Werder Bremen vs RB Leipzig Prediction

Werder Bremen
3-1
Finished
HT 1-0
RB Leipzig
Weserstadion, Bremen·Benjamin Brand, Germany 05/09/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
5.5 / 10
Value Analysis
75%Trust
Corners Total
Corners Under 10.5
1.54
SignalHIGHModel53%SurpriseMediumGap+14.9%
Werder Bremen Rest
6 days
RB Leipzig Rest
7 days

Werder Bremen vs RB Leipzig: result, form and history

Werder Bremen beat RB Leipzig 3-1 in the Bundesliga on 5 Sep 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

RB Leipzig have had the better of this fixture, winning 6 of the 10 previous meetings, which averaged 2.6 goals a game.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
21%4.20
X
26%4.15
2
53%1.75
Double Chance
1X
47%2.05
X2
80%1.22
Both Teams to Score
Yes
65%1.47
No
35%2.56
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.29 + 1.67 = 2.96
Over 1.5
83%1.13
Over 2.5
61%1.48
Over 3.5
38%2.17
Under 1.5
17%5.50
Under 2.5
39%2.63
Under 3.5
62%1.70
Corners
Projected Corners: 4.2 + 4.8 = 8.9
Over 8.5
51%1.49
Over 9.5
36%1.86
Over 10.5
25%2.32
Under 8.5
49%2.44
Under 9.5
64%1.89
Under 10.5
75%1.54
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.8 + 1.5 = 3.4
Over 3.5
44%1.91
Over 4.5
25%2.73
Under 3.5
56%1.81
Under 4.5
75%1.39

Match Events

4'E. DinkciAssist: Chuki
23'ChukiFoul
24'Penalty cancelledChristopher Nkunku
63'J. Bakayoko INT. Gomis out
67'Arthur INM. Schmetgens out
67'E. Dinkci INP. Erevbenagie out
68'N. FullkrugAssist: M. Grull
74'N. Fullkrug INC. Itten out
75'N. El Aynaoui INM. Guiu out
80'M. Grull
83'Y. Regeer IND. Stalmach out
83'Chuki INS. Musah out
84'C. Nkunku INA. Maksimovic out
84'A. Nusa INS. Konate out
90'R. BakuAssist: A. Maksimovic

Lineups

Werder Bremen
4-2-3-1Coach: Daniel Thioune
RB Leipzig
4-3-3Coach: Martin Demichelis
Avg rating7.15
Avg rating6.53
K. Hein7.51K. Hein
Arthur7.213Arthur
A. Pieper7.95A. Pieper
M. FriedlC6.732M. Friedl
O. Deman7.92O. Deman
L. Reis7.015L. Reis
Y. Regeer7.244Y. Regeer
E. Dinkci7.218E. Dinkci
Chuki7.220Chuki
M. Grull8.917M. Grull
N. Fullkrug7.310N. Fullkrug
M. Vandevoordt6.026M. Vandevoordt
R. Baku7.317R. Baku
W. Orban6.94W. Orban
M. Esteve7.33M. Esteve
D. RaumC6.322D. Raum
N. El Aynaoui6.221N. El Aynaoui
N. Seiwald6.313N. Seiwald
E. Banzuzi6.06E. Banzuzi
J. Bakayoko5.911J. Bakayoko
C. Nkunku6.728C. Nkunku
A. Nusa6.97A. Nusa

Werder Bremen Substitutes

30A. Schlager
4N. Stark
3O. Wojcik
16M. N'Diaye
33M. Schmetgens67'for Arthur6.7
23D. Stalmach83'for Y. Regeer6.5
38P. Erevbenagie67'for E. Dinkci6.7
26C. Itten74'for N. Fullkrug6.2
29S. Musah83'for Chuki6.3

RB Leipzig Substitutes

1O. Nyland
16L. Klostermann
35M. Finkgrafe
2A. Kone
39B. Henrichs
30A. Maksimovic84'for C. Nkunku7.2
27T. Gomis63'for J. Bakayoko6.3
9M. Guiu75'for N. El Aynaoui6.5
45S. Konate84'for A. Nusa6.2

Match Stats

Werder BremenRB Leipzig
29%Ball Possession71%
2Corner Kicks7
1Yellow Cards0
12Total Shots19
7Shots on Goal5
3Shots off Goal7
5Shots Inside Box14
7Shots Outside Box5
2Blocked Shots7
13Fouls8
4Offsides1
3Goalkeeper Saves4
287Total Passes691
208Passes Accurate612
72%Pass Accuracy89%

Team Comparison

Werder BremenWerder Bremen
RB LeipzigRB Leipzig
1731Elo Rating 1821
2.17Attack 1.69
1.31Defense 0.26
34%Hit Rate 36%
15.3Shots per Game 14.4
7.8Shots on Target 6.0
3.5Corners per Game 3.5
1.2Cards per Game 1.1

AI Insights

⚽High Goal Expectancy2.96 goals
📈BTTS Trend70% in H2H

Game State Tendencies

Werder BremenWerder Bremen
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (2 vs 0.1 in first half)
RB LeipzigRB Leipzig
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1 vs 0.7 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

Werder BremenWerder Bremen0Wins · 0%
Draws440%
RB LeipzigRB Leipzig6Wins · 60%
2.6Avg Goals
70%Both teams scored7 of 10
50%3+ goals5 of 10

Previous meetings

Bundesliga04/04/2026
Werder BremenRB Leipzig
12
Bundesliga23/11/2025
RB LeipzigWerder Bremen
20
Bundesliga10/05/2025
Werder BremenRB Leipzig
00
Bundesliga12/01/2025
RB LeipzigWerder Bremen
42
Bundesliga11/05/2024
RB LeipzigWerder Bremen
11
Bundesliga19/12/2023
Werder BremenRB Leipzig
11
Bundesliga14/05/2023
RB LeipzigWerder Bremen
21
Bundesliga12/11/2022
Werder BremenRB Leipzig
12
DFB Pokal30/04/2021
Werder BremenRB Leipzig
1020
Bundesliga10/04/2021
Werder BremenRB Leipzig
14

Recent Form

Werder BremenWerder Bremen
5W1D4L
30/08/2026
SC FreiburgWerder Bremen
41
L
22/08/2026
Lüneburger SK HansaWerder Bremen
03
W
08/08/2026
Werder BremenSC Paderborn 07
22
D
01/08/2026
Energie CottbusWerder Bremen
24
W
25/07/2026
Werder BremenVfL Bochum
20
W
22/07/2026
Werder BremenFagiano Okayama
20
W
18/07/2026
Verden 04Werder Bremen
26
W
16/05/2026
Werder BremenBorussia Dortmund
02
L
09/05/2026
1899 HoffenheimWerder Bremen
10
L
02/05/2026
Werder BremenFC Augsburg
13
L
RB LeipzigRB Leipzig
6W0D4L
29/08/2026
RB LeipzigBorussia Mönchengladbach
30
W
22/08/2026
Eintracht TrierRB Leipzig
06
W
15/08/2026
Bayern MünchenRB Leipzig
31
L
08/08/2026
LeedsRB Leipzig
20
L
01/08/2026
RB LeipzigVerl
40
W
25/07/2026
RB LeipzigFC Ingolstadt 04
10
W
18/07/2026
AltglienickeRB Leipzig
12
W
29/05/2026
Mamelodi SundownsRB Leipzig
31
L
16/05/2026
SC FreiburgRB Leipzig
41
L
09/05/2026
RB LeipzigFC St. Pauli
21
W

Referee Profile

Benjamin Brand109 matches

4.29Cards per match
4.12Yellow cards per match
0.17Red cards per match
23.5Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Benjamin Brand4.29
Other referees4.19

4.29 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.19).

Cards come from 104 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Bundesliga 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Bayern MünchenBayern München642022:5+1714WDWWD
2Borussia DortmundBorussia Dortmund642011:4+714DDWWW
3SC FreiburgSC Freiburg641115:6+913LWDWW
4Bayer LeverkusenBayer Leverkusen641116:9+713WWWDW
5FSV Mainz 05FSV Mainz 05631214:10+410WLWLW
6SV ElversbergSV Elversberg631212:11+110WLDLW
7RB LeipzigRB Leipzig630316:11+59LWLWL
8Werder BremenWerder Bremen623112:1209DDWDW
9Hamburger SVHamburger SV63036:15-99WWWLL
10FC AugsburgFC Augsburg622216:12+48LDLDW
11Eintracht FrankfurtEintracht Frankfurt622210:16-68WLDWL
121. FC Köln1. FC Köln62138:11-37LWLDL
13VfB StuttgartVfB Stuttgart62048:10-26LWLLW
141899 Hoffenheim1899 Hoffenheim620411:14-36WLLWL
15FC Schalke 04FC Schalke 0461234:7-35LLDWD
16SC Paderborn 07SC Paderborn 0761235:9-45DLWLL
17Union BerlinUnion Berlin61235:17-125DWLLL
18Borussia MönchengladbachBorussia Mönchengladbach60068:20-120LLLLL
Champions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation

About the Werder Bremen vs RB Leipzig forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Werder Bremen and RB Leipzig in the Bundesliga table

In the Bundesliga table, Werder Bremen (8th) and RB Leipzig (7th) are level on 9 points. League goal record so far: Werder Bremen 12-12, RB Leipzig 16-11. The full standings are on the Bundesliga Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.