SC Freiburg vs Werder Bremen Prediction
Germany · Regular Season - 1
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
5.5 / 10
Value Analysis
58%Trust
Home Corners
Home Corners Over 5.5
2.05
SignalSOLIDModel66%SurpriseMediumGap+13.2%
SC Freiburg Rest
2 days
Werder Bremen Rest
8 days
SC Freiburg vs Werder Bremen: result, form and history
SC Freiburg beat Werder Bremen 4-1 in the Bundesliga on 30 Aug 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.
SC Freiburg have had the better of this fixture, winning 7 of the 10 previous meetings, which averaged 2.2 goals a game.
Match Forecasts
Match Result
174%1.85
X13%3.70
213%4.15
Double Chance
1X87%1.22
X225%1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes49%1.63
No51%2.20
Goals
Projected Goals: 2.41 + 0.82 = 3.23
Over 1.583%1.22
Over 2.559%1.75
Over 3.535%2.80
Under 1.517%4.17
Under 2.541%2.10
Under 3.565%1.42
Corners
Projected Corners: 6.3 + 3.5 = 9.8
Over 8.563%1.59
Over 9.553%1.98
Over 10.537%2.52
Under 8.537%2.22
Under 9.547%1.79
Under 10.563%1.47
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.8 + 2.4 = 4.2
Over 3.557%1.74
Over 4.536%2.47
Under 3.543%1.98
Under 4.564%1.47
Match Events
29'Y. SuzukiAssist: J. Beste
45'I. MatanovicAssist: M. Ginter
46'J. Beste INC. Irie out
46'S. Lynen IND. Stalmach out
48'Y. Suzuki
48'L. ReisFoul
55'Y. SuzukiAssist: I. Matanovic
61'J. Njinmah INS. Musah out
61'N. Fullkrug INC. Itten out
69'P. Lienhart INM. Rosenfelder out
69'L. Kubler INP. Treu out
73'I. Matanovic INL. Holer out
76'D. StalmachAssist: M. Grull
79'Y. Suzuki INK. Goto out
84'L. Reis INE. Dinkci out
84'M. Grull INP. Covic out
88'K. GotoRoughing
Lineups
SC FreiburgWerder Bremen
4-3-3Coach: Daniel ThiouneAvg ratingAvg rating
1M. Backhaus
17L. Kübler
28M. Ginter
3P. Lienhart
33J. Makengo
C8M. Eggestein
16Y. Engelhardt
19J. Beste
14Y. Suzuki
7D. Scherhant
31I. Matanović
1K. Hein
33M. Schmetgens
5A. Pieper
C32M. Friedl
2O. Deman
20Chuki
14S. Lynen
15L. Reis
11J. Njinmah
10N. Füllkrug
17M. GrüllSC Freiburg Substitutes
21Florian Müller
29Philipp Treu69'for L. Kubler
37Maximilian Rosenfelder69'for P. Lienhart
27Berkay Yılmaz
30Christian Günter
32Vincenzo Grifo
22Cyriaque Irié46'for J. Beste
9Lucas Höler73'for I. Matanovic
42Keisuke Goto79'for Y. Suzuki88'
Werder Bremen Substitutes
30Alexander Schlager
22Julián Malatini
7Samuel Mbangula
24Patrice Čović84'for M. Grull
23Dariusz Stalmach46'for S. Lynen76'
18Eren Dinkçi84'for L. Reis
38Paul Erevbenagie
29Salim Musah61'for J. Njinmah
26Cédric Itten61'for N. Fullkrug
Match Stats
SC FreiburgWerder Bremen 53%Ball Possession47%
6Corner Kicks5
1Yellow Cards1
19Total Shots9
5Shots on Goal3
7Shots off Goal1
8Shots Inside Box6
11Shots Outside Box3
7Blocked Shots5
13Fouls16
0Offsides1
2Goalkeeper Saves1
487Total Passes432
435Passes Accurate372
89%Pass Accuracy86%
Team Comparison
SC FreiburgWerder Bremen1879Elo Rating 1770
1.48Attack 2.19
1.46Defense 1.31
69%Hit Rate 46%
13.2Shots per Game 15.2
3.2Shots on Target 6.4
5.3Corners per Game 5.5
2.3Cards per Game 1.8
AI Insights
🏠Strong Home Advantage+109 Elo
⚽High Goal Expectancy3.23 goals
📈BTTS Trend30% in H2H
📊Home Overperforming
Game State Tendencies
SC Freiburg- Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
- Scores more in 2nd half (1 vs 0.5 in first half)
- Concedes more in 1st half, then tightens up after the break
Werder Bremen- Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
- Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
- Scores more in 2nd half (1.8 vs 0.4 in first half)
- Concedes more in 1st half, then tightens up after the break
Head to Head
Last 10 meetings, all competitions
SC Freiburg7Wins · 70%Draws220%
Werder Bremen1Wins · 10%
1Wins · 10%2.2Avg Goals
30%Both teams scored3 of 10
40%3+ goals4 of 10
Previous meetings
07/02/2026SC FreiburgWerder Bremen10
20/09/2025Werder BremenSC Freiburg03
21/02/2025SC FreiburgWerder Bremen50
05/10/2024Werder BremenSC Freiburg01
27/01/2024Werder BremenSC Freiburg31
26/08/2023SC FreiburgWerder Bremen10
16/04/2023Werder BremenSC Freiburg12
22/10/2022SC FreiburgWerder Bremen20
13/02/2021Werder BremenSC Freiburg00
17/10/2020SC FreiburgWerder Bremen11
Recent Form
SC Freiburg8W0D2L
27/08/2026SC Freiburg
Motherwell
Fortuna DüsseldorfSC FreiburgMotherwellSC Freiburg
SC FreiburgMotherwell41
W23/08/2026Fortuna DüsseldorfSC Freiburg15
W20/08/2026MotherwellSC Freiburg13
W15/08/2026SC Freiburg
Crystal Palace
SC FreiburgCrystal Palace20
W08/08/2026SC Freiburg
Strasbourg
SC FreiburgStrasbourg20
W24/07/2026SC Freiburg
Derby
SC FreiburgDerby31
W20/05/2026SC Freiburg
Aston Villa
SC FreiburgAston Villa03
L16/05/2026SC Freiburg
RB Leipzig
SC FreiburgRB Leipzig41
W10/05/2026
Hamburger SVSC Freiburg
Hamburger SVSC Freiburg32
L07/05/2026SC Freiburg
SC Braga
SC FreiburgSC Braga31
WWerder Bremen5W2D3L
22/08/2026
Lüneburger SK HansaWerder Bremen
Lüneburger SK HansaWerder Bremen03
W08/08/2026Werder Bremen
SC Paderborn 07
Werder BremenSC Paderborn 0722
D01/08/2026
Energie CottbusWerder Bremen
Energie CottbusWerder Bremen24
W25/07/2026Werder Bremen
VfL Bochum
Werder BremenVfL Bochum20
W22/07/2026Werder Bremen
Fagiano Okayama
Werder BremenFagiano Okayama20
W18/07/2026
Verden 04Werder Bremen
Verden 04Werder Bremen26
W16/05/2026Werder Bremen
Borussia Dortmund
Werder BremenBorussia Dortmund02
L09/05/2026
1899 HoffenheimWerder Bremen
1899 HoffenheimWerder Bremen10
L02/05/2026Werder Bremen
FC Augsburg
Werder BremenFC Augsburg13
L26/04/2026
VfB StuttgartWerder Bremen
VfB StuttgartWerder Bremen11
DReferee Profile
4.50Cards per match
4.33Yellow cards per match
0.17Red cards per match
23.3Fouls per match
Compared with other referees
4.50 cards a match, 0.30 more than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.20).
Cards come from 244 matches with official statistics.
Full referee statsLeague Table
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Bayern München | 9 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 29:9 | +20 | 21 | WDWWD |
| 2 | Borussia Dortmund | 9 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 16:7 | +9 | 21 | WDWDD |
| 3 | SC Freiburg | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 20:10 | +10 | 19 | WWLLW |
| 4 | RB Leipzig | 9 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 27:13 | +14 | 18 | WWWLW |
| 5 |  Bayer Leverkusen | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 20:17 | +3 | 16 | WLLWW |
| 6 | Werder Bremen | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 17:15 | +2 | 15 | LWWDD |
| 7 |  SV Elversberg | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 17:18 | -1 | 13 | LWLWL |
| 8 | VfB Stuttgart | 9 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 15:15 | 0 | 12 | WWLLW |
| 9 | 1899 Hoffenheim | 9 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 16:17 | -1 | 12 | WLWWL |
| 10 |  Eintracht Frankfurt | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 15:20 | -5 | 12 | DWLWL |
| 11 | Hamburger SV | 9 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 10:20 | -10 | 12 | WLLWW |
| 12 |  FSV Mainz 05 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 18:19 | -1 | 10 | LLLWL |
| 13 | SC Paderborn 07 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 8:11 | -3 | 10 | DDWDL |
| 14 | FC Augsburg | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 20:20 | 0 | 9 | LLDLD |
| 15 |  1. FC Köln | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 10:14 | -4 | 9 | LDDLW |
| 16 |  Union Berlin | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 7:21 | -14 | 7 | LDDDW |
| 17 |  FC Schalke 04 | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 5:11 | -6 | 6 | LLDLL |
| 18 |  Borussia Mönchengladbach | 9 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 12:25 | -13 | 4 | LDWLL |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bayern München | 9 | 29:9 | 21 |
| 2 | Borussia Dortmund | 9 | 16:7 | 21 |
| 3 | SC Freiburg | 9 | 20:10 | 19 |
| 4 | RB Leipzig | 9 | 27:13 | 18 |
| 5 | Bayer Leverkusen | 9 | 20:17 | 16 |
| 6 | Werder Bremen | 9 | 17:15 | 15 |
| 7 | SV Elversberg | 9 | 17:18 | 13 |
| 8 | VfB Stuttgart | 9 | 15:15 | 12 |
| 9 | 1899 Hoffenheim | 9 | 16:17 | 12 |
| 10 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 9 | 15:20 | 12 |
| 11 | Hamburger SV | 9 | 10:20 | 12 |
| 12 | FSV Mainz 05 | 9 | 18:19 | 10 |
| 13 | SC Paderborn 07 | 9 | 8:11 | 10 |
| 14 | FC Augsburg | 9 | 20:20 | 9 |
| 15 | 1. FC Köln | 9 | 10:14 | 9 |
| 16 | Union Berlin | 9 | 7:21 | 7 |
| 17 | FC Schalke 04 | 9 | 5:11 | 6 |
| 18 | Borussia Mönchengladbach | 9 | 12:25 | 4 |
Champions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
Explore more predictions
This match
More Bundesliga matches
- FSV Mainz 05 vs SC Paderborn 07 29/08/26
- RB Leipzig vs Borussia Mönchengladbach 29/08/26
- Union Berlin vs Eintracht Frankfurt 29/08/26
- Borussia Dortmund vs Hamburger SV 29/08/26
- FC Augsburg vs FC Schalke 04 30/08/26
- VfB Stuttgart vs 1. FC Köln 04/09/26
- 1899 Hoffenheim vs Borussia Dortmund 05/09/26
- Bayer Leverkusen vs Union Berlin 05/09/26
About the SC Freiburg vs Werder Bremen forecast
Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage is the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% means strong statistical confidence; 45-65% points to a competitive, open match; below 45% means the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for information and entertainment only.
SC Freiburg and Werder Bremen in the Bundesliga table
In the Bundesliga table, SC Freiburg are 3rd and Werder Bremen 6th, 4 points apart. League goal record so far: SC Freiburg 20-10, Werder Bremen 17-15. The full standings are on the Bundesliga Table 2026 page.
Key Factors for This Match
This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.