Sirius vs IFK Goteborg Prediction

Sirius
4-1
Finished
HT 2-1
IFK Goteborg
Studenternas IP, Uppsala·Oscar Johnson, Sweden 26/07/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.6 / 10
AI Best Pick
73%Trust
1X2
Home Win
1.45
SignalGOODModel68%SurpriseMediumGap+4.0%
Value Analysis
75%Trust
1X2
Home Win
1.45
SignalHIGHModel65%SurpriseMediumGap+10.6%
Sirius Rest
6 days
IFK Goteborg Rest
4 days

Sirius vs IFK Goteborg: result, form and history

Sirius beat IFK Goteborg 4-1 in the Allsvenskan on 26 Jul 2026. It was in line with recent form: Sirius had won 3 of their previous five, compared with 1 for IFK Goteborg.

Their 10 previous meetings averaged 2.5 goals, with both teams scoring in 5 of them. Referee Oscar Johnson averages 4.30 cards a game, 0.69 more than other referees in the same competitions.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
73%1.45
X
18%4.60
2
9%6.00
Double Chance
1X
91%1.11
X2
27%2.63
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%1.55
No
49%2.30
Goals
Projected Goals: 2.05 + 0.98 = 3.03
Over 1.5
82%1.12
Over 2.5
59%1.43
Over 3.5
33%2.07
Under 1.5
18%5.65
Under 2.5
41%2.70
Under 3.5
67%1.72
Corners
Projected Corners: 6.6 + 3.9 = 10.5
Over 8.5
72%1.24
Over 9.5
60%1.41
Over 10.5
48%1.68
Under 8.5
28%3.55
Under 9.5
40%2.62
Under 10.5
52%2.03
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.5 + 2.2 = 3.7
Over 3.5
41%-
Over 4.5
24%-
Under 3.5
59%-
Under 4.5
76%-

Match Events

6'M. Soumah
19'M. Heier
19'K. Thordarson
23'R. Ure
45'S. Larsson(Penalty)
53'T. Heintz
54'K. Thordarson INF. Ottosson out
54'H. Hermannsson INA. Jallow out
60'C. Nilden INV. Svensson out
66'I. Seidu INN. Tolf out
66'S. Clemmensen INS. Alioum out
71'M. LindbergAssist: I. Bjerkebo
74'O. Adindu INA. Ljungberg out
74'V. Ekstrom INS. Sandberg out
77'D. Kruse
79'S. Larsson INL. Radakovic out
83'A. Ljungberg
87'L. Radakovic
88'M. Heier INA. Wikman out

Lineups

Sirius
4-2-3-1Coach: Andreas Engelmark
IFK Goteborg
4-3-3Coach: Stefan Billborn
Avg rating7.04
Avg rating6.43
David Celic6.234D. Celic
Henrik CastegrenC7.05H. Castegren
Mohamed Soumah8.22M. Soumah
Tobias Anker7.24T. Anker
Victor Ekstrom6.320V. Ekstrom
Melker Heier7.310M. Heier
Marcus Lindberg8.26M. Lindberg
Odera Samuel Adindu6.325O. Samuel Adindu
Charlie Nilden6.721C. Nilden
Isak Bjerkebo6.911I. Bjerkebo
Robbie Ure7.69R. Ure
Viktor Andersson6.612V. Andersson
August ErlingmarkC6.93A. Erlingmark
Rockson Yeboah6.54R. Yeboah
Hjörtur Hermannsson6.26H. Hermannsson
Issaka Seidu6.028I. Seidu
Kolbeinn Thordarson6.223K. Thordarson
David Kruse6.215D. Kruse
Sam Larsson6.68S. Larsson
Sebastian Clemmensen6.67S. Clemmensen
Adam Bergmark Wiberg6.229A. Bergmark Wiberg
Tobias Heintz7.514T. Heintz

Sirius Substitutes

24Victor Svensson60'for C. Nilden6.6
15Simon Sandberg74'for V. Ekstrom6.9
36August Ljungberg74'for O. Adindu83'7.2
18Adam Wikman88'for M. Heier
1Ismael Diawara
35Elliot Eld
27Ben Magnusson
23Finlay Neat
37Munaser Mohamud

IFK Goteborg Substitutes

17Alexander Jallow54'for H. Hermannsson6.3
16Filip Ottosson54'replaced by K. Thordarson6.2
22Noah Tolf66'for I. Seidu6.2
11Saidou Alioum Moubarak66'for S. Clemmensen6.3
21Leo Radakovic79'for S. Larsson87'6.3
25Elis Bishesari
5Jonas Bager
18Felix Eriksson
24Oliver Mansson

Match Stats

SiriusIFK Goteborg
44%Ball Possession56%
4Corner Kicks4
1Yellow Cards4
13Total Shots12
7Shots on Goal4
2Shots off Goal5
9Shots Inside Box6
4Shots Outside Box6
4Blocked Shots3
7Fouls16
5Offsides1
3Goalkeeper Saves3
448Total Passes576
390Passes Accurate501
87%Pass Accuracy87%

Team Comparison

SiriusSirius
IFK GoteborgIFK Goteborg
1774Elo Rating 1718
1.07Attack 1.19
1.47Defense 2.11
31%Hit Rate 31%
14.2Shots per Game 12.2
4.2Shots on Target 4.3
8.0Corners per Game 5.0
1.7Cards per Game 1.2

AI Insights

⚽High Goal Expectancy3.04 goals
📉Home Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

SiriusSirius
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 33% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.7 vs 0.4 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
IFK GoteborgIFK Goteborg
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

SiriusSirius2Wins · 20%
Draws440%
IFK GoteborgIFK Goteborg4Wins · 40%
2.5Avg Goals
50%Both teams scored5 of 10
40%3+ goals4 of 10

Previous meetings

Svenska Cupen15/03/2026
SiriusIFK Goteborg
1000
Allsvenskan20/07/2025
SiriusIFK Goteborg
01
Allsvenskan06/07/2025
IFK GoteborgSirius
31
Allsvenskan17/08/2024
IFK GoteborgSirius
11
Allsvenskan16/05/2024
SiriusIFK Goteborg
22
Allsvenskan07/10/2023
IFK GoteborgSirius
01
Allsvenskan11/06/2023
SiriusIFK Goteborg
20
Allsvenskan28/08/2022
IFK GoteborgSirius
20
Allsvenskan27/06/2022
SiriusIFK Goteborg
12
Allsvenskan21/11/2021
SiriusIFK Goteborg
33

Recent Form

SiriusSirius
7W3D0L
19/07/2026
IF ElfsborgSirius
13
W
12/07/2026
IF BrommapojkarnaSirius
12
W
03/07/2026
SiriusMjallby AIF
44
D
26/06/2026
SiriusDjurgardens IF
11
D
30/05/2026
AIK StockholmSirius
03
W
24/05/2026
SiriusGais
21
W
18/05/2026
Djurgardens IFSirius
23
W
11/05/2026
SiriusOrgryte IS
20
W
02/05/2026
SiriusKalmar FF
32
W
27/04/2026
BK HackenSirius
22
D
IFK GoteborgIFK Goteborg
3W2D5L
21/07/2026
IFK GoteborgFC Levadia Tallinn
12
L
17/07/2026
IFK GoteborgIF Brommapojkarna
21
W
12/07/2026
Malmo FFIFK Goteborg
40
L
05/07/2026
IFK GoteborgAIK Stockholm
12
L
27/06/2026
IFK GoteborgHam-Kam
12
L
18/06/2026
IFK GoteborgValerenga
11
D
31/05/2026
Vasteras SK FKIFK Goteborg
45
W
25/05/2026
IFK GoteborgMjallby AIF
11
D
19/05/2026
Orgryte ISIFK Goteborg
23
W
09/05/2026
IFK GoteborgHammarby FF
01
L

Referee Profile

Oscar Johnson139 matches

4.30Cards per match
4.19Yellow cards per match
0.11Red cards per match
25.9Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Oscar Johnson4.30
Other referees3.61

4.30 cards a match, 0.69 more than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (3.61).

Cards come from 99 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Allsvenskan 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Hammarby FFHammarby FF27174656:22+3455WWWWL
2SiriusSirius26174556:34+2255LLDWW
3Djurgardens IFDjurgardens IF27164755:25+3052WDDWW
4BK HackenBK Hacken271310448:30+1849WDWWW
5IF ElfsborgIF Elfsborg271210541:27+1446WDDDW
6Vasteras SK FKVasteras SK FK27135940:38+244WWLWL
7Malmo FFMalmo FF271241142:36+640LWDLW
8AIK StockholmAIK Stockholm26108842:45-338DWDLL
9IFK GoteborgIFK Goteborg27108936:46-1038LDDDW
10GaisGais26971032:26+634WDLLW
11IF BrommapojkarnaIF Brommapojkarna27971139:44-534LDWLW
12Mjallby AIFMjallby AIF26681230:43-1326WLLDL
13Kalmar FFKalmar FF26641623:42-1922LLWLL
14Degerfors IFDegerfors IF27551722:46-2420LLLLD
15Orgryte ISOrgryte IS27471633:60-2719LLDWL
16HalmstadHalmstad26451718:49-3117LWLLW
#TeamMPGPts
1Hammarby FFHammarby FF2756:2255
2SiriusSirius2656:3455
3Djurgardens IFDjurgardens IF2755:2552
4BK HackenBK Hacken2748:3049
5IF ElfsborgIF Elfsborg2741:2746
6Vasteras SK FKVasteras SK FK2740:3844
7Malmo FFMalmo FF2742:3640
8AIK StockholmAIK Stockholm2642:4538
9IFK GoteborgIFK Goteborg2736:4638
10GaisGais2632:2634
11IF BrommapojkarnaIF Brommapojkarna2739:4434
12Mjallby AIFMjallby AIF2630:4326
13Kalmar FFKalmar FF2623:4222
14Degerfors IFDegerfors IF2722:4620
15Orgryte ISOrgryte IS2733:6019
16HalmstadHalmstad2618:4917
Relegation

About the Sirius vs IFK Goteborg forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Sirius and IFK Goteborg in the Allsvenskan table

In the Allsvenskan table, Sirius are 2nd and IFK Goteborg 9th, 17 points apart. League goal record so far: Sirius 56-34, IFK Goteborg 36-46. The full standings are on the Allsvenskan Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.