Vasteras SK FK vs Orgryte IS Prediction

Vasteras SK FK
2-0
Finished
HT 1-0
Orgryte IS
Hitachi Energy Arena, Vasteras·Erik Mattsson, Sweden 24/07/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.6 / 10
Value Analysis
69%Trust
Goals O/U
Under 3.5 Goals
1.58
SignalGOODModel55%SurpriseMediumGap+9.9%
Vasteras SK FK Rest
7 days
Orgryte IS Rest
4 days

Vasteras SK FK vs Orgryte IS: the result in context

Vasteras SK FK beat Orgryte IS 2-0 in the Allsvenskan on 24 Jul 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Their history points to a close game: 8 previous meetings produced 1.9 goals a game. Vasteras SK FK tend to win more corners, 6.9 a game to 3.3 for Orgryte IS.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
58%1.55
X
19%4.33
2
23%5.04
Double Chance
1X
77%1.14
X2
41%2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%1.58
No
45%2.20
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.7 + 1.08 = 2.78
Over 1.5
79%1.16
Over 2.5
55%1.53
Over 3.5
32%2.33
Under 1.5
21%4.90
Under 2.5
45%2.35
Under 3.5
68%1.58
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.4 + 4.5 = 9.9
Over 8.5
62%1.30
Over 9.5
52%1.50
Over 10.5
41%1.85
Under 8.5
38%3.20
Under 9.5
48%2.45
Under 10.5
59%1.88
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.5 + 2.3 = 3.8
Over 3.5
41%2.12
Over 4.5
24%3.20
Under 3.5
59%1.62
Under 4.5
76%1.26

Match Events

13'T. Axel
21'C. Styffe INM. Parker out
57'D. Paulson INJ. Tibbling out
58'W. Hofvander INA. Andreasson out
59'T. AxelAssist: K. Gunnarsson
65'M. Keita INV. Wernersson out
65'M. Baggesen INJ. Karlsson out
79'M. Ladefoged INB. Lendambi out
79'I. Lushaku INM. Hellisdal out
83'O. Parker-Price
88'S. Lagerlund INM. Ebietomere out

Lineups

Vasteras SK FK
3-4-3Coach: Alexander Rubin
Orgryte IS
3-4-3Coach: Andreas Holmberg
Avg rating7.01
Avg rating6.50
Elis Jäger6.534E. Jäger
Herman MagnussonC8.32H. Magnusson
Philip Bonde7.24P. Bonde
Madiou Keita7.028M. Keita
Simon Gefvert7.011S. Gefvert
Mamadou Diagne7.28M. Diagne
Ismet Lushaku7.314I. Lushaku
Marcus Baggesen6.73M. Baggesen
Karl Gunnarsson6.95K. Gunnarsson
Mikkel Ladefoged6.69M. Ladefoged
Taonsa Axel8.217T. Axel
Hampus Gustafsson6.944H. Gustafsson
Sebastian Lagerlund6.233S. Lagerlund
Mikael Dyrestam6.26M. Dyrestam
Christoffer StyffeC6.25C. Styffe
Adam Andersson6.318A. Andersson
Owen Parker-Price6.923O. Parker-Price
Benjamin Laturnus7.28B. Laturnus
Daniel Paulson6.514D. Paulson
Tobias Sana7.022T. Sana
Noah Christoffersson5.911N. Christoffersson
William Hofvander6.317W. Hofvander

Vasteras SK FK Substitutes

21Victor Wernersson65'for M. Keita6.7
15Jonathan Karlsson65'for M. Baggesen6.9
1Anton Fagerström
20Jonny Melvin Ljungqvist
24Jack Tagesson
30Mattias Hellisdal6.3
7Abdelrahman Boudah
19Jens Magnusson
16Bonaventure Lendambi79'for M. Ladefoged6.3

Orgryte IS Substitutes

2Michael Parker21'for C. Styffe6.6
15Jerome Tibbling Ugwo57'for D. Paulson6.6
19Anton Andreasson58'for W. Hofvander6.2
34Alex Rahm
3Jonathan Azulay
16Hampus Dahlqvist
7Charlie Vindehall
21William Kenndal
29Marlon Ebietomere88'for S. Lagerlund

Match Stats

Vasteras SK FKOrgryte IS
57%Ball Possession43%
2Corner Kicks5
0Yellow Cards1
16Total Shots13
8Shots on Goal2
7Shots off Goal9
13Shots Inside Box9
3Shots Outside Box4
1Blocked Shots2
17Fouls13
0Offsides1
2Goalkeeper Saves5
511Total Passes376
414Passes Accurate281
81%Pass Accuracy75%

Team Comparison

Vasteras SK FKVasteras SK FK
Orgryte ISOrgryte IS
1726Elo Rating 1534
1.51Attack 1.65
2.38Defense 0.83
61%Hit Rate 19%
16.3Shots per Game 11.1
6.4Shots on Target 3.3
6.9Corners per Game 3.3
1.0Cards per Game 1.4

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+193 Elo
📈BTTS Trend63% in H2H
📉Home Underperforming
📊Away Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

Vasteras SK FKVasteras SK FK
  • Leads at half-time in 80% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Orgryte ISOrgryte IS
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 33% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.2 vs 0.5 in first half)

Head to Head

Last 8 meetings, all competitions

Vasteras SK FKVasteras SK FK1Wins · 13%
Draws675%
Orgryte ISOrgryte IS1Wins · 12%
1.9Avg Goals
63%Both teams scored5 of 8
13%3+ goals1 of 8

Previous meetings

Superettan24/10/2025
Orgryte ISVasteras SK FK
02
Superettan08/04/2025
Vasteras SK FKOrgryte IS
11
Superettan04/11/2023
Orgryte ISVasteras SK FK
10
Superettan10/04/2023
Vasteras SK FKOrgryte IS
00
Superettan27/08/2022
Vasteras SK FKOrgryte IS
11
Superettan26/07/2022
Orgryte ISVasteras SK FK
11
Superettan30/10/2021
Vasteras SK FKOrgryte IS
22
Superettan01/05/2021
Orgryte ISVasteras SK FK
11

Recent Form

Vasteras SK FKVasteras SK FK
4W2D4L
17/07/2026
Mjallby AIFVasteras SK FK
00
D
12/07/2026
Vasteras SK FKDegerfors IF
20
W
04/07/2026
HalmstadVasteras SK FK
13
W
28/06/2026
AIK StockholmVasteras SK FK
32
L
31/05/2026
Vasteras SK FKIFK Goteborg
45
L
24/05/2026
Malmo FFVasteras SK FK
23
W
17/05/2026
Vasteras SK FKAIK Stockholm
11
D
09/05/2026
Vasteras SK FKGais
01
L
03/05/2026
Hammarby FFVasteras SK FK
30
L
26/04/2026
IF BrommapojkarnaVasteras SK FK
12
W
Orgryte ISOrgryte IS
1W3D6L
20/07/2026
Orgryte ISDjurgardens IF
00
D
11/07/2026
Orgryte ISBK Hacken
43
W
05/07/2026
Kalmar FFOrgryte IS
30
L
29/05/2026
Orgryte ISIF Elfsborg
22
D
23/05/2026
HalmstadOrgryte IS
20
L
19/05/2026
Orgryte ISIFK Goteborg
23
L
11/05/2026
SiriusOrgryte IS
20
L
03/05/2026
GaisOrgryte IS
40
L
27/04/2026
Orgryte ISDegerfors IF
11
D
22/04/2026
Orgryte ISIF Brommapojkarna
12
L

Referee Profile

Erik Mattsson99 matches

3.41Cards per match
3.27Yellow cards per match
0.14Red cards per match
24.2Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Erik Mattsson3.41
Other referees3.78

3.41 cards a match, 0.37 fewer than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (3.78).

Cards come from 56 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Allsvenskan 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Hammarby FFHammarby FF27174656:22+3455WWWWL
2SiriusSirius26174556:34+2255LLDWW
3Djurgardens IFDjurgardens IF27164755:25+3052WDDWW
4BK HackenBK Hacken271310448:30+1849WDWWW
5IF ElfsborgIF Elfsborg271210541:27+1446WDDDW
6Vasteras SK FKVasteras SK FK27135940:38+244WWLWL
7Malmo FFMalmo FF271241142:36+640LWDLW
8AIK StockholmAIK Stockholm26108842:45-338DWDLL
9IFK GoteborgIFK Goteborg27108936:46-1038LDDDW
10GaisGais26971032:26+634WDLLW
11IF BrommapojkarnaIF Brommapojkarna27971139:44-534LDWLW
12Mjallby AIFMjallby AIF26681230:43-1326WLLDL
13Kalmar FFKalmar FF26641623:42-1922LLWLL
14Degerfors IFDegerfors IF27551722:46-2420LLLLD
15Orgryte ISOrgryte IS27471633:60-2719LLDWL
16HalmstadHalmstad26451718:49-3117LWLLW
#TeamMPGPts
1Hammarby FFHammarby FF2756:2255
2SiriusSirius2656:3455
3Djurgardens IFDjurgardens IF2755:2552
4BK HackenBK Hacken2748:3049
5IF ElfsborgIF Elfsborg2741:2746
6Vasteras SK FKVasteras SK FK2740:3844
7Malmo FFMalmo FF2742:3640
8AIK StockholmAIK Stockholm2642:4538
9IFK GoteborgIFK Goteborg2736:4638
10GaisGais2632:2634
11IF BrommapojkarnaIF Brommapojkarna2739:4434
12Mjallby AIFMjallby AIF2630:4326
13Kalmar FFKalmar FF2623:4222
14Degerfors IFDegerfors IF2722:4620
15Orgryte ISOrgryte IS2733:6019
16HalmstadHalmstad2618:4917
Relegation

About the Vasteras SK FK vs Orgryte IS forecast

The forecasts for this Allsvenskan match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Vasteras SK FK and Orgryte IS in the Allsvenskan table

In the Allsvenskan table, Vasteras SK FK are 6th and Orgryte IS 15th, 25 points apart. League goal record so far: Vasteras SK FK 40-38, Orgryte IS 33-60. The full standings are on the Allsvenskan Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Vasteras SK FK have led at half-time in 80% of their recent matches. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.