLLD
2	Boca Juniors	16	8	6	2	22:9	+13	30	WWWWD
3	Velez Sarsfield	16	7	7	2	18:12	+6	28	LDWWL
4	Talleres Cordoba	16	7	5	4	17:13	+4	26	DWLLD
5	Independiente	16	6	6	4	24:20	+4	24	WDLDD
6	Lanus	16	6	6	4	18:15	+3	24	DDDWW
7	San Lorenzo	16	5	7	4	14:14	0	22	LDDWW
8	Union Santa Fe	16	5	6	5	24:20	+4	21	WDWDL
9	Instituto Cordoba	16	6	3	7	17:17	0	21	DDWWD
10	Defensa Y Justicia	16	4	7	5	18:21	-3	19	LDWLW
11	Gimnasia M.	16	5	4	7	14:22	-8	19	DDLLW
12	Platense	16	3	7	6	10:15	-5	16	WWWLD
13	Central Cordoba de Santiago	16	4	4	8	11:21	-10	16	DLLLD
14	Newells Old Boys	16	3	6	7	15:27	-12	15	DDDWL
15	Deportivo Riestra	16	1	8	7	5:12	-7	11	LLLDL

#	Team	MP	G	Pts
1	Estudiantes L.P.	16	19:7	31
2	Boca Juniors	16	22:9	30
3	Velez Sarsfield	16	18:12	28
4	Talleres Cordoba	16	17:13	26
5	Independiente	16	24:20	24
6	Lanus	16	18:15	24
7	San Lorenzo	16	14:14	22
8	Union Santa Fe	16	24:20	21
9	Instituto Cordoba	16	17:17	21
10	Defensa Y Justicia	16	18:21	19
11	Gimnasia M.	16	14:22	19
12	Platense	16	10:15	16
13	Central Cordoba de Santiago	16	11:21	16
14	Newells Old Boys	16	15:27	15
15	Deportivo Riestra	16	5:12	11

Clausura - Group A

#	Team	MP	W	D	L	G	GD	Pts	Form
1	Instituto Cordoba	16	10	4	2	26:15	+11	34	DDWWD
2	Boca Juniors	16	9	6	1	24:14	+10	33	WWWWD
3	Velez Sarsfield	16	7	7	2	25:17	+8	28	LDWWL
4	Defensa Y Justicia	16	8	4	4	21:15	+6	28	LDWLW
5	Lanus	16	7	5	4	19:12	+7	26	DDDWW
6	Newells Old Boys	16	5	8	3	16:13	+3	23	DDDWL
7	Independiente	16	6	5	5	15:16	-1	23	WDLDD
8	Gimnasia M.	16	6	4	6	18:17	+1	22	DDLLW
9	Union Santa Fe	16	6	3	7	24:24	0	21	WDWDL
10	Platense	16	5	5	6	18:20	-2	20	WWWLD
11	San Lorenzo	16	5	4	7	9:16	-7	19	LDDWW
12	Estudiantes L.P.	16	4	4	8	21:22	-1	16	DDLLD
13	Talleres Cordoba	16	3	4	9	17:23	-6	13	DWLLD
14	Deportivo Riestra	16	2	6	8	11:19	-8	12	LLLDL
15	Central Cordoba de Santiago	16	2	5	9	12:26	-14	11	DLLLD

#	Team	MP	G	Pts
1	Instituto Cordoba	16	26:15	34
2	Boca Juniors	16	24:14	33
3	Velez Sarsfield	16	25:17	28
4	Defensa Y Justicia	16	21:15	28
5	Lanus	16	19:12	26
6	Newells Old Boys	16	16:13	23
7	Independiente	16	15:16	23
8	Gimnasia M.	16	18:17	22
9	Union Santa Fe	16	24:24	21
10	Platense	16	18:20	20
11	San Lorenzo	16	9:16	19
12	Estudiantes L.P.	16	21:22	16
13	Talleres Cordoba	16	17:23	13
14	Deportivo Riestra	16	11:19	12
15	Central Cordoba de Santiago	16	12:26	11

Liga Profesional Argentina

#	Team	MP	W	D	L	G	GD	Pts	Form
1	Boca Juniors	32	17	12	3	46:23	+23	63	WWWWD
2	Rosario Central	32	18	8	6	46:28	+18	62	WWWWW
3	Argentinos JRS	32	17	9	6	37:27	+10	60	LWWWD
4	Independ. Rivadavia	32	16	9	7	50:39	+11	57	DWLDL
5	Gimnasia L.P.	32	17	6	9	44:39	+5	57	WWWWD
6	Velez Sarsfield	32	14	14	4	43:29	+14	56	LDWWL
7	River Plate	32	17	4	11	43:26	+17	55	WLWWD
8	Instituto Cordoba	32	16	7	9	43:32	+11	55	DDWWD
9	Lanus	32	13	11	8	37:27	+10	50	DDDWW
10	Belgrano Cordoba	32	13	10	9	34:28	+6	49	LDLLW
11	Estudiantes L.P.	32	13	8	11	40:29	+11	47	DDLLD
12	Barracas Central	32	12	11	9	32:28	+4	47	WDWDW
13	Independiente	32	12	11	9	39:36	+3	47	WDLDD
14	Defensa Y Justicia	32	12	11	9	39:36	+3	47	LDWLW
15	Huracan	32	11	11	10	31:29	+2	44	WLLLL
16	Union Santa Fe	32	11	9	12	48:44	+4	42	WDWDL
17	Gimnasia M.	32	11	8	13	32:39	-7	41	DDLLW
18	San Lorenzo	32	10	11	11	23:30	-7	41	LDDWW
19	Sarmiento Junin	32	12	4	16	36:44	-8	40	LLLDD
20	Tigre	32	9	12	11	34:31	+3	39	WWLDL
21	Talleres Cordoba	32	10	9	13	34:36	-2	39	DWLLD
22	Newells Old Boys	32	8	14	10	31:40	-9	38	DDDWL
23	Racing Club	32	9	9	14	33:39	-6	36	LWLDL
24	Platense	32	8	12	12	28:35	-7	36	WWWLD
25	Banfield	32	8	9	15	35:44	-9	33	DLDLW
26	Atletico Tucuman	32	7	11	14	31:37	-6	32	DLWLD
27	Central Cordoba de Santiago	32	6	9	17	23:47	-24	27	DLLLD
28	Deportivo Riestra	32	3	14	15	16:31	-15	23	LLLDL
29	Aldosivi	32	3	10	19	22:45	-23	19	LLWLL
30	Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto	32	3	5	24	15:47	-32	14	LLLWL

#	Team	MP	G	Pts
1	Boca Juniors	32	46:23	63
2	Rosario Central	32	46:28	62
3	Argentinos JRS	32	37:27	60
4	Independ. Rivadavia	32	50:39	57
5	Gimnasia L.P.	32	44:39	57
6	Velez Sarsfield	32	43:29	56
7	River Plate	32	43:26	55
8	Instituto Cordoba	32	43:32	55
9	Lanus	32	37:27	50
10	Belgrano Cordoba	32	34:28	49
11	Estudiantes L.P.	32	40:29	47
12	Barracas Central	32	32:28	47
13	Independiente	32	39:36	47
14	Defensa Y Justicia	32	39:36	47
15	Huracan	32	31:29	44
16	Union Santa Fe	32	48:44	42
17	Gimnasia M.	32	32:39	41
18	San Lorenzo	32	23:30	41
19	Sarmiento Junin	32	36:44	40
20	Tigre	32	34:31	39
21	Talleres Cordoba	32	34:36	39
22	Newells Old Boys	32	31:40	38
23	Racing Club	32	33:39	36
24	Platense	32	28:35	36
25	Banfield	32	35:44	33
26	Atletico Tucuman	32	31:37	32
27	Central Cordoba de Santiago	32	23:47	27
28	Deportivo Riestra	32	16:31	23
29	Aldosivi	32	22:45	19
30	Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto	32	15:47	14

Relegation

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About the Boca Juniors vs Estudiantes L.P. forecast

The forecasts for this Liga Profesional Argentina match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Boca Juniors and Estudiantes L.P. in the Liga Profesional Argentina table

This is a meeting of two top-four sides: Estudiantes L.P. are 1st in the Liga Profesional Argentina, 1 point ahead of Boca Juniors in 2nd. League goal record so far: Boca Juniors 22-9, Estudiantes L.P. 19-7. The full standings are on the Liga Profesional Argentina Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.

Boca Juniors vs Estudiantes L.P. Prediction

AI Best Pick

Boca Juniors vs Estudiantes L.P.: the result in context

Match Forecasts

Match Events

Lineups

Boca Juniors Substitutes

Estudiantes L.P. Substitutes

Match Stats

Team Comparison

AI Insights

Game State Tendencies

Head to Head

Previous meetings

Recent Form

Referee Profile

Compared with other referees

League Table

Apertura - Group A

Clausura - Group A

Liga Profesional Argentina

Explore more predictions

This match

More Liga Profesional Argentina matches

All predictions

About the Boca Juniors vs Estudiantes L.P. forecast

How to Read These Forecasts

Boca Juniors and Estudiantes L.P. in the Liga Profesional Argentina table

Key Factors for This Match