Waterford vs St Patrick's Athl. Prediction

Regional Sports Centre, Waterford·R. Hennessey 10/07/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.0 / 10
AI Best Pick
95%Trust
Goals O/U
Under 3.5 Goals
1.36
SignalSTRONGModel48%SurpriseMediumGap+21.5%
Waterford Rest
7 days
St Patrick's Athl. Rest
7 days

Waterford vs St Patrick's Athl.: result, form and history

Waterford and St Patrick's Athl. drew 1-1 in the Premier Division on 10 Jul 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Their 10 previous meetings averaged 2.8 goals, with both teams scoring in 6 of them. Referee R. Hennessey averages 5.38 cards a game, 1.02 more than other referees in the same competitions.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
25%4.80
X
27%3.80
2
48%1.64
Double Chance
1X
52%2.15
X2
75%1.17
Both Teams to Score
Yes
30%1.77
No
70%1.93
Goals
Projected Goals: 0.93 + 1.38 = 2.31
Over 1.5
53%1.25
Over 2.5
29%1.80
Over 3.5
5%2.95
Under 1.5
47%3.65
Under 2.5
71%1.95
Under 3.5
95%1.36
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

17'J. MahonFoul
21'R. Palmer INB. Baggley out
32'J. VoilasDiving
40'C. NoonanAssist: T. Lonergan
46'J. McClelland INA. Breslin out
51'L. TurnerFoul
55'J. HoustonFoul
61'J. RedmondFoul
69'L. Turner INC. Forrester out
77'J. Brown IND. Nugent out
78'R. Edmondson INS. Rooney out
83'P. Amond IND. McMenamy out
89'C. Noonan INT. Coyle out
90+5'A. Keena(Penalty)

Match Stats

WaterfordSt Patrick's Athl.
26%Ball Possession74%
7Corner Kicks5
3Yellow Cards2
14Total Shots21
6Shots on Goal3
2Shots off Goal9
14Shots Inside Box14
0Shots Outside Box7
6Blocked Shots9
12Fouls12
0Offsides1
2Goalkeeper Saves5
154Total Passes490
85Passes Accurate418
55%Pass Accuracy85%

Team Comparison

WaterfordWaterford
St Patrick's Athl.St Patrick's Athl.
1631Elo Rating 1613
2.53Attack 0.85
1.51Defense 1.67
83%Hit Rate 14%
16.0Shots per Game 17.7
6.1Shots on Target 4.4
4.6Corners per Game 6.4
1.7Cards per Game 2.0

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend60% in H2H
💎Value Analysis Identified
📉Away Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

WaterfordWaterford
  • Tied at half-time in 80% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.5 vs 1.1 in first half)
St Patrick's Athl.St Patrick's Athl.
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half and can tire late

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

WaterfordWaterford2Wins · 20%
Draws330%
St Patrick's Athl.St Patrick's Athl.5Wins · 50%
2.8Avg Goals
60%Both teams scored6 of 10
50%3+ goals5 of 10

Previous meetings

Premier Division08/05/2026
St Patrick's Athl.Waterford
41
Premier Division20/03/2026
WaterfordSt Patrick's Athl.
02
Premier Division24/10/2025
St Patrick's Athl.Waterford
11
Premier Division03/08/2025
WaterfordSt Patrick's Athl.
02
Premier Division23/05/2025
St Patrick's Athl.Waterford
22
Premier Division28/03/2025
WaterfordSt Patrick's Athl.
12
Premier Division20/09/2024
St Patrick's Athl.Waterford
30
Premier Division04/07/2024
WaterfordSt Patrick's Athl.
10
Premier Division19/04/2024
St Patrick's Athl.Waterford
11
Premier Division04/03/2024
WaterfordSt Patrick's Athl.
31

Recent Form

WaterfordWaterford
4W3D3L
03/07/2026
Derry CityWaterford
24
W
26/06/2026
DundalkWaterford
23
W
19/06/2026
WaterfordShamrock Rovers
02
L
12/06/2026
WaterfordSligo Rovers
40
W
29/05/2026
Drogheda UnitedWaterford
33
D
22/05/2026
ShelbourneWaterford
21
L
18/05/2026
WaterfordDrogheda United
21
W
15/05/2026
WaterfordDerry City
22
D
08/05/2026
St Patrick's Athl.Waterford
41
L
04/05/2026
WaterfordDundalk
33
D
St Patrick's Athl.St Patrick's Athl.
4W3D3L
03/07/2026
St Patrick's Athl.Galway United
30
W
26/06/2026
BohemiansSt Patrick's Athl.
20
L
19/06/2026
St Patrick's Athl.Sligo Rovers
20
W
12/06/2026
St Patrick's Athl.Drogheda United
20
W
29/05/2026
Shamrock RoversSt Patrick's Athl.
10
L
22/05/2026
Derry CitySt Patrick's Athl.
00
D
15/05/2026
St Patrick's Athl.Shelbourne
01
L
08/05/2026
St Patrick's Athl.Waterford
41
W
04/05/2026
Sligo RoversSt Patrick's Athl.
11
D
01/05/2026
Galway UnitedSt Patrick's Athl.
22
D

Referee Profile

R. Hennessey26 matches

5.38Cards per match
5.08Yellow cards per match
0.31Red cards per match
24.8Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

R. Hennessey5.38
Other referees4.36

5.38 cards a match, 1.02 more than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.36).

Cards come from 13 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Premier Division 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Shamrock RoversShamrock Rovers36208859:38+2168LWLWW
2BohemiansBohemians36198963:44+1965WLWLW
3St Patrick's Athl.St Patrick's Athl.361791055:31+2460LDLLW
4ShelbourneShelbourne3612131152:50+249LWWWD
5Derry CityDerry City3611151050:47+348DWWLW
6DundalkDundalk3611121355:59-445WLDLL
7WaterfordWaterford3610131354:61-743WWWLL
8Galway UnitedGalway United3610121446:53-742LDLWD
9Drogheda UnitedDrogheda United3610101644:57-1340WLWLL
10Sligo RoversSligo Rovers365102128:66-3825DLDLL
#TeamMPGPts
1Shamrock RoversShamrock Rovers3659:3868
2BohemiansBohemians3663:4465
3St Patrick's Athl.St Patrick's Athl.3655:3160
4ShelbourneShelbourne3652:5049
5Derry CityDerry City3650:4748
6DundalkDundalk3655:5945
7WaterfordWaterford3654:6143
8Galway UnitedGalway United3646:5342
9Drogheda UnitedDrogheda United3644:5740
10Sligo RoversSligo Rovers3628:6625
Relegation

About the Waterford vs St Patrick's Athl. forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage is the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% means strong statistical confidence; 45-65% points to a competitive, open match; below 45% means the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for information and entertainment only.

Waterford and St Patrick's Athl. in the Premier Division table

The table shows a wide gap: St Patrick's Athl. are 3rd in the Premier Division, while Waterford sit 7th, 17 points behind. League goal record so far: Waterford 54-61, St Patrick's Athl. 55-31. The full standings are on the Premier Division Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.