Vanspor FK vs Keçiörengücü Prediction

Ataturk City Stadium, Van 12/09/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
3.6 / 10
Value Analysis
76%Trust
Corners Total
Corners Under 10.5
1.31
SignalHIGHModel76%SurpriseMediumGap+6.6%
Vanspor FK Rest
5 days
Keçiörengücü Rest
6 days

Vanspor FK vs Keçiörengücü: the result in context

Vanspor FK and Keçiörengücü drew 1-1 in the 1. Lig on 12 Sep 2026. Keçiörengücü had gone in with the better form, having won 3 of their previous five against 1 for Vanspor FK.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
24%3.70
X
28%3.50
2
48%1.85
Double Chance
1X
52%1.82
X2
76%1.22
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%1.61
No
44%2.15
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.06 + 1.47 = 2.53
Over 1.5
75%1.20
Over 2.5
53%1.69
Over 3.5
30%2.75
Under 1.5
25%4.00
Under 2.5
47%2.05
Under 3.5
70%1.40
Corners
Projected Corners: 3.7 + 4.7 = 8.4
Over 8.5
36%1.78
Over 9.5
26%2.22
Over 10.5
24%2.95
Under 8.5
64%1.92
Under 9.5
74%1.55
Under 10.5
76%1.31
Cards
Projected Cards: 2 + 2.1 = 4.1
Over 3.5
58%-
Over 4.5
39%-
Under 3.5
42%-
Under 4.5
61%-

Match Events

45'Faruk Can Genç INKadir Seven out
45'Mehmet Özcan INHikmet Çiftçi out
45+2'Halil Can AyanAssist: Odise Roshi
54'Berkan Mahmut KeskinFoul
66'Halil Can Ayan INJefferson out
66'Francis Ezeh INAlcídio Raice out
68'Özkan Yiğiter INOzan Kokcu out
68'Muhammed Furkan Özhan INIlias Alhaft out
76'Alcídio RaiceFoul
78'Mehmet ManisFoul
82'Berkan Mahmut Keskin INOğuzcan Çalışkan out
82'I. Karaogul INE. Develi out
84'Mehmet ManisAssist: Ozan Kokcu
89'Alvaro de Oliveira INİlkan Sever out

Lineups

Vanspor FK
4-4-2Coach: M. Yıldırım
Keçiörengücü
4-2-3-1Coach: O. Korkmaz
Avg rating6.72
Avg rating6.55
A. Uysal6.71A. Uysal
M. Maniş8.611M. Maniş
S. Osmanoğlu7.15S. Osmanoğlu
N. Oularé6.813N. Oularé
F. Genç6.361F. Genç
F. Özhan6.925F. Özhan
M. Özcan6.441M. Özcan
Ö. Yiğiter6.658Ö. Yiğiter
T. Yenne6.215T. Yenne
Álvaro de Oliveira6.09Á. de Oliveira
J. Bardhi6.427J. Bardhi
M. Erdoğan6.81M. Erdoğan
M. Keskin6.612M. Keskin
Wellington Nascimento6.93W. Nascimento
A. Çelik7.24A. Çelik
S. Luş6.433S. Luş
I. Karaogul5.88I. Karaogul
İ. Akdağ6.514İ. Akdağ
O. Roshi6.77O. Roshi
H. Ayan7.822H. Ayan
F. Ezeh6.321F. Ezeh
M. Diouf6.555M. Diouf

Vanspor FK Substitutes

7I. Alhaft68'for Muhammed Furkan Özhan6.9
65M. Bingöl
22A. Damlu
77C. Hanalp
8M. Khan
10O. Kökçü68'for Özkan Yiğiter7.0
2K. Seven45'for Faruk Can Genç6.5
17İlkan Sever89'for Alvaro de Oliveira6.5
19H. Çiftçi45'for Mehmet Özcan6.7
35B. İşçiler

Keçiörengücü Substitutes

5O. Çalışkan82'for Berkan Mahmut Keskin6.2
18E. Satılmış
19Enes Yilmaz
20Alcídio Raice66'replaced by Francis Ezeh76'
10Jefferson66'for Halil Can Ayan6.4
15Y. Metin
77M. Fofana
6E. Develi82'for I. Karaogul6.3
45Herculano Nabian
16Oğuzhan Ayaydın

Match Stats

Vanspor FKKeçiörengücü
57%Ball Possession43%
10Corner Kicks4
1Yellow Cards2
13Total Shots11
3Shots on Goal4
7Shots off Goal5
10Shots Inside Box10
3Shots Outside Box1
3Blocked Shots2
11Fouls8
2Offsides3
3Goalkeeper Saves2
455Total Passes354
376Passes Accurate279
83%Pass Accuracy79%

Team Comparison

Vanspor FKVanspor FK
KeçiörengücüKeçiörengücü
1538Elo Rating 1705
1.20Attack 1.24
1.59Defense 2.42
46%Hit Rate 46%
10.6Shots per Game 14.3
4.9Shots on Target 5.2
4.4Corners per Game 2.7
2.0Cards per Game 2.7

AI Insights

📉Home Underperforming
📉Away Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

Vanspor FKVanspor FK
  • Tied at half-time in 80% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.2 vs 0 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
KeçiörengücüKeçiörengücü
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 2 meetings, all competitions

Vanspor FKVanspor FK0Wins · 0%
Draws150%
KeçiörengücüKeçiörengücü1Wins · 50%
2.5Avg Goals
50%Both teams scored1 of 2
50%3+ goals1 of 2

Previous meetings

1. Lig04/04/2026
KeçiörengücüVanspor FK
30
1. Lig23/11/2025
Vanspor FKKeçiörengücü
11

Recent Form

Vanspor FKVanspor FK
2W2D6L
06/09/2026
MuğlasporVanspor FK
22
D
02/09/2026
Vanspor FKBatman Petrolspor
02
L
29/08/2026
Mardin 1969Vanspor FK
11
D
23/08/2026
Vanspor FKİstanbulspor
32
W
15/08/2026
Manisa F.K.Vanspor FK
41
L
09/08/2026
Vanspor FKKayserispor
02
L
01/05/2026
HataysporVanspor FK
31
L
25/04/2026
Vanspor FKİstanbulspor
13
L
19/04/2026
ÜmraniyesporVanspor FK
12
W
12/04/2026
Vanspor FKManisa F.K.
01
L
KeçiörengücüKeçiörengücü
5W2D3L
05/09/2026
KeçiörengücüSarıyer
30
W
01/09/2026
BolusporKeçiörengücü
02
W
28/08/2026
KeçiörengücüÜmraniyespor
22
D
23/08/2026
BandırmasporKeçiörengücü
11
D
16/08/2026
KeçiörengücüPendikspor
41
W
08/08/2026
AntalyasporKeçiörengücü
43
L
07/05/2026
Çorum FKKeçiörengücü
10
L
02/05/2026
ÜmraniyesporKeçiörengücü
14
W
26/04/2026
KeçiörengücüManisa F.K.
21
W
19/04/2026
Esenler EroksporKeçiörengücü
10
L

League Table

1. Lig 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1BursasporBursaspor1291226:11+1528WWWLW
2KayserisporKayserispor1283126:9+1727DDWWW
3Iğdır FKIğdır FK1282217:9+826WWDWD
4Batman PetrolsporBatman Petrolspor1272325:21+423WDWLL
5Mardin 1969Mardin 19691263316:11+521WLWWL
6KeçiörengücüKeçiörengücü1255223:15+820LWDWD
7MuğlasporMuğlaspor1246218:14+418WWLDD
8AntalyasporAntalyaspor1260618:19-118LWLWW
9Bodrum FKBodrum FK1245315:11+417WWWLD
10Fatih KaragümrükFatih Karagümrük1244416:15+116WLLDW
11SarıyerSarıyer1244414:17-316LDLDW
12BandırmasporBandırmaspor1235417:10+714LLDWL
13ÜmraniyesporÜmraniyespor1134413:10+313WLDWL
14SivassporSivasspor1227315:18-313LDDWD
15Esenler EroksporEsenler Erokspor1226412:16-412LWDWL
16PendiksporPendikspor1225514:23-911DLLLD
17Manisa F.K.Manisa F.K.1224619:22-310LLDLL
18Vanspor FKVanspor FK1233613:22-910WLWLL
19İstanbulsporİstanbulspor121299:31-225LLLLW
20BolusporBoluspor1101103:25-221LWLLD
#TeamMPGPts
1BursasporBursaspor1226:1128
2KayserisporKayserispor1226:927
3Iğdır FKIğdır FK1217:926
4Batman PetrolsporBatman Petrolspor1225:2123
5Mardin 1969Mardin 19691216:1121
6KeçiörengücüKeçiörengücü1223:1520
7MuğlasporMuğlaspor1218:1418
8AntalyasporAntalyaspor1218:1918
9Bodrum FKBodrum FK1215:1117
10Fatih KaragümrükFatih Karagümrük1216:1516
11SarıyerSarıyer1214:1716
12BandırmasporBandırmaspor1217:1014
13ÜmraniyesporÜmraniyespor1113:1013
14SivassporSivasspor1215:1813
15Esenler EroksporEsenler Erokspor1212:1612
16PendiksporPendikspor1214:2311
17Manisa F.K.Manisa F.K.1219:2210
18Vanspor FKVanspor FK1213:2210
19İstanbulsporİstanbulspor129:315
20BolusporBoluspor113:251
PromotionRelegation

About the Vanspor FK vs Keçiörengücü forecast

The forecasts for this 1. Lig match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Vanspor FK and Keçiörengücü in the 1. Lig table

In the 1. Lig table, Keçiörengücü are 6th and Vanspor FK 18th, 10 points apart. League goal record so far: Vanspor FK 13-22, Keçiörengücü 23-15. The full standings are on the 1. Lig Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Keçiörengücü have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. Vanspor FK and Keçiörengücü have met only 2 times recently, averaging 2.5 goals per game in those meetings. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.