Vitesse vs Almere City FC Prediction

Eerste DivisieNetherlands Netherlands · Regular Season - 3
Vitesse
0-3
Finished
HT 0-0
Almere City FC
GelreDome, Arnhem·E. Blank 21/08/2026
VitesseVitesse
0-3
Finished
Almere City FCAlmere City FC

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
3.6 / 10
AI Best Pick
73%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.33
SignalGOODModel48%SurpriseMediumGap-1.9%
Vitesse Rest
4 days
Almere City FC Rest
7 days

Vitesse vs Almere City FC: the result in context

Almere City FC beat Vitesse 3-0 in the Eerste Divisie on 21 Aug 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

When these two meet, goals usually follow: 3.8 a game across 4 meetings, with both teams scoring in 3. Vitesse tend to win more corners, 7.0 a game to 4.2 for Almere City FC.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
47%2.10
X
29%3.52
2
24%3.15
Double Chance
1X
76%1.33
X2
53%1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
63%1.48
No
37%2.50
Goals
Projected Goals: 2.06 + 1.2 = 3.26
Over 1.5
81%1.16
Over 2.5
61%1.57
Over 3.5
41%2.38
Under 1.5
19%4.75
Under 2.5
39%2.33
Under 3.5
59%1.53
Corners
Projected Corners: 6.4 + 3.8 = 10.2
Over 8.5
63%1.33
Over 9.5
51%1.56
Over 10.5
41%2.00
Under 8.5
37%3.02
Under 9.5
49%2.27
Under 10.5
59%1.75
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.3 + 2.4 = 4.7
Over 3.5
62%-
Over 4.5
45%-
Under 3.5
38%-
Under 4.5
55%-

Match Events

44'James LawrenceFoul
47'Emmanuel van de BlaakFoul
53'Ferdy DruijfAssist: Enzo Cornelisse
55'Hamza El DahriFoul
59'Byron Burgering INJob Kalisvaart out
59'Mees Hoedemakers INMarley Dors out
65'Filipe de Ferreira INNino Zonneveld out
65'Mathijs Marschalk INPontus Dahbo out
69'James Lawrence INDamian van Bruggen out
70'Enzo CornelisseFoul
70'Hamza El Dahri INJamie Jacobs out
75'Marley DorsAssist: Ferdy Druijf
77'Omar Achouitar INEduard Probst out
77'Ferdy Druijf INBas Huisman out
79'Emanuel PokuAssist: Marley Dors
84'Ricardo-Felipe Schwarz INJoão Pinto out
84'Naoufal Bannis INMarcus Steffen out

Lineups

Vitesse
Coach: Rudiger Rehm
Almere City FC
Coach: Anoush Dastgir

Vitesse Starting XI

31Maximilian Brüll7.0
24Nathan Markelo6.7
17Valon Zumberi6.3
14Omar Achouitar77'replaced by Eduard Probst6.5
43Chiel Olde Keizer5.9
6Marco SchikoraC7.7
33Mathijs Marschalk65'replaced by Pontus Dahbo6.7
20Filipe de Ferreira65'replaced by Nino Zonneveld7.2
8Ricardo-Felipe Schwarz84'replaced by João Pinto7.3
21Ayman Sellouf6.5
9Naoufal Bannis84'replaced by Marcus Steffen6.0
Avg rating6.73

Almere City FC Starting XI

1Wessel Speel8.2
3Joey Jacobs7.2
22Emmanuel van de Blaak47'7.0
4James Lawrence44'69'replaced by Damian van Bruggen6.9
5Teun Bijleveld7.7
6Enzo Cornelisse70'7.2
14Mees Hoedemakers59'replaced by Marley Dors6.9
7Byron Burgering59'replaced by Job Kalisvaart6.7
21Hamza El Dahri55'70'replaced by Jamie Jacobs6.6
17Emanuel Poku79'7.9
9Ferdy DruijfC53'77'replaced by Bas Huisman8.2
Avg rating7.19

Vitesse Substitutes

7Nino Zonneveld65'for Filipe de Ferreira6.9
16Pontus Dahbo65'for Mathijs Marschalk7.2
27Eduard Probst77'for Omar Achouitar6.3
55Marcus Steffen84'for Naoufal Bannis6.9
13João Pinto84'for Ricardo-Felipe Schwarz6.5
23Jayden Siecker
25Tyrick Bodak
28Alexander Büttner
22Xiamaro Thenu
2Solomon Bonnah
38Koen te Veluwe
34Youssef Ouallil

Almere City FC Substitutes

20Job Kalisvaart59'for Byron Burgering6.5
11Marley Dors59'for Mees Hoedemakers75'8.2
44Damian van Bruggen69'for James Lawrence6.9
10Jamie Jacobs70'for Hamza El Dahri6.7
18Bas Huisman77'for Ferdy Druijf6.2
24Malcolm Mateyo
30Joel Van der Wilt
33Jereno van Gom
35Bas Pennock
25Immanuel Goghli

Match Stats

VitesseAlmere City FC
60%Ball Possession40%
7Corner Kicks3
0Yellow Cards4
21Total Shots13
5Shots on Goal9
9Shots off Goal4
15Shots Inside Box11
6Shots Outside Box2
7Blocked Shots0
9Fouls12
2Offsides2
6Goalkeeper Saves5
458Total Passes318
381Passes Accurate250
83%Pass Accuracy79%

Team Comparison

VitesseVitesse
Almere City FCAlmere City FC
1565Elo Rating 1620
0.56Attack 1.80
1.46Defense 1.31
23%Hit Rate 36%
11.1Shots per Game 17.0
2.4Shots on Target 6.4
7.0Corners per Game 4.2
2.5Cards per Game 0.9

AI Insights

⚽High Goal Expectancy3.26 goals
📈BTTS Trend75% in H2H
📉Home Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

VitesseVitesse
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 33% of the time
Almere City FCAlmere City FC
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 4 meetings, all competitions

VitesseVitesse0Wins · 0%
Draws250%
Almere City FCAlmere City FC2Wins · 50%
3.8Avg Goals
75%Both teams scored3 of 4
75%3+ goals3 of 4

Previous meetings

Eerste Divisie13/03/2026
VitesseAlmere City FC
13
Eerste Divisie10/10/2025
Almere City FCVitesse
22
Eredivisie16/03/2024
VitesseAlmere City FC
11
Eredivisie17/12/2023
Almere City FCVitesse
50

Recent Form

VitesseVitesse
4W4D2L
17/08/2026
Jong UtrechtVitesse
13
W
07/08/2026
VitesseWaalwijk
11
D
18/07/2026
VitesseAl-Jazira
12
L
15/07/2026
VitesseAEK Athens FC
00
D
11/07/2026
VitesseBorussia Dortmund II
10
W
03/07/2026
VitesseRoda
11
D
24/04/2026
CambuurVitesse
21
L
17/04/2026
VitesseMVV
00
D
13/04/2026
Jong UtrechtVitesse
03
W
06/04/2026
VitesseJong Ajax
61
W
Almere City FCAlmere City FC
3W2D5L
14/08/2026
Almere City FCJong PSV U21
31
W
08/08/2026
Den BoschAlmere City FC
11
D
01/08/2026
EmmenAlmere City FC
40
L
25/07/2026
Almere City FCFC OSS
22
D
15/07/2026
Almere City FCFC Volendam
21
W
11/07/2026
AZ AlkmaarAlmere City FC
21
L
08/07/2026
GO Ahead EaglesAlmere City FC
21
L
04/07/2026
Almere City FCTelstar
21
W
16/05/2026
Willem IIAlmere City FC
20
L
13/05/2026
Almere City FCWillem II
01
L

Referee Profile

E. Blank156 matches

3.68Cards per match
3.54Yellow cards per match
0.14Red cards per match
23.1Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

E. Blank3.68
Other referees3.23

3.68 cards a match, 0.45 more than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (3.23).

Cards come from 146 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Eerste Divisie 2026

Eerste Divisie: Regular season

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1HeraclesHeracles1292137:14+2329DWWDW
2VVV VenloVVV Venlo1281334:20+1425WDWWL
3EmmenEmmen1281326:19+725WWWDW
4Almere City FCAlmere City FC1271425:12+1322LLWWL
5RodaRoda1264215:11+422WWDLW
6NAC BredaNAC Breda1263323:20+321DWWDW
7FC VolendamFC Volendam1261529:20+919WDWLW
8Jong AZJong AZ1252531:26+517WDLWD
9VitesseVitesse1252516:17-117LWLDL
10MVVMVV1252516:27-1117DLLLW
11WaalwijkWaalwijk1237221:17+416DDLDL
12Jong PSV U21Jong PSV U211244417:19-216WLDLD
13Den BoschDen Bosch1243518:21-315DWWDL
14FC OSSFC OSS1241719:20-113DLWWL
15Jong AjaxJong Ajax1233618:29-1112DWLDL
16De GraafschapDe Graafschap1233615:26-1112DLWDW
17FC EindhovenFC Eindhoven1232716:25-911LLLDL
18DordrechtDordrecht1232716:31-1511LWLDW
19Helmond SportHelmond Sport1223720:26-69LLLDL
20Jong UtrechtJong Utrecht1221919:31-127LLLLW
#TeamMPGPts
1HeraclesHeracles1237:1429
2VVV VenloVVV Venlo1234:2025
3EmmenEmmen1226:1925
4Almere City FCAlmere City FC1225:1222
5RodaRoda1215:1122
6NAC BredaNAC Breda1223:2021
7FC VolendamFC Volendam1229:2019
8Jong AZJong AZ1231:2617
9VitesseVitesse1216:1717
10MVVMVV1216:2717
11WaalwijkWaalwijk1221:1716
12Jong PSV U21Jong PSV U211217:1916
13Den BoschDen Bosch1218:2115
14FC OSSFC OSS1219:2013
15Jong AjaxJong Ajax1218:2912
16De GraafschapDe Graafschap1215:2612
17FC EindhovenFC Eindhoven1216:2511
18DordrechtDordrecht1216:3111
19Helmond SportHelmond Sport1220:269
20Jong UtrechtJong Utrecht1219:317

Eerste Divisie: Period 1

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1HeraclesHeracles1081131:12+1925DWWDW
2Almere City FCAlmere City FC1071222:7+1522LLWWL
3VVV VenloVVV Venlo1070326:14+1221WDWWL
4EmmenEmmen1061322:18+419WWWDW
5NAC BredaNAC Breda1052320:19+117DWWDW
6RodaRoda1044210:8+216WWDLW
7MVVMVV1051413:20-716DLLLW
8FC VolendamFC Volendam1050522:17+515WDWLW
9WaalwijkWaalwijk1035219:15+414DDLDL
10VitesseVitesse1042415:15014LWLDL
11Jong AZJong AZ1041522:18+413WDLWD
12Jong PSV U21Jong PSV U211034315:17-213WLDLD
13FC OSSFC OSS1040615:15012DLWWL
14Den BoschDen Bosch1032514:18-411DWWDL
15FC EindhovenFC Eindhoven1032515:22-711LLLDL
16De GraafschapDe Graafschap1032513:23-1011DLWDW
17Helmond SportHelmond Sport1023516:19-39LLLDL
18Jong AjaxJong Ajax1022613:25-128DWLDL
19DordrechtDordrecht1022613:27-148LWLDW
20Jong UtrechtJong Utrecht1021716:23-77LLLLW
#TeamMPGPts
1HeraclesHeracles1031:1225
2Almere City FCAlmere City FC1022:722
3VVV VenloVVV Venlo1026:1421
4EmmenEmmen1022:1819
5NAC BredaNAC Breda1020:1917
6RodaRoda1010:816
7MVVMVV1013:2016
8FC VolendamFC Volendam1022:1715
9WaalwijkWaalwijk1019:1514
10VitesseVitesse1015:1514
11Jong AZJong AZ1022:1813
12Jong PSV U21Jong PSV U211015:1713
13FC OSSFC OSS1015:1512
14Den BoschDen Bosch1014:1811
15FC EindhovenFC Eindhoven1015:2211
16De GraafschapDe Graafschap1013:2311
17Helmond SportHelmond Sport1016:199
18Jong AjaxJong Ajax1013:258
19DordrechtDordrecht1013:278
20Jong UtrechtJong Utrecht1016:237

Eerste Divisie: Period 2

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1EmmenEmmen22004:1+36WWWDW
2RodaRoda22005:3+26WWDLW
3FC VolendamFC Volendam21107:3+44WDWLW
4HeraclesHeracles21106:2+44DWWDW
5VVV VenloVVV Venlo21108:6+24WDWWL
6NAC BredaNAC Breda21103:1+24DWWDW
7Den BoschDen Bosch21104:3+14DWWDL
8Jong AjaxJong Ajax21105:4+14DWLDL
9Jong AZJong AZ21109:8+14WDLWD
10Jong PSV U21Jong PSV U2121012:203WLDLD
11DordrechtDordrecht21013:4-13LWLDW
12VitesseVitesse21011:2-13LWLDL
13WaalwijkWaalwijk20202:202DDLDL
14De GraafschapDe Graafschap20112:3-11DLWDW
15FC OSSFC OSS20114:5-11DLWWL
16MVVMVV20113:7-41DLLLW
17FC EindhovenFC Eindhoven20021:3-20LLLDL
18Almere City FCAlmere City FC20023:5-20LLWWL
19Helmond SportHelmond Sport20024:7-30LLLDL
20Jong UtrechtJong Utrecht20023:8-50LLLLW
#TeamMPGPts
1EmmenEmmen24:16
2RodaRoda25:36
3FC VolendamFC Volendam27:34
4HeraclesHeracles26:24
5VVV VenloVVV Venlo28:64
6NAC BredaNAC Breda23:14
7Den BoschDen Bosch24:34
8Jong AjaxJong Ajax25:44
9Jong AZJong AZ29:84
10Jong PSV U21Jong PSV U2122:23
11DordrechtDordrecht23:43
12VitesseVitesse21:23
13WaalwijkWaalwijk22:22
14De GraafschapDe Graafschap22:31
15FC OSSFC OSS24:51
16MVVMVV23:71
17FC EindhovenFC Eindhoven21:30
18Almere City FCAlmere City FC23:50
19Helmond SportHelmond Sport24:70
20Jong UtrechtJong Utrecht23:80

Eerste Divisie: Period 3

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1De GraafschapDe Graafschap00000:000DLWDW
2VVV VenloVVV Venlo00000:000WDWWL
3Den BoschDen Bosch00000:000DWWDL
4DordrechtDordrecht00000:000LWLDW
5FC EindhovenFC Eindhoven00000:000LLLDL
6EmmenEmmen00000:000WWWDW
7Helmond SportHelmond Sport00000:000LLLDL
8MVVMVV00000:000DLLLW
9Almere City FCAlmere City FC00000:000LLWWL
10FC OSSFC OSS00000:000DLWWL
11FC VolendamFC Volendam00000:000WDWLW
12WaalwijkWaalwijk00000:000DDLDL
13NAC BredaNAC Breda00000:000DWWDW
14RodaRoda00000:000WWDLW
15VitesseVitesse00000:000LWLDL
16HeraclesHeracles00000:000DWWDW
17Jong PSV U21Jong PSV U2100000:000WLDLD
18Jong AjaxJong Ajax00000:000DWLDL
19Jong AZJong AZ00000:000WDLWD
20Jong UtrechtJong Utrecht00000:000LLLLW
#TeamMPGPts
1De GraafschapDe Graafschap00:00
2VVV VenloVVV Venlo00:00
3Den BoschDen Bosch00:00
4DordrechtDordrecht00:00
5FC EindhovenFC Eindhoven00:00
6EmmenEmmen00:00
7Helmond SportHelmond Sport00:00
8MVVMVV00:00
9Almere City FCAlmere City FC00:00
10FC OSSFC OSS00:00
11FC VolendamFC Volendam00:00
12WaalwijkWaalwijk00:00
13NAC BredaNAC Breda00:00
14RodaRoda00:00
15VitesseVitesse00:00
16HeraclesHeracles00:00
17Jong PSV U21Jong PSV U2100:00
18Jong AjaxJong Ajax00:00
19Jong AZJong AZ00:00
20Jong UtrechtJong Utrecht00:00

Eerste Divisie: Period 4

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1De GraafschapDe Graafschap00000:000DLWDW
2VVV VenloVVV Venlo00000:000WDWWL
3Den BoschDen Bosch00000:000DWWDL
4DordrechtDordrecht00000:000LWLDW
5FC EindhovenFC Eindhoven00000:000LLLDL
6EmmenEmmen00000:000WWWDW
7Helmond SportHelmond Sport00000:000LLLDL
8MVVMVV00000:000DLLLW
9Almere City FCAlmere City FC00000:000LLWWL
10FC OSSFC OSS00000:000DLWWL
11FC VolendamFC Volendam00000:000WDWLW
12WaalwijkWaalwijk00000:000DDLDL
13NAC BredaNAC Breda00000:000DWWDW
14RodaRoda00000:000WWDLW
15VitesseVitesse00000:000LWLDL
16HeraclesHeracles00000:000DWWDW
17Jong PSV U21Jong PSV U2100000:000WLDLD
18Jong AjaxJong Ajax00000:000DWLDL
19Jong AZJong AZ00000:000WDLWD
20Jong UtrechtJong Utrecht00000:000LLLLW
#TeamMPGPts
1De GraafschapDe Graafschap00:00
2VVV VenloVVV Venlo00:00
3Den BoschDen Bosch00:00
4DordrechtDordrecht00:00
5FC EindhovenFC Eindhoven00:00
6EmmenEmmen00:00
7Helmond SportHelmond Sport00:00
8MVVMVV00:00
9Almere City FCAlmere City FC00:00
10FC OSSFC OSS00:00
11FC VolendamFC Volendam00:00
12WaalwijkWaalwijk00:00
13NAC BredaNAC Breda00:00
14RodaRoda00:00
15VitesseVitesse00:00
16HeraclesHeracles00:00
17Jong PSV U21Jong PSV U2100:00
18Jong AjaxJong Ajax00:00
19Jong AZJong AZ00:00
20Jong UtrechtJong Utrecht00:00
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About the Vitesse vs Almere City FC forecast

The forecasts for this Eerste Divisie match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Vitesse and Almere City FC in the Eerste Divisie table

In the Eerste Divisie table, Almere City FC are 4th and Vitesse 9th, 5 points apart. League goal record so far: Vitesse 16-17, Almere City FC 25-12. The full standings are on the Eerste Divisie Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Almere City FC have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.