Vaprus vs Nõmme United Prediction

Vaprus
1-0
Finished
HT 0-0
Nõmme United
Parnu Rannastaadion, Parnu·J. Jakobson 05/09/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
3.0 / 10
AI Best Pick
73%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.38
SignalGOODModel55%SurpriseHighGap+0.8%
Vaprus Rest
2 days
Nõmme United Rest
2 days

Vaprus vs Nõmme United: result, form and history

Vaprus beat Nõmme United 1-0 in the Meistriliiga on 5 Sep 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Games between these two are rarely quiet: their 7 previous meetings averaged 4.0 goals, and both sides scored in 5 of them.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
51%2.25
X
24%3.50
2
25%2.72
Double Chance
1X
75%1.38
X2
49%1.53
Both Teams to Score

Both teams to score forecasts not available for this match

Goals

Goal forecasts not available for this match

Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

46'I. Krasnov INO. Dacosta out
51'T. Pajo
59'K. Matas
64'M. Villota
68'A. Alteberg INH. Jarvelaid out
68'K. Oostenbrink INN. Vassiljev out
74'S. Viidas INV. Vallik out
78'K. Aloe
81'S. Kapper INJ. Poder out
81'M. Villota INR. Orm out
82'M. Limberg
87'T. Pajo INU. Nomm out
90'B. Chisala INK. Laanelaid out
90+3'J. Poder
90+4'H. Jarvelaid

Team Comparison

VaprusVaprus
Nõmme UnitedNõmme United
1484Elo Rating 1545
1.34Attack 1.77
0.81Defense 1.65
0%Hit Rate 69%

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend71% in H2H

Game State Tendencies

VaprusVaprus
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.8 vs 0.5 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Nõmme UnitedNõmme United
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1.1 vs 0.7 in second half)

Head to Head

Last 7 meetings, all competitions

VaprusVaprus3Wins · 43%
Draws00%
Nõmme UnitedNõmme United4Wins · 57%
4.0Avg Goals
71%Both teams scored5 of 7
71%3+ goals5 of 7

Previous meetings

Cup02/09/2026
Nõmme UnitedVaprus
32
Meistriliiga02/05/2026
VaprusNõmme United
23
Meistriliiga14/03/2026
Nõmme UnitedVaprus
71
Meistriliiga19/10/2024
Nõmme UnitedVaprus
02
Meistriliiga13/07/2024
VaprusNõmme United
20
Meistriliiga31/05/2024
Nõmme UnitedVaprus
21
Meistriliiga26/04/2024
VaprusNõmme United
21

Recent Form

VaprusVaprus
3W2D5L
02/09/2026
Nõmme UnitedVaprus
32
L
29/08/2026
KuressaareVaprus
22
D
23/08/2026
VaprusFlora Tallinn
12
L
16/08/2026
Kalju NommeVaprus
31
L
12/08/2026
PhoenixVaprus
05
W
02/08/2026
VaprusFC Levadia Tallinn
11
D
21/07/2026
Tabasalu UlasabatVaprus
14
W
18/07/2026
Trans NarvaVaprus
31
L
11/07/2026
VaprusTammeka
51
W
04/07/2026
PaideVaprus
31
L
Nõmme UnitedNõmme United
5W0D5L
02/09/2026
Nõmme UnitedVaprus
32
W
29/08/2026
Nõmme UnitedLaagri
12
L
23/08/2026
PaideNõmme United
41
L
19/08/2026
HiiumaaNõmme United
02
W
14/08/2026
Nõmme UnitedTammeka
01
L
09/08/2026
FC Levadia TallinnNõmme United
50
L
31/07/2026
Nõmme UnitedTrans Narva
12
L
23/07/2026
Nõmme UnitedRaplamaa
120
W
17/07/2026
Flora TallinnNõmme United
12
W
11/07/2026
Nõmme UnitedKuressaare
32
W

League Table

Meistriliiga 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1FC Levadia TallinnFC Levadia Tallinn35286195:27+6890WWWWW
2PaidePaide351961054:41+1363WLWWW
3Flora TallinnFlora Tallinn352011466:49+1761WLLWL
4Kalju NommeKalju Nomme351861159:34+2560WWWLD
5TammekaTammeka351721650:55-553WLWLL
6LaagriLaagri351521850:52-247LLWWW
7Nõmme UnitedNõmme United351212258:80-2237LWWWL
8VaprusVaprus351071846:69-2337LDLLD
9KuressaareKuressaare351061935:54-1936LDLLW
10Trans NarvaTrans Narva35552526:78-5220LLLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1FC Levadia TallinnFC Levadia Tallinn3595:2790
2PaidePaide3554:4163
3Flora TallinnFlora Tallinn3566:4961
4Kalju NommeKalju Nomme3559:3460
5TammekaTammeka3550:5553
6LaagriLaagri3550:5247
7Nõmme UnitedNõmme United3558:8037
8VaprusVaprus3546:6937
9KuressaareKuressaare3535:5436
10Trans NarvaTrans Narva3526:7820
Champions LeagueConference LeagueRelegation

About the Vaprus vs Nõmme United forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Vaprus and Nõmme United in the Meistriliiga table

In the Meistriliiga table, Vaprus (8th) and Nõmme United (7th) are level on 37 points. League goal record so far: Vaprus 46-69, Nõmme United 58-80. The full standings are on the Meistriliiga Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.