SC Freiburg vs Werder Bremen Prediction

SC Freiburg
4-1
Finished
HT 2-0
Werder Bremen
Europa-Park Stadion, Freiburg· Daniel Siebert, Germany 30/08/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
5.5 / 10
Value Analysis
58%Trust
Home Corners
Home Corners Over 5.5
2.05
SignalSTRONGModel66%RiskMediumGap+13.2%
SC Freiburg Rest
2 days
Werder Bremen Rest
8 days

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
74%1.85
X
13%3.70
2
13%4.15
Double Chance
1X
87%1.22
X2
25%1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%1.63
No
51%2.20
Goals
Projected Goals: 2.41 + 0.82 = 3.23
Over 1.5
83%1.22
Over 2.5
59%1.75
Over 3.5
35%2.80
Under 1.5
17%4.17
Under 2.5
41%2.10
Under 3.5
65%1.42
Corners
Projected Corners: 6.3 + 3.5 = 9.8
Over 8.5
63%1.59
Over 9.5
53%1.98
Over 10.5
37%2.52
Under 8.5
37%2.22
Under 9.5
47%1.79
Under 10.5
63%1.47
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.8 + 2.4 = 4.2
Over 3.5
57%1.74
Over 4.5
36%2.47
Under 3.5
43%1.98
Under 4.5
64%1.47

Match Events

29'Y. SuzukiAssist: J. Beste
45'I. MatanovicAssist: M. Ginter
46'J. Beste INC. Irie out
46'S. Lynen IND. Stalmach out
48'Y. Suzuki
48'L. ReisFoul
55'Y. SuzukiAssist: I. Matanovic
61'J. Njinmah INS. Musah out
61'N. Fullkrug INC. Itten out
69'P. Lienhart INM. Rosenfelder out
69'L. Kubler INP. Treu out
73'I. Matanovic INL. Holer out
76'D. StalmachAssist: M. Grull
79'Y. Suzuki INK. Goto out
84'L. Reis INE. Dinkci out
84'M. Grull INP. Covic out
88'K. GotoRoughing

Lineups

SC Freiburg
4-2-3-1Coach: Julian Schuster
Werder Bremen
4-3-3Coach: Daniel Thioune
Mio Backhaus1M. BackhausMio Backhaus
Lukas Kübler17L. KüblerLukas Kübler
Matthias Ginter28M. GinterMatthias Ginter
Philipp Lienhart3P. LienhartPhilipp Lienhart
Jordy Makengo33J. MakengoJordy Makengo
Maximilian Eggestein8M. EggesteinMaximilian Eggestein
Yannick Engelhardt16Y. EngelhardtYannick Engelhardt
Jan-Niklas Beste19J. BesteJan-Niklas Beste
Yuito Suzuki14Y. SuzukiYuito Suzuki
Derry Scherhant7D. ScherhantDerry Scherhant
Igor Matanović31I. MatanovićIgor Matanović
Karl Hein1K. HeinKarl Hein
Mick Schmetgens33M. SchmetgensMick Schmetgens
Amos Pieper5A. PieperAmos Pieper
Marco Friedl32M. FriedlMarco Friedl
Olivier Deman2O. DemanOlivier Deman
Chuki20ChukiChuki
Senne Lynen14S. LynenSenne Lynen
Ludovit Reis15L. ReisLudovit Reis
Justin Njinmah11J. NjinmahJustin Njinmah
Niclas Füllkrug10N. FüllkrugNiclas Füllkrug
Marco Grüll17M. GrüllMarco Grüll

SC Freiburg Substitutes

21Florian MüllerG
29Philipp TreuD
37Maximilian RosenfelderD
27Berkay YılmazD
30Christian GünterD
32Vincenzo GrifoM
22Cyriaque IriéF
9Lucas HölerF
42Keisuke GotoF

Werder Bremen Substitutes

30Alexander SchlagerG
22Julián MalatiniD
7Samuel MbangulaF
24Patrice ČovićM
23Dariusz StalmachM
18Eren DinkçiF
38Paul ErevbenagieF
29Salim MusahF
26Cédric IttenF

Match Stats

SC FreiburgWerder Bremen
53%Ball Possession47%
6Corner Kicks5
1Yellow Cards1
19Total Shots9
5Shots on Goal3
7Shots off Goal1
8Shots Inside Box6
11Shots Outside Box3
7Blocked Shots5
13Fouls16
0Offsides1
2Goalkeeper Saves1
487Total Passes432
435Passes Accurate372
89%Pass Accuracy86%

Team Comparison

SC FreiburgSC Freiburg
Werder BremenWerder Bremen
1874Elo Rating 1724
3.11Attack 2.21
2.15Defense 1.37
73%Hit Rate 61%
19.5Shots per Game 14.4
7.0Shots on Target 7.0
5.2Corners per Game 3.6
1.5Cards per Game 1.3

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+150 Elo
High Goal Expectancy3.23 goals
📈BTTS Trend14% in H2H
📊Home Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

SC FreiburgSC Freiburg
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.7 vs 1.4 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
Werder BremenWerder Bremen
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 67% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.9 vs 0.3 in first half)

Head to Head

Based on 5 historical meetings

SC Freiburg 86%Draw 0%14% Werder Bremen
2.66Avg Goals
14%BTTS Rate
56%Over 2.5

Recent Form

SC FreiburgSC Freiburg
5W0D0L
Werder BremenWerder Bremen
4W1D0L
22/08/2026
Lüneburger SK HansaWerder Bremen
03
W
08/08/2026
Werder BremenSC Paderborn 07
22
D
01/08/2026
Energie CottbusWerder Bremen
24
W
25/07/2026
Werder BremenVfL Bochum
20
W
22/07/2026
Werder BremenFagiano Okayama
20
W

Referee Profile

Daniel Siebert, Germany · 17 matches analysed

3.5Avg Yellows
3.6Avg Cards
22.3Avg Fouls
Stricter than 6% of referees analysed

League Table

Bundesliga 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Borussia DortmundBorussia Dortmund44009:2+712WWWW
2Bayern MünchenBayern München431014:2+1210WWDW
3SC FreiburgSC Freiburg431012:3+910DWWW
4FC AugsburgFC Augsburg421111:6+57LDWW
5Bayer LeverkusenBayer Leverkusen421110:5+57WDWL
6FSV Mainz 05FSV Mainz 05421110:6+47WLWD
7SV ElversbergSV Elversberg42118:7+17DLWW
8Werder BremenWerder Bremen42118:807WDWL
9RB LeipzigRB Leipzig42029:5+46LWLW
10Eintracht FrankfurtEintracht Frankfurt41219:10-15DWLD
11FC Schalke 04FC Schalke 0441213:4-15DWDL
12SC Paderborn 07SC Paderborn 0741123:5-24WLLD
131. FC Köln1. FC Köln41126:9-34LDLW
141899 Hoffenheim1899 Hoffenheim41037:10-33LWLL
15VfB StuttgartVfB Stuttgart41036:9-33LLWL
16Hamburger SVHamburger SV41032:13-113WLLL
17Union BerlinUnion Berlin40134:17-131LLLD
18Borussia MönchengladbachBorussia Mönchengladbach40046:16-100LLLL
Champions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation

SC Freiburg vs Werder Bremen Prediction

Our AI model has analysed this Bundesliga fixture using team Elo ratings, recent form, projected goals and head-to-head history. The forecasts cover six independent markets - each probability is a separate model calculation, not derived from the match winner result.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive or open market; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

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Key Factors for This Match

SC Freiburg have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. SC Freiburg and Werder Bremen have met 5 times recently, averaging 2.66 goals per game in those meetings. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.